Live birth rates remain stable in modified natural IVF despite low anti-Müllerian hormone: analysis of 638 cycles

Association between ovarian reserve and spontaneous miscarriage and their shared genetic architecture

STUDY QUESTION

Can potential mechanisms involved in the likely concurrence of diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) and miscarriage be identified using genetic data?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Concurrence between ovarian reserve and spontaneous miscarriage was observed, and may be attributed to shared genetic risk loci enriched in antigen processing and presentation and autoimmune disease pathways.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Previous studies have shown that lower serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) levels are associated with increased risk of embryo aneuploidy and spontaneous miscarriage, although findings have not been consistent across all studies. A recent meta-analysis suggested that the association between DOR and miscarriage may not be causal, but rather a result of shared underlying causes such as clinical conditions or past exposure. Motivated by this hypothesis, we conducted the present analysis to explore the concurrence between DOR and miscarriage, and to investigate potential mechanisms using genetic data.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

Three data sources were used in the study: the clinical IVF data were retrospectively collected from an academically affiliated Reproductive Medicine Center (17 786 cycles included); the epidemiological data from the UK Biobank (UKB), which is a large-scale, population-based, prospective cohort study (35 316 white women included), were analyzed; and individual-level genotype data from the UKB were extracted for further analysis.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

There were three modules of analysis. First, clinical IVF data were used to test the association between ovarian reserve biomarkers and the subsequent early spontaneous miscarriage risk. Second, the UKB data were used to test the association of spontaneous miscarriage history and early menopause. Third, individual-level genotype data from the UKB were analyzed to identify specific pleiotropic genes which affect the development of miscarriage and menopause.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

In the analysis of clinical IVF data, the risk of early spontaneous miscarriage was 1.57 times higher in the group with AMH < 1.1 ng/ml group (P < 0.001), 1.62 times for antral follicular count <5 (P < 0.001), and 1.39 times for FSH ≥10 mIU/ml (P < 0.001) in comparison with normal ovarian reserve groups. In the analysis of UKB data, participants with a history of three or more miscarriages had a one-third higher risk of experiencing early menopause (odds ratio: 1.30, 95% CI 1.13-1.49, P < 0.001), compared with participants without spontaneous miscarriage history. We identified 158 shared genetic risk loci that affect both miscarriage and menopause, which enrichment analysis showed were involved in antigen processing and presentation and autoimmune disease pathways.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

The analyses of the UKB data were restricted to participants of European ancestry, as 94.6% of the cohort were of white ethnicity. Further studies are needed in non-white populations. Additionally, maternal age at the time of spontaneous miscarriage was not available in the UKB cohort, therefore we adjusted for age at baseline assessment in the models instead. It is known that miscarriage rate in IVF is higher compared to natural conception, highlighting a need for caution when generalizing our findings from the IVF cohort to the general population.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Our findings have implications for IVF clinicians in terms of patient counseling on the prognosis of IVF treatment, as well as for genetic counseling regarding miscarriage. Our results highlight the importance of further research on the shared genetic architecture and common pathophysiological basis of DOR and miscarriage, which may lead to new therapeutic opportunities.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This work was supported by the Hunan Youth Science and Technology Innovation Talent Project (2020RC3060), the International Postdoctoral Exchange Fellowship Program (Talent-Introduction Program, YJ20220220), the fellowship of China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2022M723564), and the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province, China (2023JJ41016). This work has been accepted for poster presentation at the 39th Annual Meeting of ESHRE, Copenhagen, Denmark, 25-28 June 2023 (Poster number: P-477). The authors declare no conflict of interest.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Using serum anti-Müllerian hormone levels to predict the chance of live birth after spontaneous or assisted conception: a systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY QUESTION

Is serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) level predictive of cumulative live birth (CLB) rate after ART or in women trying to conceive naturally?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Serum AMH level is linked to CLB after IVF/ICSI but data are lacking after IUI or in women trying to conceive without ART.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Serum AMH level is a marker of ovarian reserve and a good predictor of ovarian response after controlled ovarian stimulation. It is unclear whether AMH measurement can predict CLB in spontaneous or assisted conception.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to assess whether serum AMH level may predict chances of CLB in infertile women undergoing IVF/ICSI or IUI and/or chances of live birth in women having conceived naturally.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed using the following keywords: 'AMH', 'anti-mullerian hormone', 'live-birth', 'cumulative live birth'. Searches were conducted from January 2004 to April 2021 on PubMed and Embase. Two independent reviewers carried out study selection, quality, and risk of bias assessment as well as data extraction. Odds ratios were estimated using a random-effect model. Pre-specified sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were performed. The primary outcome was CLB.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

A total of 32 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, 27 articles were included in the meta-analysis of the relation between AMH and CLB or AMH and LB after IVF/ICSI. A non-linear positive relation was found in both cases. A polynomial fraction was the best model to describe it but no discriminant AMH threshold was shown, especially no serum AMH level threshold below which live birth could not be achieved after IVF/ICSI. After IVF-ICSI, only four studies reported CLB rate according to AMH level. No statistically significant differences in mean serum AMH levels were shown between patients with and without CLB, but with a high heterogeneity. After exclusion of two studies with high risks of bias, there was no more heterogeneity [I2 = 0%] and the mean AMH level was statistically significantly higher in women with CLB. There were not enough articles/data to assess the ability of AMH to predict CLB rate or find an AMH threshold after IUI or in women without history of infertility trying to conceive without ART.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

The systematic review and meta-analysis had some limitations owing to the limits and bias of the studies included. In the present meta-analysis, heterogeneity may have been caused by different baseline characteristics in study participants, different stimulating protocols for ART, different serum AMH level thresholds used and the use of various assays for serum AMH. This could explain, in part, the absence of a discriminating AMH threshold found in this analysis.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Serum AMH level is linked to CLB rate after IVF/ICSI but no discriminating threshold can be established, therefore low serum AMH level should not be used as the sole criterion for rejecting IVF treatment, especially in young patients. Data are lacking concerning its predictive value after IUI or in women trying to conceive without ART. Our findings may be helpful to counsel candidate couples to IVF-ICSI.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS

No external funding was obtained for this study. There are no conflicts of interest.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO CRD42021269332.

Anti-müllerian hormone as a predictor for live birth among women undergoing IVF/ICSI in different age groups: an update of systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To update the evidence of anti-müllerian hormone (AMH) as predictive factors for live birth outcome in women undergoing assisted conception and discover the modulating effect of age.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Web of Science were searched for studies published until June 2021. We included studies that measured serum AMH levels and reported the subsequent live birth outcomes. Random effects models and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristics (HSROC) models were used. The QUADAS-2 checklist was employed to assess the quality of the included studies.

RESULTS

We included 27 studies (27,029 women) investigating the relationship between AMH and live birth outcome after assisted conception. The diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) from random effects models were ruled out due to high heterogeneity. Our findings suggested that AMH was associated with live birth. The DOR was 2.21 (95% CI 1.89-2.59), and 2.49 (95% CI 1.26-4.91) for studies on women with unspecified ovarian reserve and women with low ovarian reserve, respectively. The DOR of those with advanced ages was 2.50 (95% CI 1.87-2.60). For younger women, the DOR was 1.41 (95% CI 0.99-2.02). HSROCs showed that AMH had no predictive ability towards live birth in women with diminished ovarian reserve or younger age. Exclusion of Chinese cohorts lowered the heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that AMH had better prediction for live birth in advanced-age women. AMH may have implicative predictive value for assisted conception counseling of couples of advanced ages.

Is diminished ovarian reserve a risk factor for miscarriage? Results of a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) serum concentration and antral follicle count (AFC), as measured by transvaginal ultrasonography, accurately reflect the antral follicle pool. However, AMH and AFC association with fertility surrogates (i.e. age at menopause, probability of conceiving naturally and ART success rate) is questioned. Miscarriage is often considered an alternative measure of reproductive capacity. Nonetheless, the impact of diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) on miscarriage incidence remains an understudied and unresolved issue.

OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE

The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to elucidate associations between DOR and miscarriage risk, both in women who conceived naturally and in those who achieved pregnancy through ART.

SEARCH METHODS

Relevant studies were identified by a systematic search in PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase and Scopus, from database inception to 1 March 2021. Studies were included only if all the following conditions were met: DOR was defined using serum AMH concentration or AFC; miscarriage rate was reported separately for different groups of women categorized according to the AMH and/or AFC level; authors reported either the rate of intrauterine pregnancy loss before 22 weeks of gestation or enough data were available to calculate it.

OUTCOMES

From a total of 347 publications initially identified, 16 studies were included. Pooled results from 13 retrospective studies focusing on ART pregnancies showed a significantly higher rate of miscarriage in women with a low AMH, as compared to women with a medium or high serum AMH concentration (12 042 women, random effects model, odds ratio (OR) 1.35; 95% CI, 1.10-1.66; P = 0.004; I2=50%). The only prospective study on ART pregnancies failed to show any association (61 women, risk ratio (RR) 2.95; 95% CI, 0.66-3.18; P = 0.16). Data from two prospective studies, which included naturally conceived pregnancies, showed a significantly increased miscarriage risk for women with low serum AMH. However, these data could not undergo meta-analysis owing to differing study designs. Using three retrospective studies, we observed an association between low AFC and miscarriage incidence (three retrospective studies on ART pregnancies, random effects model, OR 1.81; 95% CI, 1.02-3.21; P = 0.04; I2=64%).

WIDER IMPLICATIONS

Our meta-analysis findings suggest that within the DOR patient subgroup, serum AMH and AFC biomarker levels may correlate with both the quantitative and qualitative aspects of ovarian reserve. However, owing to study limitations, the aetiology of this effect remains unclear and we are unable to define a causal relationship between DOR and increased miscarriage or to provide clinical recommendations based on this information. However, if confirmed by future well-designed studies, these findings would be profoundly informative for guiding women in family planning decisions.

A flexible short protocol in women with poor ovarian response over 40 years old

BACKGROUND

Ovarian responsiveness to controlled ovarian stimulation is essential for a successful clinical outcome in assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycles. We aimed to find a suitable new ovulation stimulation protocol for poor ovarian response (POR) patients over 40 years old.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 488 ART cycles was evaluated from January 2015 to June 2019. Comparisons were made between the flexible short protocol (FSP), routine short protocol and mild stimulation protocol.

RESULTS

Compared with the routine short protocol, the FSP delayed the gonadotropin start time and reduced the total gonadotropin dose per stimulation cycle. At the same time, compared with the mild stimulation protocol, the FSP improved oocyte quality and embryo quality and improved embryo implantation potential after transfer. Furthermore, the use of the FSP reduced the probability of premature ovulation, as it inhibited the premature luteinizing hormone (LH) surge to a certain extent.

CONCLUSIONS

The FSP yielded better outcomes than other protocols for patients with POR over 40 years old in our study. However, further prospective studies are needed to provide more substantial evidence and to determine whether the FSP can be successful for both patients over 40 years group and younger POR patients.