Clinical and laboratory parameters associated with pregnancy outcomes in patients undergoing frozen euploid blastocyst transfer

A predictive model for clinical pregnancy following single Day-6 blastocyst transfer in frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles

Purpose

This study aimed to develop a predictive model for assessing clinical pregnancy probabilities in patients undergoing frozen-thawed cycles with single Day 6 blastocyst transfers.

Methods

We conducted a two-center retrospective cohort study analyzing 1,381 frozen-thawed single Day 6 blastocyst transfer cycles from June 2016 to December 2022. The primary outcome was the clinical pregnancy rate per cycle. Data were divided into training, testing, and validation groups in a 6:2:2 ratio. Univariate and LASSO regression analyses identified factors influencing clinical pregnancy, which were incorporated into a multiple regression model to predict outcomes. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.

Results

Factors independently predicting clinical pregnancy included inner cell mass (ICM) grade, trophectoderm (TE) grade, Day 3 (D3) fragmentation, endometrium thickness, and male age at oocyte pick-up (OPU). The AUC values for the training, testing, and validation sets were 0.66, 0.65, and 0.60, respectively, indicating acceptable performance. Calibration curves demonstrated good predictive accuracy, with slopes of 0.988, 0.871, and 1.263 for the respective groups.

Conclusion

The developed nomogram accurately predicts clinical pregnancy probabilities in patients undergoing single Day 6 blastocyst transfers in frozen-thawed cycles, enhancing clinical decision-making by integrating crucial embryological and clinical parameters.

Progesterone-modified natural cycle preparation for frozen embryo transfer

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is there any difference in clinical outcomes between the progesterone-modified natural cycle (P4mNC) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) endometrial preparation protocols after single euploid blastocyst frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles?

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study was performed at a single, private, high-volume fertility centre. Patients who underwent single euploid blastocyst FET between January 2017 and December 2019 were included. A total of 1933 FET cycles were reviewed, and 723 FET cycles from 548 patients met the inclusion criteria. Two groups were compared according to endometrial preparation: 327 P4mNC-FET and 396 HRT-FET cycles. The primary outcome was the live birth rate. The secondary outcomes included the clinical pregnancy rate and the miscarriage rate.

RESULTS

There were no differences in the clinical pregnancy rate (50.2% versus 47.0%, P = 0.688), miscarriage rate (9.8% versus 14.5%, P = 0.115) and live birth rate (45.0% versus 39.6%, P = 0.331) between the P4mNC-FET and HRT-FET groups after covariate adjustments.

CONCLUSIONS

There were no differences in the clinical outcomes between the P4mNC-FET and HRT-FET cycles. These results indicate that P4mNC-FET cycles produce clinical outcomes comparable to those of more traditional HRT-FET while allowing greater flexibility in the timing of embryo transfer.

Effect of overweight and obesity on live birth rate in single euploid frozen embryo transfers

RESEARCH QUESTION

Does endometrial preparation using a natural cycle lead to higher live birth rates (LBR) in single euploid frozen embryo transfers (FET) compared with programmed cycles, for women who are normal weight, overweight and obese.

DESIGN

Retrospective study of 845 single euploid FETs from 688 couples. Patients were stratified by body mass index (BMI) into normal weight, overweight and obesity class I/II categories. Outcome was LBR.

RESULTS

After achieving covariate (female age, anti-Müllerian hormone, embryo quality and infertility type) balance in each stratum, the effective sample size was 481 and 262 for the programmed cycles and natural cycles, respectively. The programmed cycle approach (vaginal luteal phase support with 3 × 100 mg micronized vaginal progesterone per day) was associated with significantly lower LBR in the weighted regression analysis of the cohort (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.88, P < 0.001), compared with the natural cycle approach. The effect was significantly modified by BMI (P = 0.003 but was significant for all BMI categories. Reduction in live birth was less pronounced in patients with normal weight or who were overweight BMI (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.97, P = 0.014) compared with patients with class I/II obesity (RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.75, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A natural cycle endometrial preparation approach leads to overall better LBR in single euploid FET. The most significant difference is observed in women with higher BMI. Overweight or obese patients undergoing hormone replacement therapy may require a higher dosage of progesterone for luteal phase support.

Ongoing pregnancy rates in single euploid frozen embryo transfers remain unaffected by female age: a retrospective study

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is female age a significant factor in the likelihood of an ongoing pregnancy in single euploid frozen embryo transfers (FET)?

DESIGN

Retrospective study of 1923 single euploid FET cycles in 1464 women, either in a natural cycle or a hormone replacement therapy cycle. The primary outcome was the ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR).

RESULTS

There were 990 (51.48%) ongoing pregnancies among 1923 included transfers. The OPR were 51.4%, 49.1%, 53.3% and 52.3% for women aged ≤35, >35-≤37, >37-≤40 and >40 years at oocyte retrieval (OCR), without a significant trend for decreasing OPR (P = 0.679). No significant differences in female age at embryo transfer (P = 0.609) and female age at OCR (P = 0.816) were found between the groups (ongoing pregnancy versus no pregnancy or miscarriage). Women who received good-quality embryos (P < 0.001), had a lower body mass index (BMI) (P < 0.001), had achieved at least one pregnancy previously (P < 0.001), and underwent natural cycle endometrial preparation (P < 0.001) were more likely to achieve an ongoing pregnancy. Multivariable regression analysis (adjusted for BMI, embryo quality and endometrial preparation) did not show a significant effect of female age at OCR on achieving an ongoing pregnancy. Compared with women aged ≤35 years, none of the age groups had significantly higher or lower OPR. A multinomial regression analysis showed that BMI, embryo quality and endometrial preparation were associated with miscarriage/no pregnancy versus ongoing pregnancy (P = 0.001, 0.001 and 0.001, respectively). Female age had no significant association with either outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Female age in itself does not have a substantial impact on the OPR in single euploid FET cycles, but the OPR is impacted significantly by embryo quality, BMI, previous parity, and a natural cycle endometrial preparation protocol.

The combination of dydrogesterone and micronized vaginal progesterone can render serum progesterone level measurements on the day of embryo transfer and rescue attempts unnecessary in an HRT FET cycle

PURPOSE

To evaluate the role of serum progesterone (P4) on the day of embryo transfer (ET) when dydrogesterone (DYD) and micronized vaginal progesterone (MVP) are combined as luteal phase support (LPS) in a hormone replacement therapy (HRT) frozen ET (FET) cycles.

METHODS

Retrospective study, including single euploid HRT FET cycles with DYD and MVP as LPS and P4 measurement on ET day. Initially, patients with P4 levels < 10 ng/ml increased MVP to 400 mg/day; this "rescue" was abandoned later.

RESULTS

560 cycles of 507 couples were included. In 275 women, serum P4 level was < 10 ng/ml on the ET day. Among those with low P4 levels, MVP dose remained unchanged in 65 women (11.6%) and was increased in 210 women (37.5%). Women with P4 levels ≥ 10 ng/ml continued LPS without modification. Overall pregnancy rates in these groups were 61.5% (40/65), 54.8% (115/210), and 48.4% (138/285), respectively (p = n.s.). Association of serum P4 levels with ongoing pregnancy rates was analyzed in women without any additional MVP regardless of serum P4 levels (n = 350); multivariable analysis (adjusted for age, BMI, embryo quality (EQ)) did not show a significant association of serum P4 levels with OPR (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.90-1.02; p = 0.185). Using inverse probability treatment weights, regression analysis in the weighted sample showed no significant association between P4 treatment groups and OP. Compared to fair EQ, the transfer of good EQ increased (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.22-2.15; p = 0.001) and the transfer of a poor EQ decreased the odds of OP (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.55-0.97; p = 0.029).

CONCLUSION

In HRT FET cycle, using LPS with 300 mg/day MVP and 30 mg/day DYD, it appears that serum P4 measurement and increase of MVP in patients with P4 < 10 ng/ml are not necessary.

PGT-A: Houston, we have a problem

Preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A) is a common add-on to IVF cycles. As it is presently performed, PGT-A relies on whole genome amplification of small amounts of DNA from cells removed from the trophectoderm (TE) of a blastocyst for determination of gain or loss of chromosomal material by next-generation sequencing. Whole genome amplification may introduce artifacts such as allele dropout and loss of heterozygosity in up to 25% of cases. In addition, the high prevalence of mosaicism in human embryos is a complicating factor in interpreting the results of PGT-A screening. In the presence of mosaicism, biopsy of TE cells cannot provide accurate results regarding the chromosomal make-up of the inner cell mass. The available clinical data suggest that PGT-A is probably harmful when IVF outcomes are analyzed by intention to treat or by live birth rate per cycle started rather than per embryo transfer, especially in women with three or fewer blastocysts. In addition, hypothesized advantages of reduced spontaneous abortion rate and reduced time to conception may be modest at best.

Features of chromosomal abnormalities in relation to consanguinity: analysis of 10,556 blastocysts from IVF/ICSI cycles with PGT-A from consanguineous and non-consanguineous couples

Consanguineous marriage is defined as marriage between first or second-degree cousins, with high prevalence in many cultures and societies. Descendants from consanguineous unions have an increased risk for genetic diseases. Additionally, in consanguineous couples, chromosomal disjunction during embryogenesis could also be affected, increasing the risk of chromosomal errors. Nowadays, genomic testing allows to identify new genetic syndromes and variants related to copy-number variations (CNV), including whole chromosome, segmental and micro-segmental errors. This is the first study evaluating chromosomal ploidy status on blastocysts formed from consanguineous couples during IVF/ICSI treatments with Preimplantation Genetic Testing for Aneuploidies (PGT-A), compared to non-consanguineous couples. Although consanguine couples were significantly younger, no differences were observed between groups for fertilisation rate, blastulation rate and euploidy rate, once adjusted by age. Nevertheless, the number of blastocysts biopsied on day 5 was lower for consanguine couples. Segmental errors, and aneuploidies of chromosomes 13 and 14 were the most prominent abnormalities in relation to consanguinity, together with errors in chromosome 16 and sex chromosomes when the female partner was younger than 35. Once euploid blastocysts were considered for subsequent frozen embryo transfer, pregnancy outcomes were similar in both groups. The current findings point toward the fact that in consanguine unions, not only the risk of having a child with genetic disorders is increased, but also the risk of specific chromosomal abnormalities seems to be increased. Premarital counselling and tailored reproductive treatments should be offered to these couples.