Early revascularization and long-term mortality in high-risk patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. The CARDIOCHUS-HUSJ registry

Prehospital stratification and prioritisation of non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome patients (NSTEACS): the MARIACHI scale

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to develop and validate a risk scale (MARIACHI) for patients classified as non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS) in a prehospital setting with the ability to identify patients at an increased risk of mortality at an early stage.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study conducted in Catalonia over two periods: 2015-2017 (development and internal validation cohort) and Aug 2018-Jan 2019 (external validation cohort). We included patients classified as prehospital NSTEACS, assisted by an advanced life support unit and requiring hospital admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Cohorts were compared using logistic regression and a predictive model was created using bootstrapping techniques.

RESULTS

The development and internal validation cohort included 519 patients. The model is composed of five variables associated with hospital mortality: age, systolic blood pressure, heart rate > 95 bpm, Killip-Kimball III-IV and ST depression ≥ 0.5 mm. The model showed good overall performance (Brier = 0.043) and consistency in discrimination (AUC 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.92) and calibration (slope = 0.91; 95% CI 0.89-0.93). We included 1316 patients for the external validation sample. There was no difference in discrimination (AUC 0.83, 95% CI 0.78-0.87; DeLong Test p = 0.071), but there was in calibration (p < 0.001), so it was recalibrated. The finally model obtained was stratified and scored into three groups according to the predicted risk of patient in-hospital mortality: low risk: < 1% (-8 to 0 points), moderate risk: 1-5% (+ 1 to + 5 points) and high risk: > 5% (6-12 points).

CONCLUSION

The MARIACHI scale showed correct discrimination and calibration to predict high-risk NSTEACS. Identification of high-risk patients may help with treatment and low referral decisions at the prehospital level.

Prognostic benefit from an early invasive strategy in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS): evaluation of the new risk stratification in the NSTEACS European guidelines

OBJECTIVES

The objective of our work is to evaluate the prognostic benefit of an early invasive strategy in patients with high-risk NSTACS according to the recommendations of the 2020 clinical practice guidelines during long-term follow-up.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included 6454 consecutive NSTEACS patients. We analyze the effects of early coronary angiography (< 24 h) in patients with: (a) GRACE risk score > 140 and (b) patients with "established NSTEMI" (non ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction defined by an increase in troponins) or dynamic ST-T-segment changes with a GRACE risk score < 140.

RESULTS

From 2003 to 2017, 6454 patients with "new high-risk NSTEACS" were admitted, and 6031 (93.45%) of these underwent coronary angiography. After inverse probability of treatment weighting, the long-term cumulative probability of being free of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and MACE differed significantly due to an early coronary intervention in patients with NSTEACS and GRACE > 140 [HR 0.62 (IC 95% 0.57-0.67), HR 0.62 (IC 95% 0.56-0.68), HR 0.57 (IC 95% 0.53-0.61), respectively]. In patients with NSTEACS and GRACE < 140 with established NSTEMI or ST/T-segment changes, the benefit of the early invasive strategy is only observed in the reduction of MACE [HR 0.62 (IC 95% 0.56-0.68)], but not for total mortality [HR 0.96 (IC 95% 0.78-1.2)] and cardiovascular mortality [HR 0.96 (IC 95% 0.75-1.24)].

CONCLUSIONS

An early invasive management is associated with reduced all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and MACE in NSTEACS with high GRACE risk score. However, this benefit is less evident in the subgroup of patients with a GRACE score < 140 with established NSTEMI or ST/T-segment changes.