A pilot study of methods for prediction of poor outcome by head computed tomography after cardiac arrest

Standardised and automated assessment of head computed tomography reliably predicts poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest: a prospective multicentre study

PURPOSE

Application of standardised and automated assessments of head computed tomography (CT) for neuroprognostication after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

Prospective, international, multicentre, observational study within the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Routine CTs from adult unconscious patients obtained > 48 h ≤ 7 days post-arrest were assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by seven international raters blinded to clinical information using a pre-published protocol. Grey-white-matter ratio (GWR) was calculated from four (GWR-4) and eight (GWR-8) regions of interest manually placed at the basal ganglia level. Additionally, GWR was obtained using an automated atlas-based approach. Prognostic accuracies for prediction of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) for the qualitative assessment and for the pre-defined GWR cutoff < 1.10 were calculated.

RESULTS

140 unconscious patients were included; median age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR] 59-76), 76% were male, and 75% had poor outcome. Standardised qualitative assessment and all GWR models predicted poor outcome with 100% specificity (95% confidence interval [CI] 90-100). Sensitivity in median was 37% for the standardised qualitative assessment, 39% for GWR-8, 30% for GWR-4 and 41% for automated GWR. GWR-8 was superior to GWR-4 regarding prognostic accuracies, intra- and interrater agreement. Overall prognostic accuracy for automated GWR (area under the curve [AUC] 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91) did not significantly differ from manually obtained GWR.

CONCLUSION

Standardised qualitative and quantitative assessments of CT are reliable and feasible methods to predict poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest. Automated GWR has the potential to make CT quantification for neuroprognostication accessible to all centres treating cardiac arrest patients.

Outcome prediction of cardiac arrest with automatically computed gray-white matter ratio on computed tomography images

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop an automated method to measure the gray-white matter ratio (GWR) from brain computed tomography (CT) scans of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and assess its significance in predicting early-stage neurological outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with OHCA who underwent brain CT imaging within 12 h of return of spontaneous circulation were enrolled in this retrospective study. The primary outcome endpoint measure was a favorable neurological outcome, defined as cerebral performance category 1 or 2 at hospital discharge. We proposed an automated method comprising image registration, K-means segmentation, segmentation refinement, and GWR calculation to measure the GWR for each CT scan. The K-means segmentation and segmentation refinement was employed to refine the segmentations within regions of interest (ROIs), consequently enhancing GWR calculation accuracy through more precise segmentations.

RESULTS

Overall, 443 patients were divided into derivation N=265, 60% and validation N=178, 40% sets, based on age and sex. The ROI Hounsfield unit values derived from the automated method showed a strong correlation with those obtained from the manual method. Regarding outcome prediction, the automated method significantly outperformed the manual method in GWR calculation (AUC 0.79 vs. 0.70) across the entire dataset. The automated method also demonstrated superior performance across sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values using the cutoff value determined from the derivation set. Moreover, GWR was an independent predictor of outcomes in logistic regression analysis. Incorporating the GWR with other clinical and resuscitation variables significantly enhanced the performance of prediction models compared to those without the GWR.

CONCLUSIONS

Automated measurement of the GWR from non-contrast brain CT images offers valuable insights for predicting neurological outcomes during the early post-cardiac arrest period.

Quantitative cistern effacement and reduced gray to white matter ratio for prognostication in early brain computed tomography of patients with cardiac arrest

Background

The impact of cerebral edema on brain cells and ventricles in cardiac arrest patients can manifest as effacement of cortical sulci, diminished ventricle size, altered gray matter to white matter ratio (GWR), and increased optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) in brain CT scans. However, a complete investigation of GWR in whole lobes, quantitative cistern size, and comprehensive comparison of various brain CT parameters has not been conducted. This study aimed to comprehensively compare various early brain CT parameters along with conventional significant variables in relation to poor neurological outcome and diffuse cortical necrosis.

Methods

This retrospective study included 86 adult patients with cardiac arrest who underwent brain CT/MRI. GWRs, the distance of the posterior ambient cistern, and ONSD in early brain CT and regions of interest (ROIs) in brain MRI were measured and analyzed along with clinical characteristics.

Results

ROIs in the putamen and parietal white matter showed significant differences (p = 0.05, p = 0.022, respectively). The distance of the posterior ambient cistern and the GWR of the putamen and parietal white matter were newly developed predictors that were not used previously and demonstrated a significant correlation with the presence of diffuse cortical necrosis (OR 0.4, p = 0.006, AUC 0.637; OR 0.478, p = 0.02, AUC 0.603, respectively) or poor neurological outcomes (AUC 0.637, AUC 0.603, respectively), but were not more significant than pupil reflex (OR 0.06, p < 0.001). ONSD was not significantly associated with the outcomes.

Conclusions

Quantitative cistern effacement and reduced GWR of the putamen and parietal white matter in early brain CT measurements of cardiac arrest patients were promising predictors in early brain CT for prognostication, but compared with clinical characteristics, the clinical significance of the CT predictors was not considerable. The relationship and clinical significance between the parameters in early brain CT and the outcomes might have to be separately considered.

Prognostic accuracy of head computed tomography for prediction of functional outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Rationale and design of the prospective TTM2-CT-substudy

Background

Head computed tomography (CT) is a guideline recommended method to predict functional outcome after cardiac arrest (CA), but standardized criteria for evaluation are lacking. To date, no prospective trial has systematically validated methods for diagnosing hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) on CT after CA. We present a protocol for validation of pre-specified radiological criteria for assessment of HIE on CT for neuroprognostication after CA.

Methods/design

This is a prospective observational international multicentre substudy of the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Patients still unconscious 48 hours post-arrest at 13 participating hospitals were routinely examined with CT. Original images will be evaluated by examiners blinded to clinical data using a standardized protocol. Qualitative assessment will include evaluation of absence/presence of "severe HIE". Radiodensities will be quantified in pre-specified regions of interest for calculation of grey-white matter ratios (GWR) at the basal ganglia level. Functional outcome will be dichotomized into good (modified Rankin Scale 0-3) and poor (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) at six months post-arrest. Prognostic accuracies for good and poor outcome will be presented as sensitivities and specificities with 95% confidence intervals (using pre-specified cut-offs for quantitative analysis), descriptive statistics (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve), inter- and intra-rater reliabilities according to STARD guidelines.

Conclusions

The results from this prospective trial will validate a standardized approach to radiological evaluations of HIE on CT for prediction of functional outcome in comatose CA patients.The TTM2 trial and the TTM2 CT substudy are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02908308 and NCT03913065.