1
|
Ding X, Wang Y, Ma W, Peng Y, Huang J, Wang M, Zhu H. Development of early prediction model of in-hospital cardiac arrest based on laboratory parameters. Biomed Eng Online 2023; 22:116. [PMID: 38057823 DOI: 10.1186/s12938-023-01178-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2023] [Accepted: 11/23/2023] [Indexed: 12/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) is an acute disease with a high fatality rate that burdens individuals, society, and the economy. This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model using routine laboratory parameters to predict the risk of IHCA in rescue-treated patients. METHODS This retrospective cohort study examined all rescue-treated patients hospitalized at the First Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital in Beijing, China, from January 2016 to December 2020. Five machine learning algorithms, including support vector machine, random forest, extra trees classifier (ETC), decision tree, and logistic regression algorithms, were trained to develop models for predicting IHCA. We included blood counts, biochemical markers, and coagulation markers in the model development. We validated model performance using fivefold cross-validation and used the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) for model interpretation. RESULTS A total of 11,308 participants were included in the study, of which 7779 patients remained. Among these patients, 1796 (23.09%) cases of IHCA occurred. Among five machine learning models for predicting IHCA, the ETC algorithm exhibited better performance, with an AUC of 0.920, compared with the other four machine learning models in the fivefold cross-validation. The SHAP showed that the top ten factors accounting for cardiac arrest in rescue-treated patients are prothrombin activity, platelets, hemoglobin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, neutrophils, prothrombin time, serum albumin, sodium, activated partial thromboplastin time, and potassium. CONCLUSIONS We developed a reliable machine learning-derived model that integrates readily available laboratory parameters to predict IHCA in patients treated with rescue therapy.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Xinhuan Ding
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, 100853, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Yingchan Wang
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Weiyi Ma
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, 100853, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Yaojun Peng
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, 100853, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Jingjing Huang
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510000, Guangdong, China
- Department of Emergency, Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital, Sanya, 572013, Hainan, China
| | - Meng Wang
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, 100853, China
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China
| | - Haiyan Zhu
- Medical School of Chinese PLA, Beijing, 100853, China.
- Department of Emergency, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Fuxing Road 28, Beijing, 100853, People's Republic of China.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Okada Y, Mertens M, Liu N, Lam SSW, Ong MEH. AI and machine learning in resuscitation: Ongoing research, new concepts, and key challenges. Resusc Plus 2023; 15:100435. [PMID: 37547540 PMCID: PMC10400904 DOI: 10.1016/j.resplu.2023.100435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Aim Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are important areas of computer science that have recently attracted attention for their application to medicine. However, as techniques continue to advance and become more complex, it is increasingly challenging for clinicians to stay abreast of the latest research. This overview aims to translate research concepts and potential concerns to healthcare professionals interested in applying AI and ML to resuscitation research but who are not experts in the field. Main text We present various research including prediction models using structured and unstructured data, exploring treatment heterogeneity, reinforcement learning, language processing, and large-scale language models. These studies potentially offer valuable insights for optimizing treatment strategies and clinical workflows. However, implementing AI and ML in clinical settings presents its own set of challenges. The availability of high-quality and reliable data is crucial for developing accurate ML models. A rigorous validation process and the integration of ML into clinical practice is essential for practical implementation. We furthermore highlight the potential risks associated with self-fulfilling prophecies and feedback loops, emphasizing the importance of transparency, interpretability, and trustworthiness in AI and ML models. These issues need to be addressed in order to establish reliable and trustworthy AI and ML models. Conclusion In this article, we overview concepts and examples of AI and ML research in the resuscitation field. Moving forward, appropriate understanding of ML and collaboration with relevant experts will be essential for researchers and clinicians to overcome the challenges and harness the full potential of AI and ML in resuscitation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yohei Okada
- Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Preventive Services, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Mayli Mertens
- Antwerp Center for Responsible AI, Antwerp University, Belgium
- Centre for Ethics, Department of Philosophy, Antwerp University, Belgium
| | - Nan Liu
- Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Sean Shao Wei Lam
- Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Marcus Eng Hock Ong
- Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Singapore General Hospital
| |
Collapse
|