Characterizing oil and gas wells with fugitive gas migration through Bayesian multilevel logistic regression

Highly Uncertain Methane Leakage from Oil and Gas Wells in Canada Despite Measurement and Reporting

Leakage of fluids from oil and gas wells is a source of the key greenhouse gas methane, and presents environmental risks, including groundwater contamination. A loss of well integrity can result in fluid leakage into the annular space between subsequent well casings (which is often vented to the atmosphere) or into the surrounding subsurface. In Canada, industry reporting on well integrity is often incomplete, leading government inventories to disagree on emission magnitudes. In this study, we model wellbore methane emissions using industry data in British Columbia and Alberta, Canada, finding that differing model assumptions to handle unclear/missing data have a strong influence on estimated emissions. Considering estimates derived from industry reporting and from independent measurement, wellbore emissions in the two provinces range anywhere from 23 to 176 kt of methane, representing 1.7-11.4% of their upstream sector methane emissions. Further, finding over 130 examples of measured leaks seemingly missing from industry reporting, we conclude that wellbore emissions, groundwater contamination, and broader environmental risks are underestimated. We provide recommendations to improve well integrity tracking through data quality assurance measures and increased testing. Finally, we find that ongoing optical gas imaging camera surveys could be an effective tool to augment wellbore testing requirements to minimize industry burden.

Geologic sources and well integrity impact methane emissions from orphaned and abandoned oil and gas wells

The 160-year history of oil and gas drilling in the United States has left a legacy of unplugged orphaned and abandoned wells, some of which are leaking methane and other hazardous chemicals into the environment. The locations of around 120,000 documented orphaned wells are currently known with the number of undocumented orphaned wells possibly ranging towards a million. The bulk of methane emissions originate from only 10 % of orphaned and abandoned wells, while the remaining wells have undetectable emissions. Understanding the sources of methane emissions from orphaned wells is key to estimating emission rates and prioritizing plugging. In this article, we identify key studies reporting methane emission measurements from orphaned and abandoned wells in the published literature and analyze previously published isotopic methane data to categorize the sources of methane emissions. Three primary geologic sources provide methane to a leaking well that can migrate from geologic formations into or along the wellbore to contaminate groundwater, the surface environment, and the atmosphere. These geologic sources of methane are petroleum (oil and gas) sourced reservoirs, coal seams, and methanogenesis occurring in and around the wellbore. Thermogenic petroleum gas reservoirs are associated with the highest emission rates measured to date. The next highest rates are from coalbed methane sources, while biogenic sources are the lowest based on the publicly available measured emissions data. Well conditions that could potentially enable methane transport include decay of the wellhead and surface infrastructure, wellbore deterioration from corrosive fluids in the subsurface, delamination of the casing and cement, damage from seismicity, and new fracture networks created by hydraulic fracturing of newly drilled neighboring wells. With an understanding of these geologic sources and well conditions, we can (1) better identify areas where high-emitting wells are likely to be present, (2) improve emission rate estimates from orphaned and abandoned wells, and (3) better prioritize wells for plugging. SYNOPSIS: Understanding the geologic sources of methane emissions from orphaned and abandoned wells and wellbore conditions that lead to methane release can significantly improve emissions estimates and aid in prioritizing which wells to plug.