Evidence of a rapid phosphorus-induced regime shift in a large deep reservoir

Climate-driven decline in water level causes earlier onset of hypoxia in a subtropical reservoir

Hypoxia, especially in the bottom water, is occurring in deep and stratified reservoirs worldwide, threatening aquatic biodiversity, ecosystem functions and services. However, little is known about the timing of onset and ending of hypoxia, especially in subtropical reservoirs. Based on five-year (from April 2015 to January 2020) sampling of a subtropical monomictic deep reservoir (Tingxi Reservoir) in southeast China, we found the evidence of about 40 days earlier onset of hypolimnion hypoxia during low water level periods in dry years compared to wetter high water level years. We explored the effects of stratification and mixing conditions on hypoxia, cyanobacterial biomass, and nutrient dynamics; and revealed the physical and biochemical conditions that drove hypoxia. The results indicated that 1) The decline in water level increased the intensity of thermal stratification, resulting in 40 days earlier onset of hypolimnion hypoxia in dry years than in wet years; 2) The decline in water level expanded the extent of hypoxia by promoting nutrient accumulation and phytoplankton biomass growth; 3) Warmer climate and less precipitation (drought) significantly promoted the risk of hypoxic expansion and endogenous phosphorus release in subtropical reservoirs. We suggest that more attention needs to be paid to the early onset of hypoxia and its consequences on water quality in subtropical stratified reservoirs during low water level periods in a changing climate.

Long-term climate warming and extreme cold events driving ecological shifts in a deep oligo-mesotrophic lake

Deep lakes are critical for freshwater storage, yet they are struggling against major ecological issues from climate change and nutrient pollution. A comprehensive understanding of internal feedback mechanisms is crucial for regulating nutrients in these lakes. A five-year study was conducted on the diatom community and environment in Lake Fuxian, China's largest deep freshwater lake, which is becoming eutrophic. The results indicate a shift in the diatom community from a stable state dominated by a single species to a rapid seasonal fluctuation, and there is a significant increase in diatom biomass. Specifically, stable stratification and low nutrient concentrations are limiting the growth of diatom biomass and maintaining the dominance of Cyclotella. Nutrients in the hypolimnion were replenished in the epilimnion during the extreme cold of winter, triggering a shift in the diatom community. This shift may imply that future climate change will exacerbate the positive feedback of hypoxia-nutrient release of algal blooms, potentially triggering a regime shift in the ecosystem of the entire lake. This study underscores the fact that climate change alters the internal feedback mechanisms of deep lakes, reducing ecosystem stability, and provides a scientific basis for further clarification of protection measures for deep lakes.

Modification of trophic level index with the contribution of macrophyte and its usage to classify trophic state of shallow lakes

Trophic state index (TSI) only considers the influence of phytoplankton excluding that of macrophytes. It is necessary to combine the contribution of macrophytes into trophic classification systems in waters with extensive growths of macrophytes. A novel trophic level index (TLIECa) combined both trophic level index (TLI) and the TSI based on equivalent chlorophyll a (TSIECa) with the Chl a of submerged macrophytes as an addition in Chl a was developed to assess the spatial trophic state of 15 lakes and annual trophic state of four lakes in China. TLIECa obtained different but significantly correlated results as those of the traditional TLI, concerning the influences of both phytoplankton and macrophytes. The result of TLIECa indicated that the trophic state of the 15 lakes varied from mild-eutrophic to moderate-eutrophic. Small particles were the dominant factor for the trophic state of most sampling sites in the 15 lakes. Total phosphorus was the dominant factor for the trophic state for most time of the year in Lake Jinniu. Both small particles and total phosphorus were the dominant factors for the annual trophic state of Lake Taihu, Lake Xuanwu, and Lake Baijia.

Tipping points of nitrogen use efficiency in freshwater phytoplankton along trophic state gradient

Eutrophication and harmful algal blooms have severe effects on water quality and biodiversity in lakes and reservoirs. Ecological regime shifts of phytoplankton blooms are generally thought to be driven by the rapidly rising nutrient use efficiency of bloom-forming species over short periods, and often exhibit nonlinear dynamics. Regime shifts of trophic state, eutrophication, stratification, and clear or turbid waters are well-studied topics in aquatic ecology. However, information on the prevalence of regime shifts in relationships between trophic states and phytoplankton resource transfer efficiencies in ecosystems is still lacking. Here, we provided a first insight into regime shifts in nitrogen use efficiency of phytoplankton along the trophic state gradient. We explored the regime shifts of phytoplankton resource use efficiency and detected the tipping points by combining four temporal or spatial datasets from tropical to temperate zones in Asia and Europe. We first observed significant abrupt transitions (abruptness > 1) in phytoplankton nitrogen use efficiency along the trophic state gradient. The tipping point values were lower in subtropical/tropical waterbodies (mesotrophic states; TSIc: around 50) than those in temperate zones (eutrophic states; TSIc: 60-70). The regime shifts significantly reduced the primary production transfer efficiency via zooplankton (from 0.15 ± 0.03 to 0.03 ± 0.01; mean ± standard error) in the aquatic food web. Nitrogen-fixing filamentous cyanobacteria can drive eutrophication under mesotrophic state. Our findings imply that the time-window of opportunity for harmful algae prevention and control in lakes and reservoirs is earlier in subtropical/tropical regions.

Arrhenius equation construction and nitrate source identification of denitrification at the Lake Taihu sediment - water interface with 15 N isotope

Total nitrogen in Taihu Lake, China has gradually decreased since 2015 while the total phosphorus concentration has exhibited an increasing trend, indicating an asynchronous change. The dominant nitrogen removal process in freshwater ecosystems is denitrification which primarily occurs at the sediment-water interface. In this study, ¹⁵ N isotope incubation experiments were attempted to analyze the effect of water temperature on denitrification, to construct the regional denitrification Arrhenius equations considering water temperature, and to identify the nitrate source of denitrification in Lake Taihu sediments. The results indicated that the potential N₂ production rates and denitrification rates generally decreased in the west to east direction, which was significantly positively correlated with the nitrate concentration of overlying water by Pearson correlation coefficient analysis (P < 0.05). In addition, when the water temperature was lower than 30 °C, the rates of the potential N₂ production and denitrification were higher with an increase in water temperature, but when the water temperature was overhigh, denitrification was inhibited. The ratio of the total denitrification rate of nitrate from the water column in the sediment to the total denitrification rate during the incubation experiment was above 0.5 at each sampling site. This indicated that the denitrification in the Lake Taihu sediment primarily occurred at the expense of nitrate from the water column. The research results of Arrhenius equation construction and nitrate source identification of denitization can be applied to improve the accuracy of water quality model of Taihu Lake, which is of great significance to improve Taihu Lake water quality, and can act as a reference for the water environment treatment of other shallow eutrophic lakes in China and abroad.

Ecological regime shifts reduced burial ability of aromatic hydrocarbons by both inland and coastal waters but driven by various nutrients

Huge synthetic chemicals and hydrocarbons have been released to inland waters and oceans, composing anthropogenic dissolved organic carbon (ADOC). They complement a large budget for CO₂. Burial by inland and coastal marine sediments is crucial to reduce this budget. How ecological regime shifts influence the burial ability of ADOC by inland waters and coastal oceans, and what are the differences between them remain largely unknown. We collected sediment cores from an inland lake (Lake Qianhu) and the largest coastal lagoon (Lagoon Pinqing) in China, and chose 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) to address these issues. Burial ability of PAHs by sediments decreased by 55.1% - 98.5% in Lagoon Pinqing in the period from 1963 to 2018, and by 91.5% - 99.5% in Lake Qianhu in the period from 1970 to 2018. Burial ability and its decrease rate for most PAHs in Lagoon Pinqing were larger than those in Lake Qianhu in the same period. PAHs with higher hydrophobicity were more ready to be buried by both lake sediments and lagoon sediments. Burial ability of most PAHs in Lagoon Pinqing was negative correlated with total phosphorus concentration. In contrast, burial ability of most PAHs in Lake Qianhu was negative correlated with total nitrogen concentration. Regime shifted from phytoplankton to submerged macrophytes dominance in the year of 1976, and from submerged macrophytes to phytoplankton dominance in the year of 1999 in Lagoon Pinqing, driven by nitrogen. Regime shifted from vascular plants to phytoplankton dominance in Lake Qianhu in the year of 1991, driven by phosphorus. Different aromaticity and sources of organic matter related to regime shifts were responsible for the discrepancy of burial ability for PAHs by sediments of these two waters. Our study suggests that burial ability of ADOC by inland and coastal marine sediments will be reduced if eutrophication results in ecological regime shifts, which may undermine the efforts to mitigate global warming.

Internal phosphorus recycling promotes rich and complex dynamics in an algae-phosphorus model: Implications for eutrophication management

Internal phosphorus recycling in lakes is an important nutrient source that promotes algal growth. Its persistence impedes the effort to improve water quality and thus poses a challenge to the management of eutrophication in lakes, especially in shallow lakes where the occurrence of internal phosphorus recycling is reportedly more common. This paper aims to provide crucial insights on the effects of internal phosphorus recycling on eutrophication dynamics for effective management of lake eutrophication. For this purpose, a mathematical model for lake eutrophication, comprising two compartments of algae and phosphorus, is first formulated for application to a eutrophic tropical lake named Tasik Harapan in Universiti Sains Malaysia. Numerical bifurcation analysis of the model is then performed to assess the combined influences of internal phosphorus recycling, algal mortality and external phosphorus loading on Tasik Harapan eutrophication dynamics. Specifically, co-dimension one bifurcation analysis of algal mortality rate is carried out by means of XPPAUT for various external phosphorus loading rates. The emergence of limit cycle for a certain range of algal mortality rate could be related to the hydra effect (i.e., algal concentration increases in response to greater algal mortality) and the paradox of enrichment (i.e., destabilization of algae in nutrient rich environment). To trace the locus of co-dimension one bifurcation, co-dimension two bifurcation analysis is performed by means of MatCont. The analysis demonstrated that the inclusion of the internal phosphorus recycling term induces rich and complex dynamics of the model. These dynamics include saddle-node bifurcation, cusp, Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation, Generalized Hopf bifurcation and limit point bifurcation of cycles. The results suggest that high internal phosphorus recycling rate promotes bistability and catastrophic shift in a shallow and tropical lake like Tasik Harapan. Hence, the key to effective management of eutrophication in shallow and tropical lakes is the control of internal phosphorus recycling.