Prevalence and mortality of epilepsies with convulsive and non-convulsive seizures in Kilifi, Kenya

Prevalence of all epilepsies in urban informal settlements in Nairobi, Kenya: a two-stage population-based study

BACKGROUND

WHO estimates that more than 50 million people worldwide have epilepsy and 80% of cases are in low-income and middle-income countries. Most studies in Africa have focused on active convulsive epilepsy in rural areas, but there are few data in urban settings. We aimed to estimate the prevalence and spatial distribution of all epilepsies in two urban informal settlements in Nairobi, Kenya.

METHODS

We did a two-stage population-based cross-sectional study of residents in a demographic surveillance system covering two informal settlements in Nairobi, Kenya (Korogocho and Viwandani). Stage 1 screened all household members using a validated epilepsy screening questionnaire to detect possible cases. In stage 2, those identified with possible seizures and a proportion of those screening negative were invited to local clinics for clinical and neurological assessments by a neurologist. Seizures were classified following the International League Against Epilepsy recommendations. We adjusted for attrition between the two stages using multiple imputations and for sensitivity by dividing estimates by the sensitivity value of the screening tool. Complementary log-log regression was used to assess prevalence differences by participant socio-demographics.

FINDINGS

A total of 56 425 individuals were screened during stage 1 (between Sept 17 and Dec 23, 2021) during which 1126 were classified as potential epilepsy cases. A total of 873 were assessed by a neurologist in stage 2 (between April 12 and Aug 6, 2022) during which 528 were confirmed as epilepsy cases. 253 potential cases were not assessed by a neurologist due to attrition. 30 179 (53·5%) of the 56 425 individuals were male and 26 246 (46·5%) were female. The median age was 24 years (IQR 11-35). Attrition-adjusted and sensitivity-adjusted prevalence for all types of epilepsy was 11·9 cases per 1000 people (95% CI 11·0-12·8), convulsive epilepsy was 8·7 cases per 1000 people (8·0-9·6), and non-convulsive epilepsy was 3·2 cases per 1000 people (2·7-3·7). Overall prevalence was highest among separated or divorced individuals at 20·3 cases per 1000 people (95% CI 15·9-24·7), unemployed people at 18·8 cases per 1000 people (16·2-21·4), those with no formal education at 18·5 cases per 1000 people (16·3-20·7), and adolescents aged 13-18 years at 15·2 cases per 1000 people (12·0-18·5). The epilepsy diagnostic gap was 80%.

INTERPRETATION

Epilepsy is common in urban informal settlements of Nairobi, with large diagnostic gaps. Targeted interventions are needed to increase early epilepsy detection, particularly among vulnerable groups, to enable prompt treatment and prevention of adverse social consequences.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health Research using Official Development Assistance.

Review of epilepsy care in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Epilepsy imposes a substantial burden on the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). These challenges encompass the lack of comprehensive disease surveillance, an unresolved understanding of its pathophysiology, economic barriers limiting access to essential care, the absence of epilepsy surgical capabilities, and deeply ingrained societal stigmas. Notably, the national prevalence of epilepsy remains undetermined, with research primarily concentrating on infectious factors like Onchocerca volvulus, leaving other potential causes underexplored. Most patients lack insurance, incurring out-of-pocket expenses that often lead them to opt for traditional medicine rather than clinical care. Social stigma, perpetuated by common misconceptions, intensifies the social isolation experienced by individuals living with epilepsy. Additionally, surgical interventions are unavailable, and the accessibility of anti-seizure medications and healthcare infrastructure remains inadequate. Effectively tackling these interrelated challenges requires a multifaceted approach, including conducting research into region-specific factors contributing to epilepsy, increasing healthcare funding, subsidizing the costs of treatment, deploying mobile tools for extensive screening, launching awareness campaigns to dispel myths and reduce stigma, and promoting collaborations between traditional healers and medical practitioners to enhance local understanding and epilepsy management. Despite the difficulties, significant progress can be achieved through sustained and compassionate efforts to understand and eliminate the barriers faced by epilepsy patients in the region. This review outlines essential steps for alleviating the epilepsy burden in the DRC. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: There are not enough resources to treat epilepsy in the DRC. PWEs struggle with stigma and the lack of money. Many of them still use traditional medicine for treatment and hold wrong beliefs about epilepsy. That is why there is a need for more resources to make the lives of PWEs better in the DRC.

Prevalence, incidence, and trends of epilepsy among children and adolescents in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Epilepsy contributes to a significant disease burden in children and adolescents worldwide. The incidence of childhood epilepsy is threefold higher in low and middle income countries compared in high-income countries. Epilepsy is a serious neurological condition associated with stigma and discrimination, an impaired quality of life, and other mental health related problems.

OBJECTIVE

This study is aimed to synthesize existing evidence and estimate the pooled prevalence and incidence of epilepsy in children and adolescents in Africa.

METHODS

A comprehensive and systematic search of relevant databases was conducted. The quality of each study was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale adapted for meta-analysis. Two reviewers screened retrieved articles, conducted critical appraisals, and extracted the data. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed by visual inspection of forest plots and statistically using Cochran's Q statistics and the I2 test. Publication bias was checked by visual inspection of funnel plots as well as statistically using Egger's correlation and Begg's regression tests. Finally, the pooled prevalence and incidence of childhood epilepsy were computed with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULT

In this review and meta-analysis 42 studies with 56 findings were included to compute the pooled prevalence of childhood epilepsy. On the other hand, 6 studies were included to estimate the combined incidence. The pooled prevalence of cumulative epilepsy was 17.3 per 1000 children. Whereas the pooled prevalence of active and lifetime epilepsy was 6.8 and 18.6 per 1000 children respectively. The pooled incidence of childhood epilepsy was 2.5 per 1000 children.

CONCLUSION

Nearly 1 in 50 children are suffering from epilepsy in Africa. However, little attention has been paid to the prevention and treatment of childhood epilepsy. Mass epilepsy screening, scaling up treatment coverage, and designing strict treatment follow up and monitoring mechanisms are recommended.

Very high epilepsy prevalence in rural Southern Rwanda: The underestimated burden of epilepsy in sub-Saharan Africa

OBJECTIVES

Up to 85% of people living with epilepsy (PwE) reside in low-and middle-income countries. In sub-Saharan Africa, the lifetime prevalence of epilepsy is 16 per 1000 persons. In Northern rural Rwanda, a 47.7 per 1000 prevalence has been reported. As variations in prevalence across geographical areas have been observed, we studied the prevalence in Southern rural Rwanda using the same robust methodology as applied in the North.

METHODS

We conducted a three-stage, cross-sectional, door-to-door survey in two rural villages in Southern Rwanda from June 2022 to April 2023. First, trained enumerators administered the validated Limoges questionnaire for epilepsy screening. Second, neurologists examined the persons who had screened positively to confirm the epilepsy diagnosis. Third, cases with an inconclusive assessment were separately reexamined by two neurologists to reevaluate the diagnosis.

RESULTS

Enumerators screened 1745 persons (54.4% female, mean age: 24 ± 19.3 years), of whom 304 (17.4%) screened positive. Epilepsy diagnosis was confirmed in 133 (52.6% female, mean age: 30 ± 18.2 years) and active epilepsy in 130 persons. Lifetime epilepsy prevalence was 76.2 per 1000 (95% CI: 64.2-89.7‰). The highest age-specific rate occurred in the 29-49 age group. No gender-specific differences were noted. In 22.6% of the PwE, only non-convulsive seizures occurred. The treatment gap was 92.2%, including a diagnosis gap of 79.4%.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated a very high epilepsy prevalence in Southern rural Rwanda, with over 20% of cases having only non-convulsive seizures, which are often underdiagnosed in rural Africa. In line with previous Rwandan reports, we reiterate the high burden of the disease in the country. Geographic variation in prevalence throughout Africa may result from differences in risk and aetiological factors. Case-control studies are underway to understand such differences and propose adapted health policies for epilepsy prevention.

Premature mortality risk in individuals with convulsive epilepsy: Results from a longitudinal, prospective, population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To assess premature mortality and identify associated risk factors among individuals with convulsive epilepsy in resource-poor settings using a longitudinal, prospective, population-based approach.

METHOD

The study recruited people with convulsive epilepsy who underwent assessment and management of epilepsy at primary healthcare centers in rural Northwest China, including newly diagnosed individuals and previously identified prevalent cases. All participants were confirmed to have epilepsy by neurologists according to strict criteria and were followed up monthly by primary care physicians. Demographic data and cause of death (COD) were obtained from death certificates or verbal autopsies conducted by neurologists, following the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and proportionate mortality ratio (PMR) for each cause of death were estimated using the Cause-Of-Death Surveillance Dataset of China (2020). Survival analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with all-cause mortality and death directly due to epilepsy.

RESULTS

During 5.9 years of follow-up with 40,947 person-years, there were 781 (11.2%) deaths among 6967 participants. The risk of premature death in people with convulsive epilepsy was 2.7-fold higher than that in the general population. Young participants had a significantly higher risk (standardized mortality ratio 26.5-52.5) of premature death. The proportionate mortality ratio was higher for cerebrovascular disease (15%), sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) (13.4%), cardiovascular disease (11.7%), status epilepsy (SE) (11.3%), and epilepsy-related accidents (14.0%) than other premature mortality cause of deaths. Additionally, the highest standardized proportional mortality ratio (SPMR) was observed from drowning in all cause of death (10.4, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.6-13.8), followed by burning (9.0, 95% CI: 3.7-18.9). Factors that increased the risk of all-cause mortality included male sex, late age of onset, short disease duration, high body mass index, monotherapy, and the frequency of generalized tonic-clonic seizures (GTCS). High frequency of generalized tonic-clonic seizures (> 3 attacks in the last year) was an independent risk factor for premature death directly due to epilepsy (including sudden unexpected death in epilepsy, status epilepsy, and epilepsy-related accidents), while early age of onset (≤ 14 years) and long duration of epilepsy (> 20 years) were independent risk factors for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy. In addition, short duration of epilepsy (≤ 20 years) was an independent risk factor for status epilepsy.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that individuals with poorly controlled seizures are more likely to experience premature death, with most deaths being epilepsy-related and preventable. These findings underline the importance of effective seizure treatment and the potential impact on reducing premature mortality among people with convulsive epilepsy.

Mortality among persons with epilepsy in onchocerciasis-endemic and non-endemic areas of sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To document epilepsy-related mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and investigate possible associations with onchocerciasis endemicity.

METHODS

Systematic review with meta-analysis. Searches were performed in PubMed and Google Scholar (search terms: 'epilepsy'; 'mortality/death'; 'sub-Saharan Africa'). Included studies were classified as high-risk or low-risk for onchocerciasis based on documented endemicity data. Pooled mortality rates and annual case fatality rates (CFR) were calculated, and risk factors for mortality among persons with epilepsy (PWE) were investigated using meta-regression analysis.

RESULTS

The 28 eligible studies reported 30 epilepsy surveys, of which 9 (30.0%) were conducted in onchocerciasis high-risk sites. The pooled epilepsy mortality rate was 20.9 (95% CI: 5.9-74.4) per 100,000 person-years, and the pooled CFR was 36.2 (95% CI: 23.9-54.4) per 1,000 PWE per year, albeit with substantial between-study heterogeneity. Compared to onchocerciasis low-risk sites, high-risk sites had higher pooled mortality (342.9 versus 10.0 per 100,000 PY; p<0.001) and CFR (57.0 versus 26.6 per 1,000 PWE per year; p = 0.001). Mortality of PWE was almost five-fold that of people without epilepsy (mortality risk ratio: 4.9; 95% CI: 3.5-6.8). Studies in onchocerciasis high-risk sites and the study which recruited only PWE with nodding syndrome were associated with higher CFR (p = 0.044 and p = 0.002, respectively). The leading causes of epilepsy-related death were status epilepticus (58.5%), drowning (15.7%), and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (10.1%).

CONCLUSION

Epilepsy mortality remains high in SSA. Most reported causes of death among PWE might be averted by improving seizure control. Better epilepsy prevention and care are urgently needed, particularly in onchocerciasis-endemic settings.

Mortality and causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in northwestern China

OBJECTIVE

We analyzed mortality and causes of death among people with convulsive epilepsy in rural areas of northwestern China.

METHODS

We established a population-based prospective cohort of people with convulsive epilepsy in an epilepsy prevention and management program in rural northwestern China from January 2012 to December 2013. A uniform cause of death questionnaire was used to obtain detailed information on participants who died during the follow-up until December 2016. We calculated the standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and proportional mortality rate for major causes of death. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to investigate the risk factors associated with mortality.

RESULTS

Among 4296 people with convulsive epilepsy, 216 died during a median follow-up of 59 months. The overall mortality rate was 10.9 per 1000 person-years, and the overall SMR was 2.0. Accidents (25.5%) ranked first in the cause of death, followed by status epilepticus (SE) (22.9%), probable sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) (22.7%), cerebrovascular disease (13.0%), and cardiovascular disease (6.5%). Drowning (10.6%), motor vehicle accidents (13.6%), and falls (4.6%) were the major causes of death by accidents. Female participants had a reduced risk of death from accidents with the hazard ratio (HR) of 0.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1-0.6). A high risk of death from cerebrovascular disease (HR: 7.2; 95% CI: 2.1-23.6) was found in participants with an onset age of epilepsy older than 16 years.

SIGNIFICANCE

The risk of death from convulsive epilepsy in rural northwestern China is twice that of the general population. Accidents, SE, and SUDEP are the leading putative causes of death. Educating people with epilepsy in different regions may help reduce death-related events.

Epilepsy and Deep Brain Stimulation of Anterior Thalamic Nucleus

Presently, at least 60 million people are suffering from epilepsy worldwide. Although multiple pharmacological options for treatment exist, about 30% to 40% of these patients are estimated to have drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE), which is associated with severe disability and morbidity. The surgical treatment options are restricted to either open surgical procedures or laser ablations. When a resective option is not favorable, then neuromodulation options such as vagal nerve stimulation and deep brain stimulation are considered. A relatively recent and more commonly used clinical application is the deep brain stimulation (DBS) of the anterior thalamic nucleus, FDA approval for which was obtained in 2018. Furthermore, new technological advances in DBS technology are expected to positively impact the treatment options of these patients.