Readmission following complex spine surgery in a prospective cohort of 679 patients - 2-years follow-up using the Spine AdVerse Event Severity (SAVES) system

Development and external validation of a predictive model for prolonged length of hospital stay in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery: comparison of three predictive models

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a predictive model for prolonged length of hospital stay (pLOS) in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery, utilizing multivariate logistic regression, single classification and regression tree (hereafter, "classification tree") and random forest machine-learning algorithms.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of a prospective Geriatric Lumbar Disease Database. The primary outcome measure was pLOS, which was defined as the LOS greater than the 75th percentile. All patients were grouped as pLOS group and non-pLOS. Three models (including logistic regression, single-classification tree and random forest algorithms) for predicting pLOS were developed using training dataset and internal validation using testing dataset. Finally, online tool based on our model was developed to assess its validity in the clinical setting (external validation).

RESULTS

The development set included 1025 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 632 [61.7%] female), and the external validation set included 175 patients (73.2 [5.9] years; 97[55.4%] female). Multivariate logistic analyses revealed that older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.06, p < 0.001), higher BMI (OR 1.08, p = 0.002), number of fused segments (OR 1.41, p < 0.001), longer operative time (OR 1.02, p < 0.001), and diabetes (OR 1.05, p = 0.046) were independent risk factors for pLOS in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery. The single-classification tree revealed that operative time ≥ 232 min, delayed ambulation, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 as particularly influential predictors for pLOS. A random forest model was developed using the remaining 14 variables. Intraoperative EBL, operative time, delayed ambulation, age, number of fused segments, BMI, and RBC count were the most significant variables in the final model. The predictive ability of our three models was comparable, with no significant differences in AUC (0.73 vs. 0.71 vs. 0.70, respectively). The logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. The nomogram was developed, and the C-index of external validation for PLOS was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.65-0.76).

CONCLUSION

This investigation produced three predictive models for pLOS in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery. The predictive ability of our three models was comparable. Logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. Our predictive model could inform physicians about elderly patients with a high risk of pLOS after surgery.

Perioperative Management for Complex Spine Fusion Surgery

Complex spine surgeries performed worldwide continue to increase in number, as do the age and comorbidity of patients undergoing these operations. Perioperative care protocols related to blood management, postoperative pain control, and intraoperative measures to mitigate morbidity may improve clinical workflows and patient outcomes.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting postoperative adverse events in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery: comparison of three predictive models

BACKGROUND

The burden of lumbar degenerative diseases (LDD) has increased substantially with the unprecedented aging population. Identifying elderly patients with high risk of postoperative adverse events (AEs) and establishing individualized perioperative management is critical to mitigate added costs and optimize cost-effectiveness to the healthcare system. We aimed to develop a predictive tool for AEs in elderly patients with transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF), utilizing multivariate logistic regression, single classification and regression tree (hereafter, "classification tree"), and random forest machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of a prospective Geriatric Lumbar Disease Database (age ≥ 65). Our outcome measure was postoperative AEs, including prolonged hospital stays, postoperative complications, readmission, and reoperation within 90 days. Patients were grouped as either having at least one adverse event (AEs group) or not (No-AEs group). Three models for predicting postoperative AEs were developed using training dataset and internal validation using testing dataset. Finally, online tool was developed to assess its validity in the clinical setting (external validation).

RESULTS

The development set included 1025 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 632 [61.7%] female), and the external validation set included 175 patients (73.2 [5.9] years; 97 [55.4%] female). The predictive ability of our three models was comparable, with no significant differences in AUC (0.73 vs. 0.72 vs. 0.70, respectively). The logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. A nomogram based on logistic regression was developed, and the C-index of external validation for AEs was 0.69 (95% CI 0.65-0.76).

CONCLUSION

The predictive ability of our three models was comparable. Logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. Our nomogram and online tool ( https://xuanwumodel.shinyapps.io/Model_for_AEs/ ) could inform physicians about elderly patients with a high risk of AEs within the 90 days after TLIF surgery.

Demineralized cortical fibers are associated with a low pseudarthrosis rate in patients undergoing surgery for adult spinal deformity without three-column osteotomy

Introduction

Following surgical treatment for adult spinal deformity (ASD) there is an increased risk of revision surgery due to mechanical failure or pseudarthrosis. Demineralized cortical fibers (DCF) were introduced at our institution aiming to reduce the risk of pseudarthrosis after ASD surgery.

Research question

We wanted to investigate the effect of DCF on postoperative pseudarthrosis compared with allogenic bone graft in ASD surgery without three-column osteotomies (3CO).

Materials & Methods

All patients undergoing ASD surgery between January 1, 2010 to June 31, 2020 were included in this interventional study with historical controls. Patients with current or previous 3CO were excluded. Before February 1, 2017, patients undergoing surgery received auto- and allogenic bone graft (non-DCF group) whilst patients after received DCF in addition to autologous bone graft (DCF group). Patients were followed for at least two years. The primary outcome was radiographic or CT-verified postoperative pseudarthrosis requiring revision surgery.

Results

We included 50 patients in the DCF group and 85 patients in the non-DCF group for final analysis. Pseudarthrosis requiring revision surgery at two-year follow-up occurred in seven (14%) patients in the DCF group compared with 28 (33%) patients in the non-DCF group (p ​= ​0.016). The difference was statistically significant, corresponding to a relative risk of 0.43 (95%CI: 0.21-0.94) in favor of the DCF group.

Conclusion

We assessed the use of DCF in patients undergoing ASD surgery without 3CO. Our results suggest that the use of DCF was associated with a considerable decreased risk of postoperative pseudarthrosis requiring revision surgery.

Is preoperative S-albumin associated to postoperative complications and readmission in patients with adult spinal deformity: a prospective analysis of 128 patients using the Spine AdVerse Event Severity (SAVES) system

PURPOSE

To assess the association between preoperative S-albumin and postoperative outcome following adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery.

METHODS

All patients undergoing ASD surgery from February 1, 2017 and January 31, 2018 at a single quaternary referral center were prospectively included. Adverse events (AE) during admission were assessed using the Spine AdVerse Events Severity (SAVES) system. Based on preoperative S-albumin, patients were categorized as "normal" or "abnormal" and compared regarding postoperative outcome, adverse events (AEs), 30- and 90-day readmission, revision surgery, and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 128 patients aged ≥ 18 years were included, and S-albumin was available in 88%. Of these, 73% (n = 93) were classified as "normal", 16% (n = 20) as "abnormal", and 12% (n = 15) as "missing". The "normal" albumin group had less comorbidity burden [ASA score 2 (2, 3) vs 3 (2, 3), p = 0.011], higher hemoglobin levels (8.4 (± 0.9) mmol/L vs 7.4 (± 1.1) mmol/L, p < 0.001), and higher S-albumin (38.9 (± 2.7) g/L vs 31.9 (± 4.4) g/L, < 0.001). The rate of 90-day readmission was significantly increased in the "abnormal" group (65% vs 36%), corresponding to a relative risk increase of 1.25 (95% CI 1.02-1.52, p = 0.029). Similar increased risks were found in subsequent logistic regression analyses, although results were not significant in multivariable analysis (p = 0.102). Comparing remaining outcome parameters, point estimates revealed increased AEs, 30-day readmission, and revision in the "abnormal" albumin group, although effects did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

In a prospective, consecutive, single-center cohort of 128 patients undergoing ASD surgery, we found a significant association between "abnormal" preoperative S-albumin and increased 90-day readmission. Furthermore, although the findings were not statistically significant, we did find that AEs, 30-day readmission, and revision were numerically more frequent in the "abnormal" group, suggesting an expected tendency that should be further investigated. We conclude that nutritional status prior to ASD surgery could be important to consider and suggest validation in larger prospective cohorts.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic II.

Use of demineralized cortical fibers is associated with reduced risk of pseudarthrosis after pedicle subtraction osteotomy for adult spinal deformity

PURPOSE

To assess the effect of demineralized cortical fibers (DCF) on postoperative pseudarthrosis requiring revision surgery in patients undergoing pedicle subtraction osteotomy (PSO) for adult spinal deformity (ASD).

METHODS

The use of DCF was introduced across all procedures in 2017 and subsequent patients undergoing PSO surgery were prospectively and consecutively registered. Following sample-size estimation, a retrospective cohort was also registered undergoing the same procedure immediately prior to the implementation of DCF. The non-DCF group underwent surgery with ABG. Minimum follow-up was 2 years in both groups. The main outcome was postoperative pseudarthrosis, either CT-verified or verified intraoperatively during revision surgery due to rod breakage and assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 48 patients were included in the DCF group and 76 in the non-DCF group. The DCF group had more frequently undergone previous spine surgery (60% vs 36%) and had shorter follow-up (32 ± 2 vs 40 ± 7 months). Pseudarthrosis occurred in 7 (15%) patients in the DCF group and 31 (41%) in the non-DCF group, corresponding to a relative risk increase of 2.6 (95%CI 1.3-2.4, P < 0.01). 1-KM survival analyses, taking time to event into account and thus the difference in follow-up, also showed increased pseudarthrosis in the non-DCF group (log-rank P = 0.022). Similarly, multivariate logistic regression adjusted for age, instrumented levels and sacral fusion was also with significantly increased odds of pseudarthrosis in the non-DCF group (OR: 4.3, 95%CI: 1.7-11.3, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

We found considerable and significant reductions in pseudarthrosis following PSO surgery with DCF compared to non-DCF.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Congress of Neurological Surgeons Systematic Review and Evidence-Based Guidelines for Perioperative Spine: Preoperative Nutritional Assessment

BACKGROUND

Preoperative malnutrition has been implicated in adverse events after elective surgery, potentially impacting patient outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

As a potentially modifiable risk factor, we sought to determine which assessments of nutritional status were associated with specific adverse events after spine surgery. In addition, we explored if a preoperative nutritional improvement intervention may be beneficial in lowering the rates of these adverse events.

METHODS

The literature search yielded 115 abstracts relevant to the PICO (patient/population, intervention, comparison, and outcomes) questions included in this chapter. The task force selected 105 articles for full text review, and 13 met criteria for inclusion in this systematic review.

RESULTS

Malnutrition, assessed preoperatively by a serum albumin <3.5 g/dL or a serum prealbumin <20 mg/dL, is associated with a higher rate of surgical site infections (SSIs), other wound complications, nonunions, hospital readmissions, and other medical complications after spine surgery. A multimodal nutrition management protocol decreases albumin and electrolyte deficiencies in patients with normal preoperative nutritional status. It also improves overall complication rates but does not specifically impact SSIs.

CONCLUSION

It is recommended to assess nutritional status using either serum albumin or prealbumin preoperatively in patients undergoing spine surgery.The full guidelines can be accessed at https://www.cns.org/guidelines/browse-guidelines-detail/4-preoperative-nutritional-assessment.

Association of perioperative hypotension with subsequent greater healthcare resource utilization

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Determine if perioperative hypotension, a modifiable risk factor, is associated with increased postoperative healthcare resource utilization (HRU).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Multicenter using the Optum® electronic health record database.

PATIENTS

Patients discharged to the ward after non-cardiac, non-obstetric surgeries between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2017 with six months of data, before and after the surgical visit.

INTERVENTIONS/EXPOSURE

Perioperative hypotension, a binary variable (presence/absence) at an absolute MAP of ≤65-mmHg, measured during surgery and within 48-h after, to dichotomize patients with greater versus lesser hypotensive exposures.

MEASUREMENTS

Short-term HRU defined by postoperative length-of-stay (LOS), discharge to a care facility, and 30-day readmission following surgery discharge. Mid-term HRU (within 6 months post-discharge) quantified via number of outpatient and emergency department (ED) visits, and readmission LOS.

MAIN RESULTS

42,800 distinct patients met study criteria and 37.5% experienced perioperative hypotension. After adjusting for study covariates including patient demographics and comorbidities, patients with perioperative hypotension had: longer LOS (4.01 vs. 3.83 days; LOS ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.04-1.06), higher odds of discharge to a care facility (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.12-1.24; observed rate 22.1% vs. 18.1%) and of 30-day readmission (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.11-1.33; observed rate 6.2% vs. 5.0%) as compared to the non-hypotensive population (all outcomes, p < 0.001). During 6-month follow-up, patients with perioperative hypotension showed significantly greater HRU regarding number of ED visits (0.34 vs. 0.31 visits; visit ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.05-1.15) and readmission LOS (1.06 vs. 0.92 days; LOS ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07-1.24) but not outpatient visits (10.47 vs. 10.82; visit ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99) compared to those without hypotension. There was no difference in HRU during the 6-month period before qualifying surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a significant association of perioperative hypotension with an increase in HRU, including additional LOS and readmissions, both important contributors to overall medical costs.

Surgical correction of Adult Spinal Deformity in accordance to the Roussouly classification: effect on postoperative mechanical complications

STUDY DESIGN

Single-center, retrospective.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the restoration of ideal sagittal spine shape in accordance to the Roussouly classification and the effect on postoperative mechanical complications. Surgical correction of Adult Spinal Deformity is both challenging and complex. The risk of postoperative complications is considerable, especially mechanical complications requiring revision surgery. Attention has been directed toward defining alignment targets in attempts to minimize these risks, and the Roussouly classification has been proposed as a potential surgical aim.

METHODS

All patients undergoing ASD surgery from 2013-2016 were included at a single, quaternary institute. Successful restoration of Roussouly spine shape was retrospectively assessed, and patients were classified as either "restored" or "non-restored". Cumulative incidence of revision surgery due to mechanical failure was estimated using the Aalen-Johansen estimator, with death as the competing risk. A multivariable proportional odds model was used to estimate the effect of the Roussouly algorithm on revision surgery due to mechanical failure.

RESULTS

We identified a complete and consecutive cohort of 233 patients who were followed for a mean period of 36 (± 14) months. The 2-year cumulative incidence of revision surgery was 28%. Comparing the "restored" to the "non-restored" group, the overall revision rates were high in both groups. However, when adjusting for known cofounders in a multivariable proportional odds analysis, there was an almost fivefold increased odds of revision due to mechanical failure in the "non-restored" group (p = 0.036).

CONCLUSION

Surgical correction of ASD in accordance to the ideal Roussouly spine shape was correlated to a marked and significant decrease in risk of revision surgery due to mechanical failure. Nonetheless, the overall revision risk was elevated in both groups.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic III.