Effect of age on the clinical outcomes of patients with early gastric cancer with undifferentiated-type histology

A Novel Method for Dynamically Assessing the Prognosis of Patients with pT1 Gastric Cancer: A Large Population-Based Dynamic Prognostic Analysis

Background

While early gastric cancer (EGC) patients are likely to experience relatively long postoperative survival, certain disease-related findings are associated with a poorer prognosis. This study sought to develop and validate a novel predictive model capable of estimating conditional disease-specific survival (CDSS) in EGC patients.

Methods

A total of 3016 patients diagnosed with pT1NxM0 GC after gastrectomy between 1998 and 2016 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and were separated into training and validation cohorts. Kaplan‒Meier curves and log-rank tests were employed to evaluate DSS, after which univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to construct a predictive nomogram and to estimate CDSS at 1, 2, and 3 years postoperatively in these patients.

Results

In the training cohort, the 3-year CDSS rose from 89.1% to 94.6% from 0 to 5 years postoperatively, while the 5-year CDSS rose from 84.5% to 92.0%. Cox regression analyses led to the construction of a nomogram that was able to reliably predict 3- and 5-year CDSS at 1, 2, and 3 years postoperatively (all P < 0.05) based upon patient age, tumor size, pT stage, pN stage, and the number of retrieved lymph nodes. This model exhibited good discriminative power in the training and validation cohorts (concordance index: 0.791 and 0.813, respectively), and nomogram calibration curves confirmed that actual and predicted survival outcomes were close to one another.

Conclusions

We herein developed a nomogram capable of accurately predicting the CDSS of EGC patients that had survived for multiple years after undergoing surgery.

Incidence and prognosis of undifferentiated cancers of the digestive system: a population-based cohort study

Background

Cases of undifferentiated cancers of the digestive system (UCDS) are occasionally encountered in clinical practice; however, no large-scale studies have described their characteristics. This study aimed to investigate the incidence, prognosis, and treatment strategies of UCDS.

Methods

We used the data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database to evaluate clinical characteristics in UCDS patients. A cohort of 1,372 patients was included to estimate UCDS incidence; another cohort of 1,816 patients was followed up until December 31, 2017 to evaluate treatment and prognosis. The incidence, trends, treatments, overall survival, and cause-specific survival were assessed.

Results

The estimated incidence of UCDS was 0.136 per 100,000 people-years [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.129-0.143] from 1975 to 2016 with respect to sex, age, year of diagnosis, race, region, site, income, and education. The age-adjusted rates of UCDS dropped from 0.567 per 100,000 people-years in 1978 to 0.031 per 100,000 people-years in 2016. The rates of surgery, beam radiation, and chemotherapy in patients with UCDS were 37.3%, 17.3%, and 30.7%, respectively. Overall, the 5-year cause-specific survival rate was 18%, with a median cause-specific survival of 4 months. Patient prognosis improved significantly over the decades; stage, site, year of diagnosis, surgery, beam radiation, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for UCDS mortality.

Conclusions

The incidence of UCDS has decreased in the United States over the past 40 years. Patients benefited from surgery, beam radiation, and chemotherapy. The survival of patients with UCDS has improved. Further research on developing decision-making recommendations for UCDS treatment is crucial.

Gastric cancer in young patients: a separate entity with aggressive features and poor prognosis

PURPOSE

To investigate the clinicopathological features and survival outcomes between young and old patients with gastric cancer (GC), and further determine the role of young age in the prognosis of GC.

METHODS

Patients with stage I-III gastric adenocarcinomas undergoing curative surgery were enrolled, divided into young (aged 18-49 years, YG), middle-aged (50-59 years, MG), and old (≥ 60 years, OG) groups. Exclusion criteria were neoadjuvant therapy and history of malignant tumors. Clinicopathological features, overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and recurrence patterns were compared among three groups.

RESULTS

1131 patients were finally included, with 270, 314, and 547 cases in the YG, MG, and OG, respectively. Compared to others, YG had higher proportion of female, middle-third gastric cancer, poor differentiation, N3b stage, and adjuvant chemotherapy. YG demonstrated poorer 5-year OS than MG (62.4% vs. 70.8%, P = 0.019), but better than OG (62.4% vs. 58.7%, P = 0.031). YG also suffered inferior 5-year DFS (75.2% vs. 82.8%, P = 0.040) compared with MG, and higher incidence of peritoneal recurrence than MG (15.1% vs. 5.2%, P < 0.001) and OG (15.1% vs. 4.1%, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified young age as the independent prognostic factor for OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.347, 95% CI 1.018-1.781, P = 0.037], DFS (HR = 1.601, 95% CI 1.079-2.376, P = 0.019), and peritoneal recurrence (HR = 2.936, 95% CI 1.505-5.726, P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Young GC patients demonstrated aggressive features with poor prognosis and enhanced management may be warranted for this subgroup.