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Drefs M, Schoenberg MB, Börner N, Koliogiannis D, Koch DT, Schirren MJ, Andrassy J, Bazhin AV, Werner J, Guba MO. Changes of long-term survival of resection and liver transplantation in hepatocellular carcinoma throughout the years: A meta-analysis. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SURGICAL ONCOLOGY 2024; 50:107952. [PMID: 38237275 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2024.107952] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2023] [Revised: 12/21/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 03/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) still is one of the most detrimental malignant diseases in the world. As two curative surgical therapies exist, the discussion whether to opt for liver resection (LR) or transplantation (LT) is ongoing, especially as novel techniques to improve outcome have emerged for both. The aim of the study was to investigate how the utilization and outcome of the respective modalities changed through time. METHODS We searched Medline and PubMed for relevant publications comparing LT and LR in HCC patients during the time period from 1990 to 2022, prior to March 31, 2023. A total of 63 studies involving 19,804 patients - of whom 8178 patients received a liver graft and 11,626 underwent partial hepatectomy - were included in this meta-analysis. RESULTS LT is associated with significantly better 5-year overall survival (OS) (64.83%) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (70.20%) than LR (OS: 50.83%, OR: 1.79, p < 0.001; RFS: 34.46%, OR: 5.32, p < 0.001). However, these differences are not as evident in short-term intervals. Older cohorts showed comparable disparities between the outcome of the respective modalities, as did newer cohorts after 2005. This might be due to the similar improvement in survival rates that were observed for both, LT (15-23%) and LR (12-20%) during the last 30 years. CONCLUSION LT still outperforms LR in the therapy of HCC in terms of long-term survival rates. Yet, LR outcome has remarkably improved which is of major importance in reference to the well-known limitations that occur in LT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moritz Drefs
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany.
| | - Markus B Schoenberg
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany; Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Germany; Medical Centers Gollierplatz and Nymphenburg, Munich, Germany
| | - Nikolaus Börner
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
| | - Dionysios Koliogiannis
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
| | - Dominik T Koch
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
| | - Malte J Schirren
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
| | - Joachim Andrassy
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
| | - Alexandr V Bazhin
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany; Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Jens Werner
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany; Faculty of Medicine, LMU Munich, Germany; Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Markus O Guba
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany; Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Germany
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Koch DT, Yu H, Beirith I, Schirren M, Drefs M, Liu Y, Knoblauch M, Koliogiannis D, Sheng W, De Toni EN, Bazhin AV, Renz BW, Guba MO, Werner J, Ilmer M. Tigecycline causes loss of cell viability mediated by mitochondrial OXPHOS and RAC1 in hepatocellular carcinoma cells. J Transl Med 2023; 21:876. [PMID: 38041179 PMCID: PMC10693093 DOI: 10.1186/s12967-023-04615-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2023] [Accepted: 10/11/2023] [Indexed: 12/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite recent advances in locoregional, systemic, and novel checkpoint inhibitor treatment, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still associated with poor prognosis. The feasibility of potentially curative liver resection (LR) and transplantation (LT) is limited by the underlying liver disease and a shortage of organ donors. Especially after LR, high recurrence rates present a problem and circulating tumor cells are a major cause of extrahepatic recurrence. Tigecycline, a commonly used glycylcycline antibiotic, has been shown to have antitumorigenic effects and could be used as a perioperative and adjuvant therapeutic strategy to target circulating tumor cells. We aimed to investigate the effect of tigecycline on HCC cell lines and its mechanisms of action. METHODS Huh7, HepG2, Hep3B, and immortalized hepatocytes underwent incubation with clinically relevant tigecycline concentrations, and the influence on proliferation, migration, and invasion was assessed in two- and three-dimensional in vitro assays, respectively. Bioinformatic analysis was used to identify specific targets of tigecycline. The expression of RAC1 was detected using western blot, RT-PCR and RNA sequencing. ELISA and flow cytometry were utilized to measure reactive oxygen species (ROS) generation upon tigecycline treatment and flow cytometry to detect alterations in cell cycle. Changes in mitochondrial function were detected via seahorse analysis. RNA sequencing was performed to examine involved pathways. RESULTS Tigecycline treatment resulted in a significant reduction of mitochondrial function with concomitantly preserved mitochondrial size, which preceded the observed decrease in HCC cell viability. The sensitivity of HCC cells to tigecycline treatment was higher than that of immortalized non-cancerous THLE-2 hepatocytes. Tigecycline inhibited both migratory and invasive properties. Tigecycline application led to an increase of detected ROS and an S-phase cell cycle arrest. Bioinformatic analysis identified RAC1 as a likely target for tigecycline and the expression of this molecule was increased in HCC cells as a result of tigecycline treatment. CONCLUSION Our study provides evidence for the antiproliferative effect of tigecycline in HCC. We show for the first time that this effect, likely to be mediated by reduced mitochondrial function, is associated with increased expression of RAC1. The reported effects of tigecycline with clinically relevant and achievable doses on HCC cells lay the groundwork for a conceivable use of this agent in cancer treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dominik T Koch
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Haochen Yu
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
| | - Iris Beirith
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
| | - Malte Schirren
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Moritz Drefs
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Yunfei Liu
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
| | - Mathilda Knoblauch
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
| | - Dionysios Koliogiannis
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Weiwei Sheng
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Hospital, China Medical University, Shenyang, 110001, China
| | - Enrico N De Toni
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Department of Internal Medicine II, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Alexandr V Bazhin
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), DKTK Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
- Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Bernhard W Renz
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), DKTK Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Markus O Guba
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Jens Werner
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), DKTK Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany
| | - Matthias Ilmer
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), DKTK Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany.
- Transplantation Center Munich, LMU University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU) Munich, Munich, Germany.
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany.
- Bavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Munich, Germany.
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Ilmer M, Guba MO. Liver Transplant Oncology: Towards Dynamic Tumor-Biology-Oriented Patient Selection. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14112662. [PMID: 35681642 PMCID: PMC9179475 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14112662] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Revised: 05/10/2022] [Accepted: 05/19/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
While liver transplantation was initially considered as a curative treatment modality only for hepatocellular carcinoma, the indication has been increasingly extended to other tumor entities over recent years, most recently to the treatment of non-resectable colorectal liver metastases. Although oncologic outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) are consistently good, organ shortage forces stringent selection of suitable candidates. Dynamic criteria based on tumor biology fulfill the prerequisite of an individual oncological prediction better than traditional morphometric criteria based on tumor burden. The availability of specific (neo-)adjuvant therapies and customized modern immunosuppression may further contribute to favorable post-transplantation outcomes on the one hand and simultaneously open the path to LT as a curative option for advanced stages of tumor patients. Herein, we provide an overview of the oncological LT indications, the selection process, and expected oncological outcome after LT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthias Ilmer
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, Hospital of the University of Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU), 81377 Munich, Germany;
- German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site Munich, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), 69120 Heidelberg, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Campus Grosshadern, 81377 Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, 81377 Munich, Germany
- Correspondence:
| | - Markus Otto Guba
- Department of General, Visceral and Transplantation Surgery, Hospital of the University of Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University (LMU), 81377 Munich, Germany;
- Transplantation Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Campus Grosshadern, 81377 Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, 81377 Munich, Germany
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Highly differential count of circulating and tumor infiltrating immune cells in patients with non-HCV/non-HBV hepatocellular carcinoma. Cancer Immunol Immunother 2021; 71:1103-1113. [PMID: 34585256 PMCID: PMC9015997 DOI: 10.1007/s00262-021-03061-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2021] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/13/2023]
Abstract
Background Liver transplantation and liver resection are curative options for early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The outcome is in part depended on the immunological response to the malignancy. In this study, we aimed to identify immunological profiles of non-HCV/non-HBV HCC patients. Methods Thirty-nine immune cell subsets were measured with multicolor flow cytometry. This immunophenotyping was performed in peripheral blood (PB) and tumor specimens of 10 HCC resection patients and 10 healthy donors. The signatures of the highly differential leukocyte count (hDIF) were analyzed using multidimensional techniques. Functional capability was measured using intracellular IFN-γ staining (Trial Registration DRKS00013567). Results The hDIF showed activation (subsets of T-, B-, NK- and dendritic cells) and suppression (subsets of myeloid-derived suppressor cells and T- and B-regulatory cells) of the antitumor response. Principal component analysis of PB and tumor infiltrating leukocytes (TIL) illustrated an antitumor activating gradient. TILs showed functional capability by secreting IFN-γ but did not kill HCC cells. Conclusions In conclusion, the measurement of the hDIF shows distinct differences in immune reactions against non-HBV/non-HCV HCC and illustrates an immunosuppressive gradient toward peripheral blood. Trial Registration DRKS00013567 Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00262-021-03061-9.
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Schoenberg MB, Li X, Li X, Han Y, Hao J, Miksch RC, Koch D, Börner N, Beger NT, Bucher JN, Schiergens TS, Guba MO, Werner J, Bazhin AV. The predictive value of tumor infiltrating leukocytes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Surg Oncol 2021; 47:2561-2570. [PMID: 33966947 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejso.2021.04.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2021] [Revised: 04/26/2021] [Accepted: 04/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND For Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surgery either through resection or transplantation often provides the only chance for cure. Since hepatocarcinogenesis and postsurgical prognosis is not only dependent on cirrhosis but also on immune activation and exhaustion, many studies have investigated tumor infiltrating leukocyte (TIL) subsets. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims at describing the cell groups and their predictive power regarding overall (OS), disease free (DFS) and recurrence free survival (RFS). MATERIAL AND METHODS A systematic search of the PubMed database was conducted (PROSPERO 172324). Data on CD3+, CD8+, Treg, B cells, macrophages, neutrophil and NK-cells were collected from Pubmed and related references up to December 2018. Overall (OS), disease-free (DFS) and recurrence free survival (RFS) in dependence of high vs. low infiltration rates were compared using a random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS Altogether data from 3541 patients enrolled in 20 publications were included. Except for Tregs and Neutrophils, heterogeneity analysis was found to be moderate to high across the studies. High CD3+, CD8+, NK-cell infiltration predicted better survival (OS, DFS and RFS; p < 0.05). Higher Treg and Neutrophil infiltration predicted lower OS and DFS. For Macrophages and B cells no difference in survival could be found. DISCUSSION As with other solid tumors immune infiltration has a great influence on survival after resection. However, a considerable publication bias cannot be ruled out in mostly retrospective analyses. Nevertheless, in light of novel immune modulatory treatments this opens a new avenue towards effective and well-tolerated adjuvant treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Markus Bo Schoenberg
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Xiaokang Li
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Xinyu Li
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Yongsheng Han
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Jingcheng Hao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, PR China
| | - Rainer Christoph Miksch
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Dominik Koch
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Nikolaus Börner
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Nicola Theresa Beger
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Julian Nikolaus Bucher
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Tobias Simon Schiergens
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Markus Otto Guba
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Jens Werner
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Alexandr V Bazhin
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany; German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany.
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Schoenberg MB, Anger HJW, Bucher JN, Denk G, De Toni EN, Seidensticker M, Andrassy J, Angele MK, Werner J, Guba MO. Liver Transplantation for Extended Criteria Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Stable Response to Locoregional Therapy and Alpha-Fetoprotein as Selection Criteria. Visc Med 2020; 36:506-515. [PMID: 33447607 PMCID: PMC7768105 DOI: 10.1159/000506752] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2019] [Accepted: 02/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Current practice to only prioritize hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that fulfill the Milan criteria (INMC) is changing, since it causes the exclusion of patients who could benefit from liver transplantation. To select patients outside MC (OUTMC) for transplantation, we implemented extended selection criteria without up-front morphometric restrictions containing surrogate parameters of tumor biology. METHODS OUTMC patients were considered without restrictions of morphometrics and received locoregional treatment after interdisciplinary consultation. Our dynamic selection criteria for OUTMC patients required (INMUC): (1) treatment response over (2) at least 6 months and (3) alpha-fetoprotein ≤400 ng/mL over the entire evaluation period. Patients with INMC tumors served as control and internal validation cohort. RESULTS 31 of 170 liver transplant candidates were OUTMC. Of these, 8 dropped out. The remaining 23 patients met the selection criteria and underwent transplantation. Recurrence-free survival was higher in patients transplanted INMC compared to those OUTMC INMUC (92.2% vs. 70.8%; p = 0.026) after 5 years of follow-up. Overall survival showed no significant difference (p = 0.552). With dynamic selection of transplant candidates, recurrence could also be predicted for the INMC patients as internal validation cohort (c-index: 0.896; CI 0.588-0.981, p = 0.005). CONCLUSION Dynamic selection criteria for the stratification of patients with OUTMC HCCs is feasible and allows for excellent long-term results and acceptable tumor recurrence rates comparable to INMC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Markus Bo Schoenberg
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | | | - Julian Nikolaus Bucher
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Gerald Denk
- Medical Department II, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Campus Grosshadern, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Enrico Narciso De Toni
- Medical Department II, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Max Seidensticker
- Department of Radiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Joachim Andrassy
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Martin Kurt Angele
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Jens Werner
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Markus Otto Guba
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplantation Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
- Transplantation Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Campus Grosshadern, Munich, Germany
- Liver Center Munich, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
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Schoenberg MB, Bucher JN, Koch D, Börner N, Hesse S, De Toni EN, Seidensticker M, Angele MK, Klein C, Bazhin AV, Werner J, Guba MO. A novel machine learning algorithm to predict disease free survival after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma. ANNALS OF TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE 2020; 8:434. [PMID: 32395478 PMCID: PMC7210189 DOI: 10.21037/atm.2020.04.16] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Background Due to organ shortage, liver transplantation (LT) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients can only be offered subsidiary to other curative treatments, including liver resection (LR). We aimed at developing and validating a machine-learning algorithm (ML) to predict which patients are sufficiently treated by LR. Methods Twenty-six preoperatively available routine laboratory values along with standard clinical-pathological parameters [including the modified Glascow Prognostic Score (mGPS), the Kings Score (KS) and the Model of Endstage Liver Disease (MELD)] were retrieved from 181 patients who underwent partial LR due to HCC in non-cirrhosis or compensated cirrhosis from January 2007 through March 2018 at our institution. These data were processed using a Random Forest (RF)-based workflow, which included preprocessing, recursive feature elimination (RFE), resampling, training and cross-validation of the RF model. A subset of untouched patient data was used as a test cohort. Basing on the RF prediction, test data could be stratified according to high (HR) or low risk (LR) profile characteristics. Results RFE analysis provided 6 relevant outcome predictors: mGPS, aPTT, CRP, largest tumor size, number of lesions and age at time of operation. After down-sampling, the predictive value of our model was 0.788 (0.658-0.919) for early DFS. 16.7% of HR and 74.2% of LR patients survived 2 years of follow-up (P<0.001). Conclusions Our RF model, based solely on clinical parameters, proved to be a powerful predictor of DFS. These results warrant a prospective study to improve the model for selection of suitable candidates for LR as alternative to transplantation. The predictive model is available online: tiny.cc/hcc_model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Markus Bo Schoenberg
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Julian Nikolaus Bucher
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Dominik Koch
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Nikolaus Börner
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Sebastian Hesse
- Department of Pediatrics, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | | | - Max Seidensticker
- Klinik und Poliklinik für Radiologie, Ludwig-Maximilians-University, Munich, Germany
| | - Martin Kurt Angele
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Christoph Klein
- Department of Pediatrics, Dr. von Hauner Children's Hospital, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Alexandr V Bazhin
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Jens Werner
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Markus Otto Guba
- Department of General, Visceral, and Transplant Surgery, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany.,Department of Medicine II, University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany
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