Risk factors and outcome of splanchnic venous thrombosis in patients with necrotizing acute pancreatitis

Prevalence, treatment efficacy, and risk factors of vascular complications in acute pancreatitis: A case-control study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the prevalence of vascular complications in acute pancreatitis (AP), to compare patient outcomes using various treatments, and to explore the related risk factors.

METHODS

Consecutive AP patients admitted from January 2010 to July 2017 were retrospectively included. Demographics, vascular complications, laboratory indices, and imaging findings were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to explore potential risk factors of vascular complications.

RESULTS

Of 3048 AP patients, 808 (26.5%) had vascular complications, including visceral vein thrombosis, sinistral portal hypertension, and arterial complications. And 38 (4.7%) patients received anticoagulant therapy and had a higher rate of recanalization (P < 0.001). Bleeding occurred in 95 (11.8%) patients, who received further treatment. Multivariate analysis identified male gender (odds ratio [OR] 1.650, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.101-2.472), hyperlipidemia (OR 1.714, 95% CI 1.356-2.165), disease recurrence (OR 3.727, 95% CI 2.713-5.118), smoking (OR 1.519, 95% CI 1.011-2.283), hemoglobin level (OR 0.987, 95% CI 0.981-0.993), white blood cell (WBC) count (OR 1.094, 95% CI 1.068-1.122), non-vascular local complications (OR 3.018, 95% CI 1.992-4.573), computed tomography severity index (CTSI) (OR 1.425, 95% CI 1.273-1.596), and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score (OR 1.057, 95% CI 1.025-1.090) were related to vascular complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Vascular complications in AP is prevalent and their treatment is challenging. Further investigations are warranted to determine the optimal treatment strategy. Independent risk factors included male gender, hyperlipidemia, disease recurrence, smoking, WBC count, non-vascular local complications, CTSI, and APACHE II score.

Splanchnic vein thrombosis in necrotizing pancreatitis: a post-hoc analysis of a nationwide prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Treatment guidelines for splanchnic vein thrombosis in necrotizing pancreatitis are lacking due to insufficient data on the full clinical spectrum.

METHODS

We performed a post-hoc analysis of a nationwide prospective necrotizing pancreatitis cohort. Multivariable analyses were used to identify risk factors and compare the clinical course of patients with and without SVT.

RESULTS

SVT was detected in 97 of the 432 included patients (22%) (median onset: 4 days). Risk factors were left, central, or subtotal necrosis (OR 28.52; 95% CI 20.11-40.45), right or diffuse necrosis (OR 5.76; 95% CI 3.89-8.51), and younger age (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.90-0.97). Patients with SVT had higher rates of bleeding (n = 10,11%) and bowel ischemia (n = 4,4%) compared to patients without SVT (n = 14,4% and n = 2,0.6%; OR 3.24; 95% CI 1.27-8.23 and OR 7.29; 95% CI 1.31-40.4, respectively), and were independently associated with ICU admission (adjusted OR 2.53; 95% CI 1.37-4.68). Spontaneous recanalization occurred in 62% of patients (n = 40/71). Radiological and clinical outcomes did not differ between patients treated with and without anticoagulants.

DISCUSSION

SVT is a common and early complication of necrotizing pancreatitis, associated with parenchymal necrosis and younger age. SVT is associated with increased complications and a worse clinical course, whereas anticoagulant use does not appear to affect outcomes.

The risk of developing splanchnic vein thrombosis in acute pancreatitis increases 3 days after symptom onset: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Splanchnic vein thrombosis is a complication of acute pancreatitis (AP) and is likely often underdiagnosed.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to understand the time course and risk factors of splanchnic vein thrombosis in the early phase of AP.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using the PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO registration CRD42022367578). Inclusion criteria were appropriate imaging techniques in adult AP patients, studies that reported splanchnic vein thrombosis data from the early phase, and reliable information on the timing of imaging in relation to the onset of pancreatitis symptoms or hospital admission. The proportion of patients with thrombosis with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was calculated using random-effects meta-analyses, and multiple subgroup analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Data from 1951 patients from 14 studies were analyzed. The proportion of patients with splanchnic vein thrombosis within 12 days after symptom onset was 0.13 (CI 0.07-0.23). The occurrence was lowest at 0.06 (CI 0.03-0.1) between 0 and 3 days after symptom onset, and increased fourfold to 0.23 (CI 0.16-0.31) between 3 and 11 days. On hospital admission, the proportion of patients affected was 0.12 (CI 0.02-0.49); it was 0.17 (CI 0.03-0.58) 1-5 days after admission. The prevalence in mild, moderate, and severe AP was 0.15 (CI 0.05-0.36), 0.26 (CI 0.15-0.43), and 0.27 (CI 0.17-0.4), respectively. Alcoholic etiology (0.31, CI 0.13-0.58) and pancreatic necrosis (0.55, CI 0.29-0.78, necrosis above 30%) correlated with increased SVT prevalence.

CONCLUSION

The risk of developing splanchnic vein thrombosis is significant in the early stages of AP and may affect up to a quarter of patients. Alcoholic etiology, pancreatic necrosis, and severity may increase the prevalence of splanchnic vein thrombosis.

A narrative review of acute pancreatitis-induced splanchnic vein thrombosis: from pathogenesis to clinical management

Acute pancreatitis-induced splanchnic vein thrombosis (APISVT) is an important sequela complication of acute pancreatitis, which may cause poor prognosis, such as severe gastrointestinal hemorrhage, bowel ischemic necrosis and liver failure. However, its mechanism remains uncertain, and there is not a general consensus on the management. In this study, we reviewed the latest academic publications in APISVT, and discussed its pathogenesis, clinical presentation, adverse outcome and treatment, especially focused on the role of anticoagulant therapy. It was indicated that anticoagulation therapy can significantly elevate thrombus recanalization and reduce the incidence of complications and mortality with no increase of bleeding. Actually, as most of these studies were retrospective analyses and prospective studies included small samples, the conclusion remains controversial. Thus, well-designed randomized controlled trials are urged to verify the effectiveness and safety of anticoagulation therapy for APISVT.

Determinants and impact of splanchnic vein thrombosis in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) is a well-recognised though little-studied complication in acute pancreatitis (AP). SVT risk factors, its clinical consequences and the role of anticoagulation (AC) therapy is scarce.

AIMS

To evaluate the incidence and natural history of SVT in AP.

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of a prospective multicentre cohort study involving 23 hospitals in Spain. AP complications were identified by computer tomography, and patients with SVT were re-evaluated after two years.

RESULTS

A total of 1655 patients with AP were included. The overall incidence of SVT was 3.6%. SVT was significantly associated with male gender, younger age and alcoholic aetiology. Every local complication increased SVT incidence, and this risk rose gradually with larger extension and infection of necrosis. These patients had a longer hospital stay and underwent a greater number of invasive treatments, regardless of AP severity. Forty-six patients with SVT were followed up. SVT resolution rate was 54.5% in the AC group and 30.8% in the non-AC group with lower thrombotic complications in the SVT resolution group (83.3% vs 22.7%; p<0.001). No AC-related adverse events occurred.

CONCLUSION

This study identifies the risk factors and negative clinical impact of SVT in AP. Our results justify future trials to demonstrate the role of AC in this clinical scenario.

Predictive value of D-dimer and fibrinogen degradation product for splanchnic vein thrombosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis: a single-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Early diagnosis of splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) after severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) remains difficult because of its insidious onset. Common serum markers for thrombosis such as D-dimer (D-D) have lost their diagnostic value due to their elevation in non-thrombotic patients with SAP. The aim of this study is to predict SVT after SAP using common serum indicators of thrombosis by establishing a new cut-off value.

METHODS

177 SAP patients were included in a retrospective cohort study from September 2019 to September 2021. Patient demographics, dynamic changes of coagulation and fibrinolysis indicators were collected. Univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were applied to assess potential risk factors for the development of SVT in SAP patients. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to assess the predictive value of independent risk factors. Moreover, clinical complications and outcomes were compared between two groups.

RESULTS

Among 177 SAP patients, 32 (18.1%) developed SVT. The most common cause of SAP was biliary (49.8%), followed by hypertriglyceridemia (21.5%). Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that D-D (OR, 1.135; 95%CI, 1.043-1.236; p = 0.003) and fibrinogen degradation product (FDP) (OR, 1.037; 95%CI, 1.015-1.060; p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for SVT development in patients with SAP. The area under ROC curve for D-D was 0.891 (p = 0.003, sensitivity= 95.3%, specificity = 74.1%) at a cut-off value of 6.475, and the area under ROC curve for FDP was 0.858 (p = 0.001, sensitivity = 89.4%, specificity = 72.4%) at a cut-off value of 23.155.

CONCLUSION

D-D and FDP are significant independent risk factors with high predictive value for SVT in patients with SAP.

Management of Splanchnic Vein Thrombosis in Patients With Acute Pancreatitis: An International Survey of Current Practice

OBJECTIVES

Splanchnic venous thrombosis (SpVT) is a complication of acute pancreatitis (AP). There is scarce literature on the prevalence and treatment of SpVT in AP. The aim of this international survey was to document current approaches to the management of SpVT in patients with AP.

METHODS

An online survey was designed by a group of international experts in the management of AP. Twenty-eight questions covered the level of experience of the respondents, disease demographics, and management of SpVT.

RESULTS

There were 224 respondents from 25 countries. Most respondents (92.4%, n = 207) were from tertiary hospitals and predominantly consultants (attendings, 86.6%, n = 194). More than half of the respondents (57.2%, n = 106) "routinely" prescribed prophylactic anticoagulation for AP. Less than half of the respondents (44.3%, n = 82) "routinely" prescribed therapeutic anticoagulation for SpVT. A clinical trial was considered justified by most respondents (85.4%, n = 157) and 73.2% (n = 134) would be willing to enroll their patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The approach to anticoagulation in the treatment of patients with SpVT complicating AP was highly variable. Respondents indicate that a position of equipoise exists to justify randomized evaluation.

Splanchnic Vein Thrombosis in Acute Pancreatitis and Its Consequences

Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) is a serious vascular complication that can occur in patients with acute pancreatitis. We assessed the incidence of SVT and its relationship with acute pancreatitis (AP) and associated complications. We carried out a retrospective analysis of medical histories from patients hospitalized with AP in a single surgical center. Histories were acquired from patients with abdominal and pelvic computed tomography scans performed between the 2nd and 3rd day of hospitalization. We assessed the impact and extent of thrombosis over the disease course. We found a strong positive correlation (Cramer’s V coefficient = 0.34) between SVT and disease severity. Mortality in the study group was 7.2% (8 patients) of which 5 patients (62.5%) were diagnosed with SVT. We observed an increased incidence of death among patients with thrombosis, with results approaching significance (P = 0.056). In our study, we found that SVT has a negative effect on the course of AP and is associated with more severe disease and increased mortality.

Efficacy and Safety of Early Systemic Anticoagulation for Preventing Splanchnic Thrombosis in Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Splanchnic venous thrombosis (SVT) is a relevant complication in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis. So far, no specific treatment for preventing development of SVT exists, and the effect of systemic anticoagulation (SAC) is unclear.

METHODS

Patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis admitted to our center within 7 days from onset of abdominal pain were screened. In the historic group, during which period, most patients received no SAC. Patients in the study group received SAC therapy considering the risk of deep vein thrombosis and SVT. The primary outcome measure was the incidence of SVT.

RESULTS

Splenic vein was involved in 71% of all 84 SVT patients. Compared with the historic cohort, patients who received SAC experienced lower incidence of SVT (P < 0.001), especially for splenic venous thrombosis (P = 0.002). Patients in the study group also showed lower mortality (P = 0.04) and incidence of new-onset organ failure (P = 0.03). The incidence of bleeding shows no statistical significance between 2 groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of SAC seems to reduce the incidence of SVT and improve clinical outcomes without increasing the risk of bleeding. Randomized clinical trials are needed to confirm our findings.

Anticoagulant therapy in the treatment of splanchnic vein thrombosis associated to acute pancreatitis: a 3-year single-centre experience

Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) is a possible complication of acute pancreatitis (AP). There are no precise guidelines on the use of anticoagulant therapy (AT) in these patients. The aim of the study was to determine the safety and the efficacy of AT in AP-associated SVT. Two hundred twenty-one patients were retrospectively and consecutively enrolled from the Pancreatic Outpatient Clinic of the "A. Gemelli" hospital. Patients had a diagnosis of AP and a diagnostic imaging to evaluate whether they had or not SVT. Twenty-seven out of 221 AP patients had SVT (12.21%) and AT therapy was administered to 16 patients (59.3%), for 5.2 ± 2.2 months. A therapeutic dose of low molecular weight heparin was administered (100 UI/kg b.i.d.) at the diagnosis, with fondaparinux 7.5 mg/day, or vitamin K antagonist, or the novel direct oral anti-coagulants, upon discharge. The presence of SVT resulted significantly associated to male sex (p = 0.002). The recanalization rates were 11/16 (68.7%) in patients who received AT, and 3/11 (27.3%) in patients who did not receive it. There was a significant difference between the recanalization rates with and without AT (p = 0.03, OR 5.87). No SVT recurrence was registered during follow-up. No treated patient developed haemorrhagic complications after AT. No deaths were recorded, either in the group undergoing AT or in the one that was not. In conclusion, AT in AP-associated SVT appears to be safe and effective; yet prospective clinical trials are needed to confirm our results.

Hyperhomocysteinemia Associated with Multiple Organ Failure in Acute Pancreatitis Patients

Objective

This study aimed to evaluate the potential effect of hyperhomocysteinemia on multiple organ failure (MOF) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP).

Method

In this cohort study, a total of 1880 AP patients were enrolled and divided into the hyperhomocysteinemia group (study group) and the control group based on serum homocysteine (HCY) levels. Clinical data including demographics, clinical outcomes, and characteristics were collected for analysis. Risk factors of MOF in AP patients were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results

The hyperhomocysteinemia group showed higher multiple organ failure rates (31.83% vs 20.77%, P < 0.001), compared with the control group. A positive correlation between homocysteine level and APACHE II score was obtained by Pearson correlation analysis (r = 0.420, P < 0.001), compared with the control group. A positive correlation between homocysteine level and APACHE II score was obtained by Pearson correlation analysis (P < 0.001), compared with the control group. A positive correlation between homocysteine level and APACHE II score was obtained by Pearson correlation analysis (

Conclusion

A high serum homocysteine level may be an independent risk factor of multiple organ failure in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Antibacterial and Antifungal Therapy for Patients with Acute Pancreatitis at High Risk of Pancreatogenic Sepsis (Review)

Controlling infection is crucial in treating patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). The infectious process in AP often predisposes to subsequent sepsis by damaging not only the pancreas, but retroperitoneal tissues as well. Among other AP-associated factors, are the rapidly developing immune imbalance, the poor penetration of antimicrobial agents into necrotic tissue, and the impossibility of a single surgical debridement. Antibacterial and antifungal therapy for patients with infected necrosis and AP-associated extra-pancreatic infections remains a complex and largely unresolved problem, partially due to the high occurrence of multiresistant pathogens. The preventive use of antimicrobial agents has been discussed in the literature; however, the lack of consistent results makes it difficult to develop a unified strategy and clinical guidelines on this specific issue. Recent meta-analyses provide no conclusive evidence that antibacterial prophylaxis reduces the infection rate, mortality, or the need for surgical treatment in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis. We found only two studies indicating the benefits of using carbapenems for prophylactic purposes and one meta-analysis indicating a reduction in mortality under antibiotic treatment started no later than 72 h after the onset of the attack. Selective bowel decontamination is considered as one of the preventive anti-infection measures, although the available data may not be fully reliable. The main indications for antibacterial therapy in patients with AP are confirmed infected necrosis or extra-pancreatic infection, as well as clinical symptoms of suspected infection. Intra-arterial administration or local treatment with antibiotics can increase the efficacy of antibacterial therapy. No randomized studies on antifungal prophylaxis in AP are available; some reports though recommend using such therapy among patients at high risk of invasive candidiasis.

Clinical Characteristics and Risk Factors for Sinistral Portal Hypertension Associated with Moderate and Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Seven-Year Single-Center Retrospective Study

Background

This study aimed to assess the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and risk factors for sinistral portal hypertension in patients with moderate or severe acute pancreatitis.

Material/Methods

A retrospective study included 825 patients with moderate or severe acute pancreatitis. Clinical and demographic data, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) and the Ranson scores for severity of acute pancreatitis, and the computed tomography (CT) severity index (CTSI) were evaluated. The formation of collateral vessels, bleeding, splenomegaly, hypersplenism during hospitalization or follow-up, and early anticoagulation and the occurrence of sinistral portal hypertension were evaluated.

Results

Of the 825 patients with moderate or severe acute pancreatitis, 103 patients (12.5%) developed sinistral portal hypertension. The median time to diagnosis was 8 months, and the median patient age was 39 years. The most common causes of pancreatitis were biliary (46.3%), hypertriglyceridemia (31.5%), alcohol (14.9%), and others (7.3%). Independent risk factors for sinistral portal hypertension were male gender (OR, 4.666; 95% CI, 2.54–8.572; P<0.001), recurrent acute pancreatitis (OR, 9.556; 95% CI, 5.218–17.5; P<0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (OR, 2.056; 95% CI, 1.184–3.57; P=0.001), glucose >10 mmol/L (OR, 6.965; 95% CI, 4.027–12.045; P<0.001), smoking (OR, 6.32; 95% CI, 3.544–11.269; P<0.001), and infection of walled-off necrosis (OR=1.637; 95% CI, 1.061–2.524; P=0.015). Anticoagulation during hospitalization was not significantly associated with sinistral portal hypertension.

Conclusions

Hypertriglyceridemia, hyperglycemia, infection of walled-off necrosis, recurrent acute pancreatitis, and smoking were risk factors for sinistral portal hypertension, and early anticoagulation did not prevent the occurrence.

Changes in the Velocity of Blood in the Portal Vein in Mild Acute Pancreatitis-A Preliminary Clinical Study

Background and objective: Portal vein thrombosis is associated with a decrease in the main blood velocity in this vessel. While most studies examine etiological factors of portal vein thrombosis after its occurrence, we aimed to evaluate portal vessels and assess whether mild acute pancreatitis affects blood flow in the portal vein and increases the risk of thrombosis. Materials and methods: This prospective single centered follow-up study enrolled 66 adult participants. Fifty of them were diagnosed with mild acute pancreatitis based on the Revised Atlanta classification, and 16 healthy participants formed the control group. All participants were examined three times. The first examination was carried out at the beginning of the disease and the next two at three-month intervals. Blood samples were taken and color Doppler ultrasound performed the first time, whereas ultrasound alone was performed during the second and third visits. Mean and maximal blood velocities and resistivity index in the main portal vein and its left and right branches were evaluated. Results: Mean velocity of the blood flow in the main portal vein and its right and left branches was not significantly different from healthy individuals during the acute pancreatitis phase: 23.1 ± 8.5 cm/s vs. 24.5 ± 8.2 cm/s (p = 0.827); 16.4 ± 7.9 cm/s vs. 16.4 ± 8.1 cm/s (p = 1.000); and 8 ± 3.4 cm/s vs. 7.4 ± 2.5 cm/s (p = 0.826), respectively. The same was observed when comparing the maximal blood flow velocity: 67.9 ± 29 cm/s vs. 67.5 ± 21 cm/s (p > 0.05); 45.4 ± 27 cm/s vs. 44 ± 23.8 cm/s (p = 0.853); and 22.2 ± 9.8 cm/s vs. 20 ± 7.3 cm/s (p = 0.926), respectively. Changes in venous blood velocities were not significant during the follow-up period in separate study groups. Conclusions: Portal blood flow velocities do not change during mild acute pancreatitis in the inflammatory and postinflammatory periods. This observation suggests that mild acute pancreatitis does not increase the risk of portal vein thrombosis.

Portosplenomesenteric vein thrombosis in patients with early-stage severe acute pancreatitis

AIM

To investigate the incidence and risk factors of portosplenomesenteric vein thrombosis (PSMVT) in the early stage of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

Patients with SAP in a tertiary care setting from January 2014 to December 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. All contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) studies were reassessed and reviewed. Clinical outcome measures were compared between SAP patients with and without PSMVT in the early stage of the disease. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were sequentially performed to assess potential risk factors for the development of PSMVT in SAP patients. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated for the qualifying independent risk factors.

RESULTS

Twenty-five of the one hundred and forty (17.86%) SAP patients developed PSMVT 6.19 ± 2.43 d after acute pancreatitis (AP) onset. PSMVT was confirmed by contrast-enhanced CT. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses showed that Balthazar’s CT severity index (CTSI) scores [odds ratio (OR): 2.742; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.664-4.519; P = 0.000], hypoalbuminemia (serum albumin level < 25 g/L) (OR: 32.573; 95%CI: 2.711-391.353; P = 0.006) and gastrointestinal wall thickening (OR: 4.367, 95%CI: 1.218-15.658; P = 0.024) were independent risk factors for PSMVT developed in patients with SAP. The area under the ROC curve for Balthazar’s CTSI scores was 0.777 (P = 0.000), the sensitivity was 52%, and the specificity was 93% at a cut-off value of 5.5.

CONCLUSION

High Balthazar’s CTSI scores, hypoalbuminemia and gastrointestinal wall thickening are independent risk factors for PSMVT developed in the early stage of SAP.

Role of thrombophilia in splanchnic venous thrombosis in acute pancreatitis

Background:

Splanchnic venous thrombosis (SVT) is a common vascular complication of acute pancreatitis (AP). We conducted this study to prospectively investigate the frequency, risk factors, and extent of SVT in patients with AP and to evaluate the role of thrombophilia in its causation.

Methods:

Patients with AP presenting between January 2015 and June 2016 were prospectively evaluated with contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) for the presence of SVT. These patients underwent a detailed analysis of coagulation parameters.

Results:

We evaluated 96 patients with AP (73 male, mean age 31.85±13.34 years), of whom 26 (27.1%) had SVT. Splenic vein, portal vein, and superior mesenteric vein involvement were seen in 22 (84.6%), 11 (42.3%), and 4 (15.3%) patients, respectively. Necrotizing pancreatitis, CT severity index (CTSI) >6 and modified CTSI >6 were significantly more frequent in patients with SVT than in those without (96.2% vs. 78.6%, 76.9% vs. 47.1%, and 92.3% vs. 67.1%, respectively). Proteins C and S, and antithrombin III deficiency were found in 23.8%, 33.3% and 31.0% of patients, respectively. Anti-β2-glycoprotein I and lupus anticoagulant were positive in 4.8% and 11.9% of patients, respectively. Factor V Leiden mutation analysis was positive in 6.1% of patients. Coagulation abnormality did not differ significantly between the patients with and without SVT.

Conclusions:

SVT is more common in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis, suggesting that local inflammation plays a major role in its causation. Thrombophilia is seen in one third of patients with AP but does not seem to increase the risk of SVT.

Risk factors and outcomes of infected pancreatic necrosis: Retrospective cohort of 148 patients admitted to the ICU for acute pancreatitis

Objective

The primary objective of this article is to identify risk factors for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for severe acute pancreatitis. We also described outcomes of IPN.

Background

Acute pancreatitis is common and associated with multiple, potentially life-threatening complications. Over the last decade, minimally invasive procedures have been developed to treat IPN.

Methods

We retrospectively studied consecutive patients admitted for severe acute pancreatitis to the ICUs of the Nantes University Hospital in France, between 2012 and 2015. Logistic regression was used to evaluate potential associations linking IPN to baseline patient characteristics and outcomes.

Results

Of the 148 included patients, 26 (17.6%) died. IPN developed in 62 (43%) patients and consistently required radiological, endoscopic, and/or surgical intervention. By multivariate analysis, factors associated with IPN were number of organ failure (OF) (for ≥ 3: OR, 28.67 (6.23-131.96), p < 0.001) and portosplenomesenteric venous thrombosis (OR, 8.16 (3.06-21.76)).

Conclusion

IPN occurred in nearly half our ICU patients with acute pancreatitis and consistently required interventional therapy. Number of OFs and portosplenomesenteric venous thrombosis were significantly associated with IPN. Early management of OF may reduce IPN incidence, and management of portosplenomesenteric venous thrombosis should be investigated.

Risk Prediction for Portal Vein Thrombosis in Acute Pancreatitis Using Radial Basis Function

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) can induce portosplenomesenteric vein thrombosis (PVT), which may generate higher morbidity and mortality. However current diagnostic modalities for PVT are still controversial. In recent decades, artificial neural networks have been increasingly applied in medical research. The aim of this study is to predict the risk of AP-induced PVT by radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural networks (ANNs) model.

METHODS

A retrospective or consecutive study of 426 individuals with AP at our unit between January 1, 2011 and July 31, 2016 was conducted. All individuals were subjected to RBF ANNs. Variables included age, gender, red blood cell specific volume (Hct), prothrombin time (PT), fasting blood glucose, D-Dimer, concentration of serum calcium ([Ca²⁺]), triglyceride, serum amylase (AMY), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score, and Ranson score. All outcomes were derived after subjecting the variables to a statistical analysis.

RESULTS

In the RBF ANNs model, D-dimer, AMY, Hct, and PT were the important factors among all 11 independent variables for PVT. The normalized importance of them was 100%, 96.3%, 71.9%, and 68.2%, respectively. The predict sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy by RBF ANNs model for PVT were 76.2%, 92.0%, and 88.1%, respectively. There were significant differences between the RBF ANNs and logistic regression models in these parameters (95% CI: 110.9% [-0.4 to 15.8%]; 8.4% [-3.3 to 19.2%]; and 12.8% [1.6-20.7%], respectively). In addition, the area under receiver operating characteristic curves value for identifying thrombosis when using the RBF ANNs model was 0.892 ± 0.091 (95% CI: 0.805-0.951), demonstrating better overall performance than the logistic regression model (0.762 ± 0.073; 95% CI: 0.662-0.839).

CONCLUSIONS

The RBF ANNs model was a valuable tool in predicting the risk of PVT following AP. AMY, D-dimer, PT, and Hct were important prediction factors of approval for AP-induced PVT.

Predicting the incidence of portosplenomesenteric vein thrombosis in patients with acute pancreatitis using classification and regression tree algorithm

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The accurate prediction of portosplenomesenteric vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with acute pancreatitis(AP) is very important but may also be difficult because of our insufficient understanding of the characteristics of AP-induced PVT. The purpose of this study is to design a decision tree model that provides critical factors associated with PVT using an approach that makes use of classification and regression tree (CART) algorithm.

METHODS

The analysis included 353 patients with AP who were admitted between January 2011 and December 2015. CART model and logistic regression model were each applied to the same 50% of the sample to develop the predictive training models, and these models were tested on the remaining 50%. Statistical indexes were used to evaluate the value of the prediction in the 2 models.

RESULTS

The predicted sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy by CART for PVT were 78.0%, 87.2%, 64.0%, 93.2%, and 85.2%, respectively. Significant differences could be found between the CART model and the logistic regression model in these parameters. There were significant differences between the CART and logistic regression models in these parameters (P<.05). When the CART model was used to identify PVT, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.803, which demonstrated better overall properties than the logistic regression model (area under the curve=0.696) (95% confidence interval, 0.603-0.812).

CONCLUSION

The CART model based on serum amylase, d-dimer, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, and prothrombin time is more likely to predict the occurrence of PVT induced by AP.

Antithrombin III and D-dimer levels as indicators of disease severity in patients with hyperlipidaemic or biliary acute pancreatitis

Objective To assess changes in anticoagulation and fibrinolytic systems between biliary and hyperlipidaemic acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods Patients with biliary or hyperlipidaemic AP were enrolled. Demographic and clinical data were collected, and antithrombin III (ATIII), protein C, protein S, and D-dimer levels were investigated. Results A total of 45 patients with biliary AP and 50 patients with hyperlipidaemic AP were included (68 with mild AP and 27 with moderately-severe AP). ATIII and protein C levels in the mild AP group were significantly higher, but prothrombin time and D-dimer were significantly lower, versus the moderately-severe AP group. ATIII and D-dimer were found to be risk factors for moderately-severe AP. ATIII could predict AP severity, particularly in patients with biliary AP. D-dimer was a sensitive and specific predictor for disease severity in patients with AP, particularly in patients with hyperlipidaemic AP. Conclusion ATIII and protein C levels decreased as severity of AP increased, particularly in cases of biliary AP. D-dimer levels increased with severity of AP, particularly in hyperlipidaemic AP. ATIII and D-dimer may be useful biomarkers for assessing AP severity in patients with biliary and hyperlipidaemic AP, respectively.

Predicting the clinical manifestations in necrotizing acute pancreatitis patients with splanchnic vein thrombosis

BACKGROUND

Splanchnic venous thrombosis (SVT) is a relatively rare but important complication of necrotizing acute pancreatitis (NAP). Clinical manifestations and severity of this complication in different patients vary greatly, ranging from mild abdominal discomfort even asymptomatic to lethal gastrorrhagia or hepatic failure. The aim of the present study was to develop a model to predict the clinical manifestations of SVT in NAP patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted in the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) of Jinling Hospital. Patients with the presence of both pancreatic necrosis and SVT were selected for possible inclusion. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied using 12 indices including age, gender, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores (APACHE II), CRP(C - reactive protein) levels, etc to assess potential predictors for symptomatic pancreatic splanchnic venous thrombosis (PSVT) in this cohort. A prognostic nomogram was also applied to develop an easy-to-use prediction model.

RESULTS

A total of 104 patients with necrotizing acute pancreatitis (NAP) and splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) from January 2012 to December 2013 were enrolled for analysis. A quarter of study subjects (26 of 104, 25%) developed variable symptomatic manifestations including variceal bleeding, persistent ascites and enteral nutrition (EN) intolerance during the disease course. In the multivariable regression model, the following factors were found to be associated with the occurrence of symptomatic SVT: Balthazar's computed tomography (CT) score (OR = 1.818; 95% CI: 1.251-2.641; P = 0.002), intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) (OR = 1.172; 95% CI: 1.001-1.251; P = 0.043 and presence of SMVT (OR = 6.946; 95% CI: 2.290-21.074; P = 0.001). A prediction model incorporating these factors demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.842.

CONCLUSIONS

Balthazar's CT score, IAP and SMVT are predictors of symptomatic SVT in NAP patients. The nomogram we conducted can be used as an easy-to-use risk stratification tool in either clinical practice or future studies.

Predictive factors of splanchnic vein thrombosis in acute pancreatitis: A 6-year single-center experience

OBJECTIVE

Splanchnic vein thrombosis (SVT) is a potentially severe complication of pancreatitis. The aim of this single-center, retrospective cohort study was to investigate the incidence of SVT and to determine the connected risk factors.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) managed in our hospital were included. The primary outcome was the occurrence of SVT and data was collected in accordance with Ranson's criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 318 patients were included, of whom 124 (39.0%) were women. Biliary lithiasis was the main cause of pancreatitis (n = 156, 49.1%). A total of 19 (6.0%) SVT were identified. In univariate analysis, alcohol intake, smoking and male gender were associated with SVT (P = 0.005, 0.003 and 0.007, respectively). Biological parameters significantly associated with thrombosis were lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) < 500 U/L and hyperglycemia (≥ 10 mmol/L) (P = 0.009 and 0.016, respectively). In multivariate analysis, prothrombin time >75% was a protective factor against thrombosis (OR 0.148, P = 0.019). Leukocytes >10 × 10(9)/L (OR 6.397, P = 0.034), hyperglycemia (≥ 10 mmol/L) (OR 6.845, P = 0.023), LDH < 500 U/L ((OR 22.61, P = 0.001) and alcoholic etiology (OR 8.960, P = 0.041) were risk factors for SVT.

CONCLUSIONS

Alcohol intake, male gender and smoking should focus the physician's attention on the risk of SVT. When further associated with certain biological parameters, the physicians should consider therapeutic anticoagulation to prevent SVT.

Risk Factors and Outcome for Massive Intra-Abdominal Bleeding Among Patients With Infected Necrotizing Pancreatitis

The incidence of acute bleeding is reported to be 13.5% in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis. However, of all the bleeding events, intra-abdominal bleeding was less studied in the literature and its risk factors have not been well defined yet. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the risk factors for massive intra-abdominal bleeding among the patients with infected necrotizing pancreatitis and assessed the outcome of these patients. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were applied for evaluating risk factors for intra-abdominal bleeding using 33 indices, including age, sex, etiology of acute pancreatitis (AP), APACHE II score, etc. Outcome assessments such as mortality, hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) durations, and cost were also compared between patients with or without intra-abdominal bleeding. Acute kidney injury (AKI) (odds ratio [OR]: 7.54, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.53-22.52, P < 0.001) and number of operation (OR: 8.84, 95% CI: 2.01-38.86, P = 0.004) were 2 predictors for massive intra-abdominal bleeding in the patients with infected necrotizing pancreatitis. In addition, AP patients with intra-abdominal bleeding also showed significantly higher mortality rate, prolonged hospital and ICU durations, more complications and invasive treatments, as well as increased cost. Our study revealed that AKI and multiple operations were 2 critical factors increasing the risk of intra-abdominal bleeding among patients with infected necrotizing pancreatitis. Additionally, massive intra-abdominal bleeding was also associated with poor prognosis.