External validation of a simple non-invasive algorithm to rule out chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism

Gender differences in the incidence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

To explore the role of gender in the incidence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism.

METHODS

Two researchers search the PubMed Database, Embase Database and Cochrane Library Database from their establishment to October 2022, using Endnote software for document management and RevMan5.3 software for the meta-analysis of the included literature. A total of 11 studies are selected, including 5788 acute pulmonary embolism events and 391 patients (179 males and 212 females) with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) under the stated conditions. The results show that there is no statistically significant difference in the incidence of CTEPH between males and females after PE (P = .28), with combined OR of 0.89 and 95% CI 0.72-1.10.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Gender is found to be absent as a factor in the incidence of CTEPH after acute pulmonary embolism. This may indicate that gender is not a risk factor for CTEPH and that female patients are not necessarily more likely to have a higher incidence than male patients. As such, accurate judgments should be made on the possible complications of all patients after acute pulmonary embolism, which will be conducive to early detection and intervention in the treatment of CTEPH.

Prevalence and predictors of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension following severe forms of acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

The true prevalence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after pulmonary embolism (PE) in the Portuguese population remains unknown. We aimed to assess the prevalence and predictors of CTEPH two years after a symptomatic high- (HR) or intermediate-high risk (IHR) PE.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted with PE between 2014 and 2019 to a Portuguese referral center for pulmonary hypertension.

RESULTS

In this single-center registry of 969 patients admitted with PE (annual incidence of 46/100000 population), 194 had HR (5.4%) and IHR (14.7%) PE. After excluding patients who died or had no follow-up in the first three months, 129 patients were included in the analysis. The overall prevalence of suspected CTEPH by clinical assessment, Doppler echocardiography and V/Q lung scan was 6.2% (eight patients). CTEPH was confirmed by right heart catheterization in four of these (3.1%). Increased pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) at admission (OR 1.12; 95% CI 1.04-1.22; p=0.005) and the presence of varicose veins in the lower limbs (OR 7.47; 95% CI 1.53-36.41; p=0.013) were predictors of CTEPH. PASP >60 mmHg at admission identified patients with CTEPH at follow-up with sensitivity and specificity of 83.3% and 76.3%, respectively. All patients diagnosed with CTEPH had at least two radiological findings suggestive of CTEPH at the index event.

CONCLUSIONS

In our cohort, the prevalence of CTEPH in survivors of severe forms of acute PE was 6.2%. PASP above 60 mmHg and supporting radiological findings on the index computed tomography scan are highly suggestive of acute-on-chronic CTEPH.

[Diagnostic Algorithm and Screening of Pulmonary Hypertension]

The new guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary hypertension include a new diagnostic algorithm and provide specific recommendations for the required diagnostic procedures, including screening methods. These recommendations are commented on by national experts under the auspices of the DACH. These comments provide additional decision support and background information, serving as a further guide for the complex diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension.

Post-Pulmonary Embolism Syndrome and Functional Outcomes after Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Survivors of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) are at risk of developing persistent, sometimes disabling symptoms of dyspnea and/or functional limitations despite adequate anticoagulant treatment, fulfilling the criteria of the post-PE syndrome (PPES). PPES includes chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease, post-PE cardiac impairment (characterized as persistent right ventricle impairment after PE), and post-PE functional impairment. To improve the overall health outcomes of patients with acute PE, adequate measures to diagnose PPES and strategies to prevent and treat PPES are essential. Patient-reported outcome measures are very helpful to identify patients with persistent symptoms and functional impairment. The primary concern is to identify and adequately treat patients with CTEPH as early as possible. After CTEPH is ruled out, additional diagnostic tests including cardiopulmonary exercise tests, echocardiography, and imaging of the pulmonary vasculature may be helpful to rule out non-PE-related comorbidities and confirm the ultimate diagnosis. Most PPES patients will show signs of physical deconditioning as main explanation for their clinical presentation. Therefore, cardiopulmonary rehabilitation provides a good potential treatment option for this patient category, which warrants testing in adequately designed and executed randomized trials. In this review, we describe the definition and characteristics of PPES and its diagnosis and management.

Feasibility of a screening algorithm for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension: The OSIRIS study

INTRODUCTION

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a long-term sequel to pulmonary embolism (PE) whose incidence varies according to different published studies. We have carried out this study to determine its incidence within 2 years after index pulmonary embolism and to study limitations to an early diagnosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

OSIRIS is a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study. Patients were followed for 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after pulmonary embolism using a structured three-step algorithm. A physician-centered questionnaire at least one positive response in a screening proceeded to the second step, transthoracic echocardiography. The third step consisted of ventilation/perfusion lung scintigraphy and right heart catheterisation. A transthoracic echocardiography was performed in patients without positive response in the screening questionnaire after 2 years. CTEPH diagnosis required haemodynamic confirmation by right heart catheterisation and mismatched perfusion defects on lung scintigraphy.

RESULTS

A total of 1191 patients were enrolled in 18 Spanish hospitals. Cumulative CTEPH incidence after 2-years PE was: 2.49 % (95 % CI: 1.68-3.56) and the incidence rate of CTEPH was 1.1 cases per 1000 person-months (95 % CI: 0.725; 1.60). The CTEPH algorithm presented a lack of adherence of 29 %; patient and physician preferences posed barriers to the triage algorithm The screening questionnaire, in patients who completed the follow-up, shows a specificity of 91.3 % (89.0-93.2 %) and negative predictive value of 99.4 % (98.4-99.8 %)..

CONCLUSIONS

OSIRIS provides practiced clinical based data on the chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension incidence and identified barriers to the implementation of a 3-step triage algorithm for its detection.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT03134898.

From acute pulmonary embolism to post-pulmonary embolism sequelae

Aim of this narrative review is to summarize the functional and hemodynamic implications of acute PE and PE sequelae, namely the post-PE syndrome. Briefly, we will first describe the epidemiology, diagnostic procedures, and therapeutic approaches of acute PE. Then, we will provide a definition of the post-PE syndrome and present the so far accumulated evidence regarding its epidemiology and the implications that arise for further diagnosis and treatment. Lastly, we will explore the most devastating long-term complication of PE, namely chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), and recent advances in its management.

CTEPH: A Kaiser Permanente Northern California Experience

INTRODUCTION

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a rare and life-threatening form of pulmonary hypertension and the only potentially curable form of the World Health Organization Pulmonary Hypertension classes. Thus, the prompt and accurate diagnosis of this condition is imperative. Despite widespread chronic symptoms following acute pulmonary embolism (PE), the condition is rarely considered, and an externally validated inexpensive diagnostic algorithm is lacking.

METHODS

A long-term, retrospective cohort study was conducted to assess the incidence of CTEPH following acute PE in a real-world study population. Additional data were collected regarding the practice patterns of diagnostic testing and imaging, particularly in patients with persistent or recurrent symptoms. Amongst diagnosed CTEPH patients, previously established risk factors were evaluated for degree of risk and commonly used diagnostic tests (electrocardiogram [ECG] right ventricular hypertrophy [RVH] pattern, B-type natriuretic peptide [BNP] elevations) employed during this period were evaluated and assessed for feasibility as screening tests. The study population was obtained from the MAPLE study cohort, comprised of patients presenting with acute PE in 21 community medical centers across the Kaiser Permanente Northern California system from January 2013 to April 2015. Diagnosis of CTEPH was confirmed via pulmonary vascular imaging (ventilation/perfusion [V/Q] scanning, computed tomography angiography, pulmonary angiography) and diagnostic right heart catheterization (RHC). Probable diagnoses were defined as a combination of suggestive echocardiographic and RHC findings. Additional inclusion criteria included age (≥18 years) with at least 2 years follow up and no previous diagnosis of CTEPH or PE during the prior 30 days.

RESULTS

There were 1973 patients who met inclusion criteria (mean age 62.4 years). Despite 75 % of patients developing symptoms consistent with CTEPH >3 months following acute PE, only 5.6 % of these symptomatic patients underwent V/Q scanning. There was overall a very low cumulative incidence of CTEPH (2.3 %), which was significantly higher amongst patients with symptoms compared to those without symptoms. When controlled for confounding in the multivariate analysis, only recurrent PE (HR 19.3, P < 0.001) and pulmonary artery systolic pressure >50 mmHg (HR 10.4, P < 0.001) were statistically significant predictors of CTEPH. Of the non-invasive diagnostic tests, ECG criteria for RVH were found to be poorly sensitive (2.6 %), but very specific (98.8 %) for CTEPH. Elevated levels of BNP alone were more sensitive than RVH ECG criteria (76.3 %) but poorly specific (44.4 %).

CONCLUSIONS

The diagnosis of CTEPH is uncommonly made following acute PE. Despite the frequency of persistent symptoms consistent with CTEPH following acute PE, the appropriate diagnostic work-up is rarely undertaken as evidenced in this cohort. This suggests that CTEPH is underappreciated and rarely considered, likely underestimating the true incidence in this cohort. Future studies are needed to elucidate the true prevalence of CTEPH and further investigate both the optimal diagnostic tools and timing of appropriate screening. These discoveries may help guide future development of diagnostic algorithms that can effectively rule out and accurately identify this potentially curable disease in a timely manner.

Diagnostic efficacy of ECG-derived ventricular gradient for the detection of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Application of the chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) rule out criteria (manual electrocardiogram [ECG] reading and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide [NTproBNP] test) can rule out CTEPH in pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with persistent dyspnea (InShape II algorithm). Increased pulmonary pressure may also be identified using automated ECG-derived ventricular gradient optimized for right ventricular pressure overload (VG-RVPO).

METHOD

A predefined analysis of the InShape II study was performed. The diagnostic performance of the VG-RVPO for the detection of CTEPH and the incremental diagnostic value of the VG-RVPO as new rule-out criteria in the InShape II algorithm were evaluated.

RESULTS

60 patients were included; 5 (8.3%) were ultimately diagnosed with CTEPH. The mean baseline VG-RVPO (at time of PE diagnosis) was -18.12 mV·ms for CTEPH patients and - 21.57 mV·ms for non-CTEPH patients (mean difference 3.46 mV·ms [95%CI -29.03 to 35.94]). The VG-RVPO (after 3-6 months follow-up) normalized in patients with and without CTEPH, without a clear between-group difference (mean Δ VG-RVPO of -8.68 and - 8.42 mV·ms respectively; mean difference of -0.25 mV·ms, [95%CI -12.94 to 12.44]). The overall predictive accuracy of baseline VG-RVPO, follow-up RVPO and Δ VG-RVPO for CTEPH was moderate to poor (ROC AUC 0.611, 0.514 and 0.539, respectively). Up to 76% of the required echocardiograms could have been avoided with VG-RVPO criteria replacing the InShape II rule-out criteria, however at cost of missing up to 80% of the CTEPH diagnoses.

CONCLUSION

We could not demonstrate (additional) diagnostic value of VG-RVPO as standalone test or as on top of the InShape II algorithm.

Pulmonary thromboembolic events in COVID‐19 – a systematic literature review

Pulmonary thromboembolic events have been linked to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19), but their incidence and long‐term sequelae remain unclear. We performed a systematic literature review to investigate the incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE), microthrombi, thrombosis in situ (thromboinflammatory disease), and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) during and after COVID‐19. PubMed and the World Health Organization Global Research Database were searched on May 7, 2021. Hospital cohort and database studies reporting data for ≥1000 patients and autopsy studies reporting data for ≥20 patients were included. Results were summarized descriptively. We screened 1438 records and included 41 references (32 hospital/database studies and 9 autopsy studies). The hospital/database studies reported the incidence of PE but not CTEPH, microthrombi, or thromboinflammatory disease. PE incidence varied widely (0%–1.1% of outpatients, 0.9%–8.2% of hospitalized patients, and 1.8%–18.9% of patients in intensive care). One study reported PE events occurring within 45 days after hospital discharge (incidence in discharged patients: 0.2%). Segmental arteries were generally the most common location for PE. In autopsy studies, PE, thromboinflammatory disease, and microthrombi were reported in 6%–23%, 43%–100%, and 45%–84% of deceased patients, respectively. Overall, the included studies mostly focused on PE during the acute phase of COVID‐19. The results demonstrate the challenges of identifying and characterizing vascular abnormalities using current protocols (e.g., visual computed tomography reads). Further research is needed to detect subtle pulmonary vascular abnormalities, distinguish thromboinflammatory disease from PE, optimize treatment, and assess the incidence of long‐term sequelae after COVID‐19.

Prediction of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension with standardised evaluation of initial computed tomography pulmonary angiography performed for suspected acute pulmonary embolism

Objectives

Closer reading of computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) scans of patients presenting with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) may identify those at high risk of developing chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). We aimed to validate the predictive value of six radiological predictors that were previously proposed.

Methods

Three hundred forty-one patients with acute PE were prospectively followed for development of CTEPH in six European hospitals. Index CTPAs were analysed post hoc by expert chest radiologists blinded to the final diagnosis. The accuracy of the predictors using a predefined threshold for ‘high risk’ (≥ 3 predictors) and the expert overall judgment on the presence of CTEPH were assessed.

Results

CTEPH was confirmed in nine patients (2.6%) during 2-year follow-up. Any sign of chronic thrombi was already present in 74/341 patients (22%) on the index CTPA, which was associated with CTEPH (OR 7.8, 95%CI 1.9–32); 37 patients (11%) had ≥ 3 of 6 radiological predictors, of whom 4 (11%) were diagnosed with CTEPH (sensitivity 44%, 95%CI 14–79; specificity 90%, 95%CI 86–93). Expert judgment raised suspicion of CTEPH in 27 patients, which was confirmed in 8 (30%; sensitivity 89%, 95%CI 52–100; specificity 94%, 95%CI 91–97).

Conclusions

The presence of ≥ 3 of 6 predefined radiological predictors was highly specific for a future CTEPH diagnosis, comparable to overall expert judgment, while the latter was associated with higher sensitivity. Dedicated CTPA reading for signs of CTEPH may therefore help in early detection of CTEPH after PE, although in our cohort this strategy would not have detected all cases.

Key Points

• Three expert chest radiologists re-assessed CTPA scans performed at the moment of acute pulmonary embolism diagnosis and observed a high prevalence of chronic thrombi and signs of pulmonary hypertension.

• On these index scans, the presence of ≥ 3 of 6 predefined radiological predictors was highly specific for a future diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), comparable to overall expert judgment.

• Dedicated CTPA reading for signs of CTEPH may help in early detection of CTEPH after acute pulmonary embolism.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00330-021-08364-0.

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension anno 2021

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

In the past decades, the diagnostic and therapeutic management of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) has been revolutionized.

RECENT FINDINGS

Advances in epidemiological knowledge and follow-up studies of pulmonary embolism patients have provided more insight in the incidence and prevalence. Improved diagnostic imaging techniques allow accurate assessment of the location and extend of the thromboembolic burden in the pulmonary artery tree, which is important for the determination of the optimal treatment strategy. Next to the pulmonary endarterectomy, the newly introduced technique percutaneous pulmonary balloon angioplasty and/or P(A)H-targeted medical therapy has been shown to be beneficial in selected patients with CTEPH and might also be of importance in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary vascular disease.

SUMMARY

In this era of a comprehensive approach to CTEPH with different treatment modalities, a multidisciplinary approach guides management decisions leading to optimal treatment and follow-up of patients with CTEPH.

Higher Incidence of Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension After Acute Pulmonary Embolism in Asians Than in Europeans: A Meta-Analysis

Aim: To summarize the incidence of right heart catheter diagnosed chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after acute pulmonary embolism (PE) in a meta-analysis. Methods: Cohort studies reporting the incidence of CTEPH after acute PE were identified via search of Medline, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and WanFang databases. Results: Twenty-two cohort studies with 5,834 acute PE patients were included. Pooled results showed that the overall incidence of CTEPH was 2.82% (95% CI: 2.11-3.53%). Subgroup analyses showed higher incidence of CTEPH in Asians than Europeans (5.08 vs. 1.96%, p = 0.01), in retrospective cohorts than prospective cohorts (4.75 vs. 2.47%, p = 0.02), and in studies with smaller sample size than those with larger sample size (4.57 vs. 1.71%, p < 0.001). Stratified analyses showed previous venous thromboembolic events and unprovoked PE were both significantly associated with increased risk of CTEPH (OR = 2.57 and 2.71, respectively; both p < 0.01). Conclusions: The incidence of CTEPH after acute PE is ~3% and the incidence is higher in Asians than Europeans. Efforts should be made for the early diagnosis and treatment of CTEPH in PE patients, particularly for high-risk population.

Development and validation of a claims-based model to identify patients at risk of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension following acute pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a rare disease that often follows pulmonary embolism (PE). Screening for CTEPH is challenging, often delaying diagnosis and worsening prognosis. Predictive risk models for CTEPH could help identify at-risk patients, but existing models require multiple clinical inputs. We developed and validated a predictive risk model for CTEPH using health insurance claims that can be used by payers/quality-of-care organizations to screen patients post-PE.

METHODS

Adult patients newly diagnosed with acute PE (index date) were identified from the Optum De-identified Clinformatics Extended DataMart (January 2007-March 2018; development set) and IBM MarketScan (January 2008-June 2019; validation set) databases. Predictors were identified 12 months before or on the index PE. Risk of "likely CTEPH" was assessed post-PE based on CTEPH-related diagnoses and procedures since the CTEPH diagnosis code (ICD-10-CM: I27.24) was not available until 1 October 2017. Stepwise variable selection was used to build the model using the development set; model validation was subsequently conducted using the validation set.

RESULTS

The development set included 93,428 patients, of whom 11,878 (12.7%) developed likely CTEPH. Older age (odds ratios [OR] = 1.16-1.49), female (OR = 1.09), unprovoked PE (i.e. without thrombotic factors; OR = 1.14), hypertension (OR = 1.07), osteoarthritis (OR = 1.08), diabetes (OR = 1.07), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 1.11), obesity (OR = 1.21) were associated with higher odds of likely CTEPH, and oral anticoagulants with lower odds (OR= 0.50, all p < .01). C-statistic was 0.77 in the development and validation sets.

CONCLUSION

A claims-based risk model reliably predicted the risk of CTEPH post-PE and could be used to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from focused monitoring.

Evaluation and management of patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension - consensus statement from the ISHLT

ISHLT members have recognized the importance of a consensus statement on the evaluation and management of patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. The creation of this document required multiple steps, including the engagement of the ISHLT councils, approval by the Standards and Guidelines Committee, identification and selection of experts in the field, and the development of 6 working groups. Each working group provided a separate section based on an extensive literature search. These sections were then coalesced into a single document that was circulated to all members of the working groups. Key points were summarized at the end of each section. Due to the limited number of comparative trials in this field, the document was written as a literature review with expert opinion rather than based on level of evidence.

Raising the bar to ultradisciplinary collaborations in management of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension is an underdiagnosed and potentially fatal subgroup of pulmonary hypertension, if left untreated. Clinical signs include exertional dyspnea and non-specific symptoms. Diagnosis requires multimodality imaging and heart catheterization. Pulmonary endarterectomy, an open heart surgery, is the gold standard treatment of choice in selected patients in specialized centers. Targeted medical therapy and balloon pulmonary angioplasty can be effective in high-risk patients with significant comorbidities, distal pulmonary vascular obstructions, or recurrent/persistent pulmonary hypertension after pulmonary endarterectomy. Currently, there is a limited number of data regarding novel coronavirus-2019 infection in patients with chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension and the changing spectrum of the disease during the pandemic. Challenging times during this outbreak due to healthcare crisis and relatively higher case-fatality rates require convergence; that is an ultradisciplinary collaboration, which crosses disciplinary and sectorial boundaries to develop integrated knowledge and new paradigms. Management strategies for the "new normal" such as virtual care, preparedness for further threats, redesigned standards and working conditions, reevaluation of specific recommendations, and online collaborations for optimal decisions for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension patients may change the poor outcomes.

Non-invasive early exclusion of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism: the InShape II study

BACKGROUND

The current diagnostic delay of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after pulmonary embolism (PE) is unacceptably long, causing loss of quality-adjusted life years and excess mortality. Validated screening strategies for early CTEPH diagnosis are lacking. Echocardiographic screening among all PE survivors is associated with overdiagnosis and cost-ineffectiveness. We aimed to validate a simple screening strategy for excluding CTEPH early after acute PE, limiting the number of performed echocardiograms.

METHODS

In this prospective, international, multicentre management study, consecutive patients were managed according to a screening algorithm starting 3 months after acute PE to determine whether echocardiographic evaluation of pulmonary hypertension (PH) was indicated. If the 'CTEPH prediction score' indicated high pretest probability or matching symptoms were present, the 'CTEPH rule-out criteria' were applied, consisting of ECG reading and N-terminalpro-brain natriuretic peptide. Only if these results could not rule out possible PH, the patients were referred for echocardiography.

RESULTS

424 patients were included. Based on the algorithm, CTEPH was considered absent in 343 (81%) patients, leaving 81 patients (19%) referred for echocardiography. During 2-year follow-up, one patient in whom echocardiography was deemed unnecessary by the algorithm was diagnosed with CTEPH, reflecting an algorithm failure rate of 0.29% (95% CI 0% to 1.6%). Overall CTEPH incidence was 3.1% (13/424), of whom 10 patients were diagnosed within 4 months after the PE presentation.

CONCLUSIONS

The InShape II algorithm accurately excluded CTEPH, without the need for echocardiography in the overall majority of patients. CTEPH was identified early after acute PE, resulting in a substantially shorter diagnostic delay than in current practice.

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension risk score evaluation and validation (CTEPH Solution): proposal of a study protocol aimed to realize a validated risk score for early diagnosis

BACKGROUND

Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension (CTEPH) is the most serious long-term complication of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) though it is the only potentially reversible form of Pulmonary Hypertension (PH). Its incidence is mainly limited to the first 2 years following the embolic event, however it is often underdiagnosed or misdiagnosed.

METHODS

This is a multicenter observational cross-sectional and prospective study. Patients with a prior diagnosis of PE will be enrolled and undergo baseline evaluation for prevalent PH detection through a clinical examination and an echocardiogram as first screening exam. All cases of intermediate-high echocardiographic probability of PH will be confirmed by right heart catheterization and then identified as CTEPH through appropriate imaging and functional examinations in order to exclude other causes of PH. A CTEPH Risk Score will be created using retrospective data from this prevalent cohort of patients and will be then validated on an incident cohort of patients with acute PE.

RESULTS

1000 retrospective and 218 prospective patients are expected to be enrolled and the study is expected to be completed by the end of 2021. Up to now 841 patients (620 retrospective and 221 prospective) have been enrolled.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first large prospective study for the prediction of CTEPH development in patients with PE. It aims to create a comprehensive scoring tool that includes echocardiographic data which may allow early detection of CTEPH and the application of targeted follow up screening programs in patients with PE.

Caging the dragon: Research approach to COVID-19-related thrombosis

The incidence of venous thrombosis, mostly pulmonary embolism (PE), ranging from local immunothrombosis to central emboli, but also deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in people with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is reported to be remarkably high. The relevance of better understanding, predicting, treating, and preventing COVID-19-associated venous thrombosis meets broad support, as can be concluded from the high number of research, review, and guideline papers that have been published on this topic. The Dutch COVID & Thrombosis Coalition (DCTC) is a multidisciplinary team involving a large number of Dutch experts in the broad area of venous thrombosis and hemostasis research, combined with experts on virology, critically ill patients, pulmonary diseases, and community medicine, across all university hospitals and many community hospitals in the Netherlands. Within the consortium, clinical data of at least 5000 admitted COVID-19-infected individuals are available, including substantial collections of biobanked materials in an estimated 3000 people. In addition to considerable experience in preclinical and clinical thrombosis research, the consortium embeds virology-hemostasis research models within unique biosafety facilities to address fundamental questions on the interaction of virus with epithelial and vascular cells, in relation to the coagulation and inflammatory system. The DCTC has initiated a comprehensive research program to answer many of the current questions on the pathophysiology and best anticoagulant treatment of COVID-19-associated thrombotic complications. The research program was funded by grants of the Netherlands Thrombosis Foundation and the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development. Here, we summarize the design and main aims of the research program.

Why, Whom, and How to Screen for Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension after Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is considered a long-term complication of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Diagnosing CTEPH is challenging, as demonstrated by a considerable diagnostic delay exceeding 1 year, which has a negative impact on the patient's prognosis. Dedicated screening CTEPH strategies in PE survivors could potentially help diagnosing CTEPH earlier, although the optimal strategy is unknown. Recently published updated principles for screening in medicine outline the conditions that must be considered before implementation of a population-based screening program. Following these extensive principles, we discuss the pros and cons of CTEPH screening, touching on the epidemiology of CTEPH, the prognosis of CTEPH in the perspective of emerging treatment possibilities, and potentially useful tests and test combinations for screening. This review provides a modern perspective on CTEPH screening including a novel approach using a simple noninvasive algorithm of sequential diagnostic tests applied to all PE survivors.

Essential aspects of the follow-up after acute pulmonary embolism: An illustrated review

Care for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) involves more than determination of the duration of anticoagulant therapy. After choosing the optimal initial management strategy based on modern risk stratification schemes, patients require focused attention aimed at prevention of major bleeding, identification of underlying (malignant) disease, prevention of cardiovascular disease, and monitoring for long-term complications. The most frequent complication of PE is the so-called "post-PE syndrome," a phenomenon of permanent functional limitations after PE occurring in up to 50% of patients. The post-PE syndrome is caused by persistent deconditioning, anxiety, and/or ventilatory or circulatory impairment as a result of acute PE. The most severe and most feared presentation of the post-PE syndrome is chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), a deadly disease if it remains untreated. While CTEPH may be successfully treated with pulmonary endarterectomy, balloon pulmonary angioplasty, and/or pulmonary hypertension drugs, the major challenge is to diagnose CTEPH at an early stage. Poor awareness for the post-PE syndrome and in particular for CTEPH, high prevalence of persistent symptoms after PE and inefficient application of diagnostic tests in clinical practice all contribute to an unacceptable diagnostic delay and underdiagnosis. Its consequences are dire: increased mortality in patients with CTEPH, and excess health care costs, higher prevalence of depression, more unemployment and poorer quality of life in patients with post-PE syndrome in general. In this review, we provide an overview of the incidence and impact of the post-PE syndrome, and illustrate the clinical presentation, optimal diagnostic strategy as well as therapeutic options.

Diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is the most severe long-term complication of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Untreated CTEPH is fatal, but, if diagnosed in time, successful surgical (pulmonary endarterectomy), medical (pulmonary hypertension drugs) and/or interventional (balloon pulmonary angioplasty) therapies have been shown to improve clinical outcomes, especially in case of successful pulmonary endarterectomy. Early diagnosis has however been demonstrated to be challenging. Poor awareness of the disease by patients and physicians, high prevalence of the post-PE syndrome (i.e. persistent dyspnoea, functional limitations and/or decreased quality of life following an acute PE diagnosis), lack of clear guideline recommendations as well as inefficient application of diagnostic tests in clinical practice lead to a reported staggering diagnostic delay >1 year. Hence, there is a great need to improve current clinical practice and diagnose CTEPH earlier. In this review, we will focus on the clinical presentation of and risk factors for CTEPH, and provide best practices for PE follow-up programmes from expert centres, based on a clinical case.

Post partum female with sudden-onset breathlessness

A 31-year-old, married female was admitted with complaints of sudden-onset shortness of breath and dry cough since that morning. It was not associated with chest tightness, wheezing or pleuritic chest pain. There was no history of fever, running nose or haemoptysis. The patient had undergone lower-segment caesarean section 2 weeks previously and had reduced mobility since then. She was known to have hypothyroidism for the past 3 years, which was well controlled on thyroxine. On admission, the patient had a respiratory rate of 30 per min, pulse rate of 130 per min, blood pressure of 110/70 mmHg and oxygen saturation by finger pulse oximetry of 89% on room air. Arterial blood gases on ambient air revealed pH of 7.48, carbon dioxide tension of 30 mmHg, oxygen tension of 58 mmHg and bicarbonate of 22 mEq·L⁻¹. Chest radiography did not reveal any significant abnormality. ECG revealed sinus tachycardia, right-axis deviation and T-wave inversion in leads V1–V4.

Management of pulmonary embolism in post partum females is a challenge. Lower segment caesarean section in past 3 weeks is a contraindication to systemic thrombolysis. Heparin, fondaparinux and warfarin can be safely used in breast-feeding mothers.http://bit.ly/39Nr7qY

Performance of bleeding risk scores in dialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Bleeding risk scores have been created to identify patients with an increased bleeding risk, which could also be useful in dialysis patients. However, the predictive performances of these bleeding risk scores in dialysis patients are unknown. Therefore, the aim of this study was to validate existing bleeding risk scores in dialysis patients.

METHODS

A cohort of 1745 incident dialysis patients was prospectively followed for 3 years during which bleeding events were registered. We evaluated the discriminative performance of the Hypertension, Abnormal kidney and liver function, Stroke, Bleeding, Labile INR, Elderly and Drugs or alcohol (HASBLED), the AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation (ATRIA), the Hepatic or kidney disease, Ethanol abuse, Malignancy, Older age, Reduced platelet count or Reduced platelet function, Hypertension, Anaemia, Genetic factors, Excessive fall risk and Stroke (HEMORR2HAGES) and the Outcomes Registry for Better Informed Treatment (ORBIT) bleeding risk scores by calculating C-statistics with 95% confidence intervals (CI). In addition, calibration was evaluated by comparing predicted and observed risks.

RESULTS

Of the 1745 dialysis patients, 183 patients had a bleeding event, corresponding to an incidence rate of 5.23/100 person-years. The HASBLED [C-statistic of 0.58 (95% CI 0.54-0.62)], ATRIA [C-statistic of 0.55 (95% CI 0.51-0.60)], HEMORR2HAGES [C-statistic of 0.56 (95% CI 0.52-0.61)] and ORBIT [C-statistic of 0.56 (95% CI 0.52-0.61)] risk scores had poor discriminative performances in dialysis patients. Furthermore, the calibration analyses showed that patients with a low risk of bleeding according to the HASBLED, ATRIA, HEMORR2HAGES and ORBIT bleeding risk scores had higher incidence rates for bleeding in our cohort than predicted.

CONCLUSIONS

The HASBLED, ATRIA, HEMORR2HAGES and ORBIT bleeding risk scores had poor predictive abilities in dialysis patients. Therefore, these bleeding risk scores may not be useful in this population.

Quality of life and functional limitations after pulmonary embolism and its prognostic relevance

BACKGROUND

While the importance of patients' quality of life (QoL) in chronic cardiac or pulmonary disease is uncontroversial, the burden of an acute pulmonary embolism (PE) on QoL has received little attention thus far.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to validate the German PEmb-QoL questionnaire, identify associations between QoL and clinical/functional parameters, and investigate the prognostic relevance of QoL for long-term survival in survivors of an acute PE episode.

PATIENTS/METHODS

Patients were invited for a clinical follow-up visit including assessment of QoL using the German PEmb-QoL questionnaire 6 months after an objectively confirmed PE at a single center. Internal consistency reliability, construct-related validity, and regressions between PEmb-QoL and clinical patient-characteristics were assessed using standard scale construction techniques.

RESULTS

Overall, 101 patients [median age, 69 ([interquartile range] IQR 57-75) years; women, 48.5%] were examined 208 (IQR 185-242) days after PE. Internal consistency reliability and construct-related validity of the PEmb-QoL questionnaire were acceptable. As many as 47.0% of patients reported dyspnea, 27.5% had right ventricular (RV) dysfunction on transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and 25.3% were diagnosed with post-PE impairment (PPEI) at 6-month follow-up. Furthermore, 15.9% of patients were diagnosed with depression 6 months after an acute PE. The QoL was affected by dyspnea, preexisting pulmonary disease, and PPEI, and a reduced QoL was associated with an increased risk for long-term mortality after an observation period of 3.6 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The German PEmb-QoL questionnaire is a reliable instrument for assessing QoL 6 months after PE. The QoL was affected by dyspnea, preexisting pulmonary disease, and PPEI and was associated with long-term mortality.

2018 TSOC guideline focused update on diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is characterized as a progressive and sustained increase in pulmonary vascular resistance, which may induce right ventricular failure. In 2014, the Working Group on Pulmonary Hypertension of the Taiwan Society of Cardiology (TSOC) conducted a review of data and developed a guideline for the management of PAH.⁴ In recent years, several advancements in diagnosis and treatment of PAH has occurred. Therefore, the Working Group on Pulmonary Hypertension of TSOC decided to come up with a focused update that addresses clinically important advances in PAH diagnosis and treatment. This 2018 focused update deals with: (1) the role of echocardiography in PAH; (2) new diagnostic algorithm for the evaluation of PAH; (3) comprehensive prognostic evaluation and risk assessment; (4) treatment goals and follow-up strategy; (5) updated PAH targeted therapy; (6) combination therapy and goal-orientated therapy; (7) updated treatment for PAH associated with congenital heart disease; (8) updated treatment for PAH associated with connective tissue disease; and (9) updated treatment for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension.

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a complication of pulmonary embolism and a major cause of chronic PH leading to right heart failure and death. Lung ventilation/perfusion scintigraphy is the screening test of choice; a normal scan rules out CTEPH. In the case of an abnormal perfusion scan, a high-quality pulmonary angiogram is necessary to confirm and define the pulmonary vascular involvement and prior to making a treatment decision. PH is confirmed with right heart catheterisation, which is also necessary for treatment determination. In addition to chronic anticoagulation therapy, each patient with CTEPH should receive treatment assessment starting with evaluation for pulmonary endarterectomy, which is the guideline recommended treatment. For technically inoperable cases, PH-targeted medical therapy is recommended (currently riociguat based on the CHEST studies), and balloon pulmonary angioplasty should be considered at a centre experienced with this challenging but potentially effective and complementary intervention.

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH): Updated Recommendations from the Cologne Consensus Conference 2018

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a subgroup of pulmonary hypertension that differs from all other forms of PH in terms of its pathophysiology, patient characteristics and treatment. For implementation of the European Guidelines on Diagnosis and Treatment of Pulmonary Hypertension in Germany, the Cologne Consensus Conference 2016 was held and last updated in spring of 2018. One of the working groups was dedicated to CTEPH, practical and controversial issues were commented and updated. In every patient with suspected PH, CTEPH or chronic thromboembolic disease (CTED, i.e. symptomatic residual vasculopathy without pulmonary hypertension) should be excluded. Primary treatment is surgical pulmonary endarterectomy (PEA) in a multidisciplinary CTEPH centre. Inoperable patients or patients with persistent or recurrent CTEPH after PEA are candidates for targeted drug therapy. There is increasing experience with balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) for inoperable patients; this option, like PEA, is reserved for specialised centres with expertise in this treatment method.

Incidence and risk factors of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The incidence and risk factors of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after acute pulmonary embolism (PE) were still controversial. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to assess the incidence and risk factors of CTEPH after acute PE.

METHODS

Embase, Medline, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang databases, and various reference lists were searched to identify studies published up to May 2018. Only cohort studies that used right heart catheterization for CTEPH diagnosis were included. The study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). All analyses were conducted with the meta package in R software (3.2.2).

RESULTS

Fifteen studies met the inclusion criteria. The overall incidence of CTEPH after acute PE, with a median follow-up from 6 to 94.3 months, was 3.13% (95% CI: 2.11-4.63%). The incidence of studies from China [4.46% (95% CI: 1.68-11.32%)] was slightly higher than from Europe [2.82% (95% CI: 1.82-4.34%)]. However, there was no significant difference between these two groups (P=0.39). Subgroup analyses of confirmed diagnostic method showed that compared studies using right heart catheterization [3.25% (95% CI: 2.12-4.97%)], studies using right heart catheterization combined with bundled tests tended to yield a similar data [2.40% (95% CI: 0.97-5.81%), P=0.54]. Previous/recurrent PE or previous VTE, idiopathic PE and right heart dysfunction were considered as risk factors of CTEPH in patients with a previous PE.

CONCLUSIONS

CTEPH is not a rare complication of acute PE. Close follow-up and implementation of a comprehensive screening program are important, especially in patients with independent risk factors.

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension from the perspective of patients with pulmonary embolism

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a rare but feared long-term complication of acute pulmonary embolism (PE), although CTEPH may occur in patients with no history of symptomatic venous thromboembolism. It represents the most severe presentation of the so-called 'post-PE syndrome', a phenomenon of permanent functional limitations after PE caused by deconditioning after PE or ventilatory or circulatory impairment as a result of unresolved pulmonary artery thrombi. Because the post-PE syndrome may occur in up to 50% of PE survivors, and CTEPH tends to have an insidious and non-specific clinical presentation, CTEPH is often not diagnosed or diagnosed after a very long delay. Once the diagnosis is confirmed, the treatment of choice is pulmonary endarterectomy which effectively lowers the pulmonary vascular resistance and normalizes resting pulmonary artery pressures, leading to recovery of the right ventricle. When pulmonary endarterectomy is not technically feasible, balloon pulmonary angioplasty may be a potential acceptable alternative. Also, medical treatment may help to improve patient's symptoms and hemodynamics. Current studies are focusing on strategies for earlier CTEPH diagnosis after acute PE, as well as the most optimal treatment of inoperable patients. This review will focus on the epidemiology, risk factors, diagnosis and treatment of CTEPH from the perspective of the PE patient.

Pulmonary embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is caused by emboli, which have originated from venous thrombi, travelling to and occluding the arteries of the lung. PE is the most dangerous form of venous thromboembolism, and undiagnosed or untreated PE can be fatal. Acute PE is associated with right ventricular dysfunction, which can lead to arrhythmia, haemodynamic collapse and shock. Furthermore, individuals who survive PE can develop post-PE syndrome, which is characterized by chronic thrombotic remains in the pulmonary arteries, persistent right ventricular dysfunction, decreased quality of life and/or chronic functional limitations. Several important improvements have been made in the diagnostic and therapeutic management of acute PE in recent years, such as the introduction of a simplified diagnostic algorithm for suspected PE as well as phase III trials demonstrating the value of direct oral anticoagulants in acute and extended treatment of venous thromboembolism. Future research should aim to address novel treatment options (for example, fibrinolysis enhancers) and improved methods for predicting long-term complications and defining optimal anticoagulant therapy parameters in individual patients, and to gain a greater understanding of post-PE syndrome.

Multicentre observational screening survey for the detection of CTEPH following pulmonary embolism

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a severe complication of pulmonary embolism. Its incidence following pulmonary embolism is debated. Active screening for CTEPH in patients with acute pulmonary embolism is yet to be recommended.

This prospective, multicentre, observational study (Multicentre Observational Screening Survey for the Detection of Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension (CTEPH) Following Pulmonary Embolism (INPUT on PE); ISRCTN61417303) included patients with acute pulmonary embolism from 11 centres in Switzerland from March 2009 to November 2016. Screening for possible CTEPH was performed at 6, 12 and 24 months using a stepwise algorithm that included a dyspnoea phone-based survey, transthoracic echocardiography, right heart catheterisation and radiological confirmation of CTEPH.

Out of 1699 patients with pulmonary embolism, 508 patients were assessed for CTEPH screening over 2 years. CTEPH incidence following pulmonary embolism was 3.7 per 1000 patient-years, with a 2-year cumulative incidence of 0.79%. The Swiss pulmonary hypertension registry consulted in December 2016 did not report additional CTEPH cases in these patients. The survey yielded 100% sensitivity and 81.6% specificity. The second step echocardiography in newly dyspnoeic patients showed a negative predictive value of 100%.

CTEPH is a rare but treatable disease. A simple and sensitive way for CTEPH screening in patients with acute pulmonary embolism is recommended.

Sensitivity of a Simple Noninvasive Screening Algorithm for Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension after Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background  Recently, we constructed a noninvasive screening algorithm aiming at earlier chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) detection after acute pulmonary embolism (PE), consisting of a prediction score and combined electrocardiography (ECG)/N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) assessment. The aim of this study was to confirm the algorithm's sensitivity for CTEPH detection and to evaluate the reproducibility of its individual items. Methods  Two independent researchers calculated the prediction score in 54 consecutive patients with a history of acute PE and proven CTEPH based on clinical characteristics at PE diagnosis, and evaluated the ECG and NT-proBNP level assessed at the moment of CTEPH diagnosis. Interobserver agreement for the assessment of the prediction score, right-to-left ventricle (RV/LV) ratio measurement on computed tomography pulmonary angiography, as well as ECG reading was evaluated by calculating Cohen's kappa statistics. Results  Median time between PE diagnosis and presentation with CTEPH was 9 months (interquartile range: 5-15). The sensitivity of the algorithm was found to be 91% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 79-97%), indicating that 27 of 30 cases of CTEPH would have been detected when applying the screening algorithm to 1,000 random PE survivors with a 3% CTEPH incidence (projected negative predictive value: 99.7%; 95% CI: 99.1-99.9%). The interobserver agreement for calculating the prediction score, RV/LV ratio measurement, and ECG reading was excellent with a kappa of 0.96, 0.95, and 0.89, respectively. Conclusion  The algorithm had a high sensitivity of 91% and was highly reproducible. Prospective validation of the algorithm in consecutive PE patients is required before it can be used in clinical practice.

The pathophysiology of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is a rare, progressive pulmonary vascular disease that is usually a consequence of prior acute pulmonary embolism. CTEPH usually begins with persistent obstruction of large and/or middle-sized pulmonary arteries by organised thrombi. Failure of thrombi to resolve may be related to abnormal fibrinolysis or underlying haematological or autoimmune disorders. It is now known that small-vessel abnormalities also contribute to haemodynamic compromise, functional impairment and disease progression in CTEPH. Small-vessel disease can occur in obstructed areas, possibly triggered by unresolved thrombotic material, and downstream from occlusions, possibly because of excessive collateral blood supply from high-pressure bronchial and systemic arteries. The molecular processes underlying small-vessel disease are not completely understood and further research is needed in this area. The degree of small-vessel disease has a substantial impact on the severity of CTEPH and postsurgical outcomes. Interventional and medical treatment of CTEPH should aim to restore normal flow distribution within the pulmonary vasculature, unload the right ventricle and prevent or treat small-vessel disease. It requires early, reliable identification of patients with CTEPH and use of optimal treatment modalities in expert centres.

Incidence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism: a contemporary view of the published literature

The incidence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after pulmonary embolism (PE) is relevant for management decisions but is currently unknown.We performed a meta-analysis of studies including consecutive PE patients followed for CTEPH. Study cohorts were predefined as "all comers", "survivors" or "survivors without major comorbidities". CTEPH incidences were calculated using random effects models.We selected 16 studies totalling 4047 PE patients who were mostly followed up for >2-years. In 1186 all comers (two studies), the pooled CTEPH incidence was 0.56% (95% CI 0.1-1.0). In 999 survivors (four studies) CTEPH incidence was 3.2% (95% CI 2.0-4.4). In 1775 survivors without major comorbidities (nine studies), CTEPH incidence was 2.8% (95% CI 1.5-4.1). Both recurrent venous thromboembolism and unprovoked PE were significantly associated with a higher risk of CTEPH, with odds ratios of 3.2 (95% CI 1.7-5.9) and 4.1 (95% CI 2.1-8.2) respectively. The pooled CTEPH incidence in 12 studies that did not use right heart catheterisation as the diagnostic standard was 6.3% (95% CI 4.1-8.4).The 0.56% incidence in the all-comer group probably provides the best reflection of the incidence of CTEPH after PE on the population level. The ∼3% incidences in the survivor categories may be more relevant for daily clinical practice. Studies that assessed CTEPH diagnosis by tests other than right heart catheterisation provide overestimated CTEPH incidences.

Derivation of a clinical prediction score for chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension after acute pulmonary embolism

Essentials Predicting chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after pulmonary embolism is hard. We studied 772 patients with pulmonary embolism who were followed for CTEPH (incidence 2.8%). Logistic regression analysis revealed 7 easily collectable clinical variables that combined predict CTEPH. Our score identifies patients at low (0.38%) or higher (10%) risk of CTEPH.

SUMMARY

Introduction Validated risk factors for the diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) after acute pulmonary embolism (PE) are currently lacking. Methods This is a post hoc patient-level analysis of three large prospective cohorts with a total of 772 consecutive patients with acute PE, without major cardiopulmonary or malignant comorbidities. All underwent echocardiography after a median of 1.5 years. In cases with signs of pulmonary hypertension, additional diagnostic tests to confirm CTEPH were performed. Baseline demographics and clinical characteristics of the acute PE event were included in a multivariable regression analysis. Independent predictors were combined in a clinical prediction score. Results CTEPH was confirmed in 22 patients (2.8%) by right heart catheterization. Unprovoked PE, known hypothyroidism, symptom onset > 2 weeks before PE diagnosis, right ventricular dysfunction on computed tomography or echocardiography, known diabetes mellitus and thrombolytic therapy or embolectomy were independently associated with a CTEPH diagnosis during follow-up. The area under the receiver operating charateristic curve (AUC) of the prediction score including those six variables was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-0.94). Sensitivity analysis and bootstrap internal validation confirmed this AUC. Seventy-three per cent of patients were in the low-risk category (CTEPH incidence of 0.38%, 95% CI 0-1.5%) and 27% were in the high-risk category (CTEPH incidence of 10%, 95% CI 6.5-15%). Conclusion The 'CTEPH prediction score' allows for the identification of PE patients with a high risk of CTEPH diagnosis after PE. If externally validated, the score may guide targeting of CTEPH screening to at-risk patients.

Diagnostic advances and opportunities in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) is characterised by the presence of thromboembolic material in the pulmonary circulation, and patients have a poor prognosis without treatment. Patients present with nonspecific symptoms, such as breathlessness and syncope, which means that other more common conditions are sometimes suspected before CTEPH, leading to delayed diagnosis and treatment. This is problematic because CTEPH is potentially curable with surgical pulmonary endarterectomy (PEA); indeed, CTEPH should always be considered in any patient with unexplained pulmonary hypertension (PH).

Several key evaluations are necessary and complementary to confirm a diagnosis of CTEPH and assess operability. Echocardiography is initially used to confirm a general diagnosis of PH. Ventilation/perfusion scanning is then essential in the first stage of CTEPH diagnosis, with a wedge-shaped perfusion deficit indicative of CTEPH. This should be followed by right heart catheterisation (RHC) which is mandatory in confirming the diagnosis and providing haemodynamic parameters that are key predictors of the risk associated with PEA and subsequent prognosis. RHC is ideally coupled with conventional pulmonary angiography, the gold-standard technique for confirming the location and extent of disease, and thus whether the obstruction is surgically accessible. Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography is also now routinely used as a complementary technique to aid diagnosis and operability assessment.

Recent improvements in the resolution of other noninvasive techniques, such as cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, allow for detailed reconstructions of the vascular tree and imaging of vessel defects, and interest in their use is increasing.