Serum D-dimer as an indicator of immediate mortality in patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest

Development of early prediction model of in-hospital cardiac arrest based on laboratory parameters

BACKGROUND

In-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) is an acute disease with a high fatality rate that burdens individuals, society, and the economy. This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model using routine laboratory parameters to predict the risk of IHCA in rescue-treated patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study examined all rescue-treated patients hospitalized at the First Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital in Beijing, China, from January 2016 to December 2020. Five machine learning algorithms, including support vector machine, random forest, extra trees classifier (ETC), decision tree, and logistic regression algorithms, were trained to develop models for predicting IHCA. We included blood counts, biochemical markers, and coagulation markers in the model development. We validated model performance using fivefold cross-validation and used the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) for model interpretation.

RESULTS

A total of 11,308 participants were included in the study, of which 7779 patients remained. Among these patients, 1796 (23.09%) cases of IHCA occurred. Among five machine learning models for predicting IHCA, the ETC algorithm exhibited better performance, with an AUC of 0.920, compared with the other four machine learning models in the fivefold cross-validation. The SHAP showed that the top ten factors accounting for cardiac arrest in rescue-treated patients are prothrombin activity, platelets, hemoglobin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, neutrophils, prothrombin time, serum albumin, sodium, activated partial thromboplastin time, and potassium.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a reliable machine learning-derived model that integrates readily available laboratory parameters to predict IHCA in patients treated with rescue therapy.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Hepatic Hemangioma Associated with Coagulopathy and Its Predictive Risk Factors

Background: Knowledge of the relationships between hepatic hemangiomas and coagulopathy and the risk factors for hemangiomas is lacking. The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence and characteristics of hepatic hemangiomas associated with coagulopathy, elucidate the causes of coagulopathy, and identify the predictive factors for hemangioma-related complications. Methods: In 281 consecutive patients with hepatic hemangiomas, we performed ultrasonography and conducted serum laboratory tests for liver function and six coagulation factors, i.e., platelets, as well as five coagulation fibrinolytic markers (prothrombin time (PT), fibrinogen, thrombin-antithrombin III complex (TAT), d-dimer, and fibrin and fibrinogen degradation products (FDP)) as indicators of coagulation disorder. Results: Among 281 patients, 56 (19.9%) had abnormal coagulation factors. Abnormal values of d-dimer were most frequently found among the six coagulation factors. The number of abnormal coagulation factors was significantly correlated with tumor size, M2BPGi, and HDL cholesterol, among which tumor size was the most significant independent predictor of the number of abnormal coagulation factors. Conclusions: The prevalence of hepatic hemangiomas associated with coagulopathy was relatively high and became more frequent with increases in tumor size. Predictive factors of hemangioma-related complications were found to be a tumor size of >5 cm in diameter and coagulopathy, especially the elevation of d-dimer.

Association of tumor size and internal echo pattern with coagulopathy associated with hepatic hemangioma

Little is known concerning causal factors associated with the size and echogenicity of hepatic hemangiomas. The aim of the present study was to investigate the associations between tumor size and echo pattern and coagulation factors, and to elucidate the growth pattern of hemangiomas. In 214 consecutive patients with hepatic hemangiomas, ultrasonography was performed to determine total tumor number, size, echogenicity and location, and serum laboratory tests for liver function and coagulation factors were carried out. The ultrasonographic appearance of hemangiomas was homogeneous in 75.7% of cases and mixed in 24.3% of cases. A mixed echo pattern was seen in 1 out of 145 masses (0.7%) with a diameter <20 mm, in 30 out of 48 (62.5%) with a diameter of 20-40 mm, and in all of the 21 (100%) with a diameter >40 mm. Platelet counts (P<0.0001) and fibrinogen levels (P<0.01) were lower in patients with larger and mixed tumors. Levels of thrombin-antithrombin III complex (TAT), D-dimer, and fibrin and fibrinogen degradation products (FDP) were significantly elevated along with an increase in tumor size (all P<0.0001), and the number of patients with the abnormal values of TAT, D-dimer, and FDP was significantly higher in the mixed group than in the homogeneous group (all P<0.0001). Fibrinogen (P<0.01), platelet count (P<0.001), portal vein diameter (P<0.0001), splenic index (P<0.01), and levels of TAT, D-dimer and FDP (all P<0.0001) were significantly associated with tumor size. Multivariate analysis revealed TAT, D-dimer and FDP as independent predictors of tumor size. The internal echo pattern became mixed as size increased. The size and echogenicity of hemangiomas were closely associated with coagulation factors. Therefore, it was speculated that differences in size and echogenicity were caused by intratumoral thrombosis and subsequent hemorrhage.

Prolonged Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time after Successful Resuscitation from Cardiac Arrest is Associated with Unfavorable Neurologic Outcome

Coagulation abnormalities after successful resuscitation from cardiac arrest may be associated with unfavorable neurologic outcome. We investigated a potential association of activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) with neurologic outcome in adult cardiac arrest survivors. Therefore, we included all adults ≥18 years of age who suffered a nontraumatic cardiac arrest and had achieved return of spontaneous circulation between January 2013 and December 2018. Patients receiving anticoagulants or thrombolytic therapy and those subjected to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support were excluded. Routine blood sampling was performed on admission as soon as a vascular access was available. The primary outcome was 30-day neurologic function, assessed by the Cerebral Performance Category scale (3-5 = unfavorable neurologic function). Multivariable regression was used to assess associations between normal (≤41 seconds) and prolonged (>41 seconds) aPTT on admission (exposure) and the primary outcome. Results are given as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Out of 1,591 cardiac arrest patients treated between 2013 and 2018, 360 patients (32% female; median age: 60 years [interquartile range: 48-70]) were eligible for analysis. A total of 263 patients (73%) had unfavorable neurologic function at day 30. aPTT prolongation >41 seconds was associated with a 190% increase in crude OR of unfavorable neurologic function (crude OR: 2.89; 95% CI: 1.78-4.68, p < 0.001) and with more than double the odds after adjustment for traditional risk factors (adjusted OR: 2.01; 95% CI: 1.13-3.60, p = 0.018). In conclusion, aPTT prolongation on admission is associated with unfavorable neurologic outcome after successful resuscitation from cardiac arrest.

Serial disseminated intravascular coagulation score with neuron specific enolase predicts the mortality of cardiac arrest-a pilot study

Background

Prognosis in cardiac arrest (CA) patients has been challenging. We sought to investigate prognostic value combining serial disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) score and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients.

Methods

Sixty-one consecutive patients successfully resuscitated after CA were included in the analysis. DIC score and NSE levels were serially analyzed after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The outcome measure was death before hospital discharge. Prognostication performance was assessed as the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC). Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used for internal validation of predictive models. Calibration curves were drawn to visualize the results of tests.

Results

The NSE levels continued to increase in the first 72 h in non-survivors. In survivors, the NSE levels decreased after 48 h. Both DIC score at 48 h and NSE level at 48 h were good predictors of outcome. The AUC for predictive mortality in OHCA patients was 0.869 (95% CI, 0.781-0.956) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 24 h, 0.878 (95% CI, 0.791-0.965) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 48 h and 0.882 (95% CI, 0.792-0.972) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 72 h, respectively. Significance of Hosmer-Lemeshow test was 0.488, 0.324, 0.011 for each combination.

Conclusions

Serial DIC score combined with measurement of NSE levels is a useful and accessible tool for prognostication following OHCA.

Prognostic value of repeated thromboelastography measurement for favorable neurologic outcome during targeted temperature management in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors

BACKGROUND

Cardiac arrest can activate blood coagulation, which clinically manifests as obstruction of the microcirculation and multiple organ dysfunction. Thromboelastography (TEG) provides a rapid and comprehensive assessment of hemostatic processes, but there are limited data on the use of sequential TEG values during targeted temperature management (TTM) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of coagulopathy assessed by repeated TEG to predict neurologically intact survival.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of consecutive non-trauma OHCA patients who were successfully resuscitated and treated with TTM. Patients with a target temperature of 36 ℃, no TEG data, and who declined appropriate treatment were excluded. TEG was measured at three time points of TTM (initial phase, target phase, and rewarming phase). The primary outcome was 28 day favorable neurologic function, defined as a Cerebral Performance Category of 1 or 2.

RESULTS

A total of 125 patients (mean age, 61 years; 63.2% male) were analyzed. A favorable neurologic outcome at 28 days was seen in 40 patients (32.0%). TEG values of R and LY30 in the initial phase were significantly lower in the favorable neurologic outcome group than in the unfavorable group (5.8 vs. 8.1 and 0.1 vs. 0.7, respectively; p < 0.01). TEG values of R < 5 or LY30 < 7.5 in the initial phase were more frequently seen in the favorable outcomes group than in the unfavorable group (37.5% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.002 and 95.0% vs. 72.9%, p = 0.004, respectively). However, no significant differences were seen between the two groups in other TEG values (R, K, alpha, and MA) in the target and rewarming phases (p > 0.05 for all). Univariate analysis showed higher D-dimer levels, prothrombin time, and activated partial thromboplastin time in the unfavorable outcome group. In the multivariable analysis, TEG values of combination of R < 5 and LY30 < 7.5 in the initial phase were the only coagulation profiles seen to be independently associated with favorable neurologic outcome (OR, 4.508, 95% CI, 1.254-16.210).

CONCLUSION

TEG results are available within minutes, and shorted R values or the absence of prolonged LY30 values in the initial phase are an early predictor of neurologically intact survival in successfully resuscitated OHCA patients.

Increased Fibrinolysis as a Specific Marker of Poor Outcome After Cardiac Arrest

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Objectives:

Recent data suggest that early increased fibrinolysis may be associated with unfavorable prognosis in cardiac arrest. The current study aimed to assess whether there is an optimal fibrinolysis cutoff value as determined by thrombelastometry at hospital admission to predict poor outcome in a cohort of adult patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Design:

Prospective observational cohort study.

Setting:

Emergency department of a 2.100-bed tertiary care facility in Vienna, Austria, Europe.

Patients:

Patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest of presumed cardiac origin, subjected to targeted temperature management, who had achieved return of spontaneous circulation at admission were analyzed.

Interventions:

None.

Measurements and Main Results:

Fibrinolysis was assessed by thrombelastometry at the bedside immediately after hospital admission and is given as maximum lysis (%). The outcome measure was the optimal cutoff for maximum lysis at hospital admission to predict poor outcome (a composite of Cerebral Performance Category 3–5 or death) at day 30, assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Seventy-eight patients (61% male, median 59 yr) were included in the study from March 2014 to March 2017. Forty-two patients (54%) had a poor 30-day outcome including 23 nonsurvivors (30%). The maximum lysis cutoff at admission predicting poor 30-day outcome with 100% specificity (95% CI, 90–100%) was greater than or equal to 20%. Tissue-type plasminogen activator antigen levels were likewise elevated in patients with poor neurologic outcome or death 52 ng/mL (interquartile range, 26–79 ng/mL) versus 29 ng/mL (interquartile range, 17–49 ng/mL; p = 0.036).

Conclusions:

Increased fibrinolysis at admission assessed by thrombelastometry specifically predicts poor outcome in cardiac arrest with presumed cardiac etiology.

Assessment of serum biomarkers and coagulation/fibrinolysis markers for prediction of neurological outcomes of out of cardiac arrest patients treated with therapeutic hypothermia

Objective

Despite increased survival in patients with cardiac arrest, it remains difficult to determine patient prognosis at the early stage. This study evaluated the prognosis of cardiac arrest patients using brain injury, inflammation, cardiovascular ischemic events, and coagulation/fibrinolysis markers collected 24, 48, and 72 hours after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC).

Methods

From January 2011 to December 2016, we retrospectively observed patients who underwent therapeutic hypothermia. Blood samples were collected immediately and 24, 48, and 72 hours after ROSC. Neuron-specific enolase (NSE), S100-B protein, procalcitonin, troponin I, creatine kinase-MB, pro-brain natriuretic protein, D-dimer, fibrin degradation product, antithrombin-III, fibrinogen, and lactate levels were measured. Prognosis was evaluated using Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance categories and the predictive accuracy of each marker was evaluated. The secondary outcome was whether the presence of multiple markers improved prediction accuracy.

Results

A total of 102 patients were included in the study: 39 with good neurologic outcomes and 63 with poor neurologic outcomes. The mean NSE level of good outcomes measured 72 hours after ROSC was 18.50 ng/mL. The area under the curve calculated on receiver operating characteristic analysis was 0.92, which showed the best predictive power among all markers included in the study analysis. The relative integrated discrimination improvement and category-free net reclassification improvement models showed no improvement in prognostic value when combined with all other markers and NSE (72 hours).

Conclusion

Although biomarker combinations did not improve prognostic accuracy, NSE (72 hours) showed the best predictive power for neurological prognosis in patients who received therapeutic hypothermia.

Added value of the DIC score and of D-dimer to predict outcome after successfully resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

Recent Korean data suggest a high prevalence of overt disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) and a good predictive performance of the ISTH DIC score in successfully resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

OBJECTIVES

We hypothesised that in a European cohort of resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients the prevalence of DIC is substantially lower. Furthermore, the determination of D-dimer levels at admission, but not the DIC score, could improve mortality prediction above traditional predictors.

PATIENTS/METHODS

Data were extracted from a prospective cardiac arrest registry including patients admitted between 2006 and 2015, who achieved return of spontaneous circulation and had parameters for DIC score calculation available. The primary outcome was the prevalence of overt DIC at admission. Secondary outcomes included the association of overt DIC with 30-day mortality and the contribution of the DIC score and D-dimer levels to 30-day mortality prediction using logistic regression. Three stepwise models were evaluated by receiver-operating-characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

Out of 1179 patients 388 were included in the study. Overt DIC was present in 8% of patients and associated with substantial 30-day mortality (83% vs. 39%). The AUC for model 1, including traditional mortality predictors, was 0.83. The inclusion of D-dimer levels significantly improved prognostication above traditional predictors (model 3, AUC 0.89), whereas the inclusion of the DIC Score had no effect on mortality prediction (model 2, AUC 0.83).

CONCLUSION

Overt DIC was rare in a European cohort of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients. D-dimer levels improved 30-day mortality prediction and provided added value to assess early mortality risk after successful resuscitation.

Fibrinogen and D-dimer levels elevate in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: High pretreatment fibrinogen levels predict poor outcomes

AIM

Plasma fibrinogen and D-dimer have been reported to predict survival in several types of malignancies. The aim of this study is to investigate their predictive value in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed plasma fibrinogen and D-dimer levels from 252 subjects: control (n = 20), hepatitis (n = 20), cirrhosis (n = 20), and HCC (n = 192) subjects. The clinical involvement and prognostic value of fibrinogen and D-dimer was analyzed in HCC subjects. To confirm the effects of tumor on hypercoagulability and fibrinolysis, fibrinogen and D-dimer levels were measured in nude mice following HCC inoculation.

RESULTS

Fibrinogen decreased and D-dimer increased in cirrhosis subjects relative to other groups. In HCC subjects, elevated fibrinogen and D-dimer levels were significantly associated with adverse tumor features (increased size, stage, and grade) and systemic inflammation. Patients with HCC with either elevated fibrinogen or D-dimer levels had significantly higher 3-year tumor recurrence rates (65% vs. 41%, P < 0.001 for fibrinogen; 67% vs. 40%, P = 0.011 for D-dimer) and significantly lower 3-year overall survival rates (57% vs. 79%, P < 0.001 for fibrinogen; 56% vs. 80%, P = 0.001 for D-dimer). After multivariate analysis, elevated fibrinogen levels remained an independent predictor of poor prognosis in HCC patients. Finally, elevated levels of fibrinogen and D-dimer were confirmed in nude mice following tumor inoculation.

CONCLUSION

The fibrinogen and D-dimer levels, elevating after carcinogenesis, may serve as simple but effective predictors of adverse tumor profiles and outcomes in HCC.

Coagulofibrinolytic Changes in Patients with Post-cardiac Arrest Syndrome

Whole-body ischemia and reperfusion due to cardiac arrest and subsequent return of spontaneous circulation constitute post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS), which consists of four syndromes including systemic ischemia/reperfusion responses and post-cardiac arrest brain injury. The major pathophysiologies underlying systemic ischemia/reperfusion responses are systemic inflammatory response syndrome and increased coagulation, leading to disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), which clinically manifests as obstruction of microcirculation and multiple organ dysfunction. In particular, thrombotic occlusion in the brain due to DIC, referred to as the "no-reflow phenomenon," may be deeply involved in post-cardiac arrest brain injury, which is the leading cause of mortality in patients with PCAS. Coagulofibrinolytic changes in patients with PCAS are characterized by tissue factor-dependent coagulation, which is accelerated by impaired anticoagulant mechanisms, including antithrombin, protein C, thrombomodulin, and tissue factor pathway inhibitor. Damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) accelerate not only tissue factor-dependent coagulation but also the factor XII- and factor XI-dependent activation of coagulation. Inflammatory cytokines are also involved in these changes via the expression of tissue factor on endothelial cells and monocytes, the inhibition of anticoagulant systems, and the release of neutrophil elastase from neutrophils activated by inflammatory cytokines. Hyperfibrinolysis in the early phase of PCAS is followed by inadequate endogenous fibrinolysis and fibrinolytic shutdown by plasminogen activator inhibitor-1. Moreover, cell-free DNA, which is also a DAMP, plays a pivotal role in the inhibition of fibrinolysis. DIC diagnosis criteria or fibrinolysis markers, including d-dimer and fibrin/fibrinogen degradation products, which are commonly tested in patients and easily accessible, can be used to predict the mortality or neurological outcome of PCAS patients with high accuracy. A number of studies have explored therapy for this unique pathophysiology since the first report on "no-reflow phenomenon" was published roughly 50 years ago. However, the optimum therapeutic strategy focusing on the coagulofibrinolytic changes in cardiac arrest or PCAS patients has not yet been established. The elucidation of more precise pathomechanisms of coagulofibrinolytic changes in PCAS may aid in the development of novel therapeutic targets, leading to an improvement in the outcomes of PCAS patients.

Pulmonary embolism with cardiac arrest: a STEMI patient's unexpected course

We describe the successful use and complications of bolus-dose alteplase to treat strongly suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) with cardiac arrest in a patient initially presenting as ST-elevation myocardial infarcation (MI). Case description is followed by a review of the indications, safety, and dosing of systemic thrombolytic therapy for high-risk PE in the emergency department (ED). Diagnostic and therapeutic approach to PE in critically ill patients is also considered, including the potential utility of point-of-care ultrasound (PoCUS) in the ED.