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Deng RX, Zhu XL, Zhang AB, He Y, Fu HX, Wang FR, Mo XD, Wang Y, Zhao XY, Zhang YY, Han W, Chen H, Chen Y, Yan CH, Wang JZ, Han TT, Chen YH, Chang YJ, Xu LP, Huang XJ, Zhang XH. Machine learning algorithm as a prognostic tool for venous thromboembolism in allogeneic transplant patients. Transplant Cell Ther 2023; 29:57.e1-57.e10. [PMID: 36272528 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2022.10.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2022] [Revised: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 10/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
As a serious complication after allogenic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), venous thromboembolism (VTE) is significantly related to increased nonrelapse mortality. Therefore distinguishing patients at high risk of death who should receive specific therapeutic management is key to improving survival. This study aimed to establish a machine learning-based prognostic model for the identification of post-transplantation VTE patients who have a high risk of death. We retrospectively evaluated 256 consecutive VTE patients who underwent allo-HSCT at our center between 2008 and 2019. These patients were further randomly divided into (1) a derivation (80%) cohort of 205 patients and (2) a test (20%) cohort of 51 patients. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) approach was used to choose the potential predictors from the primary dataset. Eight machine learning classifiers were used to produce 8 candidate models. A 10-fold cross-validation procedure was used to internally evaluate the models and to select the best-performing model for external assessment using the test cohort. In total, 256 of 7238 patients were diagnosed with VTE after transplantation. Among them, 118 patients (46.1%) had catheter-related venous thrombosis, 107 (41.8%) had isolated deep-vein thrombosis (DVT), 20 (7.8%) had isolated pulmonary embolism (PE), and 11 (4.3%) had concomitant DVT and PE. The 2-year overall survival (OS) rate of patients with VTE was 68.8%. Using LASSO regression, 8 potential features were selected from the 54 candidate variables. The best-performing algorithm based on the 10-fold cross-validation runs was a logistic regression classifier. Therefore a prognostic model named BRIDGE was then established to predict the 2-year OS rate. The areas under the curves of the BRIDGE model were 0.883, 0.871, and 0.858 for the training, validation, and test cohorts, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed a high agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes. Decision curve analysis indicated that VTE patients could benefit from the clinical application of the prognostic model. A BRIDGE risk score calculator for predicting the study result is available online (47.94.162.105:8080/bridge/). We established the BRIDGE model to precisely predict the risk for all-cause death in VTE patients after allo-HSCT. Identifying VTE patients who have a high risk of death can help physicians treat these patients in advance, which will improve patient survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rui-Xin Deng
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Lu Zhu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Ao-Bei Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Yun He
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Hai-Xia Fu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Feng-Rong Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Dong Mo
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Xiang-Yu Zhao
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Han
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Huan Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Yao Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Chen-Hua Yan
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Jing-Zhi Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Ting-Ting Han
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Yu-Hong Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Ying-Jun Chang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Lan-Ping Xu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Jun Huang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China
| | - Xiao-Hui Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, Beijing, China.
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Zhang GC, Zhang YY, Zeng QZ, Meng XY, Zhao P, Fu HX, He Y, Zhu XL, Mo XD, Wang JZ, Yan CH, Wang FR, Chen H, Chen Y, Han W, Wang Y, Xu LP, Liu KY, Huang XJ, Zhang XH. Outcomes of symptomatic venous thromboembolism after haploidentical donor hematopoietic stem cell transplantation and comparison with human leukocyte antigen-identical sibling transplantation. Thromb Res 2020; 194:168-175. [PMID: 32788111 DOI: 10.1016/j.thromres.2020.06.036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2020] [Revised: 05/18/2020] [Accepted: 06/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) is regarded as a curative therapy for majority of hematologic malignancies and some non-malignant hematologic diseases. Venous thromboembolism (VTE) has become increasingly recognized as a severe complication following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). OBJECTIVES To show the characteristics of VTE after haploidentical donor hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HID-HSCT) and make comparisons with matched related donor HSCT (MRD-HSCT). PATIENTS/METHODS A retrospective nested case-control study design was used, cases with VTE and matched controls were selected, with 3534 patients underwent HID-HSCT and 1289 underwent MRD-HSCT. RESULTS During follow-up, 114 patients with VTE were identified. The incidence of VTE in HID-HSCT group was similar to that of MRD-HSCT group (2.4% versus 2.3%, P = 0.92). In HID-HSCT group, VTE occurred at a median time of 92.5 days, which was earlier than MRD-HSCT group (243.5 days). For HID-HSCT, advanced disease status, cardiovascular risk factors, acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD), and relapse were the independent risk factors for VTE. For MRD-HSCT, cardiovascular risk factors, aGVHD, and relapse were associated with VTE. Overall survival (OS) of patients following HID-HSCT and MRD-HSCT were similar, but the OS in patients with VTE was significantly lower than patients without VTE. CONCLUSIONS There was no statistical difference in the incidence of VTE after HID-HSCT compared with MRD-HSCT. The development of VTE adversely impacted the OS after allo-HSCT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gao-Chao Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Qiao-Zhu Zeng
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Xing-Ye Meng
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Peng Zhao
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Hai-Xia Fu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Yun He
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Xiao-Lu Zhu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Xiao-Dong Mo
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Jing-Zhi Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Chen-Hua Yan
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Feng-Rong Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Huan Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Yao Chen
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Wei Han
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Yu Wang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Lan-Ping Xu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Kai-Yan Liu
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Xiao-Jun Huang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China
| | - Xiao-Hui Zhang
- Peking University People's Hospital, Peking University Institute of Hematology, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation, Beijing, China; Collaborative Innovation Centre of Hematology, Peking University, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Disease, China.
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