Prediction of Kidney Transplant Outcome by Donor Quality Scoring Systems: Expanded Criteria Donor and Deceased Donor Score

Urinary Biomarkers for Cell Cycle Arrest TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 for Prediction of Graft Function Recovery after Kidney Transplantation

TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 have been identified and validated for the early detection of renal injury in critically ill patients, but data on recovery of allograft function after kidney transplantation (KTx) are scarce. In a prospective observational multicenter cohort study of renal transplant recipients, urinary [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] was evaluated daily from day 1 to 7 after KTx. Different stages of early graft function were defined: immediate graft function (IGF) (decrease ≥ 10% in serum creatinine (s-crea) within 24 h post KTx); slow graft function (SGF) (decrease in s-crea < 10% within 24 h post KTx); and delayed graft function (DGF) (any dialysis needed within the first week after KTx). A total of 186 patients were analyzed. [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] was significantly elevated as early as day 1 in patients with DGF compared to SGF and IGF. ROC analysis of [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] at day 1 post-transplant for event "Non-DGF" revealed a cut-off value of 0.9 (ng/mL)2/1000 with a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 71%. The positive predictive value for non-DGF was 93%. [TIMP-2] × [IGFBP7] measured at day 1 after KTx can predict early recovery of transplant function and is therefore a valuable biomarker for clinical decision making.

A prediction model of delayed graft function in deceased donor for renal transplant: a multi-center study from China

Background

Kidneys obtained from deceased donors increase the incidence of delayed graft function (DGF) after renal transplantation. Here we investigated the influence of the risk factors of donors with DGF, and developed a donor risk scoring system for DGF prediction.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted in 1807 deceased kidney donors and 3599 recipients who received donor kidneys via transplants in 29 centers in China. We quantified DGF associations with donor clinical characteristics. A donor risk scoring system was developed and validated using an independent sample set.

Results

The incidence of DGF from donors was 19.0%. Six of the donor characteristics analyzed, i.e., age, cause of death, history of hypertension, terminal serum creatinine, persistence of hypotension, and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) time were risk factors for DGF. A 49-point scoring system of donor risk was established for DGF prediction and exhibited a superior degree of discrimination. External validation of DGF prediction revealed area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUC) curves of 0.7552.

Conclusions

Our study determined the deceased donor risk factors related to DGF after renal transplantation pertinent to the Chinese cohort. The scoring system developed here had superior diagnostic significance and consistency and can be used by clinicians to make evidence-based decisions on the quality of kidneys from deceased donors and guide renal transplantation therapy.

Comprehensive assessment of deceased donor kidneys with clinical characteristics, pre-implant biopsy histopathology and hypothermic mechanical perfusion parameters is highly predictive of delayed graft function

Background: Due to the current high demand for transplant tissue, an increasing proportion of kidney donors are considered extended criteria donors, which results in a higher incidence of delayed graft function (DGF) in organ recipients. Therefore, it is important to fully investigate the risk factors of DGF, and establish a prediction system to assess donor kidney quality before transplantation.Methods: A total of 333 donation after cardiac death kidney transplant recipients were included in this retrospective study. Both univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze the risk factors of DGF occurrence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyze the predictive value of variables on DGF posttransplant.Results: The donor clinical scores, kidney histopathologic Remuzzi scores and hypothermic mechanical perfusion (HMP) parameters (flow and resistance index) were all correlated. 46 recipients developed DGF postoperatively, with an incidence of 13.8% (46/333). Multivariate logistic regression analysis of the kidney transplants revealed that the independent risk factors of DGF occurrence post-transplantation included donor score (OR = 1.12, 95% CI 1.06-1.19, p < 0.001), Remuzzi score (OR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.02-1.43, p = 0.029) and acute tubular injury (ATI) score (OR = 4.72, 95% CI 2.32-9.60, p < 0.001). Prediction of DGF with ROC curve showed that the area under the curve was increased to 0.89 when all variables (donor score, Remuzzi score, ATI score and HMP resistance index) were considered together.Conclusions: Combination of donor clinical information, kidney pre-implant histopathology and HMP parameters provide a more accurate prediction of DGF occurrence post-transplantation than any of the measures alone.

APACHE IV score in postoperative kidney transplantation

Objectives

To evaluate the calibration and discrimination of APACHE IV in the postoperative period after kidney transplantation.

Methods

This clinical cohort study included 986 hospitalized adult patients in the immediate postoperative period after kidney transplantation, in a single center in southern Brazil.

Results

Kidney transplant patients who died in hospital had significantly higher APACHE IV values and higher predicted mortality. The APACHE IV score showed adequate calibration (H-L 11.24 p = 0.188) and a good discrimination ROC curve of 0.738 (95%CI 0.643 - 0.833, p < 0.001), although SMR overestimated mortality (SMR = 0.73; 95%CI: 0.24 - 1.42, p = 0.664).

Conclusions

The APACHE IV score showed adequate performance for predicting hospital outcomes in the postoperative period for kidney transplant recipients.

Characterization of injury in isolated rat proximal tubules during cold incubation and rewarming

Organ shortage leads to an increased utilization of marginal organs which are particularly sensitive to storage-associated damage. Cold incubation and rewarming-induced injury is iron-dependent in many cell types. In addition, a chloride-dependent component of injury has been described. This work examines the injury induced by cold incubation and rewarming in isolated rat renal proximal tubules. The tissue storage solution TiProtec^® and a chloride-poor modification, each with and without iron chelators, were used for cold incubation. Incubation was performed 4°C for up to 168 h, followed by rewarming in an extracellular buffer (3 h at 37°C). After 48, 120 and 168 h of cold incubation LDH release was lower in solutions containing iron chelators. After rewarming, injury increased especially after cold incubation in chelator-free solutions. Without addition of iron chelators LDH release showed a tendency to be higher in chloride-poor solutions. Following rewarming after 48 h of cold incubation lipid peroxidation was significantly decreased and metabolic activity was tendentially better in tubules incubated with iron chelators. Morphological alterations included mitochondrial swelling and fragmentation being partially reversible during rewarming. ATP content was better preserved in chloride-rich solutions. During rewarming, there was a further decline of ATP content in the so far best conditions and minor alterations under the other conditions, while oxygen consumption was not significantly different compared to non-stored control tubules. Results show an iron-dependent component of preservation injury during cold incubation and rewarming in rat proximal renal tubules and reveal a benefit of chloride for the maintenance of tubular energy state during cold incubation.

Risk Balancing of Cold Ischemic Time against Night Shift Surgery Possibly Reduces Rates of Reoperation and Perioperative Graft Loss

Background. This retrospective cohort study evaluates the advantages of risk balancing between prolonged cold ischemic time (CIT) and late night surgery. Methods. 1262 deceased donor kidney transplantations were analyzed. Multivariable regression was used to determine odds ratios (ORs) for reoperation, graft loss, delayed graft function (DGF), and discharge on dialysis. CIT was categorized according to a forward stepwise pattern ≤1h/>1h, ≤2h/>2h, ≤3h/>3h,…, ≤nh/>nh. ORs for DGF were plotted against CIT and a nonlinear regression function with best R² was identified. First and second derivative were then implemented into the curvature formula k(x) = f′′(x)/(1 + f′(x)²)^3/2 to determine the point of highest CIT-mediated risk acceleration. Results. Surgery between 3 AM and 6 AM is an independent risk factor for reoperation and graft loss, whereas prolonged CIT is only relevant for DGF. CIT-mediated risk for DGF follows an exponential pattern f(x) = A · (1 + k · e^{(I · x)}) with a cut-off for the highest risk increment at 23.5 hours. Conclusions. The risk of surgery at 3 AM–6 AM outweighs prolonged CIT when confined within 23.5 hours as determined by a new mathematical approach to calculate turning points of nonlinear time related risks. CIT is only relevant for the endpoint of DGF but had no impact on discharge on dialysis, reoperation, or graft loss.

Dual Kidney Transplantation: Evaluation of Recipient Selection Criteria at Niguarda Hospital

BACKGROUND

Dual kidney transplantation (DKT) is a largely accepted strategy to enlarge the donor pool. Niguarda Hospital started this program in December 2010, and 38 DKT have been performed. In our series, we included recipients older than those in the other series published in literature. The aim of this study was to know if our recipient selection criteria for DKT are safe.

METHODS

We reviewed our data base of DKT and analyzed recipients' medical history, surgical technique, post-operative complications, graft survival, morbidity, and mortality. We then compared our results with the literature.

RESULTS

From December 2010 to April 2015, 38 DKT were performed in Niguarda Hospital. Delayed graft function was present in 21 recipients. Explantation of both kidneys was performed in 1 patient and explantation of 1 kidney in 6 patients. Post-operative complications were present in 8 patients. Five patients returned to hemodialysis after DKT. One recipient died of medical post-operative sepsis. The mean follow-up was 24 months. Graft survival and patient survival were 86.84% and 97.93%, respectively. Compared with the literature, our series had similar mortality and morbidity rates, even if recipients' age was higher than in other series.

CONCLUSIONS

The strategy of DKT allocation in elderly recipients is safe. Further studies have to be performed to optimized selection of the recipients for DKT not to disadvantage younger patients in the transplant waiting list and to improve the technique of organ evaluation and preservation to refine graft allocation.

Clusterin in kidney transplantation: novel biomarkers versus serum creatinine for early prediction of delayed graft function

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Current methods for rapid detection of delayed graft function (DGF) after kidney transplantation are unreliable. Urinary clusterin is a biomarker of kidney injury but its utility for prediction of graft dysfunction is unknown.

METHODS

In a single-center, prospective cohort study of renal transplant recipients (N=81), urinary clusterin was measured serially between 4 hr and 7 days after transplantation. The utility of clusterin for prediction of DGF (hemodialysis within 7 days of transplantation) was compared with urinary interleukin (IL)-18, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), kidney injury molecule-1, serum creatinine, and clinical variables.

RESULTS

At 4 hr after reperfusion, anuria was highly specific, but of low sensitivity for detection of DGF. At 4 hr, receiver operating characteristic analysis suggested that urinary clusterin, IL-18, kidney injury molecule-1, and NGAL concentration were predictive of DGF. After adjusting for preoperative clinical variables and anuria, clusterin and IL-18 independently enhanced the clinical model for prediction of DGF. Kidney injury molecule-1 only modestly improved the prediction of DGF, whereas NGAL, serum creatinine, and the creatinine reduction ratio did not improve on the clinical model. At 12 hr, the creatinine reduction ratio independently predicted DGF.

CONCLUSION

Both urinary clusterin and IL-18 are useful biomarkers and may allow triaging of patients with DGF within 4 hr of transplantation. Relative performance of biomarkers for prediction of graft function is time-dependant. Early and frequent measurements of serum creatinine and calculation of the creatinine reduction ratio also predict DGF within 12 hr of reperfusion.

A comparison of inflammatory, cytoprotective and injury gene expression profiles in kidneys from brain death and cardiac death donors

BACKGROUND

The superior long-term survival of kidneys from living donors (LDs) compared with kidneys from donation-after-brain-death (DBD) and donation-after-cardiac-death (DCD) donors is now well established. However, comparative studies on transcriptional changes that occur at organ retrieval and during and after cold ischemia (CI) are sparse.

METHODS

Using a rat model, we used qRT-PCR to examine expression levels of inflammatory, cytoprotective, and injury genes at different time points after organ retrieval. Cleaved caspase-3 was used to evaluate early apoptosis in DCD and DBD kidneys.

RESULTS

Immediately after retrieval, we found massive up-regulation of proinflammatory genes interleukin-1β, interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-α, monocyte chemotactic protein-1, P-selectin, and E-selectin in DBD compared with LD and DCD kidneys. A significant increase in the expression of injury markers Kim-1, p21, and the cytoprotective gene heme oxygenase-1 accompanied this. Bax was increased in DCD kidneys, and Bcl-2 was decreased in DBD kidneys. After 2 hr of CI in the LD group and 18 hr in the DBD and DCD groups, gene expression levels were similar to those found after retrieval. During 18 hr of cold storage, expression levels of these genes did not change. In DCD and DBD kidneys, early apoptosis increased after CI.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

The gene expression profile in DBD kidneys represents an inflammatory and injury response to brain death. In contrast, DCD kidneys show only mild up-regulation of inflammatory and injury genes. These results may imply why delayed graft function in DCD kidneys does not have the deleterious effect it has on DBD kidneys.

Evaluation of the reasons for nonacceptance of kidneys retrieved or offered in Rio Grande do Sul and Pais Vasco

In Rio Grande do Sul (RS), as in Pais Vasco (PV), some kidneys are retrieved or offered and not accepted for transplantation. This study aimed to evaluate the profile of the available kidneys and the reasons for them not being accepted in the 2 regions, and to compare the characteristics of the organs and reasons for refusal. All of the kidneys retrieved or offered in RS in December 2012 and in PV from September to December 2012 were evaluated. Data were collected from each local donation registry. There were 61 kidneys available in RS and 61 in PV in the study period. Of these, 16 kidneys (26%) in RS and 27 (44%) in PV were not implanted. The age of the donors was higher in PV (59 years) than in RS (45 years; P = .000), as was the age of the donors of accepted kidneys (62 and 41 years old, respectively; P = .000). The proportion of donors considered to be "extended criteria" was higher in PV (78%) than in RS (47%; P = .001), and the refusal rate of the kidneys from these donors was the same in the 2 regions. The reasons for not using the kidneys in RS and in PV were similar and absolute. It is concluded that there is no organ waste in the 2 regions, but that the offer of kidneys can be expanded in RS by considering elderly donors for evaluation, even if this means a higher number of refused organs.

Expanding the use of expanded criteria donors in kidney transplantation

PURPOSE

Although the use of kidney allografts from expanded criteria donors (ECD) has increased in recent years, the reported discard rates are also growing. The influence of ECD characteristics on transplant outcomes is still underevaluated.

METHODS

This retrospective study investigated the influence of preimplantation biopsy findings and delayed graft function (DGF) on patient and graft survivals and renal function at 36 months in a cohort of 372 ECD kidney transplant recipients.

RESULTS

Patient and graft survivals were 91.6 and 68.9 %. The incidence of biopsy-proven acute rejection was 31 %. There were no differences in patient (88.6 vs. 91.1 vs. 94.7 vs. 78.6 %, p = 0.10) or graft (78.1 vs. 72.2 vs. 60.5 vs. 62.6 %, p = 0.14) survivals and renal function (41.7 ± 25.6 vs. 39.9 ± 29.9 vs. 38.1 ± 30.6 vs. 37.4 ± 29.2 mL/min, p = 0.79) comparing ECD kidneys with mild, moderate, and severe histological changes or with no preimplantation biopsy, respectively. However, severe scored transplants had the worst death-censored graft survival (OR 3.1, 95 % CI 1.4-6.9, p = 0.007). No significant differences in patient (86.2 vs. 83.4 %, p = 0.17) or graft (73.7 vs. 65.9 %, p = 0.06) survivals and renal function (38.9 ± 28.6 vs. 39.9 ± 28.4 mL/min, p = 0.72) were observed comparing patients with or without DGF. Multivariable analysis found diabetes history as the only independent risk factor for graft loss (OR 2.1, 95 % CI 1.3-3.3, p = 0.003) or patient death (OR 3.1, 95 % CI 1.5-5.8, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Within the limitations of sample size and short follow-up time, in this cohort of ECD kidney transplant recipients the severity of histological changes observed in preimplantation biopsies was independently associated with graft loss.