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Hong Z, Zhang S, Li L, Li Y, Liu T, Guo S, Xu X, Yang Z, Zhang H, Xu J. A Nomogram for Predicting Prognosis of Advanced Schistosomiasis japonica in Dongzhi County-A Case Study. Trop Med Infect Dis 2023; 8:tropicalmed8010033. [PMID: 36668940 PMCID: PMC9866143 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed8010033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Revised: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 12/29/2022] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS Advanced schistosomiasis is the late stage of schistosomiasis, seriously jeopardizing the quality of life or lifetime of infected people. This study aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting mortality of patients with advanced schistosomiasis japonica, taking Dongzhi County of China as a case study. METHOD Data of patients with advanced schistosomiasis japonica were collected from Dongzhi Schistosomiasis Hospital from January 2019 to July 2022. Data of patients were randomly divided into a training set and validation set with a ratio of 7:3. Candidate variables, including survival outcomes, demographics, clinical features, laboratory examinations, and ultrasound examinations, were analyzed and selected by LASSO logistic regression for the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed by concordance index (C-index), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). The calibration of the nomogram was evaluated by the calibration plots, while clinical benefit was evaluated by decision curve and clinical impact curve analysis. RESULTS A total of 628 patients were included in the final analysis. Atrophy of the right liver, creatinine, ascites level III, N-terminal procollagen III peptide, and high-density lipoprotein were selected as parameters for the nomogram model. The C-index, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the nomogram were 0.97 (95% [CI]: [0.95-0.99]), 0.78 (95% [CI]: [0.64-0.87]), 0.97 (95% [CI]: [0.94-0.98]), 0.78 (95% [CI]: [0.64-0.87]), 0.97 (95% [CI]: [0.94-0.98]) in the training set; and 0.98 (95% [CI]: [0.94-0.99]), 0.86 (95% [CI]: [0.64-0.96]), 0.97 (95% [CI]: [0.93-0.99]), 0.79 (95% [CI]: [0.57-0.92]), 0.98 (95% [CI]: [0.94-0.99]) in the validation set, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the model fitted well between the prediction and actual observation in both the training set and validation set. The decision and the clinical impact curves showed that the nomogram had good clinical use for discriminating patients with high risk of death. CONCLUSIONS A nomogram was developed to predict prognosis of advanced schistosomiasis. It could guide clinical staff or policy makers to formulate intervention strategies or efficiently allocate resources against advanced schistosomiasis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhong Hong
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Shiqing Zhang
- Department of Schistosomiasis Control and Prevention, Anhui Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Hefei 230061, China
| | - Lu Li
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Yinlong Li
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Ting Liu
- Department of Schistosomiasis Control and Prevention, Anhui Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Hefei 230061, China
| | - Suying Guo
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Xiaojuan Xu
- Department of Schistosomiasis Control and Prevention, Anhui Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Hefei 230061, China
| | - Zhaoming Yang
- Department of Clinical Treatment, Dongzhi Schistosomiasis Hospital, Chizhou 247230, China
| | - Haoyi Zhang
- Department of Clinical Treatment, Dongzhi Schistosomiasis Hospital, Chizhou 247230, China
| | - Jing Xu
- National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research on Tropical Diseases, Shanghai 200025, China
- Correspondence:
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Alotaibi MA, Al Othman AM. Ascites of Unexplained Origin: A Case Report. Cureus 2022; 14:e23256. [PMID: 35449652 PMCID: PMC9013209 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.23256] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/17/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Ascites is defined as a massive collection of fluid in the peritoneal cavity, and it is most commonly caused by portal hypertension due to liver cirrhosis, acute liver failure, and heart failure. We report a case of ascites in a 39-year-old male who presented to the ED complaining of abdominal distention, sporadic pain on the epigastric area, unintentional weight loss over the past two months, night sweats, and blood-mixed stool. We conducted several imaging investigations and laboratory studies and none of them revealed any significant findings except for the abdominal CT with contrast, which showed large ascites along with submucosal fat deposition in the long segment of the transverse colon, suggestive of chronic inflammation [probably inflammatory bowel disease (IBD)], omental caking, and thickening. Peritoneal malignancy was highly suspected. A diagnostic/therapeutic paracentesis was performed, through which 8 L of fluid was drained. Cytology was also performed and this showed mostly reactive mesothelial cells, negative acid-fast bacilli (AFB) culture, and negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR). We also discuss the other investigations performed, none of which helped in establishing a diagnosis.
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Elsharoud A, Brakta S, Elhusseini H, Al-Hendy A. A presentation of ovarian fibrothecoma in a middle-aged female with recurrent massive ascites and postmenopausal bleeding: A case report. SAGE Open Med Case Rep 2020; 8:2050313X20974222. [PMID: 33425356 PMCID: PMC7758649 DOI: 10.1177/2050313x20974222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2019] [Accepted: 10/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Fibrothecomas are mostly benign ovarian tumors. We describe a rare case of fibrothecoma in a 59-year-old woman with a history of recurrent massive ascites and postmenopausal bleeding. Over 2 years she has undergone more than 50 paracenteses with 8–11 L withdrawn each time. She presented with a newly diagnosed pelvic mass and bilateral hydrosalpinges demonstrated on ultrasound and were confirmed with computed tomography. The pelvic magnetic resonance imaging showed a large complex cystic mass arising from the left ovary measuring 16.6 × 12.1 × 8.6 cm3 with an area of irregular mural enhancement. The patient underwent left salpingo-oophorectomy with benign frozen section results. The final pathology was consistent with cystic degeneration of fibrothecoma
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Affiliation(s)
- Amro Elsharoud
- Department of Family Medicine, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, TX, USA
| | - Soumia Brakta
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Section of Reproductive Endocrine, Infertility & Genetics, Medical College of Georgia, Augusta University, Augusta, GA, USA
| | - Heba Elhusseini
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Ayman Al-Hendy
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
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