Phylogenomic assessment of drug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains from Beira, Mozambique

Deep learning on longitudinal CT scans: automated prediction of treatment outcomes in hospitalized tuberculosis patients

Three deep learning (DL)-based prediction models (PMs) using longitudinal CT images were developed to predict tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes. The internal dataset consists of 493 bacteriologically confirmed TB patients who completed the anti-tuberculosis treatment with three-time CT scans, including a pretreatment CT scan and two follow-up CT scans. PM1 was trained using only pretreatment CT scans, and PM2 and PM3 were developed by adding follow-up scans. An independent testing was performed on external dataset comprising 86 TB patients. The area under the curve for classifying success and drug-resistant (DR)-TB was improved on both internal (0.609 vs. 0.625 vs. 0.815) and external (0.627 vs. 0.705 vs. 0.735) dataset by adding follow-up scans. The accuracy and F1-score also showed an increasing tendency in the external test. Regular follow-up CT scans can aid in the treatment prediction, and special attention should be given to early intensive phase of treatment to identify high-risk DR-TB patients.

Afro-TB dataset as a large scale genomic data of Mycobacterium tuberuclosis in Africa

Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) is a pathogenic bacterium accountable for 10.6 million new infections with tuberculosis (TB) in 2021. The fact that the genetic sequences of M. tuberculosis vary widely provides a basis for understanding how this bacterium causes disease, how the immune system responds to it, how it has evolved over time, and how it is distributed geographically. However, despite extensive research efforts, the evolution and transmission of MTB in Africa remain poorly understood. In this study, we used 17,641 strains from 26 countries to create the first curated African Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) classification and resistance dataset, containing 13,753 strains. We identified 157 mutations in 12 genes associated with resistance and additional new mutations potentially associated with resistance. The resistance profile was used to classify strains. We also performed a phylogenetic classification of each isolate and prepared the data in a format that can be used for phylogenetic and comparative analysis of tuberculosis worldwide. These genomic data will extend current information for comparative genomic studies to understand the mechanisms and evolution of MTB drug resistance.

Fine-grain population structure and transmission patterns of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in southern Mozambique, a high TB/HIV burden area

Genomic studies of the Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) might shed light on the dynamics of its transmission, especially in high-burden settings, where recent outbreaks are embedded in the complex natural history of the disease. To this end, we conducted a 1 year prospective surveillance-based study in Mozambique. We applied whole-genome sequencing (WGS) to 295 positive cultures. We fully characterized MTBC isolates by phylogenetics and dating evaluation, and carried out a molecular epidemiology analysis to investigate further associations with pre-defined transmission risk factors. The majority of strains (49.5%, 136/275) belonged to lineage (L) 4; 57.8 % of them (159/275) were in genomic transmission clusters (cut-off 5 SNPs), and a strikingly high proportion (45.5%) shared an identical genotype (0 SNP pairwise distance). We found two ‘likely endemic’ clades, comprising 67 strains, belonging to L1.2, which dated back to the late 19th century and were associated with recent spread among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV). We describe for the first time the population structure of MTBC in our region, a high tuberculosis (TB)/HIV burden area. Clustering analysis revealed an unforeseen pattern of spread and high rates of progression to active TB, suggesting weaknesses in TB control activities. The long-term presence of local strains in Mozambique, which were responsible for large transmission among HIV/TB-coinfected patients, calls into question the role of HIV in TB transmission.