Evolution over time in the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in older Australians due to herd protection from infant vaccination

Economic evaluations of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Studies on economic evaluations of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) have been increasing over the last decade. No systematic reviews have synthesized the evidence of economic evaluations of the PCV13.

AREAS COVERED

We systematically searched the literature which published on peer-reviewed journals from January 2010 to June 2022. The literature search was conducted in the following electronic databases: PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang database, VIP database. We identified 1827 records from the database search. After excluding 511 duplicates, 1314 records were screened, of which 156 records were retained for the full-text reviews. A total of 44 studies were included in the review. Among the included studies, 33 studies were economic evaluations of PCV13 among children, and 11 studies were conducted among adults. The literature search initiated in April, 2022, and updated in June 2022.

EXPERT OPINION

Vaccination with PCV13 was found to significantly reduce the mortality and morbidity of pneumococcal diseases and was cost-effective compared to no vaccine or several other pneumococcal vaccines (e.g. PCV10, PPV23). Future research is advised to expand economic evaluations of PCV13 combined with dynamic model to enhance methodologic rigor and prediction accuracy.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Vaccines for Adults Aged 65 Years and Older in Argentina

OBJECTIVES

In 2017, the Argentine Ministry of Health incorporated a sequential 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13)-23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) regimen for adults aged ≥65 years to reduce pneumococcal disease burden. Cost-effectiveness analysis of PCV13-PPSV23 schedule for adults aged ≥65 years in Argentina was performed compared with PPSV23 only.

METHODS

Markov model was developed. Local data were incorporated for costs and disease burden analysis. Vaccine efficacy or effectiveness was obtained from a systematic review adjusted to current local vaccine serotype circulation and vaccines coverage. A total of 3 scenarios were evaluated: main scenario according to published literature of pneumonia incidence, epidemiologic surveillance scenario based on Argentine Ministry of Health data, and an alternative scenario assuming a 50% hypothetical pneumonia incidence reduction resulting from herd immunity induced by childhood vaccination. Sensitivity analyses were done.

RESULTS

Sequential PCV13-PPSV23 schedule showed cost-savings results in the main scenario with -$1 667 742.23 saved and 716 life-years gained (LYG). The epidemiologic surveillance scenario showed an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $2141.92 per LYG and an alternative scenario with $3740.30 per LYG. Tornado diagram shows widest bars related to adjustment for vaccine-type pneumococcal pneumonia (urine analysis) pneumonia at risk cost and pneumonia incidence rate. Monte Carlo simulation shows that >98% of simulations were cost-saving for the main scenario.

CONCLUSIONS

In the main scenario, cost-saving results were obtained considering only reduction of vaccine serotype coverage after the introduction of childhood PCV13 vaccination. In the epidemiologic surveillance and alternative scenarios, assuming a hypothetical incidence reduction, highly cost-effective results were observed.

Cost Effectiveness of Elderly Pneumococcal Vaccination in Presence of Higher-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Childhood Vaccination: Systematic Literature Review with Focus on Methods and Assumptions

BACKGROUND

Previous systematic reviews concluded that pneumococcal vaccination in the elderly was cost effective. However, recently published economic evaluations state that it may not be cost effective when children are vaccinated with higher-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. The literature suggests that the outcomes of vaccination in the elderly are strongly influenced by the vaccine effectiveness (VE) against the vaccine-type pneumococcal diseases (PD) and the impact of childhood vaccination on the vaccine-type PD incidence in the elderly, but the extent remains unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature search of cost-effectiveness studies on vaccination in the elderly in the PubMed database starting from 2006. We included studies that consider the presence of a childhood vaccination with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) 10 and PCV13. We focus on methods and assumptions used in modeling VE and epidemiology of PD over time.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight economic evaluations underwent full-text review and data extraction. Thirteen were selected for quality assessment. The studies with a higher quality score provide evidence that vaccinating the elderly with PCV13 is not cost effective, when an ongoing rapid decline in the incidence of PCV13-type PD is modeled. A moderate persistence of PCV13 serotypes, in particular due to PCV10 childhood vaccination, makes vaccination of the elderly with PCV13 more attractive. There is no agreement that combining PCV13 with polysaccharide vaccine PPSV23 is cost effective. PPSV23 is attractive when it is effective against non-invasive PD.

CONCLUSION

Methodological approaches and assumptions in modeling VE and the indirect effects of childhood vaccination have a major impact on outcomes of decision-analytic models and cost-effectiveness estimates. Considering recently observed trends in the epidemiology of pneumococcal serotypes, there is currently inconclusive evidence regarding the cost effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination of the elderly due to lack of studies that model key serotypes such as serotype 3 separately from other groups of serotypes.