Twenty years of safety pharmacology model validation and the wider implications of this to drug discovery

Early Drug-Induced Liver Injury (DILI) Risk Screening: "Free", as good as it gets

For all the promise of and need for clinical drug-induced liver injury (DILI) risk screening systems, demonstrating the predictive value of these systems versus readily available physicochemical properties and inherent dosing information has not been thoroughly evaluated. Therefore, we utilized a systematic approach to evaluate the predictive value of in vitro safety assays including Bile Salt Export Pump (BSEP) transporter inhibition and cytotoxicity in HepG2 and transformed human liver epithelial (THLE) along with physicochemical properties. We also evaluated the predictive value of in vitro ADME assays including hepatic partition coefficient (Kp) and its unbound counterpart since they provide insight on hepatic accumulation potential. The datasets comprised of 569 marketed drugs with FDA DILIrank annotation (Most vs Less/None), dose and physicochemical information, 384 drugs with Kp and plasma protein binding data, and 279 drugs with safety assay data. For each dataset and combination of input parameters, we developed random forest machine learning models and measured model performance using the receiver operator characteristic area-under-the-curve (ROC AUC). The median ROC AUC across the various data and parameters sets ranged from 0.67 to 0.77 with little evidence of additive predictivity when including safety or ADME assay data. Subsequent machine learning models consistently demonstrated daily dose, fraction sp3 or ionization, and cLogP/D inputs produced the best, simplest model for predicting clinical DILI risk with an ROC AUC of 0.75. This systematic framework should be used for future assay predictive value assessments and highlights the need for continued improvements to clinical DILI risk annotation.

A property-response perspective on modern toxicity assessment and drug toxicity index (DTI)

Toxicity related failures in drug discovery and clinical development have motivated scientists and regulators to develop a wide range of in-vitro, in-silico tools coupled with data science methods. Older drug discovery rules are being constantly modified to churn out any hidden predictive value. Nonetheless, the dose-response concepts remain central to all these methods. Over the last 2 decades medicinal chemists, and pharmacologists have observed that different physicochemical, and pharmacological properties capture trends in toxic responses. We propose that these observations should be viewed in a comprehensive property-response framework where dose is only a factor that modifies the inherent toxicity potential. We then introduce the recently proposed "Drug Toxicity Index (DTI)" and briefly summarize its applications. A webserver is available to calculate DTI values (https://all-tool-kit.github.io/Web-Tool.html).