Prognostic value of exercise thallium-201 imaging in a community population

Temporal trends of single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging in patients without prior coronary artery disease: A 22-year experience at a tertiary academic medical center

BACKGROUND

Between 1990 and 2006, there was a large national increase in utilization of single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT) for assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD). We aim to examine the trends of SPECT test results and patients' characteristics at Mayo Clinic Rochester.

METHODS

Using the Mayo Clinic nuclear cardiology database, we examined all SPECT tests performed between January 1, 1991, and December 31, 2012, in patients without prior CAD. The study cohort was divided into 5 time periods: 1991-1995, 1996-2000, 2001-2005, 2006-2010, and 2011-2012.

RESULTS

There were 35,894 eligible SPECT tests (mean age 62.5 ± 12 years, 54% men). Annual utilization of SPECT increased significantly in 1992-2002 but then decreased without evidence of test substitution with stress echocardiography. There were modest changes in CAD risk factors over time. Testing of asymptomatic patients doubled (21.9% in 1991-1995 to 40% in 2006-2010) but later decreased to 33.6% in 2011-2012. Tests on patients with typical angina decreased dramatically (18.3% in 1991-1995 to 6.7% in 2011-2012). Summed stress score, summed difference score, and high-risk SPECT tests all decreased over time in both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients regardless of stress modality (exercise vs pharmacologic).

CONCLUSIONS

In Mayo Clinic Rochester, annual SPECT utilization in patients without prior CAD increased in 1992-2002 but then decreased. Despite similar CAD risk factors and decreased utilization after 2003, more tests were low risk; summed stress score, summed difference score, and high-risk tests all decreased. Our findings confirm previous observations that SPECT was increasingly used in patients with a lower prevalence of CAD.

Downstream clinical implications of abnormal myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography based on appropriate use criteria

BACKGROUND

Appropriate use criteria (AUC) for single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion images (SPECT-MPI) were developed to address the growth of cardiac imaging studies. However, these criteria have not been vigorously validated. We sought to determine the rate of abnormal stress SPECT-MPI studies and subsequent revascularization procedures as categorized by AUC.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined 280 patients who underwent stress SPECT-MPI and categorized these studies as appropriate, inappropriate, or uncertain based on AUC. Data regarding subsequent angiography and revascularization within 6 months after stress SPECT-MPI were collected from the electronic medical record.

RESULTS

280 patients met the inclusion criteria (mean age 67.3 ± 11.4 years, 36 % female). When categorized by AUC, 62.9 % (N = 176) of stress SPECT-MPI were considered appropriate, 13.6 % (N = 38) uncertain, and 23.6 % (N = 66) inappropriate. Appropriate stress SPECT-MPI studies were more likely to have intermediate or high risk results than uncertain or inappropriate studies [40 % (N = 71) vs. 21 % (N = 8) and 18 % (N = 12), respectively; P = 0.008)]. Appropriate studies were associated with an increased rate of coronary angiography [14 % (N = 25)] compared to the uncertain (0 %) and inappropriate [3 % (N = 2)] studies (P = 0.003). There was also an increased rate of revascularization after appropriate studies [9 % (N = 16)] compared to the uncertain (0 %) and inappropriate (0 %) studies (P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Appropriate stress SPECT-MPI studies are more likely to result in abnormal results requiring subsequent revascularization compared to inappropriate and uncertain stress studies. Inappropriate and uncertain stress SPECT-MPI did not lead to subsequent revascularization.

Population-based study of the use of cardiac stress imaging and referral for coronary angiography and repeated revascularization after coronary artery bypass graft surgery

OBJECTIVE

To assess stress single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and stress echocardiography use after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and their effect on referral for coronary angiography and revascularization.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The referral, timing, and results of stress imaging after CABG; referral for coronary angiography and revascularization; and all-cause mortality were assessed in this longitudinal, population-based, retrospective study of 1138 Olmsted County, Minnesota, patients undergoing CABG between January 1, 1993, and December 31, 2003.

RESULTS

A total of 570 patients (50.1%) underwent a stress imaging study (341 SPECT and 229 echocardiography) during the study period. Of the 1138 patients, 372 (32.7%) were referred for coronary angiography, and 144 of those patients (12.7%) underwent repeated revascularization (132 percutaneous revascularization and 12 CABG). The median interval between CABG and the index stress imaging study was 3.0 years (25th-75th percentile, 1.2-5.7 years). The results of 75.7% (258 of 341) of the stress SPECT studies and 70.7% (162 of 229) of the stress echocardiograms were abnormal. Seventy-six of 570 patients (13.3%) referred for stress imaging underwent coronary angiography within 180 days after the stress test. Repeated coronary revascularization was performed in 25 patients (4.4%) who underwent a stress imaging study within the preceding 180 days. The 5- and 10-year survival rates in the entire study cohort (83.5% and 65.1%, respectively) were not significantly different than predicted for the age- and sex-matched Minnesota population.

CONCLUSION

Half of this community-based population of patients with CABG underwent stress SPECT or echocardiography during median follow-up of 8.9 years. Despite that approximately 75% of the results of stress imaging studies were abnormal, subsequent referral for coronary angiography within 180 days was low (13.3%), and the yield for repeated revascularization was very low (4.4%).

Hypertensive response with exercise does not increase the prevalence of abnormal Tc-99m SPECT stress perfusion images

BACKGROUND

Systemic hypertension and an exaggerated blood pressure (BP) response with exercise have been associated with 'false-positive' findings on stress electrocardiography and echocardiography; however, limited data is available for stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). The purpose of this study was to investigate whether an exaggerated elevation in BP with exercise is associated with an increased prevalence of abnormal MPI.

METHODS

BP responses to exercise were assessed in a cohort of 7,205 patients who underwent stress testing with technetium 99m-SPECT MPI (7/1999-6/2005) for the evaluation of chest pain or dyspnea.

RESULTS

A hypertensive response, defined as a peak systolic BP > or = 220 mmHg, occurred in 355 (4.9%) and was not associated with higher rates of ischemic ECG changes (16.1 versus 16.6%; P = .7), differences in Duke treadmill scores (4.7 +/- 4 versus 5.1 +/- 5; P = .3) or an increased prevalence of abnormal perfusion images (30.1% versus 32.9%; P = .3) to those without a hypertensive exercise response. Patients with a hypertensive response and either intermediate or high-risk MPI (on the basis of summed-difference-scores) referred for coronary angiography, had a high prevalence of coronary artery disease which was similar to those without a hypertensive response (88% versus 83%; P = .5). In an analysis of a community-based patient subset, a hypertensive response was not associated with a difference in either all-cause mortality or subsequent myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization or cardiac death (8% versus 9%; P = .7).

CONCLUSION

A hypertensive BP response to exercise is not associated with increased rates of ischemic ECG changes, higher-risk Duke treadmill scores, greater degrees of abnormal MPI or worse clinical outcome.

The Prognostic Value of Normal Exercise Myocardial Perfusion Imaging and Exercise Echocardiography

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this work was to determine the prognostic value of normal exercise myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) tests and exercise echocardiography tests, and to determine the prognostic value of these imaging modalities in women and men.

BACKGROUND

Exercise MPI and exercise echocardiography provide prognostic information that is useful in the risk stratification of patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Cochrane, and DARE databases between January 1990 and May 2005, and reviewed bibliographies of articles obtained. We included prospective cohort studies of subjects who underwent exercise MPI or exercise echocardiography for known or suspected CAD, and provided data on primary outcomes of myocardial infarction (MI) and cardiac death with at least 3 months of follow-up. Secondary outcomes (unstable angina, revascularization procedures) were abstracted if provided. Studies performed exclusively in patients with CAD were excluded.

RESULTS

The negative predictive value (NPV) for MI and cardiac death was 98.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 98.5 to 99.0) over 36 months of follow-up for MPI, and 98.4% (95% CI 97.9 to 98.9) over 33 months for echocardiography. The corresponding annualized event rates were 0.45% per year for MPI and 0.54% per year for echocardiography. In subgroup analyses, annualized event rates were <1% for each MPI isotope, and were similar for women and men. For secondary events, MPI and echocardiography had annualized event rates of 1.25% and 0.95%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Both exercise MPI and exercise echocardiography have high NPVs for primary and secondary cardiac events. The prognostic utility of both modalities is similar for both men and women.

Prognostic value of dobutamine stress echocardiography in patients with previous coronary revascularisation

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) in patients with previous myocardial revascularisation.

DESIGN

Prospective study.

SETTING

Tertiary referral centre in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

PATIENTS

332 consecutive patients with previous percutaneous or surgical coronary revascularisation underwent DSE. Follow up was successful for 331 (99.7%) patients. Thirty eight patients who underwent early revascularisation (<or= 3 months) after the test were excluded from analysis.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify independent predictors of the composite of cardiac events (cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and late revascularisation).

RESULTS

During a mean (SD) of 24 (20) months, 37 (13%) patients died and 89 (30%) had at least one cardiac event (21 (7%) cardiac deaths, 11 (4%) non-fatal myocardial infarctions, and 68 (23%) late revascularisations). In multivariate analysis of clinical data, independent predictors of late cardiac events were hypertension (hazard ratio (HR) 1.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1 to 2.6) and congestive heart failure (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.3 to 3.2). Reversible wall motion abnormalities (ischaemia) on DSE were incrementally predictive of cardiac events (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.3 to 3.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Myocardial ischaemia during DSE is independently predictive of cardiac events among patients with previous myocardial revascularisation, after controlling for clinical data.

Independent contribution of myocardial perfusion defects to exercise capacity and heart rate recovery for prediction of all-cause mortality in patients with known or suspected coronary heart disease

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to determine the value of thallium201 single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) imaging for prediction of all-cause mortality when considered along with functional capacity and heart rate recovery.

BACKGROUND

Myocardial perfusion defects identified by thallium201 SPECT imaging are predictive of cardiac events. Functional capacity and heart rate recovery are exercise measures that also have prognostic implications.

METHODS

We followed 7,163 consecutive adults referred for symptom-limited exercise thallium SPECT (mean age 60 +/- 10, 25% women) for 6.7 years. Using information theory, we identified a probable best model relating nuclear findings to outcome to calculate a prognostic nuclear score.

RESULTS

There were 855 deaths. Intermediate- and high-risk prognostic nuclear scores were noted in 28% and 10% of patients. Compared with those with low-risk scans, patients with an intermediate-risk score were at increased risk for death (14% vs. 9%, hazard ratio: 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.44 to 1.95, p < 0.0001), while those with high-risk scores were at greater risk (24%, hazard ratio: 2.98, 95% CI: 2.49 to 3.56, p < 0.0001). In multivariable analyses that adjusted for clinical characteristics, functional capacity and heart rate recovery, an intermediate-risk nuclear score remained predictive of death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.76, p < 0.0001), as did a high-risk score (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.76, 95% CI: 2.13 to 2.56, p < 0.0001). Impaired functional capacity and decreased heart rate recovery provided additional prognostic information.

CONCLUSIONS

Myocardial perfusion defects detected by thallium SPECT imaging are independently predictive of long-term all-cause death, even after accounting for exercise capacity, heart rate recovery and other potential confounders.

Assessment of the exercise electrocardiogram in women versus men using tomographic myocardial perfusion imaging as the reference standard

The exercise electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely believed to be less accurate in women, primarily due to a high prevalence of false-positive tests. The purpose of this study was to examine the relative accuracy of the exercise ECG in women versus men in 8,671 patients (3,213 women, 5,458 men) using myocardial perfusion imaging as the reference standard. More women (14%) than men (10%) had a false-positive ECG (p <0.001), but the absolute difference was relatively small. The false-negative rate was considerably lower in women (17% vs 32%, p <0.001). Compared with men, women had lower test sensitivity (30% vs 42%, p <0.001) and positive predictive value (34% vs 70%, p <0.001) but higher specificity (82% vs 78%, p = 0.002), negative predictive value (78% vs 52%, p <0.001), and accuracy (69% vs 58%, p <0.001). In patients with a false-negative exercise ECG, "high-risk" scans were less prevalent in women (12% vs 19%, p <0.001). In the smaller subset of patients referred for coronary angiography (205 women, 838 men), the false-positive electrocardiographic rate was again higher in women (13% vs 7%, p = 0.003), but neither specificity (69% vs 74%, p = NS) nor accuracy (60% vs 66%, p = NS) was different between the sexes. Thus, the percentage of patients with a false-positive exercise ECG was higher in women than men but low in absolute terms (<15%) for both sexes. Test specificity was not lower in women. These results suggest that gender should not be a major determinant for selecting stress imaging over standard treadmill testing.