[Prognostic factors after resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases]

Nomogram for predicting occurrence and prognosis of liver metastasis in elderly colorectal cancer patients: a population-based study

Introduction

This study aimed to explore independent risk and prognostic factors in elderly patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (ECRLM) and generate nomograms for predicting the occurrence and overall survival (OS) rates of such patients.

Method

Elderly colorectal cancer patients (ECRC) from 2010 to 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were included in this study. External validation relied on Chinese patients from the China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to identify liver metastasis (LM) risk variables, which were used to create a nomogram to estimate LM probabilities in patients with ECRC. Univariate and multivariable Cox analyses were performed to identify prognostic variables and further derive nomograms that could predict the OS of patients with ERCLM. Differences in lifespan were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis. Finally, the quality of the nomograms was verified using decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration curves, and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC).

Result

In the SEER cohort, 32,330 patients were selected, of those, 3,012 (9.32%) were diagnosed with LM. A total of 188 ECRLM cases from a Chinese medical center were assigned for external validation. LM occurrence can be affected by 13 factors, including age at diagnosis, marital status, race, bone metastases, lung metastases, CEA level, tumor size, Grade, histology, primary site, T stage, N stage and sex. Furthermore, in ECRLM patients, 10 variables, including age at diagnosis, CEA level, tumor size, lung metastasis, bone metastasis, chemotherapy, surgery, N stage, grade, and race, have been shown to be independent prognostic predictors. The results from both internal and external validation revealed a high level of accuracy in predicting outcomes, as well as significant clinical utility, for the two nomograms.

Conclusion

We created two nomograms to predict the occurrence and prognosis of LM in patients with ECRC, which would contribute significantly to the improvement in disease detection accuracy and the formulation of personalized cures for that particular demographic.

Survival analysis and identification of prognostic factors in colorectal liver metastasis after liver resection

INTRODUCTION

Liver resection is the only curative treatment for colorectal liver metastasis. The identification of predictive factors leads to personalize patient management to enhance their long-term outcomes. This population-based study aimed to characterize factors associated with, and survival impact of patients who received hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of all the hepatectomies for colorectal liver metastasis performed at third-level hospital of Spain (2010-2018) was conducted. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analyses. Multivariable Cox and regression models were used to determine prognostic factors associated with overall survival.

RESULTS

The 5-year overall survival and disease-free survival were 42 and 33%, respectively. Survival analysis showed that metastasis features (number, largest size, distribution, and extrahepatic disease) and postsurgical factors (transfusion, major complications, and positive margin resection), as well as non-mutated KRAS, showed a significant association with survival. Otherwise, on multivariate analysis, only 5 independent risk factors were identified: major size metastasis >4 cm, RAS mutation, positive margin resection, intraoperative transfusion, and major complications.

CONCLUSIONS

According to our findings, major size metastasis >4 cm, intraoperative transfusion, and major postoperative complications continue to be traditional prognostic factors. Meanwhile, the KRAS biomarker has a powerful impact as a survival prognostic factor.

Histopathological prognostic factors for colorectal liver metastases: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

INTRODUCTION

Resection is the mainstay of treatment for colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). Many different histopathological factors related to the primary colorectal tumour have been well studied; however, histopathological prognostic factors related to CRLMs are still under evaluation.

OBJECTIVE

To identify histopathological factors related to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with resected CRLMs.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed with the following databases up to August 2020: PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, SciELO, and LILACS. The GRADE approach was used to rate the overall certainty of evidence by outcome.

RESULTS

Thirty-three studies including 4,641 patients were eligible. We found very low certainty evidence that the following histopathological prognostic factors are associated with a statistically significant decrease in OS: presence of portal vein invasion (HR, 0,50 [95% CI, 0,37 to 0,68]; I²=0%), presence of perineural invasion (HR, 0,55 [95% CI, 0,36 to 0,83]; I²=0%), absence of pseudocapsule (HR, 0,41 [CI 95%, 0,29 to 0,57], p<0,00001; I²=0%), presence of satellite nodules (OR, 0,45 [95% CI, 0,26 to 0,80]; I²=0%), and the absence of peritumoural inflammatory infiltrate (OR, 0,20 [95% CI, 0,08 to 0,54]; I²=0%). Outcome data on DFS were scarce, except for tumour borders, which did not present a significant impact, precluding the meta-analysis.

CONCLUSION

Of the histopathological prognostic factors studied, low- to moderate-certainty evidence shows that vascular invasion, perineural invasion, absence of pseudocapsule, presence of satellite nodules, and absence of peritumoral inflammatory infiltrate are associated with shorter overall survival in CRLMs.

Impact of perioperative blood transfusion on clinical outcomes in patients with colorectal liver metastasis after hepatectomy: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Perioperative blood transfusion may be associated with negative clinical outcomes in oncological surgery. A meta-analysis of published studies was conducted to evaluate the impact of blood transfusion on short- and long-term outcomes following liver resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CLM).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant articles. Data were pooled for meta-analysis using Review Manager version 5.3.

RESULTS

Twenty-five observational studies containing 10621 patients were subjected to the analysis. Compared with non-transfused patients, transfused patients experienced higher overall morbidity (odds ratio [OR], 1.98; 95% confidence intervals [CI] =1.49-2.33), more major complications (OR, 2.12; 95% CI =1.26-3.58), higher mortality (OR, 4.13; 95% CI =1.96-8.72), and longer length of hospital stay (weighted mean difference, 4.43; 95% CI =1.15-7.69). Transfusion was associated with reduced overall survival (risk ratio [RR], 1.24, 95% CI =1.11-1.38) and disease-free survival (RR, 1.38, 95% CI=1.23-1.56).

CONCLUSION

Perioperative blood transfusion has a detrimental impact on the clinical outcomes of patients undergoing CLM resection.