Variation saisonnière des accidents vasculaires cérébraux et influence des conditions météorologiques

Cerebrovascular diseases in Poland-inconsistent seasonal patterns of hospitalisation and mortality

Background

A seasonal variation in the incidence of cerebrovascular diseases still remains inconsistently evidenced. Herein, we analyse the monthly patterns of two health phenomena: hospital admissions and deaths due to these diseases.

Methods

We identified 69 511 cases of hospital admissions and 14 956 deaths due to cerebrovascular diseases (ICD10: I60-I69 and G45) among the inhabitants of five Polish voivodeship capitals in 2004-13. The method of time series analysis (exponential smoothing with linear trend and monthly additive seasonality) was applied to calculate the monthly specific seasonal indices. The monthly variation in an in-hospital fatality and nonhospital deaths were also analysed.

Results

A summer season reduction in number of cases was observed for hospital admissions and deaths. Interestingly, the winter season effect is much more complex, mainly due to the contribution of December, when a high mortality is accompanied by a substantial decrease in the hospitalisation level. This unique discrepancy was observed for all the studied cities. Moreover, this month is characterised by a notably high in-hospital fatality. However, neither the number of non-hospital deaths nor the average length of hospital stay or the kind of hospitalised diseases evidenced that cerebrovascular problems were more serious in December than in any other month.

Conclusion

The obtained results confirmed a seasonal variation in cerebrovascular diseases among the inhabitants of Polish cities. Habitual and administrative limitations in hospital activities observed every December do not seem indifferent from the patient health's perspective since they may lead to a low hospitalisation level and a high in-hospital fatality.

Impact of Ambient Temperature on Incidence of Acute Lower Limb Ischemia

BACKGROUND

This was a retrospective study to explore the possible association between atmospheric temperatures with the occurrence of acute leg ischemia (ALI).

METHODS

A linear regression analysis was performed for a period of 10 years on the impact of ambient temperature on the incidence of ALI. Mean ambient temperature on a daily basis was retrieved electronically from our observatory, and the daily incidence of ALI was retrieved from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting (CDAR) system. CDAR system could retrieve clinical data from all 42 public hospitals in our region, which provided almost 90% inpatient care of the population. Daily incidence was defined as total number of emergency admissions from all 42 pubic hospitals due to ALI from 00:00 till 23:59 hr of that day.

RESULTS

For the 10-year period, spanning from January 2005 to December 2014, there were a total of 634 recorded ALI with revascularization, 608 (95.9%) of which underwent emergency femoral embolectomy, 15 (2.4%) underwent thrombolysis, and 11 (1.7%) underwent thrombolysis and embolectomy. ALIs with primary amputation or conservative management were excluded from the study. The average daily incidence of ALI was 0.170. A linear regression model was built using mean ambient temperature as independent variable and incidence of ALI as dependent variables. The line of best fit was drawn through the data points. The daily incidence of ALI could be predicted by ambient temperature (in °C) with the equation: incidence = 0.274-0.004 × temperature (linear regression; r = -0.053, r² = 0.003, F = 10.42, and P = 0.001). In other words, daily incidence was 0.274 at 0°C; and for every 10°C increase, the incidence would drop by 0.040. At 30°C, daily incidence of ALI was 0.154.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed an association of cold temperature and ALI in our population. Measures to protect the susceptible population from cold temperatures should be considered.

Influence of meteorological factors on acute aortic events in a subtropical territory

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

This study aims to examine the relationship between weather changes and acute aortic events in a subtropical territory.

METHODS

A linear regression analysis was performed in a pan-territory epidemiological survey for a period of 10 years on the impacts of meteorological factors (ambient temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, amount of cloud, rainfall, number of lightning strikes, presence of typhoon, and thunderstorm warning) on the daily incidences of acute aortic dissections and ruptured aortic aneurysms. Meteorological variables were retrieved on a daily basis from a well-established observatory, and the daily incidences of aortic dissections and rupture of aortic aneurysms were retrieved from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System.

RESULTS

During the study period (January 2005 to December 2014), 3878 patients were identified as having acute aortic dissections, and 1174 patients had ruptured aortic aneurysms. Corresponding averaged daily incidences were 1.06 and 0.32, respectively. The incidences of aortic dissection and ruptured aortic aneurysm in a day could be predicted by ambient temperature in degrees Celsius using the following linear regression models: (1) incidence of aortic dissection = 1.548 - 0.021 × temperature; (2) incidence of ruptured aortic aneurysm = 0.564 - 0.010 × temperature. In addition, both high atmospheric pressure and absence of thunderstorm warning are positively associated with more aortic dissections. For rupture of aortic aneurysms, high atmospheric pressure and low relative humidity were positive predictors. In multiple regression analysis, however, ambient temperature was the only significant predictor for both acute aortic dissections and ruptured aortic aneurysms.

CONCLUSION

This is the first pan-territory study to show an attributable effect of ambient temperature on acute aortic events. This paper confirms that even in a subtropical country, meteorological variables were important factors influencing acute aortic events.

[The relationship between aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and meteorological parameters based on a series of 236 French patients]

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a sudden and potentially severe event with mortality rates ranging between 24 and 30 % depending on the initial clinical condition. Studies have attempted to assess the possible influence of meteorological parameters on the occurrence of SAH. However, this idea remains very controversial and the results vary widely from one study to another. Our study is the second largest French series, and first performed in a homogeneous series of patients. The aim of our study was to attempt to establish a relationship between the weather (i.e.) temperature variations and daily variations of atmospheric pressure in the days before the onset of SAH and the same day and the occurrence of non-traumatic SAH in a homogeneous population of 236 patients from a single center, over a period of 7 years (2002 to 2008). This retrospective study does not suggest any relationship between the occurrence of SAH and meteorological data studied. Moreover, no relationship was observed between mean changes in temperature or pressure and the occurrence of SAH, that the day of the bleeding or the days preceding the SAH. However, a female predominance was observed and a relatively high mortality rate of 18.3 %. The distribution of the occurrence of an SAH was random. As it seems impossible to provide logistics and organization of care for non-traumatic SAH, the care system must remain vigilant throughout the year.

Correlation between change in air humidity and the incidence of stroke

INTRODUCTION

According to the World Health Organization estimates annually in the world die due to CVI every sixth women and 10(th) man. This paper is the research of the correlation between changes in relative air humidity and stroke (CVA) in the Sarajevo Canton. Included are patients who experienced an acute stroke in the Canton of Sarajevo and treated in the pre hospital phase by the staff of the Institute for Emergency Medicine. Days with stroke and those without cases of stroke were compared within three years and meteorological data for those days were obtained by the Weather Bureau of Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Meteorological data include measurements of average humidity every day at 7, 14 and 21 o'clock in three years.

AIM

To evaluate the significance of the influence of humidity on the incidence of CVI's. Show the trend towards CVI in the reporting period and is it correlated with the trend of change in relative humidity in those days. Correlate the incidence of stroke as determined in relation to gender, age and selected climatic parameter.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This article presents a retrospective study. Subjects were patients of Emergency Medical Care Institute in Sarajevo, which in the period from 2004 to 2006 had a CVI. Included are patients who had a working diagnosis of stroke for the first time or as a repeated stroke. Analysis of cases of stroke was carried out by gender, age, days and seasons by descriptive-analytical epidemiological methods.

RESULTS

In total were registered 1930 patients during three years period. According to years of research in 2004-635, 2005-616 and 2006 - 679. It was found that when testing the null hypothesis about the effects of humidity in two months with a maximum stroke in the year and days without CVI and relative humidity only in 2005 had a statistically significant effect on the incidence of stroke, while during the other two years of the study there was no impacts. It turned out that the extreme values of relative humidity of the day whether there was a rapid increase or decrees in humidity increases the incidence of stroke in all three years of research.

CONCLUSION

Patients gender had no effect on the incidence of CVI. Seasons had no effect on the incidence of CVI. Most CVI in all three years of research was in relation to the old age and occurred in the older age group 70-79 (41.35%), where it was shown that the age of the patient influences the incidence of CVI. Extremely low relative humidity and extremely high, influence on the increase in the number of CVI. Determined is a slight correlation between the average relative humidity and CVI in single day.

Winter cardiovascular diseases phenomenon

This paper review seasonal patterns across twelve cardiovascular diseases: Deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, aortic dissection and rupture, stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, hypertension, heart failure, angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, sudden cardiac death, venricular arrythmia and atrial fibrillation, and discuss a possible cause of the occurrence of these diseases. There is a clear seasonal trend of cardiovascular diseases, with the highest incidence occurring during the colder winter months, which have been described in many countries. This phenomenon likely contributes to the numbers of deaths occurring in winter. The implications of this finding are important for testing the relative importance of the proposed mechanisms. Understanding the influence of season and other factors is essential when seeking to implement effective public health measures.

Are stroke occurrence and outcome related to weather parameters? Results from a population-based study in northern portugal

BACKGROUND

Changes in meteorological parameters have been associated with cardiovascular mortality and stroke. The high incidence of stroke in Portugal may be modelled by short- or long-term weather changes whose effect may be different across stroke types and severity.

METHODS

Data include all patients with a first-ever-in-a-lifetime stroke registered in a population of 86,023 residents in the city of Porto from October 1998 to September 2000. Specific stroke types were considered and ischaemic stroke (IS) subtype was defined according to the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Projet classification and the Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) criteria. Information on daily temperature, humidity and air pressure was obtained from the National Meteorological Office. The Poisson distribution was used to model the daily number of events as a function of each weather parameter measured over different hazard periods, and the binomial model to contrast effects across subgroups. Differential effects of meteorological parameters and hazard periods upon stroke occurrence and outcome were analysed in a stepwise model.

RESULTS

Among the 462 patients registered, 19.6% had a primary intracerebral haemorrhage (PICH) and 75.3% an IS. Among patients with IS, 21.6% were total anterior circulation infarcts (TACIs), 19.8% partial anterior circulation infarcts (PACIs), 19.5% posterior circulation infarcts (POCIs) and 39.1% were lacunar infarcts (LACIs). The aetiology of IS was large artery atherosclerosis in 6.9%, cardioembolism in 23.3% and small artery occlusion in 35.6%. The incidence of PICH increased by 11.8% (95% CI: 3.8-20.4%) for each degree drop in the diurnal temperature range in the preceding day. The incidence of IS increased by 3.9% (95% CI: 1.6-6.3%) and cardioembolic IS by 5.0% (95% CI: 0.2-10.1%) for a 1°C drop in minimum temperature in the same hazard period. The incidence of TACIs followed the IS pattern while for PACIs and POCIs there were stronger effects of longer hazard periods and no association was found for LACIs. The relative risk of a fatal versus a non-fatal stroke increased by 15.5% (95% CI: 6.1-25.4%) for a 1°C drop in maximum temperature over the previous day.

CONCLUSIONS

Outdoor temperature and related meteorological parameters are associated with stroke occurrence and severity. The different hazard periods for temperature effects and the absence of association with LACIs may explain the heterogeneous effects of weather on stroke occurrence found in community-based and hospital admission studies. Emergency services should be aware that specific weather conditions are more likely to prompt calls for more severe strokes.

[Medico-economic assessment of the Pontoise Hospital stroke unit]

INTRODUCTION

Annually, approximately 120,000 people in France have a stroke. Various controlled studies have pointed out the benefits of treatment in a stroke unit (SU). The objective of this study was to evaluate, from a medical point of view, the economic impact of the Pontoise Hospital SU.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Based on the national cost study (NCS [étude nationale des coûts: ENC]) we analyzed data of five diagnosis related groups (DRG) which have a principle diagnosis in relation with stroke. This work was limited to strokes and transient ischemic events in adults and excluded sub-arachnoid hemorrhage. Medical and economic parameters were collected over the period from January to October 2006 and compared with those of the same period in 2005, that is to say before the opening of the SU.

RESULTS

Three hundred and twenty-three hospital stays occurred between January 1st and October 31st, 2006 and 216 during the same time period before the opening of the SU, an increase of approximately 50% of all stroke-related admissions in our hospital. The number of stays carried out in the neurology unit increased by 29%. There was no significant difference between the two periods regarding age (median 69 versus 70 years) and sex- ratio. Average length of stay (ALS) was the same (9 days). There were no significant differences concerning the death rate (5.6% versus 6.2%) and that of discharge to home (44.6% versus 44.4%). The cost by stay in 2006 was 3534 euros [median; min 664-max 57,542] versus 3541 euros in 2005 [681-35,149] (p=0.57). Analysis by DRG highlighted an increase in the cost for serious strokes, cerebral infarctions and hemorrhages. For transitory ischemic events, the cost and the ALS decreased.

CONCLUSION

After the opening of the SU, there was an increase in the activity without an increase in the total cost. This could be related in part to the limited means allocated to the stroke unit at its opening (in particular medical staff). The NCS can be used to evaluate the activity of a stroke unit. This work could be completed on a larger number of units or in several units of different size.

Circadian Variation in Stroke Onset: Identical Temporal Pattern in Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Events

Stroke is the culmination of a heterogeneous group of cerebrovascular diseases that is manifested as ischemia or hemorrhage of one or more blood vessels of the brain. The occurrence of many acute cardiovascular events--such as myocardial infarction, sudden cardiac death, pulmonary embolism, critical limb ischemia, and aortic aneurysm rupture--exhibits prominent 24 h patterning, with a major morning peak and secondary early evening peak. The incidence of stroke exhibits the same 24 h pattern. Although ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes are different entities and are characterized by different pathophysiological mechanisms, they share an identical double-peak 24 h pattern. A constellation of endogenous circadian rhythms and exogenous cyclic factors are involved. The staging of the circadian rhythms in vascular tone, coagulative balance, and blood pressure plus temporal patterns in posture, physical activity, emotional stress, and medication effects play central and/or triggering roles. Features of the circadian rhythm of blood pressure, in terms of their chronic and acute effects on cerebral vessels, and of coagulation are especially important. Clinical medicine has been most concerned with the prevention of stroke in the morning, when population-based studies show it is of greatest risk during the 24 h; however, improved protection of at-risk patients against stroke in the early evening, the second most vulnerable time of cerebrovascular accidents, has received relatively little attention thus far.

Pollution de l’air et pathologie athérothrombotique cardiaque et cérébrale

Recent convergent data suggest that air pollution affects the risk of acute atherothrombotic events including both myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke. The principal epidemiologic studies begun in the 1990s first examined the respiratory effects of atmospheric pollution and then focused on how pollution peaks affected cardiovascular risk. These studies used data from large metropolitan areas in North America and Asia as well as several large European cities to demonstrate the clear existence of a relation between air pollution and cardio- and cerebrovascular mortality. They also observed an increase in hospital admissions for myocardial infarctions and cerebrovascular accidents on days with high air pollution levels. The pollutants involved have not yet been clearly designated, but it appears that fine suspended particulate matter (PM2.5) and gaseous pollutants such as ozone appear to contribute strongly to these harmful effects. A complete analysis of these data shows the need for a thorough evaluation of the cardio- and cerebrovascular risks associated with air pollution, especially in French metropolitan areas. Precise identification of those at high risk from specific pollutants is essential to improve targeting of prevention strategies.