Estimates of mortality in children younger than 5 years for Burkina Faso

Determinants of under-5 mortality in Burkina Faso

BACKGROUND

The aim of this article is to determine the factors associated with under-5 mortality and their evolution from 1993 to 2010 and to analyse the contributors of socioeconomic inequalities in mortality of children under-5 years during the same period.

DATA AND METHODS

The data used in this study were derived from the four rounds of Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) conducted in Burkina Faso in 1993, 1998 and 2010. Concentration measurement, logistics regression and Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition method were used to analyse data.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that being the first child (odds ratio = 1.8 for 1993, 1.7 for 1998, 1.2 for 2003 and 1.3 for 2010) or a twin (odds ratio = 4.5 for 1993, 2.8 for 1998, 2.7 for 2003 and 4.8 for 2010) were also significantly associated with the probability of dying. The variable (parity) was the main contributor to the part of the inequality due to differences in group characteristics and that would be due to the fact that women from poor households have greater parity compared to those from rich households.

CONCLUSION

For a reduction in mortality and inequalities related to mortality, the implementation of actions in favour of poor households and promotion of family planning programmes for birth spacing will be required.

Viral etiology and clinical profiles of children with severe acute respiratory infections in China

Background

No comprehensive analysis is available on the viral etiology and clinical characterization among children with severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in China during 2009 H1N1 pandemic and post-pandemic period.

Methods

Cohort of 370 hospitalized children (1 to 72 months) with SARI from May 2008 to March 2010 was enrolled in this study. Nasopharyngeal aspirate (NPA) specimens were tested by a commercial assay for 18 respiratory viral targets. The viral distribution and its association with clinical character were statistically analyzed.

Results

Viral pathogen was detected in 350 (94.29%) of children with SARI. Overall, the most popular viruses were: enterovirus/rhinovirus (EV/RV) (54.05%), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (51.08%), human bocavirus (BoCA) (33.78%), human parainfluenzaviruse type 3 (PIV3) (15.41%), and adenovirus (ADV) (12.97%). Pandemic H1N1 was the dominant influenza virus (IFV) but was only detected in 20 (5.41%) of children. Moreover, detection rate of RSV and human metapneumovirus (hMPV) among suburb participants were significantly higher than that of urban area (P<0.05). Incidence of VSARI among suburb participants was also significant higher, especially among those of 24 to 59 months group (P<0.05).

Conclusion

Piconaviruses (EV/RV) and paramyxoviruses are the most popular viral pathogens among children with SARI in this study. RSV and hMPV significantly increase the risk of SARI, especially in children younger than 24 months. Higher incidence of VSARI and more susceptibilities to RSV and hMPV infections were found in suburban patients.

Progress towards Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5 on maternal and child mortality: an updated systematic analysis

BACKGROUND

With 4 years until 2015, it is essential to monitor progress towards Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) 4 and 5. Although estimates of maternal and child mortality were published in 2010, an update of estimates is timely in view of additional data sources that have become available and new methods developed. Our aim was to update previous estimates of maternal and child mortality using better data and more robust methods to provide the best available evidence for tracking progress on MDGs 4 and 5.

METHODS

We update the analyses of the progress towards MDGs 4 and 5 from 2010 with additional surveys, censuses, vital registration, and verbal autopsy data. For children, we estimate early neonatal (0-6 days), late neonatal (7-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), childhood (ages 1-4 years), and under-5 mortality. We use an improved model for estimating mortality by age under 5 years. For maternal mortality, our updated analysis includes greater than 1000 additional site-years of data. We tested a large set of alternative models for maternal mortality; we used an ensemble model based on the models with the best out-of-sample predictive validity to generate new estimates from 1990 to 2011.

FINDINGS

Under-5 deaths have continued to decline, reaching 7·2 million in 2011 of which 2·2 million were early neonatal, 0·7 million late neonatal, 2·1 million postneonatal, and 2·2 million during childhood (ages 1-4 years). Comparing rates of decline from 1990 to 2000 with 2000 to 2011 shows that 106 countries have accelerated declines in the child mortality rate in the past decade. Maternal mortality has also continued to decline from 409,100 (uncertainty interval 382,900-437,900) in 1990 to 273,500 (256,300-291,700) deaths in 2011. We estimate that 56,100 maternal deaths in 2011 were HIV-related deaths during pregnancy. Based on recent trends in developing countries, 31 countries will achieve MDG 4, 13 countries MDG 5, and nine countries will achieve both.

INTERPRETATION

Even though progress on reducing maternal and child mortality in most countries is accelerating, most developing countries will take many years past 2015 to achieve the targets of the MDGs 4 and 5. Similarly, although there continues to be progress on maternal mortality the pace is slow, without any overall evidence of acceleration. Immediate concerted action is needed for a large number of countries to achieve MDG 4 and MDG 5.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.