Premalignant lesions and hepatocellular carcinoma in a non-cirrhotic alcoholic patient with iron overload and normal transferrin saturation

Large-duct cholangiopathies: aetiology, diagnosis and treatment

Cholangiopathies describe a group of conditions affecting the intrahepatic and extrahepatic biliary tree. Impairment to bile flow and chronic cholestasis cause biliary inflammation, which leads to more permanent damage such as destruction of the small bile ducts (ductopaenia) and biliary cirrhosis. Most cholangiopathies are progressive and cause end-stage liver disease unless the physical obstruction to biliary flow can be reversed. This review considers large-duct cholangiopathies, such as primary sclerosing cholangitis, ischaemic cholangiopathy, portal biliopathy, recurrent pyogenic cholangitis and Caroli disease.

Hypervascular nodule in a fibrotic liver overloaded with iron: identification of a premalignant area with preserved liver architecture

Background

The presence of a hypervascular nodule in a patient with cirrhosis is highly suggestive of a hepatocellular carcinoma.

Case presentation

A 55 year old man with idiopathic refractory anaemia was addressed for the cure of a recently appeared 3.3 cm hypervascular liver nodule. The nodule was not visible on the resected fresh specimen, but a paler zone was seen after formalin fixation. The surrounding liver was fibrotic (METAVIR score F3) and overloaded with iron. However, the paler zone, thought to be the nodule, had in fact a normal architecture, was less fibrotic, and contained some "portal tract-like structures" (but with arteries only); moreover, this paler area was devoid of iron, contained less glycogen and was characterized by foci of clear hepatocytes.

Conclusion

In spite of the absence of architectural distortion, and a normal proliferative index, the possibility of premalignancy or malignancy should be considered in this type of hypervascular and hyposiderotic nodule, occurring in the context of an iron overloaded liver.

Lack of association of common cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator gene mutations with primary sclerosing cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic progressive cholestatic liver disease of uncertain etiology. However, the histologic features of PSC liver disease can resemble those in cystic fibrosis (CF), an inherited disorder caused by mutations in the CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene. We sought to determine if PSC patients have a higher frequency of common CF alleles than disease controls.

METHODS

DNA was extracted from peripheral lymphocytes of patients with end-stage liver disease. Samples were obtained before liver transplantation from 59 PSC patients and from three groups of control patients (20 each with primary biliary cirrhosis, autoimmune hepatitis, or hepatitis C). DNA samples were genotyped for 32 common CF mutations, the intron 8 T tract variants, and the M470V variant.

RESULTS

One of 59 PSC patients (1.7%) had the common CF mutation (DeltaF508) in one CFTR gene. Two controls (3.3%) carried a single CF mutation (DeltaF508 in one primary biliary cirrhosis patient; W1282X in one hepatitis C patient). These rates do not differ from expected in the general population. The frequency of CFTR variants (5T and M470V) was also similar between PSC patients and controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite anatomical similarities between CF liver disease and PSC, we could not confirm that PSC patients carried common CF mutations or common CFTR variants in higher than expected frequencies. These data suggest that CFTR dysfunction does not influence the pathogenesis of PSC.

Preneoplastic lesions in human hepatocarcinogenesis

The early stages of hepatocarcinogenesis in human chronic liver diseases are characterized by the emergence of preneoplastic lesions of which some will eventually develop into hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Basic studies on the genetic and epigenetic alterations of these preneoplastic lesions may eventually lead to new therapeutic strategies. Clinicopathological studies are also important in order to determine optimal management of patients with a preneoplastic lesion. This article aims to provide a comprehensive review of the current concepts of preneoplastic lesion in chronic liver diseases. The microscopical small-cell dysplastic focus is the smallest morphologically recognizable precursor lesion of HCC and therefore is a logical target of study to elucidate the earliest events in hepatocarcinogenesis. In contrast, large-cell dysplasia is not a precursor lesion, but appears to be of clinical value because of its good predictive value for development of HCC. Dysplastic nodules (DNs) are macroscopically recognizable precursor lesions of HCC and high-grade DNs (HGDNs) have a risk of malignant transformation. Detection of DNs and correct differentiation from small HCC (<2 cm) is sometimes difficult, especially when only imaging techniques are used. Additional clinicopathological studies on identification and optimal treatment of DNs are necessary. Molecular studies on HGDNs and small HCCs may yield much information on the genetic mechanisms involved in the transition from severe dysplasia to early malignancy. In contrast, currently available data indicate that (large) regenerative nodules do not represent a distinct step in hepatocarcinogenesis. Animal models will be helpful in the further unravelling of human HCC development, provided that studies are performed on models that are good representatives of human hepatocarcinogenesis. We propose three criteria by which good mimickers can be identified.

Mycophenolate mofetil for the treatment of primary sclerosing cholangitis

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic liver disease of unknown etiology. Despite advances in understanding the pathophysiology underlying this disorder, no effective medical therapy has been identified for halting disease progression. The aim of this investigation was to determine the safety and estimated efficacy of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) for the treatment of PSC. Thirty patients with PSC received MMF 1 g daily to a maximum of 3 g daily for 1 yr. Liver tests were determined at 3-month intervals with the Mayo risk score calculated at baseline and at the end of therapy. Twenty-three (77%) patients completed 1 yr of therapy. Significant but clinically marginal improvement in serum alkaline phosphatase level after 1 yr of therapy was observed (1135 +/- 581 U/L vs 912 +/- 463 U/L, p= 0.02). No other significant changes in liver biochemistries or Mayo risk score was observed. Seven patients (23%) discontinued MMF due to adverse events possibly related to therapy. Adverse reactions resolved spontaneously or with dose reduction in 10 (33%) patients. One patient developed pancreatitis, bacterial cholangitis, and sepsis during the eighth month of MMF therapy. No patient developed cytopenia on therapy. In conclusion, MMF does not appear to have clinically important benefits for PSC despite being tolerated by most patients. The results of this pilot study do not support further study of MMF as a single agent in the treatment of PSC.

Incidence and risk factors for cholangiocarcinoma in primary sclerosing cholangitis

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a dreaded complication of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC); however, marked variability in the incidence of CCA in PSC is reported. Furthermore, limited information exists on risk factors for the development of CCA in PSC. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of CCA in patients with PSC and to evaluate baseline risk factors for the later development of CCA. From a previous study of the natural history of PSC, we identified 161 patients with PSC who did not have CCA at study entry. Patients were followed until a diagnosis of CCA was established, liver transplantation was performed, or death occurred. Patients were followed for a median of 11.5 yr (interquartile range 4.0-16.1 yr). Fifty-nine patients (36.6%) died, 50 patients (31.1%) underwent liver transplantation, and 11 patients (6.8%) developed CCA. The rate of CCA developing was approximately 0.6% per year. Compared to the incidence rates of CCA in the general population, the relative risk of CCA in PSC was significantly increased (RR = 1,560; 95%CI = 780, 2,793; p < 0.0001). On univariate analysis, a history of variceal bleeding (p < 0.001), proctocolectomy (p= 0.01), and lack of symptoms (p= 0.02) were significant risk factors for CCA with the Mayo Risk Score being marginally significant (p= 0.051). Multivariate analysis determined only variceal bleeding to be a significant risk factor for CCA (RR 24.2; 95%CI: 3.3-67.1). No association was found between the duration of PSC and the incidence of CCA. In conclusion, approximately 7% of PSC patients later developed CCA over a mean follow-up of 11.5 yr, which is dramatically higher than the rates in the general population. Variceal bleeding is a major risk factor for the later development of CCA.

Long-term evaluation of a rat model of chronic cholangitis resembling human primary sclerosing cholangitis

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic cholestatic disorder with a presumed autoimmune aetiopathogenesis. We have recently described a novel organ-specific rat model of fibrosing cholangitis induced by intrabiliary administration of the hapten-reagent 2,4,6-trinitrobenzenesulfonic acid (TNBS) with similarities to human PSC. In the present report, we have evaluated the long-term outcome of TNBS-induced cholangitis in this model. Mild stenosis of the common bile duct of female Lewis rats (n = 18) was achieved by subtotal ligation and cholangitis induced by TNBS injection (50 mg/kg) into the dilated bile duct after a second laparotomy. After 8 and 12 months, we found no evidence of cholangitis in serum chemistry or histology or retrograde cholangiography of TNBS-treated rats. Antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies were positive in 75% of animals but were not predictive of liver damage. Tumour necrosis factor-alpha levels were not elevated in serum or in mononuclear spleen cell supernatants. Our findings suggest that a single initial insult is not sufficient to trigger chronic progressive inflammation. Rather, perpetuation of inflammation probably requires additional stimuli.

Is there a role for liver biopsy in primary sclerosing cholangitis?

OBJECTIVE

Liver biopsies are performed in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) to stage disease and to rule out coexisting liver disease. The purpose of this study was to examine how often routine liver biopsies provide important information in patients with PSC.

METHODS

We reviewed the charts of 138 patients with a cholangiographic diagnosis of PSC to determine whether information from liver biopsy had an impact on clinical management.

RESULTS

A total of 30 patients did not have a liver biopsy, whereas 29 patients had a biopsy before cholangiography. In 79 patients the liver biopsy was performed after the diagnosis of PSC was established by cholangiography (median time from cholangiography to liver biopsy, 21 days). In 78 of 79 patients (98.7%) the liver biopsy revealed no atypical findings and did not affect clinical management. In one patient the liver biopsy revealed findings of an overlap syndrome with autoimmune hepatitis, and the patient was treated with corticosteroids and azathioprine. This patient had biochemical features consistent with autoimmune hepatitis. One patient developed a bile leak after liver biopsy, requiring hospitalization (complication rate 0.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

Liver biopsies rarely contribute new information that affects the management of patients with PSC. Given the risks of the procedure, liver biopsies for patients with a diagnosis of PSC established by cholangiography may not routinely be necessary.

Diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: fine needle aspiration cytology or needle core biopsy

Needle core biopsy (NCB) has been the standard procedure for histopathologic diagnosis of hepatic lesions for more than 50 years. In recent years fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) has emerged as a minimally invasive, relatively inexpensive and a rapid method of pathologic evaluation of primary or metastatic hepatic masses. The specificity and the positive predictive value of FNAC is very high however, the sensitivity of the procedure widely ranges between 67% to 93%. The two major areas of diagnostic difficulties are differentiation of benign and non-neoplastic hepatic nodules from well differentiated HCC and identification of obviously malignant cells as HCC, cholangiocarcinoma, or metastasis. Preparation of cell blocks, immunohistochemical stains and application of other ancillary techniques are often helpful in difficult cases. In presence of characteristic features a diagnosis of HCC can be established on FNAC however, a negative result does not exclude malignancy. The role of pathologic diagnosis in the assessment of large hepatic masses is well established however, its role in the evaluation of small hepatic nodules (<3 cm) detected during surveillance of high risk patients is still evolving. Considering the overall advantages and cost-analysis, FNAC can be suggested as the initial method of choice for evaluation of hepatic masses in most clinical settings. However, the final choice of the diagnostic procedure should be decided on the basis of working clinical diagnosis and the institutional experience.

Predictive value of liver cell dysplasia for development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic chronic viral hepatitis

AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) frequently develops in patients with chronic viral hepatitis, especially in the cirrhotic stage. We retrospectively studied whether the presence of the putative preneoplastic lesions large liver cell dysplasia (LLCD) and/or small liver cell dysplasia (SLCD) in a needle liver biopsy of these patients are a risk factor for the development of HCC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The presence of LLCD and SLCD in the needle liver biopsy taken at the initial work-up of 115 patients with chronic hepatitis B or C was assessed retrospectively. LLCD and SLCD were present in the initial biopsy of, respectively, 35 (30%) and 25 patients (22%). During a mean follow-up of 107 months, 16 patients (14%) developed HCC and this occurred significantly more frequently in patients with cirrhosis, age > or = 55 years, LLCD or SLCD. Cirrhosis and LLCD were independent risk factors for HCC development.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that the presence of LLCD in a needle liver biopsy of patients with viral-induced chronic liver disease is an independent risk factor for the development of HCC. If these results are confirmed, the presence of LLCD can be used to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk for HCC requiring more intensive screening.

Iron and hepatocellular carcinoma

The high prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in genetic hemochromatosis (GH) and the association between increased body iron stores and occurrence of HCC in subjects with iron overload unrelated to GH, and the experimental evidence of a co-carcinogenic role of iron strongly support that iron is involved in the development of HCC.

High-dose ursodeoxycholic acid as a therapy for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the tolerability and efficacy of high-dose (25-30 mg/kg per day) ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC).

METHODS

Thirty patients with PSC were enrolled in this pilot study and treated for 1 yr. Changes in the Mayo risk score at 1 yr of treatment and projected survival at 4 yr were compared with that observed in patients randomized to placebo (n = 52) or UDCA (n = 53) at a dose of 13-15 mg/kg per day.

RESULTS

A marked improvement in serum alkaline phosphatase activity (1265+/-172 vs 693+/-110 U/L, p < 0.001), AST (161+/-037 vs 77+/-13 U/L, p = 0.001), albumin (4.0+/-0.1 vs 4.2+/-0.1 g/dl, p = 0.03), and total bilirubin (1.6+/-0.3 vs 1.3+/-0.2 mg/dl, p = 0.1) occurred at 1 yr of therapy with high-dose UDCA. Changes in the Mayo risk score after 1 yr of treatment were significantly different among the three groups (p < 0.001), and these changes would be translated into a significantly different expected survival at 4 yr (p = 0.05). This expected survival at 4 yr was significantly different between placebo and the dose of 25-30 mg/kg per day (p = 0.04), but not between placebo and the dose of 13-15 mg/kg per day (p = 0.4). High-dose UDCA was well tolerated.

CONCLUSIONS

UDCA at a dose of 25-30 mg/kg per day may be of benefit for patients with PSC, and this regimen deserves further evaluation in a long-term, randomized, placebo-controlled trial.

Balloon dilation compared to stenting of dominant strictures in primary sclerosing cholangitis

OBJECTIVE

In some patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), a localized, high-grade (dominant) stricture may be the principal cause of symptoms and hyperbilirubinemia. The aim of this retrospective study was to compare the beneficial effects and risk of balloon dilation alone versus dilation followed by stenting in PSC patients with dominant strictures.

METHODS

Charts from a group of 1009 patients with PSC seen over 10 yr were reviewed to identify those patients who had undergone endoscopic or percutaneous therapeutic intervention. Procedural and clinical data were recorded.

RESULTS

A total of 71 PSC patients, median age of 49 yr (range 18-78 yr) were identified. Thirty-four patients were treated with endoscopic balloon dilation alone, and 37 patients were treated with balloon dilation plus stent placement. Stents were placed percutaneously (n = 19), endoscopically (n = 14), or using both interventions (n = 4). Both groups were comparable at baseline with regards to age, symptoms, and bilirubin level. The median duration of follow-up after intervention was similar in both groups. The number of intervention-related complications (30 vs 6, p = 0.001) as well as the incidence of acute cholangitis (p = 0.004) were more common in the stent group compared to the balloon dilation group. There were more complications related to percutaneous stent placement than endoscopic placement (23 vs 7. p = 0.001). There was no significant difference between the two groups with regards to improving cholestasis.

CONCLUSIONS

There was no additional obvious benefit from stenting after balloon dilation in the treatment of dominant strictures in PSC patients. Stenting was associated with more complications, and its role after dilation should be assessed in a randomized trial rather than being accepted as routinely indicated in this setting.

Treatment of cholangiocarcinoma complicating primary sclerosing cholangitis: the Mayo Clinic experience

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this retrospective study were to assess the frequency with which we used different treatment modalities for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and cholangiocellular carcinoma (CCA).

METHODS

A total of 41 patients with known CCA complicating PSC with a median age of 49 yr (range, 27-75 yr) were identified from a group of 1009 patients (4%) with PSC seen over 10 yr at the Mayo Clinic.

RESULTS

These patients received mainly five forms of treatment: 10 patients were treated with radiation therapy (RT) with or without 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) (seven with palliative and three with curative intent), nine with stent placement for cholestasis, 12 with conservative treatment, four with surgical resection (one of four received RT and 5-FU), and three patients with orthotopic liver transplantation and RT, with or without 5-FU. One patient was treated with 5-FU alone, one with photodynamic therapy, and one patient with somatostatin analog. A total of 36 patients died, whereas four (10%) patients survived (two with surgical resection, one with orthotopic liver transplantation and RT, and one with stent placement) during a median follow-up of 5.5 months (range, 1-75 months). One patient was lost to follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

In highly selective cases, resective surgery seems to be of benefit in PSC patients with CCA. However, these therapies are rarely applied to these patients because of the advanced nature of the disease at the time of diagnosis. Efforts should be directed at earlier identification of potential surgical candidates.

Can large cell change and high proliferative activity predict hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hereditary hemochromatosis?

OBJECTIVE

Patients with hereditary hemochromatosis are at high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma. This study was undertaken to define whether large cell change and nucleolar organizer regions proliferative index (marker of high proliferative activity) predict hepatocellular carcinoma development in hereditary hemochromatosis.

METHODS

Histological staining for large cell change and high proliferative activity were done on baseline liver biopsies of 74 patients with hereditary hemochromatosis (52 with and 22 without cirrhosis), prospectively followed-up for 83 +/- 53 months (range, 1-230 months).

RESULTS

Large cell change and high proliferative activity were found only in cirrhotic patients; 16 of 52 patients (31%) had either the large cell change or high proliferative activity. Large cell change was more frequent in patients with hepatitis B surface antigen than in those positive for hepatitis C virus (57% vs 14%, p = 0.04). Hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 7 of 16 (44%) and in 6 of 36 patients (16%) of the patients positive or negative for these morphological variables. The probability of developing hepatocellular carcinoma at 7 yr of follow-up was significantly higher in patients with large cell change or high proliferative activity than in those without. The length of follow-up from baseline histology to hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence was shorter in patients with large cell change or high proliferative activity than in those without these changes (46 +/- 36 and 109 +/- 34 months, p = 0.01). A multivariate analysis indicated that in patients with cirrhosis, large cell change or high proliferative activity (considered as a single variable), and age >55 yr were the only independent variables significantly associated with the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma, with a risk ratio of 4.8 (confidence interval 1.2-18.2) and 4.0 (confidence interval 1.1-15.6), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In hereditary hemochromatosis, the presence of large cell change or high proliferative activity in patients older than 55 yr with cirrhosis should be considered a strong predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma development, especially if hepatitis B virus infection coexists.

Oral budesonide in the treatment of primary sclerosing cholangitis

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to evaluate the safety and estimate the efficacy of oral budesonide in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC).

METHODS

Twenty-one patients with PSC were treated with 9 mg daily of oral budesonide for 1 yr.

RESULTS

Significant, but marginally important, improvement in serum alkaline phosphatase (1,235 +/- 190 vs 951 +/-206 U/L, p = 0.003) and AST levels (119 +/- 14 vs 103 +/- 19 U/L, p = 0.02) was noted at the end of the treatment period. Serum bilirubin levels increased significantly in the 18 patients who completed 1 yr of treatment (1.1 +/- 0.1 vs 1.4 +/- 0.3, p = 0.01) and no significant changes in liver tests were noted 3 months after budesonide was discontinued. The Mayo risk score did not change significantly, and although a significant improvement in the degree of portal inflammation was noted at the end of the treatment period, the degree of fibrosis and stage of disease were not significantly affected. There was a marked loss of bone mass of the femoral neck (0.851 +/- 0.02 vs 0.826 +/- 0.02 g/cm2, p = 0.002) and lumbar spine (1.042 +/- 0.02 vs 1.029 +/- 0.02 g/cm2, p = 0.09) at 1 yr of treatment with budesonide. Two patients required evaluation for liver transplantation during treatment, and two patients developed cosmetic side effects.

CONCLUSIONS

Oral budesonide appears to be of minimal, if any, benefit and it is associated with a significant worsening of osteoporosis in patients with PSC.

Carriage of HFE mutations and outcome of surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND

Aggressive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) complicates frequently hereditary hemochromatosis, a disease for which a strong candidate gene, named HFE, has recently been identified. Patients with HCC who are heterozygotes for mutations in the HFE gene might have distinct features and a distinct disease course.

METHODS

The presence of the 2 mutations associated with hereditary hemochromatosis (C282Y and H63D) was sought by restriction fragment length polymorphism in 61 cirrhotic patients (46 males and 15 females) who underwent resection for HCC at a single institution.

RESULTS

There were 4 heterozygotes for the C282Y mutation and 6 homozygotes + 20 heterozygotes for the H63D mutation, with no compound heterozygotes. Carriage of >/= 1 HFE mutated allele was significantly more frequent in HCC patients than in 149 control subjects (44% vs. 29%, P = 0.005). Among C282Y heterozygotes, 3 of 4 were female, compared with 12 of 57 wild-type carriers (P = 0.015); no gender distribution existed among patients carrying H63D alleles (6 of 26 vs. 9 of 35, P = 0.813). Survival was longer for patients with wild-type HFE than for those with mutated HFE (67% vs. 22% at 3 years; hazard ratio = 0.42, 95% confidence interval = 0.21-0.80) (P < 0.01). The negative effect on survival that resulted from possessing >/= 1 HFE mutated allele was maintained even after adjustment for gender, age, presence of tumor capsule, presence of comorbid factors, Okuda stage, Edmonson grading, and number of lesions (P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Testing for HFE mutations may help identify HCC patients with dismal prognoses for whom surgical resection may not represent the best treatment option.

Increased incidence of HFE C282Y mutations in patients with iron overload and hepatocellular carcinoma developed in non-cirrhotic liver

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Histological and biochemical iron overload has been reported in non-tumoral liver of most patients presenting an hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in non-cirrhotic liver (NCL). The aim of our study was to investigate HFE mutations in patients with HCC in NCL.

METHODS

Thirty-five patients with HCC in NCL were included either retrospectively or prospectively. Clinical data, iron and viral status, and HFE gene mutations were compared between groups with (I+, n = 19) or without histological iron overload (I-, n = 16).

RESULTS

Twenty per cent of patients were HBV or HCV positive. Fifty-four per cent had hepatocytic iron overload at histology. Mean hepatic iron concentration was 100.2 +/- 14.6 micromol/g in I+ versus 23.2 +/- 2.1 micromol/g in I- (p<0.001). Among the 19 I+ patients, eight mutations were found: two C282Y/C282Y, three C282Y/WT, two C282Y/H63D and one H63D/H63D. None of these mutations was found in the I- group. There was no significant difference concerning the H63D heterozygous mutation between I+ or I- patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HCC in NCL, HBV and HCV markers are rare (20%), and mild iron overload is frequent (54%). In patients with HCC in NCL and iron overload, C282Y mutations are frequent (36.8% of cases) and significantly increased (p<0.009) compared to HCC in NCL without iron overload; these mutations are mostly heterozygous. H63D heterozygosity is not associated with liver iron overload. Because of the small size of the series, HFE C282Y mutation should be investigated on a larger scale in patients with HCC in NCL with iron overload in order to confirm this association.

Time course of histological progression in primary sclerosing cholangitis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the time course over which patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) progress through the histological stages of the disease.

METHODS

One hundred seven patients with PSC who had at least two liver biopsies were identified. The stage information from two consecutive biopsies formed one observation and a continuous time Markov model was used to describe the rate of progression between biopsies.

RESULTS

Three hundred seven liver biopsies were performed in the 107 patients giving a total of 200 observations. At 1 yr, 42% of patients in stage II disease progress, 66% at 2 yr, and 93% at 5 yr; whereas 14% of patients in stage III progress at 1 yr, 25% at 2 yr, and 52% at 5 yr. The frequency of progression of stage I disease could not be determined because of the small number of patients in stage I. Regression of histological stage was observed in 30 of 200 total observations (15%), and in 30 of 85 observations (35%) in which there was a change in stage.

CONCLUSIONS

These data regarding histological progression in PSC may be potentially helpful in determining the number of patients and length of time necessary to appreciate a treatment effect in clinical trials. However, the high degree of sampling variability in PSC may restrict the usefulness of serial liver biopsies as a means of evaluating treatment efficacy.