A review of the design of vaccine efficacy trials and a proposal for the design of the VA Cooperative Study of Active Immunotherapy of HIV Infection

Design of a group-randomized Streptococcus pneumoniae vaccine trial

A group-randomized, double-masked, phase III trial of a Streptococcus pneumoniae conjugate vaccine is being conducted in American Indian populations in the southwestern United States. Approximately 9000 infants will be enrolled in the primary efficacy cohort with vaccine allocation determined by community of residence. The trial is designed to continue until 48 cases of invasive pneumococcal disease due to vaccine serotypes have accumulated. Thirty-eight geographically and socially distinct areas were randomized within blocks formed by population size and geographic location. This design affords the opportunity to capture the effects of herd immunity (indirect effects) by estimating the impact of the vaccine intervention on nonimmunized infants. Group-randomized trials have challenging design and analysis features, many of which are discussed here in the context of the first such trial designed to lead to licensure of a drug or biologic in the United States.

Intent-to-treat analysis and preventive vaccine efficacy

While the intent-to-treat (ITT) concept has often been discussed and debated in the literature with respect to randomized, placebo-controlled therapeutic trials, there has been little discussion of this issue in the context of preventive vaccine efficacy trials. ITT analysis has traditionally played a minor role (if any) in the latter trials. This paper discusses the ITT approach to analysis in randomized superiority trials of preventive vaccine efficacy, using clinical endpoints. Data are presented from published literature as well as from a simple mathematical model. The data suggest that when compliance and efficacy are high, both ITT and "per-protocol" approaches generally lead to similar conclusions regarding the acceptability of a vaccine for use in a population. However, when compliance is low, the ITT and per-protocol estimates of vaccine efficacy can be widely disparate. ITT and per-protocol analyses address unique and relevant scientific questions, and often both will be informative in evaluating preventive vaccines.