The prudent person's paradox

Metabolic Syndrome and Coronary Heart Disease Equivalent Conditions in Predicting Cardiovascular Events in Young to Middle-Aged Adults

There are questions concerning the validity of the metabolic syndrome as a diagnostic entity and whether the syndrome predicts coronary heart disease (CHD) better than global risk stratification. The use of the metabolic syndrome as a potential adjunct to improve global risk stratification has received less attention. The authors evaluated the relationship between the metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease compared with coronary heart disease equivalent. Two hundred thirty-six subjects undergoing elective coronary angiography had bilateral carotid ultrasound studies and global risk scores calculated. Mean total, low-density lipoprotein, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglyceride values were normal. The metabolic syndrome was associated with carotid atherosclerosis (odds ratio, 2.3; confidence interval, 1.2-4.2), coronary disease (odds ratio, 2.9; confidence interval, 1.6-5.4), and future cardiovascular events. Rates for future events and coronary and carotid atherosclerosis were similar for subjects with the metabolic syndrome compared with coronary heart disease equivalent. Combined, the two conditions identified 70% of subjects who developed events. The metabolic syndrome is associated with cardiovascular disease and provides additive information to clinical risk stratification.

Relationship of subclinical coronary atherosclerosis and National Cholesterol Education Panel guidelines in asymptomatic Brazilian men

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is the leading cause of death worldwide including Brazil. Improved precision in detecting early coronary disease may aid in more targeted preventive therapy. The National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) provides guidelines for determining the aggressiveness of primary prevention strategies including lipid lowering based on Framingham risk equation. Identification of subclinical atherosclerosis and coronary plaque burden is a step towards identifying high-risk individuals. This investigation was designed to determine how the updated NCEP guidelines classify asymptomatic individuals with presence of any as well as advanced CACS (coronary artery calcium score), a powerful intermediary for CHD events, in asymptomatic Brazilian men.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Five hundred forty-six asymptomatic Brazilian men (mean age: 46+/-7 years) presented to a single electron beam tomography (EBT) facility in Sao Paulo. The study population was categorized into low risk (0-1 risk factors, n=166, 30%), intermediate risk (> or = 2 risk factors but < 10% risk of CHD over 10 years, n=150, 27%), moderately high risk (2 risk factors and 10-20% risk of hard CHD events in 10 years, n=147, 28%) and high-risk (> or = 2 risk factors and > 20% risk of hard CHD events in 10 years, n=83, 15%), respectively. In our study population, overall no CACS, mild CACS (1-99.9), moderate-severe CACS (> or = 100) were observed in 317 (58%), 160 (29%) and 69 (13%) men, respectively. Advanced calcification (CACS > or = 75th percentile for age) was present in 19% (n=104) men. Based on the LDL-C cutoffs recommended by the NCEP guidelines for initiation of lipid lowering, overall only 55% with CACS > or = 100 and 42% men with CACS > or = 75th percentile qualified for pharmacotherapy. As a result nearly half of individuals with CACS > or = 100 (45%) and CACS > or = 75th percentile (48%) missed eligibility for drug therapy.

CONCLUSION

Our findings reveal the potential limitation of NCEP guidelines in identifying asymptomatic Brazilian men with significant coronary atherosclerosis who are potential candidates for aggressive primary prevention. Assessment of CACS may provide incremental value to global risk assessment in high-risk Brazilian men.

Detection of high-risk young adults and women by coronary calcium and National Cholesterol Education Program Panel III guidelines

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to investigate the classification of cardiovascular risk in young individuals and women according to the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) guidelines across a continuum of coronary calcium scores (CCS).

BACKGROUND

Current NCEP guidelines might underestimate cardiovascular risk in young individuals and women.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 1,611 asymptomatic individuals (67% men, mean age: 53 +/- 10 years) who presented to a single electron beam tomography facility for coronary artery calcium screening. Participants were categorized into low-risk (n = 738, 46%), intermediate-risk (n = 583, 36%), moderately high-risk (n = 263, 16%), and high-risk (n = 27, 2%) according to the NCEP Panel III guidelines.

RESULTS

Absence of calcium, CCS of 0 to 99 (mild), 100 to 399 (moderate), and > or =400 (severe), was observed in 572 (35%), 707 (44%), 192 (12%), and 140 (9%) of the patients, respectively. A high CCS percentile (> or =75th percentile) was present in 426 (26%) individuals. Overall, 59% and 78% of participants with CCS > or =400 and CCS > or =75th percentile were not identified as high risk and candidates for pharmacotherapy on the basis of NCEP categories. Furthermore, women as well as young individuals were less likely to be considered candidates for pharmacotherapy compared with men and older individuals in each CCS category.

CONCLUSIONS

The NCEP guidelines seem to underestimate cardiovascular risk in young asymptomatic individuals and women. For these individuals, assessment of plaque burden might provide incremental value to global risk assessment.