Admission risk assessment by cardiac troponin T in unstable coronary artery disease: additional prognostic information from continuous ST segment monitoring. TRIM study group. Thrombin Inhibition in Myocardial Ischemia

Usefulness of Serial 12-Lead Electrocardiograms in Predicting 30-Day Outcomes in Patients With Undifferentiated Chest Pain (the ASAP CATH Study)

An initial electrocardiogram (ECG) and serial troponin measurements are both independently and incrementally predictive of acute coronary syndrome in patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain in the Emergency Department (ED). However, it is unclear if serial (ECGs) add significant to the contemporary diagnostic evaluation of this patient group. The ASAP CATH study was a single center, prospective study that enrolled patients presenting to an ED with undifferentiated chest pain. In addition to standard clinical evaluation, serial ECGs were performed at 90-minute intervals to evaluate whether serial changes suggestive of ischemia developed (Q waves, ST elevation or depression, or T-wave inversion). Total 365 subjects were enrolled from March 2014 to May 2015. Serial ECG changes developed in 6.6% (n = 24 of 365), the most common being the development of T-wave inversion (66.7%, n = 16 of 24). The sensitivity and positive predictive value of serial ECG changes were poor (<30%), with a less areas under the curve (0.55) compared with serial troponins alone (0.83). The addition of serial ECG changes to Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction risk scoring showed a decrease in the net reclassification index for major adverse cardiovascular events (-0.04, p <0.1) and was not significant for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events and/or acute coronary syndrome in 30 days (-0.003, p = 0.94). In conclusion, routine serial ECG evaluation for patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain in the ED may not significantly improved diagnostic prognosis beyond current standard evaluation modalities.

Stable Ischemic Heart Disease

Classical angina refers to typical substernal discomfort triggered by effort or emotions, relieved with rest or nitroglycerin. The well-accepted pathogenesis is an imbalance between oxygen supply and demand. Goals in therapy are improvement in quality of life by limiting the number and severity of attacks, protection against future lethal events, and measures to lower the burden of risk factors to slow disease progression. New pathophysiological data, drugs, as well as conceptual and technological advances have improved patient care over the past decade. Behavioral changes to improve diets, increase physical activity, and encourage adherence to cardiac rehabilitation programs, are difficult to achieve but are effective.

Stable ischemic heart disease

Classical angina refers to typical substernal discomfort triggered by effort or emotions, relieved with rest or nitroglycerin. The well-accepted pathogenesis is an imbalance between oxygen supply and demand. Goals in therapy are improvement in quality of life by limiting the number and severity of attacks, protection against future lethal events, and measures to lower the burden of risk factors to slow disease progression. New pathophysiological data, drugs, as well as conceptual and technological advances have improved patient care over the past decade. Behavioral changes to improve diets, increase physical activity, and encourage adherence to cardiac rehabilitation programs, are difficult to achieve but are effective.

Does continuous ST-segment monitoring add prognostic information to the TIMI, PURSUIT, and GRACE risk scores?

BACKGROUND

Recurrent ischemia is frequent in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndromes (NST-ACS), and portends a worse prognosis. Continuous ST-segment monitoring (CSTM) reflects the dynamic nature of ischemia and allows the detection of silent episodes. The aim of this study is to investigate whether CSTM adds prognostic information to the risk scores (RS) currently used.

METHODS

We studied 234 patients with NST-ACS in whom CSTM was performed in the first 24 hours after admission. An ST episode was defined as a transient ST-segment deviation in ≥1 lead of ≥ 0.1 mV, and persisting ≥1 minute. Three RS were calculated: Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI; for NST-ACS), Platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in Unstable angina: Receptor Supression Using Integrilin (PURSUIT; death/MI model), and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE). The end point was defined as death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), during 1-year follow-up.

RESULTS

ST episodes were detected in 54 patients (23.1%) and associated with worse 1-year outcome: 25.9% end point rate versus 12.2% (Odds Ratio [OR]= 2.51; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 1.18-5, 35; P = 0.026). All three RS predicted 1-year outcome, but the GRACE (c-statistic = 0.755; 95% CI, 0.695-0.809) was superior to both TIMI (c-statistic = 0.632; 95% CI, 0.567-0.694) and PURSUIT (c-statistic = 0.644; 95% CI: 0.579-0.706). A GRACE RS > 124 showed the highest accuracy for predicting end point. The presence of ST episodes added independent prognostic information the TIMI RS (hazard ratio [HR]= 2.23; 95% CI, 1.13-4.38) and to PURSUIT RS (HR = 2.03; 95% CI, 1.03-3.98), but not to the GRACE RS.

CONCLUSIONS

CSTM provides incremental prognostic information beyond the TIMI and PURSUIT RS, but not the GRACE risk score. Hence, the GRACE risk score should be the preferred stratification model in daily practice.

Recent advances in the management of chronic stable angina I: approach to the patient, diagnosis, pathophysiology, risk stratification, and gender disparities

The potential importance of both prevention and personal responsibility in controlling heart disease, the leading cause of death in the USA and elsewhere, has attracted renewed attention. Coronary artery disease is preventable, using relatively simple and inexpensive lifestyle changes. The inexorable rise in the prevalence of obesity, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and hypertension, often in the risk cluster known as the metabolic syndrome, drives the ever-increasing incidence of heart disease. Population-wide improvements in personal health habits appear to be a fundamental, evidence based public health measure, yet numerous barriers prevent implementation. A common symptom in patients with coronary artery disease, classical angina refers to the typical chest pressure or discomfort that results when myocardial oxygen demand rises and coronary blood flow is reduced by fixed, atherosclerotic, obstructive lesions. Different forms of angina and diagnosis, with a short description of the significance of pain and silent ischemia, are discussed in this review. The well accepted concept of myocardial oxygen imbalance in the genesis of angina is presented with new data about clinical pathology of stable angina and acute coronary syndromes. The roles of stress electrocardiography and stress myocardial perfusion scintigraphic imaging are reviewed, along with the information these tests provide about risk and prognosis. Finally, the current status of gender disparities in heart disease is summarized. Enhanced risk stratification and identification of patients in whom procedures will meaningfully change management is an ongoing quest. Current guidelines emphasize efficient triage of patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Many experts believe the predictive value of current decision protocols for coronary artery disease still needs improvement in order to optimize outcomes, yet avoid unnecessary coronary angiograms and radiation exposure. Coronary angiography remains the gold standard in the diagnosis of coronary artery obstructive disease. Part II of this two part series will address anti-ischemic therapies, new agents, cardiovascular risk reduction, options to treat refractory angina, and revascularization.

National survey of cardiologists' standard of practice for continuous ST-segment monitoring

BACKGROUND

Continuous ST-segment monitoring can be used to detect early and transient cardiac ischemia. The American Heart Association and American Association of Critical-Care Nurses recommend its use among specific patients, but such monitoring is routine practice in only about half of US hospitals.

OBJECTIVE

To determine cardiologists' awareness and practice standards regarding continuous ST-segment monitoring and the physicians' perceptions of appropriate patient selection, benefits and barriers, and usefulness of this technology.

METHODS

An electronic survey was sent to a random sample of 915 US cardiologists from a pool of 4985 certified cardiologists.

RESULTS

Of 200 responding cardiologists, 55% were unaware of the consensus guidelines. Of hospitals where respondents admitted patients, 49% had a standard of practice for using continuous ST-segment monitoring for cardiac patients. Most cardiologists agreed or strongly agreed that patients in the cardiovascular laboratory (87.5%) and intensive care unit (80.5%) should have such monitoring. Cardiologists routinely ordered ST monitoring for patients with acute coronary syndrome (67%) and after percutaneous coronary intervention (60%). The primary factor associated with higher perceptions for benefits, clinical usefulness, and past use of continuous ST-segment monitoring was whether or not hospitals in which cardiologists practiced had a standard of practice for using this monitoring. A secondary factor was awareness of published consensus guidelines for such monitoring.

CONCLUSION

Respondents (55%) were unaware of published monitoring guidelines. Hospital leaders could raise awareness by multidisciplinary review of evidence and possibly incorporating continuous ST-segment monitoring into hospitals' standards of practice.

Randomized control trial investigating the influence of coffee on heart rate variability in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Cardiac autonomic dysfunction post ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been linked to an excess risk of premature cardiovascular morbidity and mortality above those with normal autonomic function post-STEMI.

AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of acute ingestion of coffee on autonomic function and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with acute STEMI.

DESIGN

Randomized control trial.

METHODS

We randomized 103 patients with acute STEMI, admitted to our Coronary Care Unit, to receive regular coffee (caffeinated) or de-caffeinated coffee using a randomized controlled double-blinded design. Heart rate variability was assessed 5 days post-STEMI to assess the effect of caffeine on autonomic function.

RESULTS

In the group randomized to regular coffee, parasympathetic activity increased by up to 96% (P = 0.04) after 5 days. There was no detrimental effect of regular coffee on cardiac rhythm post-STEMI.

CONCLUSION

Coffee ingestion is associated with an increase in parasympathetic autonomic function immediately post-STEMI. Coffee was found to be safe and not associated with any adverse cardiovascular outcomes in the short term.

Clinical aspects of silent myocardial ischaemia: with particular reference to diabetes mellitus

Silent ischaemia is a common, under-recognised condition that is associated with an adverse prognosis. It is a marker of significant underlying coronary artery disease and therefore of future cardiovascular events. It is more prevalent in the diabetic population and diagnosis is usually made by a positive exercise tolerance test, positive myocardial perfusion scan or stress echo. The basis of treatment, in diabetic and non-diabetic subjects, is risk factor modification and coronary revascularisation of prognostically important coronary disease. Diabetic patients should receive risk factor modification even in the absence of ischaemia. Detection of silent ischaemia allows patients with prognostically important disease to be offered further treatment. The difficulty lies in deciding who to investigate further for this surreptitious disorder. The following clinical markers are of predictive use in this regard: electrocardiographic changes; erectile dysfunction; peripheral vascular disease and cardiac autonomic neuropathy. Their presence should prompt further investigation for silent ischaemia. Conventional risk factors and breathlessness on exertion may also be helpful. We have proposed an algorithm for the detection, investigation and management of silent myocardial ischaemia in diabetic patients.

The electrocardiogram as a prognostic tool for predicting major cardiac events

Among patients with cardiac disease, the identification of those who are at low risk and those who are at high risk for major cardiac events is crucial for a rational clinical management of individual patients. A correct noninvasive risk stratification of cardiac patients, in particular, has relevant clinical implications because it would avoid unnecessary exposure to potentially risky invasive diagnostic or interventional procedures in low-risk patients, whereas it would allow an appropriate aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic approach in high-risk patients. Furthermore, the appropriate identification of low- and high-risk patients would also have social and economic implications by favoring optimization of resource distribution and costs. A large number of studies in previous decades provided evidence that several methods and variables derived from the analysis of the electrocardiogram (ECG) are powerful predictors of major cardiac events in several clinical conditions. Despite that, there has been limited attention about how several of these findings can be used in clinical practice. Furthermore, in recent years, most studies about risk stratification of cardiac patients have mainly been focused on the use of a number of serum/plasma biomarkers with reduced attention to ECG variables. Surprisingly, however, there have been few attempts to establish whether the various proposed risk markers add any significant information to that obtainable from ECG methods. In this article, the evidence for the prognostic value of variables derived from the assessment of the ECG signal by several methods and techniques will be briefly reviewed. Because of the largeness of the topic, this review will be necessarily incomplete. Because most of the clinical research in this field concerned risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease, the article will be largely focused on this population of patients. The role of ECG methods in specific cardiac diseases and, in particular, in the general population of asymptomatic subjects will be briefly discussed when believed appropriate and helpful. Furthermore, only major clinical events (ie, cardiac death, arrhythmic events, acute myocardial infarction) will be taken into account as end points in this article. Minor clinical events (eg, coronary revascularization procedures, coronary artery restenosis, recurrences of symptoms) are indeed less robust as end points because they are widely biased by subjective judgments.

Long-term prognostic value and therapeutic implications of continuous ST-segment monitoring in acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

In patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), recurrent ischemia detected by continuous electrocardiographic monitoring portends a poor outcome. We sought to investigate (1) the additional long-term prognostic value of ST-segment monitoring beyond the validated Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score in ACS and (2) whether ST-segment monitoring can identify patients who benefit from early revascularization.

METHODS

We determined the GRACE risk score (a validated predictor of inhospital mortality) in 681 non-ST-elevation ACS patients enrolled in the Integrilin and Enoxaparin Randomized Assessment of Acute Coronary Syndrome Treatment trial. Continuous ST-segment monitoring in the first 48 hours was analyzed by an automated algorithm and reviewed by a blinded cardiologist. Clinical outcomes were centrally adjudicated in a blinded fashion.

RESULTS

ST-segment shifts were present in 19.1% of 681 patients. After a median follow-up of 30 months, patients with ST-segment shifts had a higher risk of death (17.7% vs 5.8%, log-rank P < .001) and death or myocardial infarction (MI) (24.6% vs 11.1%, log-rank P < .001). In multivariable analysis adjusting for GRACE risk score, the presence of ST-segment shifts remained an independent predictor of death (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.37, 95% CI 1.38-4.09, P = .002) and death/MI (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.93, 95% CI 1.25-3.00, P = .003). Inhospital revascularization was independently associated with a lower risk of death/MI among patients with ST-segment shifts but not among those without (P for interaction = .02).

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous ST-segment monitoring provides incremental prognostic information beyond the validated GRACE risk score determined on presentation and identifies high-risk patients who benefit from early revascularization. This simple and valuable clinical tool may be useful in the routine management of ACS.

Daily sedative interruption in mechanically ventilated patients at risk for coronary artery disease*

OBJECTIVES

To determine the prevalence of myocardial ischemia in mechanically ventilated patients with coronary risk factors and compare periods of sedative interruption vs. sedative infusion.

DESIGN

Prospective, blinded observational study.

SETTING

Medical intensive care unit of tertiary care medical center.

PATIENTS

Intubated, mechanically ventilated patients with established coronary artery disease risk factors.

INTERVENTIONS

Continuous three-lead Holter monitors with ST-segment analysis by a blinded cardiologist were used to detect myocardial ischemia. Ischemia was defined as ST-segment elevation or depression of >0.1 mV from baseline.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Comparisons between periods of awakening from sedation vs. sedative infusion were made. Vital signs, catecholamine levels, and time with ischemia detected by Holter monitor during the two periods were compared. Heart rate, mean arterial pressure, rate-pressure product, respiratory rate, and catecholamine levels were all significantly higher during sedative interruption. Eighteen of 74 patients (24%) demonstrated ischemic changes. Patients with myocardial ischemia had a longer intensive care unit length of stay (17.4+/-17.5 vs. 9.6+/-6.7 days, p=.04). Despite changes in vital signs and catecholamine levels during sedative interruption, fraction of ischemic time did not differ between the time awake vs. time sedated [median [interquartile range] of 0% [0, 0] compared with 0% [0, 0] while they were sedated [p=.17]). The finding of similar fractions of ischemic time between awake and sedated states persisted with analysis of the subgroup of 18 patients with ischemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Myocardial ischemia is common in critically ill mechanically ventilated patients with coronary artery disease risk factors. Daily sedative interruption is not associated with an increased occurrence of myocardial ischemia in these patients.

Abnormal transient Q waves: Does electrocardiography continue to be a useful tool?

Continuous electrocardiograph monitoring in initial phases of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) is well established. We present a patient case with ACS without ST elevation who developed transient pathological Q waves accompanying angina symptoms. The possible mechanisms and prognostic implications are discussed.

Clinical, electrocardiographic, and biochemical data for immediate risk stratification in acute coronary syndromes

The recent evolution in therapeutic options for acute coronary syndromes (ACS) mandates early risk stratification in order to select the appropriate treatment strategy for individual patients. Simple clinical data derived from the patient's medical history and physical examination, a standard twelve-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), and determinations of biochemical markers of myocardial damage can be obtained in the emergency room and serve as a guide for deciding appropriate medical management and optimal use of available resources. Even the most important classification of the ACS is based upon a simple and dichotomous description of the ECG, where the presence of ST-segment elevation mandates an immediate attempt to restore coronary perfusion (either pharmacologically or mechanically), whereas its absence suggests pharmacological stabilization before further evaluation. Across the whole spectrum of ACS, clinical history data (such as older age, previous coronary events, and diabetes) and clinical variables (such as higher heart rate, lower blood pressure, and higher Killip class) are the most powerful prognostic determinants at multivariate analyses derived from large databases. The ECG adds significant and independent prognostic information using the analysis of qualitative (direction of ST-segment shift, associated T-wave inversion, and presence of conduction disturbances) and quantitative (number of leads involved, amount of ST- segment shifts, duration of QRS) characteristics. Biochemical markers of myocardial damage have also been identified as independent predictors of events. In addition, retrospective analyses of clinical trials have suggested that biochemical markers might serve as a guide to select pharmacological therapy. However, how to best combine electrocardiographic and biochemical data for immediate risk stratification remains to be further elucidated.

Prognostic value of continuous ST-segment monitoring in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

Patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes constitute a heterogeneous group concerning prognosis. The 12-lead ECG at rest is recommended for early risk stratification but is unable to reflect the dynamic nature of myocardial ischemia and coronary thrombosis. This study investigated whether continuous ST-segment monitoring provides early prognostic information in such patients.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 183 patients admitted due to chest pain at rest suggestive of an acute coronary syndrome. ST-segment monitoring was performed continuously for 24 hours from admission. Cardiac-specific troponin I levels were determined on admission and every 6 hours for the first 24 hours. The endpoint was defined as death or nonfatal myocardial infarction, whichever occurred first by 30 days follow-up.

RESULTS

ST episodes, defined as transient ST deviations of at least 0.1 mV, were detected in 50 patients (27.3%) and associated with worse 30-day outcome: 22.0% endpoint rate compared to 6.8% for patients without ST episodes (P = 0.003). In a multivariate analysis, the presence of ST episodes (hazard ratio, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.26 to 7.46; P = 0.014) and peak troponin I levels > 0.2 microg/L (hazard ratio, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.01 to 6.95; P = 0.048) were independent predictors of prognosis. The combination of ST-segment monitoring and peak troponin I identified patients at low (2.5%, n = 79), intermediate (14.5%, n = 76), and high (25.0%, n = 28) risk for the 30-day endpoint.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes, continuous ST-segment monitoring provides on-line early prognostic information, in addition to troponin I levels.

Computerized vectorcardiography telemetry: a new device for continuous multilead ST-segment monitoring of ambulatory patients. A preliminary report

BACKGROUND

Continuous vectorcardiography ST-segment monitoring has become a well-established method in the surveillance of patients with acute myocardial ischemia. However, immobility of the vectorcardiography technique prevents monitoring of patients during ambulatory activities. Computerized vectorcardiography telemetry (CVT) with the capacity of real-time ST-segment analysis has been developed in an attempt to overcome this shortcoming. Recent data, however, indicate that changes in body position occasionally lead to pseudo-ischemic ST-segment changes during continuous ST-segment monitoring.

AIMS

This report describes the technical features of the CVT system, presents clinical examples using CVT, and assesses the influence of changes in body position on ST-vector magnitude (ST-VM) during CVT, respectively.

METHODS

Clinical cases involving CVT are presented. The influence of changing body position during CVT monitoring was evaluated on 24 patients with suspected acute coronary syndromes, i.e., unstable angina or acute myocardial infarction. Each patient performed a specific body positional schedule.

RESULTS

We present three discrete clinical cases where CVT provided early and valuable evidence of ongoing myocardial ischemia. The consequences of different recumbent and ambulatory body positions on ST-VM during CVT monitoring appear to be limited.

CONCLUSION

Computerized vectorcardiography telemetry is a promising new tool for disclosing residual myocardial ischemic activity during the mobilization phase of patients with acute coronary syndromes. The clinical value of CVT needs further investigation in future trials.

Contemporary management of silent ischemia: the role of ambulatory monitoring

Silent ischemia is highly prevalent among patients with ischemic heart disease and is associated with a poor prognosis in moderate/high risk outpatients who either exhibit exercise- or pharmacological-induced myocardial ischemia, or in those patients who demonstrate silent ischemia following an acute coronary syndrome. Pharmacotherapy, including beta-blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, statins, calcium channel antagonists and antiplatelet agents, have all demonstrated a reduction in silent ischemia and an improvement in cardiac prognosis. The management of patients with ischemic heart disease is currently based on patients' report of anginal symptoms: documentation of silent ischemia, usually using ambulatory electrocardiography, is not incorporated into the routine management of coronary artery disease. Yet studies comparing ambulatory electrocardiography with exercise testing have shown these tests to be complementary. We review the evidence concerning the prognostic value of ambulatory electrocardiography for monitoring silent ischemia and the prognostic value of attenuating silent ischemia. Mitigation of silent ischemia improves cardiac prognosis and ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring before and after treatment of silent ischemia can play a valuable role in the management of coronary artery disease.

Long term risk stratification of patients with acute coronary syndromes: characteristics of troponin T testing and continuous ST segment monitoring

OBJECTIVE

To examine the long term prognostic characteristics of troponin T testing and continuous multi-lead ST segment monitoring in combination with clinical and 12 lead ECG risk indicators in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS).

PATIENTS AND DESIGN

Patients with suspected ACS (n = 213) were studied. Troponin T was analysed in blood samples collected during the first 12 hours after admission. Continuous vectorcardiography ST segment monitoring was performed for 24 hours and the number of ST vector magnitude episodes was registered. Patients were followed up for a median of 28 months. The end point was a composite of cardiac death and acute myocardial infarction.

RESULTS

Thirty eight (18%) patients reached the composite end point. The median (interquartile range) time from study inclusion to the time of the composite end point was longer for patients predicted to be at risk by troponin T testing (n = 27) than for those predicted to be at risk by ST segment monitoring (n = 20) (8.4 (0.2-15) months v 0.3 (0.1-4.3) months, p = 0.04). Significant univariate predictors of the composite end point were age > or = 65 years, diabetes, previous myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, use of beta blockers or diuretics at admission, 12 lead ECG ST segment depression at admission, troponin T concentration > or = 0.10 microg/l, and > or = 1 ST vector magnitude episodes. Age > or = 65 years, previous myocardial infarction, and troponin T concentration > or = 0.10 microg/l provided independent prognostic information after multivariate analysis of potential risk variables. The prognostic value of transient ischaemic episodes in ACS seems to be confined to the short term.

CONCLUSIONS

Both biochemical and continuous ECG markers reflect an increased risk for patients with ACS; however, the methods exhibit different temporal risk characteristics.

Usefulness of ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring for myocardial ischemia after coronary bypass

Cardiac patients with asymptomatic myocardial ischemia have a poor prognosis. Ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring can help to ensure that these patients, who are unaware of their high-risk status, are relieved of residual myocardial ischemia in response to cardioprotective medication, and rendered as low cardiac risk.

ST-segment monitoring in patients with acute coronary syndromes

ST-segment analyses from electrocardiograms during acute coronary syndromes (ACS) have repeatedly shown strong mechanistic links to coronary artery patency and myocardial reperfusion. In these patients, such analyses have also consistently been reported to have close correlations with outcome--correlations superior even to those reported for invasive coronary flow measurements and outcome. Continuous multilead ST-monitoring of patients with ACS provides accurate and noninvasive information on the dynamics of the myocardial reperfusion process over time. This information can be used for improved early diagnostic accuracy, evaluation of treatment efficacy, early risk-stratification, and can be supportive in clinical decision making regarding these patients. Continuous multilead ST-monitoring during ACS is no longer a cumbersome source of more nuisance than benefit, but can be an accurate and useful tool in multicenter clinical trials, as well as in clinical medicine.

Cumulative risk assessment in unstable angina: clinical, electrocardiographic, autonomic, and biochemical markers

OBJECTIVES

To determine the incremental value of clinical data, troponin T, ST segment monitoring, and heart rate variability for predicting outcome in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of 304 consecutive patients. Baseline clinical and electrocardiographic data were recorded, serial blood samples were obtained for troponin T assay, and 48 hour Holter monitoring was performed for ST segment and heart rate variability analysis. End points were cardiac death and non-fatal myocardial infarction during 12 months' follow up.

RESULTS

After 12 months, 7 patients had died and 21 had had non-fatal myocardial infarction. The risk of an event was increased by troponin T > 0.1 microg/l, T wave inversion on the presenting ECG, Holter ST shift, and a decrease in the standard deviation of 5 minute mean RR intervals. Positive predictive values of individual multivariate risk were low; however, analysis of all multivariate risk markers permitted calculation of a cumulative risk score, which increased the positive predictive value to 46.9% while retaining a negative predictive value of 96.9%.

CONCLUSION

A cumulative approach to risk stratification in non-ST elevation coronary syndromes successfully identifies a group in whom the risk of cardiac death or non-fatal myocardial infarction approaches 50%.

Prognostic value of clinical variables at presentation in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes: results of the Proyecto de Estudio del Pronóstico de la Angina (PEPA)

Patients with suspected non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTEACS) constitute a heterogeneous population with variable outcomes. Risk stratification in this population of patients is difficult due to the complexity in patient risk profile. We conducted this study to characterize the value of clinical and electrocardiographic variables for risk stratification in an unselected population of consecutive patients with NSTEACS on admission. Thirty-five clinical and electrocardiographic variables at presentation in the emergency room of 18 hospitals were prospectively analyzed in 4,115 patients with NSTEACS and related with the outcomes at 90 days. We also developed a risk score using the variables found to be independent predictors of ischemic events to facilitate risk stratification. Cardiovascular mortality was 4.3% and the rate for the outcome of either cardiovascular death or nonfatal myocardial infarction was 6.9%. The only independent predictors of mortality were age, diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, postinfarction angina, Killip class > or = 2, ST-segment depression, and elevation of cardiac markers. A risk profile using the variables found to be independent predictors of events was calculated for cardiovascular mortality and for the combination of either death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Event rates increased significantly in all subgroups of patients based on the number of independent risk factors as the risk score increased. Using these factors, 90-day mortality ranged from as low as 0.4% in patients with no risk factors to 21.1% for those with more than 4 risk factors. In conclusion, simple clinical and electrocardiographic data obtained at hospital admission allow an accurate risk stratification of patients with NSTEACS. In the PEPA registry, simple variables easy to obtain at admission appear to be a valuable tool in discerning between patients at very low and very high risk according to the cluster of factors for each patient. The risk score developed was obtained from an unselected population, representative of the whole spectrum of patients with NSTEACS, allowing identification of patients at different risks for adverse outcomes, and, therefore, permitting optimization of therapy.

[Is troponin I useful for predicting in-hospital risk for unstable angina patients in a community hospital? Results of a prospective study]

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Before including troponin I detection in the daily practice of our hospital we performed a prospective study to determine its real usefulness and to establish the best cut-off point.

METHODS

We studied 82 consecutive patients admitted with unstable angina to a community hospital. Troponin I was determined (> 10 h after chest pain). Patients were referred to a tertiary hospital for catheterization/revascularization if clinical events developed.

RESULTS

Twenty-five patients (31%) suffered events during admission: recurrent angina in 23 cases (28%); heart failure in 5 (6%); exitus in 3 (4%); myocardial infarction in 1 (1%). The cut-off point for troponin I that best predicted events was 0.1 ng/ml. Patients with troponin I > 0.1 (34 patients, 42%) experienced more events [47 vs. 19%; OR = 3.8 (1.4-10.4); p = 0.01] and had higher rates of recurrent angina (42 vs. 19%), heart failure (12 vs. 2%) and exitus (9 vs 0%). Patients with ECG changes and troponin I > 0.1 showed a significantly higher percentage of events (63%) than those with ECG changes alone (23%) or troponin I > 0.1 alone (15%) or those without ECG changes and troponin I < 0.1 (17%) (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Troponin I elevation is useful for predicting in-hospital risk for unstable angina patients admitted to a community hospital. A low cut-off value (0.1 ng/ml) predicts events. The association of ECG changes and high troponin I identifies a population at very high risk; however, the absence of both variables in patients with a diagnosis of unstable angina does not preclude the development of events.

Cardiac markers and risk stratification: an integrated approach

Risk stratification of patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is pivotal for correct allocation of health resources and for maximizing the benefit of available treatment modalities. However, clinical and electrocardiographic indicators of high risk lack sufficient sensitivity for the detection of major cardiac events. The complementary information provided by the measurement of different biomarkers is believed to be very useful. Specifically, elevations of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and T (cTnT) are strongly associated with a high-risk profile both at short- and long-term. This has been definitely demonstrated in many studies as well as in cumulative meta-analysis. The role of different biomarkers, such as those reflecting activation of hemostasis and the presence of inflammation, is however less defined. At the moment, no study has prospectively evaluated these biomarkers in the whole spectrum of unselected patients with ACS. It is also unclear whether these biomarkers add independent prognostic value to the clinical and electrocardiographic indicators of adverse outcome and whether they offer additional information when compared to each other. The Early Prognostic Value of Biochemical Markers of Myocardial Damage, Activation of Hemostatic Mechanism and Inflammation in Acute Ischemic Syndromes (EMAI) study has been prospectively designed to solve these issues. In this study, we have evaluated the prognostic value of cTnI and cTnT, D-dimer, prothrombin fragment 1+2 (F1+2), thrombin-antithrombin complex (TAT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) in patients with ACS at the time of admission. We have enrolled in 31 Italian Coronary Care Units 1971 patients with rest anginal pain within 12 h from admission and electrocardiographic evidence of myocardial ischemia. Of these, 730 patients resulted to have ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction eligible for a reperfusion strategy and 1241, an acute coronary syndrome without persisting ST-segment elevation. Primary outcome measure of the study is the composite of death and non-fatal MI within 30 days from admission, which has occurred in 8.9% of the study population.

Risk stratification in non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndromes with special focus on recent guidelines

Patients with unstable angina or non-ST segment elevation (non-Q-wave) myocardial infarction are a heterogeneous group with respect to their risk of developing clinically significant adverse events such as subsequent myocardial infarction and death. Recent guidelines promote risk stratification of these patients, targeting high-risk patients for maximal antithrombotic and antiischemic therapy and low-risk patients for early discharge. We reviewed current and future modalities for risk stratification of patients and the predictive value of these methods in context with available pharmacologic agents. Unfortunately, most of the data identifying a particular pharmacologic regimen as beneficial in high-risk patients are retrospectively derived from large trials. Until prospective studies that use markers to guide therapy are available, clinicians should be familiar with the use of these risk markers and their application to the role of a given management strategy, including pharmacologic therapy.

Early assessment of long-term risk with continuous ST-segment monitoring among patients with unstable coronary syndromes. Results from 1-year follow-up in the TRIM study

A total of 323 patients who took part in the TRIM trial underwent an initial 24 h continuous electrocardiogram ST-segment monitoring. A ST vector magnitude (ST-VM) maximum > or = 144 microV predicted death or myocardial infarction within 1 year with a 78% specificity and a 52% sensitivity, an area under the ST-VM trend curve > or = 162 mu with a 86% specificity and a 42% sensitivity and presence of ST-VM episodes with a 70% specificity and a 68% sensitivity. Patients who had neither ST-VM episodes nor a ST-maximum > or = 144 microV had only a 4.5% incidence of death or myocardial infarction within one year as compared to 18% among those patients who met any of these criteria. ST-segment monitoring with continuous vectorcardiography is feasible for risk stratification at least up to 1 year after an episode of unstable coronary artery disease and several vectorcardiographic parameters may be used.

Targeting treatment for optimal outcome

Rapid assessment of patients presenting with acute chest pain is essential, in order to distinguish between those who have a life-threatening condition, such as myocardial infarction or unstable angina, and the substantial proportion who do not have an acute coronary syndrome. It is thus of vital importance that reliable techniques are available to facilitate rapid risk stratification, as an aid to both clinical diagnosis and management strategy decisions. Assessments based on clinical findings, electrocardiographic monitoring, symptom-limited exercise testing, and biochemical marker measurements, used either singly or in various combinations, can fulfill this role. The present paper reviews some of the recent data that demonstrate the value of these techniques. Very few studies allow conclusions to be drawn about optimal treatment strategies in relation to groups stratified according to prognostic markers, and the question of whether intense medical treatment or early invasive intervention is most beneficial is one that clinical trials have yet to address adequately. In the recently completed Fragmin and Fast Revascularization during InStability in Coronary artery disease (FRISC II) study, comparisons were made of clinical outcomes achieved with early invasive versus noninvasive (i.e., medical) management strategies, and with short-term versus prolonged anticoagulation with dalteparin sodium (Fragmin), in patients with unstable coronary artery disease. All study participants underwent symptom-limited exercise testing and provided blood sample for measurements of biochemical markers; continuous electrocardiography monitoring and echocardiography were also performed in a high proportion of patients. Data from the FRISC II trial thus shed further light on the issue of risk stratification and its use to determine optimal treatment strategies.