Risk factors and confounders in the geographical clustering of schizophrenia

Urbanicity mental costs valuation: a review and urban-societal planning consideration

Living in cities has numerous comparative advantages than living in the countryside or in small villages and towns, most notably better access to education, services and jobs. However, it is also associated with a roughly twofold increase in some mental disorders rate incidence compared with living in rural areas. Economic assessments reported a forecasted loss of more than 19 trillion dollars in global GDP between 2011 and 2030 and of around 7 trillion for the year 2030 alone when measured by the human capital method. If we exclude self-selection processes and make the hypothesis to be able to level down the mental illness rate incidence in urban areas to these of the rural by better urban-societal planning, around € 1.2 trillion could be saved yearly worldwide. Even a reduction of only 20% in urban mental illness rate would save around 250 billion dollars yearly.

Spatial fine-mapping for gene-by-environment effects identifies risk hot spots for schizophrenia

Spatial mapping is a promising strategy to investigate the mechanisms underlying the incidence of psychosis. We analyzed a case-cohort study (n = 24,028), drawn from the 1.47 million Danish persons born between 1981 and 2005, using a novel framework for decomposing the geospatial risk for schizophrenia based on locale of upbringing and polygenic scores. Upbringing in a high environmental risk locale increases the risk for schizophrenia by 122%. Individuals living in a high gene-by-environmental risk locale have a 78% increased risk compared to those who have the same genetic liability but live in a low-risk locale. Effects of specific locales vary substantially within the most densely populated city of Denmark, with hazard ratios ranging from 0.26 to 9.26 for environment and from 0.20 to 5.95 for gene-by-environment. These findings indicate the critical synergism of gene and environment on the etiology of schizophrenia and demonstrate the potential of incorporating geolocation in genetic studies.

Urbanicity, social adversity and psychosis

In recent years, there has been increasing interest in research on geographical variation in the incidence of schizophrenia and other psychoses. In this paper, we review the evidence on variation in incidence of schizophrenia and other psychoses in terms of place, as well as the individual- and area-level factors that account for this variation. We further review findings on potential mechanisms that link adverse urban environment and psychosis. There is evidence from earlier and more recent studies that urbanicity is associated with an increased incidence of schizophrenia and non-affective psychosis. In addition, considerable variation in incidence across neighbourhoods has been observed for these disorders. Findings suggest it is unlikely that social drift alone can fully account for geographical variation in incidence. Evidence further suggests that the impact of adverse social contexts - indexed by area-level exposures such as population density, social fragmentation and deprivation - on risk of psychosis is explained (confounding) or modified (interaction) by environmental exposures at the individual level (i.e., cannabis use, social adversity, exclusion and discrimination). On a neurobiological level, several studies suggest a close link between social adversity, isolation and stress on the one hand, and monoamine dysfunction on the other, which resembles findings in schizophrenia patients. However, studies directly assessing correlations between urban stress or discrimination and neurobiological alterations in schizophrenia are lacking to date.

Incidence of schizophrenia and other psychoses in England, 1950-2009: a systematic review and meta-analyses

BACKGROUND

We conducted a systematic review of incidence rates in England over a sixty-year period to determine the extent to which rates varied along accepted (age, sex) and less-accepted epidemiological gradients (ethnicity, migration and place of birth and upbringing, time).

OBJECTIVES

To determine variation in incidence of several psychotic disorders as above.

DATA SOURCES

Published and grey literature searches (MEDLINE, PSycINFO, EMBASE, CINAHL, ASSIA, HMIC), and identification of unpublished data through bibliographic searches and author communication.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Published 1950-2009; conducted wholly or partially in England; original data on incidence of non-organic adult-onset psychosis or one or more factor(s) pertaining to incidence.

PARTICIPANTS

People, 16-64 years, with first -onset psychosis, including non-affective psychoses, schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, psychotic depression and substance-induced psychosis.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

Title, abstract and full-text review by two independent raters to identify suitable citations. Data were extracted to a standardized extraction form. Descriptive appraisals of variation in rates, including tables and forest plots, and where suitable, random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions to test specific hypotheses; rate heterogeneity was assessed by the I²-statistic.

RESULTS

83 citations met inclusion. Pooled incidence of all psychoses (N = 9) was 31.7 per 100,000 person-years (95%CI: 24.6-40.9), 23.2 (95%CI: 18.3-29.5) for non-affective psychoses (N = 8), 15.2 (95%CI: 11.9-19.5) for schizophrenia (N = 15) and 12.4 (95%CI: 9.0-17.1) for affective psychoses (N = 7). This masked rate heterogeneity (I²: 0.54-0.97), possibly explained by socio-environmental factors; our review confirmed (via meta-regression) the typical age-sex interaction in psychosis risk, including secondary peak onset in women after 45 years. Rates of most disorders were elevated in several ethnic minority groups compared with the white (British) population. For example, for schizophrenia: black Caribbean (pooled RR: 5.6; 95%CI: 3.4-9.2; N = 5), black African (pooled RR: 4.7; 95%CI: 3.3-6.8; N = 5) and South Asian groups in England (pooled RR: 2.4; 95%CI: 1.3-4.5; N = 3). We found no evidence to support an overall change in the incidence of psychotic disorder over time, though diagnostic shifts (away from schizophrenia) were reported.

LIMITATIONS

Incidence studies were predominantly cross-sectional, limiting causal inference. Heterogeneity, while evidencing important variation, suggested pooled estimates require interpretation alongside our descriptive systematic results.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS OF KEY FINDINGS

Incidence of psychotic disorders varied markedly by age, sex, place and migration status/ethnicity. Stable incidence over time, together with a robust socio-environmental epidemiology, provides a platform for developing prediction models for health service planning.

Schizophrenia and the city: A review of literature and prospective study of psychosis and urbanicity in Ireland

Urbanicity has been repeatedly associated with increased incidence of schizophrenia. This article (a) presents results of a prospective study of urbanicity and schizophrenia in Ireland and (b) reviews the literature relating to urbanicity and schizophrenia. We prospectively compared incidence of schizophrenia and other psychoses in urban and rural catchment areas (over 4years and 7years, respectively) using face-to-face, DSM-III-R diagnostic interviews. Incidence of schizophrenia in males was higher in urban compared to rural areas, with an age-adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.92 (1.52-2.44) for males and 1.34 (1.00-1.80) for females. Incidence of affective psychosis was lower in urban compared to rural areas for males (IRR 0.48; 0.34-0.67) and females (IRR 0.60; 0.43-0.83). These findings are consistent with the literature, which provides persuasive evidence that risk for schizophrenia increases with urban birth and/or upbringing, especially among males. Register-based studies support this conclusion more consistently than studies using face-to-face diagnostic interviews, the difference being related to power. The mechanism of association is unclear but may relate to biological or social/environmental factors or both, acting considerably before psychotic symptoms manifest. There is a diversity of potential candidates, including air pollution, cannabis and social exclusion. Urbanicity may have a synergistic effect with genetic vulnerability. Future research is likely to focus on the relationship between urbanicity and neural maldevelopment, the possibility of rural protective factors (e.g. social capital, low social fragmentation), urbanicity in developing countries, cultural variables and geographical location, and associations between urbanicity and other disorders (e.g. affective psychosis).

Spatial analysis to identify hotspots of prevalence of schizophrenia

INTRODUCTION

The geographical distribution of mental health disorders is useful information for epidemiological research and health services planning.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the existence of geographical hotspots with a high prevalence of schizophrenia in a mental health area in Spain.

METHOD

The study included 774 patients with schizophrenia who were users of the community mental health care service in the area of South Granada. Spatial analysis (Kernel estimation) and Bayesian relative risks were used to locate potential hotspots. Availability and accessibility were both rated in each zone and spatial algebra was applied to identify hotspots in a particular zone.

RESULTS

The age-corrected prevalence rate of schizophrenia was 2.86 per 1,000 population in the South Granada area. Bayesian analysis showed a relative risk varying from 0.43 to 2.33. The area analysed had a non-uniform spatial distribution of schizophrenia, with one main hotspot (zone S2). This zone had poor accessibility to and availability of mental health services.

CONCLUSION

A municipality-based variation exists in the prevalence of schizophrenia and related disorders in the study area. Spatial analysis techniques are useful tools to analyse the heterogeneous distribution of a variable and to explain genetic/environmental factors in hotspots related with a lack of easy availability of and accessibility to adequate health care services.

Psychosis and place

One important line of epidemiologic inquiry implicating social context in the etiology of psychosis is the examination of spatial variation in the distribution of psychotic illness. The authors conducted a systematic review of evidence from urbanicity and neighborhood studies regarding spatial variation in the incidence of psychosis in developed countries since 1950. A total of 44 studies (20 of urbanicity and 24 of neighborhood) were culled from three databases with similar time frames: Medline (1950-2007), PsychInfo (1950-2007), and Sociological Abstracts (1952-2007). With a special emphasis on social factors potentially relevant to etiology, the authors elucidated contributions, limitations, and issues related to study design, measurement, and theory. Evidence from both arenas supports a possible etiologic role for social context. Studies of urbanicity indicate that early-life exposure may be important; dose-response relations, spatial patterning of schizophrenia, and interactions with other factors may exist. Neighborhood studies indicate heterogeneity in rates, hint at spatial patterning of schizophrenia, and offer intriguing evidence implying more proximal social (as opposed to physical) exposures. The authors encourage the exploration of social pathways engaging theory, methodological advances, and the life-course perspective. They also propose a conceptual shift from studies of spatial variation in outcomes to research addressing the etiologic effect of exposures shaped by place as a reservoir of risk or resilience.

Decreased expression of Sprouty2 in the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex in schizophrenia and bipolar disorder: a correlation with BDNF expression

Background

Current theories on the pathophysiology of schizophrenia suggest altered brain plasticity such as decreased neural proliferation and migration, delayed myelination, and abnormal synaptic modeling, in the brain of subjects with schizophrenia. Though functional alterations in BDNF, which plays important role in neuroplasticity, are implicated in many abnormalities found in schizophrenia, the regulatory mechanism(s) involved in the abnormal signaling of BDNF in schizophrenia is not clear. The present study investigated whether Sprouty2, a regulator of growth factor signaling, is abnormally expressed in schizophrenia, and is associated with the changes in BDNF mRNA in this disorder. The potential effect of antipsychotic drugs on Sprouty2 expression was tested in adult rats.

Methods and Findings

Sprouty2 and BDNF gene expression were analyzed in dorsolateral prefrontal cortex samples from the Stanley Array Collection. Quantitative real-time PCR analysis of RNA in 100 individuals (35 with schizophrenia, 31 with bipolar disorder, and 34 psychiatrically normal controls) showed significantly decreased expression of Sprouty2 and BDNF in both schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Moreover, a significant correlation between these two genes existed in control, schizophrenia and bipolar subjects. Long-term treatment with antipsychotic drugs, haloperidol and olanzapine, showed differential effects on both Sprouty2 and BDNF mRNA and protein levels in the frontal cortex of rats.

Conclusion

These findings demonstrating decreased expression of Sprouty2 associated with changes in BDNF, suggest the possibility that these decreases are secondary to treatment rather than to factors that are significant in the disease process of either schizophrenia and/or bipolar disorder. Further exploration of Sprouty2-related signal transduction pathways may be helpful to design novel treatment strategies for these disorders.

Neighbourhood variation in the incidence of psychotic disorders in Southeast London

BACKGROUND

Urbanicity is a risk factor for schizophrenia, but it is unclear whether this risk is homogenous across urban areas.

AIMS

To determine whether the incidence of psychotic disorders varied within an urban area, beyond variation attributable to individual-level characteristics.

METHODS

All incident cases of ICD-10 psychoses from a large, 2-year, epidemiological study of first-episode psychoses in Southeast London were identified. Incidence rates for 33 wards were standardised for age, sex and ethnicity. Bayesian models produced accurate relative risk estimates that were then mapped.

RESULTS

295 cases were identified during 565,000 person-years of follow-up. We observed significant heterogeneity in relative risks for broad and non-affective psychoses (schizophrenia), but not for affective psychoses. Highest risks were observed in contiguous wards.

CONCLUSIONS

Neighbourhood variation in the incidence of non-affective psychoses could not be explained by individual-level risk, implicating neighbourhood-level socioenvironmental factors in their aetiology. The findings are consistent with classical sociological models of mental disorders.

Urbanization and traffic related exposures as risk factors for schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

Urban birth or upbringing increase schizophrenia risk. Though unknown, the causes of these urban-rural differences have been hypothesized to include, e.g., infections, diet, toxic exposures, social class, or an artefact due to selective migration.

METHODS

We investigated the hypothesis that traffic related exposures affect schizophrenia risk and that this potential effect is responsible for the urban-rural differences. The geographical distance from place of residence to nearest major road was used as a proxy variable for traffic related exposures. We used a large population-based sample of the Danish population (1.89 million people) including information on all permanent addresses linked with geographical information on all roads and house numbers in Denmark. Schizophrenia in cohort members (10,755 people) was identified by linkage with the Danish Psychiatric Central Register.

RESULTS

The geographical distance from place of residence to nearest major road had a significant effect. The highest risk was found in children living 500-1000 metres from nearest major road (RR = 1.30 (95% Confidence Interval: 1.17-1.44). However, when we accounted for the degree of urbanization, the geographical distance to nearest major road had no significant effect.

CONCLUSION

The cause(s) or exposure(s) responsible for the urban-rural differences in schizophrenia risk were closer related to the degree of urbanization than to the geographical distance to nearest major road. Traffic related exposures might thus be less likely explanations for the urban-rural differences in schizophrenia risk.

Schizophrenia, schizoaffective and bipolar disorder within an epidemiologically complete, homogeneous population in rural Ireland: small area variation in rate

While a controversy has endured as to whether schizophrenia evidences the geographical variations in rate that characterise essentially all medical conditions, even less is known of such fundamental aspects of the epidemiology of schizoaffective and bipolar disorder. Within an ethnically and socioeconomically homogeneous region of rural Ireland, population 29,542, several methodological refinements were adopted to seek an epidemiologically complete population of 'all' cases of these disorders, with each potential case interviewed and diagnosed. Prevalence and morbid risk were calculated over the region as a whole and for each of the 39 constituent District Electoral Divisions [DEDs], by place at birth and by place at onset. Using multiple sources of information, 115 cases of schizophrenia, 33 of schizoaffective disorder and 77 of bipolar disorder were identified. Unremarkable overall prevalence and morbid risk values obscured marked variation between District Electoral Divisions for schizophrenia. No such variation was observed for bipolar disorder. These data indicate, using improved methodology, that what is often interpreted as an invariant overall rate of schizophrenia across countries and cultures may not apply to spatial microstructure; macroscopic rates can obscure small area variations when ethnic and socioeconomic diversity are minimised and effects of urbanicity are absent. Under these conditions, small area variations in bipolar disorder may be limited.