S-phase fractions of breast cancer predict overall and post-relapse survival

Prognostic Value of S-Phase Fraction in 920 Breast Cancer Patients: Focus on T1N0 Status

The aim of this study was to reexamine the prognostic role of tumor cell kinetics measured by S-phase fraction (SPF) and to establish its clinically relevant threshold values. SPF was determined by flow cytometry in a group of 920 consecutive breast cancer patients, all followed at our institute for 10 years (1988 to 1998). Mean age was 60.5 years (27–89 years). Median follow-up was 63 months (3–150 months). All patients had initial surgical treatment. SPF quartiles were: Q1=3.08%, median value = 5.98%, Q3=10.22%. A significant difference in overall specific survival was obtained between two populations divided by a cutoff at Q1 (p<0.0001). A multifactorial analysis including SPF and known prognostic factors such as tumor size, node status, histological grade, ER and PR status was performed using the Cox model in a population of 719 patients: univariate analysis showed that each of these factors had significant influence on overall survival. Multivariate analysis selected three of them, ranked by decreasing order of hazard ratio (HR) value: SPF (HR: 3.88, p<0.001), tumor size (HR: 2.49, p<0.001) and nodal status (HR: 2.28, p<0.001). In addition, when tumors were stratified according to SPF quartile values, there were statistically different overall survival curves in patients with small tumors (<2 cm) and in axillary node-negative patients.

Improved survival for women with stage I breast cancer in south-east Sweden: a comparison between two time periods before and after increased use of adjuvant systemic therapy

PURPOSE

Continuous minor steps of improvement in the management of breast cancer have resulted in decreased mortality rates during the last decades. The aim of this study was to compare the clinical outcome of patients with stage I breast cancer diagnosed during two time periods that differed with respect to adjuvant systemic therapy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The studied population consisted of all women < 60 years of age, who were diagnosed breast cancer stage I between 1986 and 1999 in south-east Sweden, a total of 1 407 cases. The cohort was divided into two groups based on the management programmes of 1986 and 1992, hereafter referred to as Period 1 and Period 2. Before 1992 the only adjuvant systemic therapy recommended was tamoxifen for hormone receptor positive patients aged 50 years or older. During Period 2 the use of adjuvant treatment was extended to younger patients at high risk, identified by a high tumour S-phase fraction, with either hormonal or cytotoxic treatment.

RESULTS

The estimated distant recurrence-free survival rate was significantly higher during Period 2 than during Period 1 (p = 0.008). Subgroup analysis showed that the most evident reduction of distant recurrence risk was among hormone receptor-negative patients (HR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.31-1.09, p = 0.09) and among patients with a high tumour S-phase fraction (HR = 0.53, 0.30-0.93, p = 0.028). The risk reduction between the periods was still statistically significant in multivariate analysis when adjusting for different tumour characteristics and treatment modalities, indicating an influence of other factors not controlled for. One such factor may be the duration of tamoxifen treatment, which likely was more frequently five years during Period 2 than during Period 1.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that the causes of the increase in distant recurrence free survival for women with breast cancer stage I are complex. The results support though that high-risk subgroups of stage I breast cancer patients did benefit from increased use of systemic therapy as a consequence of an updated management programme.

A new predictive and prognostic marker (ATP bioluminescence and positron emission tomography) in vivo and in vitro for delivering adjuvant treatment plan to invasive breast tumor patients

The cell proliferation rate has been used to assess the biological aggressiveness and the metastatic potential of breast carcinoma. Different methods (flow cytometric S phase and proliferation associated antigens) have been used to assess the rate of proliferation previously. In this preliminary study, the cell proliferation rate of normal (N=45), benign (N=29) and invasive breast tumor tissue (N=70) has been quantified in vitro by ATP bioluminescence assay. Next, individual prognostic factor (tumor grades, lymph node involvement, estrogen and progesterone receptor and HER-2 status) has been correlated with the level of metabolic rate (ATP). The results showed that invasive tumor had the highest level of ATP bioluminescence compared with that of benign tumor (mean difference=1.97) and the normal breast tissue (mean difference=2.75). In addition, ATP level positively correlated with the number of axillary lymph node involvement (r(spearman)=0.433, P=0.021). These findings suggested that the measurement of ATP level may serve as a mean for the detection of cell proliferation and hence a surrogate marker for disease prognosis.

Proliferative markers as prognostic and predictive tools in early breast cancer: where are we now?

In the last few decades, proliferative markers have been broadly evaluated as prognostic and predictive factors for early stage breast cancer patients. Several papers evaluating one or more markers have been published, often with contradictory results. As a consequence, there is still uncertainty about the role of these proliferative markers. The present paper critically reviews the current knowledge about the following markers: thymidine labeling index, S phase fraction/flow cytometry, Ki 67, thymidine kinase (TK), cyclins E, cyclin D, the cyclin inhibitors p27 and p21, and topoisomerase IIalpha. For each marker, the prognostic and predictive role was separately analyzed. Only papers published in English in peer-reviewed journals before June 2004 that include at least 100 evaluable patients were selected. In addition, the prognostic and predictive role of the proliferative markers had to be assessed through multivariate analyses. One hundred and thirty-two papers fulfilled these criteria and 159 516 patients were analyzed. Unfortunately, several methodological problems in the research to date prevent us from including any one of these proliferative markers among the standard prognostic and predictive factors. Early incorporation of translational research and new technologies with clinical trials are needed to prospectively validate biological markers and allow their use in clinical practice.

[Combined flow cytometry determination of S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy is an independent prognostic factor in node-negative invasive breast carcinoma: review of a series of 271 patients with stage I and II breast cancer]

PURPOSE

To assess the significance of S-phase fraction (SPF) and DNA ploidy evaluated by DNA flow cytometry as prognostic markers in stage I or II breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A series of 271 patients, treated by surgery, radiotherapy+/-systemic therapy was analysed (median follow up: 64 months). Standardized flow cytometry cell preparation from frozen samples and consensus rules for data interpretation were followed. Three SPF classes were defined on the basis of tertiles after adjustment for ploidy. Four groups were defined based on combinations of DNA ploidy (DIP: diploid; ANEUP: aneuploid) and SPF: DIP and low SPF (DL, N=37), DIP and medium or high SPF (DMH, N=76), ANEUP and low SPF (AL, N=24), ANEUP and medium or high SPF (AMH, N=68). Local control rate (LCR), disease-free survival (DFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), and overall survival (OS) were correlated with DNA ploidy, SPF, DL to AMH groups, T and N stages, SBR grading, age, and hormonal status on univariate and multivariate analysis (Cox model).

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, DFS and LCR were higher for DIP tumours. High SPF values were associated with shorter DFS. LCR, MFS, DFS, and OS rates were significantly different with an increasingly poorer prognosis from DL to AMH. On multivariate analysis, groups DL to AMH, histological node involvement and T stage were independently associated with MFS, and DFS. In N- patients, DL to AMH remained independent for MFS and DFS. For SBR III tumours, MFS and OS were significantly different in DL to AMH groups. These results strongly support the use of combined evaluation of DNA ploidy and SPF as independent parameters in clinical trials for N- stage I and II breast cancer.

Combined flow cytometry determination of S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy is an independent prognostic factor in node-negative invasive breast carcinoma: analysis of a series of 271 patients with stage I and II breast cancer

PURPOSE

To assess the significance of S-phase fraction (SPF) and DNA ploidy evaluated by DNA flow cytometry as prognostic markers in stage I or II breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A series of 271 patients, treated by surgery, radiotherapy +/- systemic therapy was analyzed (median follow up: 64 months). Standardized flow cytometry cell preparation from frozen samples and consensus rules for data interpretation were followed. Three SPF classes were defined on the basis of tertiles after adjustment for ploidy. Four groups were defined based on combinations of DNA ploidy (DIP: diploid; ANEUP: aneuploid) and SPF: DIP and low SPF (DL, n=37), DIP and medium or high SPF (DMH, n=76), ANEUP and low SPF (AL, n=24), ANEUP and medium or high SPF (AMH, n=68). Local control rate (LCR), disease-free survival (DFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), and overall survival (OS) were correlated with DNA ploidy, SPF, DL to AMH groups, T and N stages, SBR grading, age, and hormonal status on univariate and multivariate analysis (Cox model).

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, DFS and LCR were higher for DIP tumours. High SPF values were associated with shorter DFS. LCR, MFS, DFS, and OS rates were significantly different with an increasingly poorer prognosis from DL to AMH. On multivariate analysis, groups DL to AMH, histological node involvement and T stage were independently associated with MFS, and DFS. In N- patients, DL to AMH remained independent for MFS and DFS. For SBR III tumours, MFS and OS were significantly different in DL to AMH groups. These results strongly support the use of combined evaluation of DNA ploidy and SPF as independent parameters in clinical trials for N- stage I and II breast cancer.

[Locally advanced non inflammatory breast cancer treated by combined chemotherapy and preoperative irradiation: updated results in a series of 120 patients]

PURPOSE

To evaluate our updated data concerning survival and locoregional control in a study of locally advanced non inflammatory breast cancer after primary chemotherapy followed by external preoperative irradiation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1982 and 1998, 120 patients (75 stage IIIA, 41 stage IIIB, and 4 stage IIIC according to AJCC staging system 2002) were consecutively treated by four courses of induction chemotherapy with anthracycline-containing combinations followed by preoperative irradiation (45 Gy to the breast and nodal areas) and a fifth course of chemotherapy. Three different locoregional approaches were proposed, depending on tumour characteristics and tumour response. After completion of local therapy, all patients received a sixth course of chemotherapy and a maintenance adjuvant chemotherapy regimen without anthracycline. The median follow-up from the beginning of treatment was 140 months.

RESULTS

Mastectomy and axillary dissection were performed in 49 patients (with residual tumour larger than 3 cm in diameter or located behind the nipple or with bifocal tumour), and conservative treatment in 71 patients (39 achieved clinical complete response or partial response >90% and received additional radiation boost to initial tumour bed; 32 had residual mass <or=3 cm in diameter and were treated by wide excision and axillary dissection followed by a boost to the excision site). Ten-year actuarial local failure rate was 13% after irradiation alone, 23% after wide excision and irradiation, and 4% after mastectomy (p =0.1). After multivariate analysis, possibility of breast-conserving therapy was related to initial tumour size (<6 vs. >or=6 cm in diameter, p =0.002). Ten-year overall metastatic disease-free survival rate was 61%. After multivariate analysis, metastatic disease-free survival rates were significantly influenced by clinical stage (stage IIIA-B vs. IIIC, p =0.0003), N-stage (N0 vs. N1-2a, and 3c, p =0.017), initial tumour size (<6 vs. >or=6 cm in diameter, p =0.008), and tumour response after induction chemotherapy and preoperative irradiation (clinically complete response + partial response vs. non-response, p =0.0015). In the non conservative breast treatment group, of the 32 patients with no change in clinical tumour size after induction chemotherapy, the 10-year metastatic disease-free survival rate was 59% with only one local relapse. Arm lymphedema was noted in 17% (14 of 81) following axillary dissection and in 2.5% (1 of 39) without axillary dissection. Cosmetic results were satisfactory in 70% of patients treated by irradiation alone and in 51.5% of patients after wide excision and irradiation.

CONCLUSION

Despite the poor prognosis of patients with locally advanced non inflammatory breast cancer resistant to primary anthracycline-based regimen, aggressive locoregional management using preoperative irradiation and mastectomy with axillary dissection offers a possibility of long term survival with low local failure rate for patients without extensive nodal disease. On the other hand, the rate of local failure seems to be high in patients with clinical partial tumour response following induction chemotherapy and breast-conserving treatment combining preoperative irradiation and large wide excision.

Proliferation markers predictive of the pathological response and disease outcome of patients with breast carcinomas treated by anthracycline-based preoperative chemotherapy

The cell proliferation rate has been correlated to the response of breast carcinomas to preoperative chemotherapy (CT) and to disease outcome. However, this parameter is not yet used to select which tumours should be treated with preoperative CT. Furthermore, there is no consensus in the method used to evaluate cell proliferation. In poor prognosis breast carcinomas (PPBCs) treated by intensive preoperative CT, we compared the predictive value of S phase fraction (SPF), mitotic index (MI) and Ki67. We also evaluated the prognostic significance of the variation of the MI after CT. A series of 55 T2-T4N0N1M0 breast carcinomas were treated with 4 cycles of cyclophosphamide, 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) and doxorubicin. SPF was determined by flow cytometry on pre-therapeutic needle aspiration products. MI and Ki67 were evaluated on pre-therapeutic biopsy samples and on the tumours after CT. Fifteen patients (27%) had a pathological complete response (pCR), whereas 40 (73%) had residual disease. All three proliferative markers were found to have predictive value, but this value was higher for MI than for SPF (P = 0.04) and Ki67 (P = 0.03): the rate of pCR was 50% in cases with MI > 17/3.3 mm2, but was only 7% in cases with MI under this threshold (P = 0.0003). A significant decrease of MI (mean 10.97) was observed after CT (P = 0.001). Furthermore, we observed that even for patients with residual tumour, the variation of MI after CT was a prognostic parameter and overall survival. The sequential analysis of MI in breast cancers treated by preoperative CT thus provides a surrogate for predicting long-term outcome.

Thymidine kinase as a proliferative marker: clinical relevance in 1,692 primary breast cancer patients

PURPOSE

To assess the prognostic value of thymidine kinase (TK), an enzyme involved in the DNA synthesis salvage pathway, relative to other prognostic factors in primary breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study involved 1,692 patients with operable breast cancer treated in six institutions (median follow-up, 82 months). Among the 857 node-negative patients, 135 received adjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide [FAC] or fluorouracil, etoposide, and cisplatin [FEC]). TK was assayed in cytosol with a quantitative radioenzymatic technique. Disease-specific survival (DSS), local recurrence-free interval (LRI), and distant-relapse-free interval (DRI) were investigated.

RESULTS

High TK levels were associated with large tumor size, high histologic grade, and steroid hormone receptor negativity. Univariate analysis of the entire data set showed that high TK levels were related to shorter DSS (P < 10(-5)), LRI (P < 10(-3)), and DRI (P < 10(-5)). In time-dependent Cox models, high TK levels remained an independent predictor of the three outcomes, both in the overall population and in node-negative patients, although its prognostic value decreased over time. In node-negative patients, the introduction of an interaction term in multivariate analysis suggested that chemotherapy was more efficacious for patients who had tumors with high TK contents. In node-positive patients, high TK levels were related only to an increased risk of LRI.

CONCLUSION

High TK values are an important risk factor in node-negative patients and seem to be associated with a beneficial effect of adjuvant FAC or FEC in patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. The rationale of chemotherapy for patients with slowly proliferating tumors has to be discussed from a risk-benefit point of view.

A comparison between flow cytometric assessment of S-phase fraction and Nottingham histologic grade as prognostic instruments in breast cancer

Flow cytometric DNA analysis with assessment of S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy was compared to Nottingham histologic grade. The study population consisted of 654 patients who presented between 1987 and 1996 with primary operable breast cancer and whose tumours had been analysed for S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy at the time of surgery. Grade, tumour size, node status, steroid receptor status, age, S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy were analysed univariately and multi-variately in a Cox proportional hazard analysis. In the univariate analyses all parameters were statistically significantly associated with breast cancer mortality during the follow-up period of 2-11 years. The most powerful predictor of death from breast cancer in the multiple regression analysis was grade. Patients with grade 1 tumours have excellent prognosis. We conclude that tumour grade is a strong prognostic indicator applicable to all breast cancer patients, regardless of size and nodal status, and advocate its general use.

Biological markers as indicators of response to primary and adjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer

Interest in translational studies on breast cancer is presently devoted to identify biological predictors of treatment response. In patients with operable breast cancer, subjected to primary and adjuvant chemotherapy, we analyzed the predictivity on objective clinical response and relapse-free survival of biological markers related to different cellular aspects and functions. Tumour proliferative rate (evaluated as the (3)H-thymidine-labelling index, TLI), oestrogen and progesterone receptors (ER and PgR, evaluated by the dextran-coated-charcoal method), nuclear DNA ploidy and the immunocytochemical expression of p53, bcl-2 and bax proteins were determined before primary treatment, at the time of diagnosis, and after primary chemotherapy, at surgery. Objective clinical response was significantly related only to pre-treatment p53 expression or PgR status, with a higher rate for tumours not expressing than for those expressing p53 (94% vs. 72%), as well as for PgR-negative (PgR(-)) than for PgR-positive (PgR(+)) tumours (86% vs. 68%). In the overall series, 8-year clinical outcome was significantly related only to post-treatment steroid receptors. In particular, higher 8-year relapse-free survival rate was observed for patients with ER(-) or PgR(-) than for those with ER(+) (64% vs. 38%) or PgR(+) (53% vs. 37%) tumours. Such findings held true even within the sub-set of patients who received adjuvant post-operative chemotherapy, i.e., those with node-positive (N(+)) or ER(-)/node-negative (N(-)) tumours, among whom also rapid proliferation or the presence of apoptosis-favouring markers (bcl-2(-) or bax(+), singly and in association) on surgical specimens identified a sub-set of women who benefited from systemic treatment. The different biological markers were variously indicative of clinical outcome, with a predictivity on tumour shrinkage for p53 and PgR, detected before primary chemotherapy, and on long-term follow-up for ER, PgR and, to a lesser extent, TLI and apoptosis-modulating markers. Int. J. Cancer (Pred. Oncol.) 84:580-586, 1999.

Short-term significance of DNA ploidy and cell proliferation in breast carcinoma: a multivariate analysis of prognostic markers in a series of 308 patients

AIM

To determine the importance of tumour DNA ploidy and cell proliferation, as measured by the S phase fraction (SPF), in relation to other established clinicopathological indicators of prognosis in breast cancer.

METHODS

A prospective study of 308 patients. Tumours were staged following the TNM system criteria and were classified according to the histological type and grade. DNA flow cytometry was performed on fresh/frozen samples stained with propidium iodide. Hormone receptors were analyzed by immunocytochemistry. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for statistical evaluation of the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Median follow up time was 39.6 months (range 3 to 84). A DNA diploid pattern was found in 134 tumours (43.5%) and aneuploid in 174 (56.5%). Median SPF value was 6.1% (range 1% to 27.8%). DNA ploidy and SPF were strongly correlated (p < 0.001), and both were related to histological type (p < 0.001), grade of differentiation (p < 0.001), tumour size (p = 0.006 and p = 0.002), and hormone receptor activity (p < 0.001). DNA ploidy was also related to node status (p = 0.022), but SPF was not. In univariate analysis, there were significant correlations between disease-free survival and age, histological grade, tumour size, node status, DNA ploidy, SPF, and hormone receptor activity; age, tumour size, node status, DNA ploidy, and hormone receptors were predictors of overall survival. In multivariate analysis, only node status (p = 0.001) and DNA ploidy (p = 0.006) retained independent prognostic significance in relation with overall survival, while node status (p < 0.001) and SPF (p < 0.001) were predictors of disease-free survival. DNA ploidy and SPF continued to predict disease-free and overall survival in lymph node positive (pN1) patients but not in the lymph node negative (pN0) group.

CONCLUSIONS

DNA ploidy and SPF are strongly intercorrelated and have independent prognostic value for predicting the short term clinical outcome of breast carcinoma patients.

Detection of metastases in sentinel lymph nodes of breast cancer patients by multiple-marker RT-PCR

This study was undertaken to assess a multiple-marker RT-PCR and Southern blot assay for detection of metastases in frozen sections of sentinel lymph nodes from breast cancer patients. Sentinel lymphadenectomy was performed in 41 AJCC (American Joint Committee on Cancer) stage I-IIIA breast cancer patients and 57 sentinel nodes (SNs) were excised. The SN, which is the first node in the lymphatic basin to receive metastases from the primary tumor, was identified using isosulfan blue dye. Hematoxylin and eosin (H&E), immuno-histochemistry (IHC) and RT-PCR were performed on adjacent sections of the SN. Six consecutive 12-microm frozen sections of each SN were obtained for the RT-PCR assay to determine expression of mRNA tumor markers C-Met, beta1 --> 4GalNAc-T and P97. Metastatic breast cancer was detected by H&E in 10 of 57 (18%) SNs and by IHC in an additional 7 (12%). Only 1 of 17 (6%) SNs with metastases did not express any of the 3 tumor mRNA markers. C-Met, beta1 --> 4GalNAc-T and P97 tumor mRNA markers were expressed in 31 (78%), 21 (53%) and 25 (63%) of 40 SNs without metastases, respectively. At least 2 mRNA tumor markers were expressed in 25/40 (63%) histo-pathologically tumor-free SNs, whereas all 3 mRNA tumor markers were expressed in 17/40 (43%) SNs. Expression of all 3 mRNA tumor markers in a SN was significantly higher in patients with a family history of breast cancer (p = 0.05), prior history of breast cancer (p < 0.05), infiltrating lobular carcinoma (p = 0.06), estrogen receptor-negative (p = 0.04) tumor or a higher Bloom Richardson score (p = 0.04). The multiple-marker RT-PCR and Southern blot assay improves the detection of occult metastases in the SN when compared to conventional H&E and IHC analysis. Expression of all 3 tumor mRNA markers in the SN correlated with poor prognostic clinico-pathologic factors compared to expression of 0 to 2 markers.

A hypothesis about Spiegel et al.'s 1989 paper on Psychosocial intervention and breast cancer survival

In a randomized prospective study of 86 metastatic breast cancer patients by Spiegel et al. in 1989, the 50 who took part in a group psychosocial intervention survived on average 18 months longer than the 36 controls who did not. Because the control survival curve looked unusually steep, lacking an expected right-skewed tail, both curves were compared with that of a population from the same region having metastatic breast cancer. When transformed to life-table format, the curves of the control sample and the regional population, neither group having had an intervention, were almost identical for a year, and differed strikingly after 20 months. This led to the hypothesis that the 12 control patients surviving for more than 20 months were an extremely aberrant sample, being subject to the strong biasing influence of possible confounders, of which a considerable number are known, but not including those accounted for in the study. Corollaries to the hypothesis are that the intervention had no effect; that the intervention curve was in fact equivalent to a control curve with mild sampling departure from that of the regional population; and that, therefore, the repetition of the study now under way would not yield confirmation of the 1989 study, but rather, would support the hypothesis and the first two corollaries.