1
|
Liang GZ, Li XS, Hu ZH, Xu QJ, Wu F, Wu XL, Lei HK. Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting overall survival in patients with gastric carcinoma. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2025; 17:95423. [PMID: 39958550 PMCID: PMC11755997 DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v17.i2.95423] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2024] [Revised: 10/01/2024] [Accepted: 11/06/2024] [Indexed: 01/18/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The prevalence and mortality rates of gastric carcinoma are disproportionately elevated in China, with the disease's intricate and varied characteristics further amplifying its health impact. Precise forecasting of overall survival (OS) is of paramount importance for the clinical management of individuals afflicted with this malignancy. AIM To develop and validate a nomogram model that provides precise gastric cancer prevention and treatment guidance and more accurate survival outcome prediction for patients with gastric carcinoma. METHODS Data analysis was conducted on samples collected from hospitalized gastric cancer patients between 2018 and 2020. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, univariate, and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify independent prognostic factors. A nomogram model was developed to predict gastric cancer patient outcomes. The model's predictability and discriminative ability were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic curves. To evaluate the clinical utility of the model, Kaplan-Meier and decision curve analyses were performed. RESULTS A total of ten independent prognostic factors were identified, including body mass index, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, radiation, chemotherapy, surgery, albumin, globulin, neutrophil count, lactate dehydrogenase, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio. The area under the curve (AUC) values for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival prediction in the training set were 0.843, 0.850, and 0.821, respectively. The AUC values were 0.864, 0.820, and 0.786 for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival prediction in the validation set, respectively. The model exhibited strong discriminative ability, with both the time AUC and time C-index exceeding 0.75. Compared with TNM staging, the model demonstrated superior clinical utility. Ultimately, a nomogram was developed via a web-based interface. CONCLUSION This study established and validated a novel nomogram model for predicting the OS of gastric cancer patients, which demonstrated strong predictive ability. Based on these findings, this model can aid clinicians in implementing personalized interventions for patients with gastric cancer.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Guan-Zhong Liang
- Chongqing Key Laboratory of Translational Research for Cancer Metastasis and Individualized Treatment, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing 400030, China
| | - Xiao-Sheng Li
- Chongqing Cancer Multi-omics Big Data Application Engineering Research Center, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing 400030, China
| | - Zu-Hai Hu
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Qian-Jie Xu
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Fang Wu
- Research Center for Medicine and Social Development, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China
| | - Xiang-Lin Wu
- Chongqing Key Laboratory of Translational Research for Cancer Metastasis and Individualized Treatment, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing 400030, China
| | - Hai-Ke Lei
- The Research Center of Big Data, Chongqing University Cancer Hospital, Chongqing 400030, China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Chen J, Guo Y, Fang M, Yuan Y, Zhu Y, Xin Y, Zhang L. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for resectable gastric cancer: A meta-analysis. Front Oncol 2022; 12:927119. [PMID: 35992846 PMCID: PMC9388908 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.927119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2022] [Accepted: 06/28/2022] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives To evaluate the clinical curative effects and toxicity of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for resectable gastric cancer compared to those of neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods A systematic review and meta-analysis of the randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy were performed in patients with resectable gastric cancer. Results Seven RCTs were included (601 patients; 302 in the neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy group and 299 in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy group). The neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy group had an increased number of patients with a complete response [odds ratio (OR) = 3.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.68–8.54, p = 0.001] and improved objective response rate (OR = 2.78, 95% CI: 1.69–4.57, p < 0.0001), 1-year (OR = 3.51, 95% CI: 1.40–8.81, p = 0.007) and 3-year (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.30–3.50, p = 0.003) survival rates, R0 resection rate (OR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.39–3.50, p = 0.0008), and complete pathologic response (OR = 4.39, 95% CI: 1.59–12.14, p = 0.004). Regarding the incidence of adverse effects after neoadjuvant therapy, only the occurrence rate of gastrointestinal reaction in the neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy group was higher than that in the neoadjuvant chemotherapy group (OR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.09–2.85, p = 0.02), and there was no significant difference in other adverse effects. There was no difference in the incidence of postoperative complications between the two groups. Conclusion Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for resectable gastric cancer has several advantages in terms of efficacy and safety compared to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Therefore, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has great potential as an effective therapy for resectable gastric cancers. Systematic Review Registration https://inplasy.com/inplasy-2022-3-0164, registration number INPLASY202230164.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jiuzhou Chen
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yaru Guo
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Miao Fang
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yan Yuan
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Youqi Zhu
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yong Xin
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- *Correspondence: Yong Xin, ; Longzhen Zhang,
| | - Longzhen Zhang
- Department of Radiation, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- Department of Cancer Institute, Xuzhou Medical University, Jiangsu, China
- *Correspondence: Yong Xin, ; Longzhen Zhang,
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Yang H, Zhang WH, Ge R, Peng BQ, Chen XZ, Yang K, Liu K, Chen XL, He D, Liu JP, Zhang WW, Qin Y, Zhou ZG, Hu JK. Application of Gross Tissue Response System in Gastric Cancer After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy: A Primary Report of a Prospective Cohort Study. Front Oncol 2021; 11:585006. [PMID: 34900661 PMCID: PMC8651877 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.585006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2020] [Accepted: 11/01/2021] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We previously established a gross tissue response (GTR) system to evaluate the intraoperative response of perigastric tissue in patients with gastric cancers to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. This prospective cohort study aims to confirm the relationship between gross tissue response and clinicopathological characteristics and explore the possibility of using the GTR system to predict the difficulty of surgery and the occurrence of postoperative complications within 30 days. METHODS A total of 102 patients with gastric cancer from January 2019 to April 2020 were enrolled in this study. The degrees of fibrosis, edema, and effusion in the perigastric tissues were assessed intraoperatively according to the GTR system. We systematically analyzed the relations between GTR and clinicopathological characteristics, and then a prediction model that includes GTR was established to predict the difficulty of surgery and the occurrence of postoperative complications within 30 days. RESULTS Finally, the study included 71 male patients and 31 female patients. The patients had an average age of 58.79 ± 1.03 years, BMI of 22.89 ± 0.29, and tumor diameter of 4.50 ± 0.27 cm. Among these patients, 17 underwent laparoscopic gastrectomy, 85 underwent open gastrectomy, the average operation time was 294.63 ± 4.84 minutes, and the mean volume of intraoperative blood loss was 94.65 ± 5.30 ml. The overall 30-day postoperative complication rate was 19.6% (20/102). The total GTR was significantly related to the primary tumor stage, operation time and 30-day postoperative complication rate (p<0.05). Edema and effusion were significantly related to intraoperative blood loss (p<0.05). The logistic regression analysis identified that the total GTR score (score: 4-9, OR 2.888, 95% CI: 1.035-8.062, p = 0.043) was an independent risk factor for postoperative complications within 30 days, and the total GTR score (score 4-9, OR 3.32, 95% CI 1.219-9.045, p=0.019) was also an independent risk factor for operation time. The AUC of the total GTR score for predicting postoperative complications within 30 days was 0.681. CONCLUSION According to the results of the present study, the gross tissue response (GTR) system is an effective tool that may be used to predict the risk of a difficult operation after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and postoperative complications. Although neoadjuvant chemotherapy improves the therapeutic effect, it also increases the risk of surgical trauma and postoperative complications. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT03791268.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Hua Yang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Wei-Han Zhang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Rui Ge
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Bo-Qiang Peng
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Xin-Zu Chen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Kun Yang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Kai Liu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Xiao-Long Chen
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Du He
- Department of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jian-Ping Liu
- Department of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wei-Wei Zhang
- Department of Radiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yun Qin
- Department of Radiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Zong-Guang Zhou
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Digestive Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| | - Jian-Kun Hu
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Laboratory of Gastric Cancer, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and Collaborative Innovation Center for Biotherapy, Chengdu, China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Wu F, Hong J, Du N, Wang Y, Chen J, He Y, Chen P. Long-Term Outcomes of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer/Esophagogastric Junction Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Anticancer Agents Med Chem 2021; 22:143-151. [PMID: 33719964 DOI: 10.2174/1871520621666210315091932] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2020] [Revised: 01/31/2021] [Accepted: 02/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been defined as any preoperative chemotherapy scheme aiming to reduce tumor staging and to control preoperative micrometastasis, which has been extensively used as a treatment for resectable gastric cancer. However, its effect on the long-term survival of patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC) or esophagogastric junction cancer (EGC) remains unknown. OBJECTIVE This study aimed at investigating the long-term efficacy of NAC in locally AGC/EGC. METHODS The following databases were searched for articles published from their inception up to April 2020: PubMed, Web of Science, EBSCO, and Cochrane library. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS A total of 19 articles were included in this meta-analysis, with a total of 4,446 patients. The results showed that NAC increased the patients' 3-year OS (HR, 0.56; 95%CI, 0.21-0.91; P<0.001), 3-year PFS (HR, 0.76; 95%CI, 0.66-0.87; P<0.001), 5-year OS (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.64-0.78; P<0.001), and 5-year PFS (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.79; P<0.001) respectively. Besides, subgroup analysis showed that Asian countries have benefited significantly from NAC (HR, 0.65; 95%CI, 0.55-0.74; P<0.001), and other countries have also benefited (HR, 0.79; 95%CI, 0.68-0.89; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS Compared with adjuvant chemotherapy and surgery alone, NAC can improve the long-term survival outcomes (OS and PFS) of patients with resectable AGC or EGC.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Feng Wu
- Department of General Surgery, HwaMei Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ningbo, Zhejiang. China
| | - Jiaze Hong
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang. China
| | - Nannan Du
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang. China
| | - Yiran Wang
- The Second Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang. China
| | - Juan Chen
- Basic Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang. China
| | - Yuanfang He
- Basic Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang. China
| | - Ping Chen
- Department of General Surgery, HwaMei Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ningbo, Zhejiang. China
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Prognostic factors for survival among gastric cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy: A cross sectional study from Turkey. JOURNAL OF SURGERY AND MEDICINE 2020. [DOI: 10.28982/josam.816374] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
|
6
|
Sun Y, Yang L, Wang C, Zhao D, Cai J, Li W, Zhang W, Huang J, Zhou A. Prognostic factors associated with locally advanced gastric cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgical resection. Oncotarget 2017; 8:75186-75194. [PMID: 29088856 PMCID: PMC5650411 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.20660] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2017] [Accepted: 07/25/2017] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
In this retrospective study, we analyzed prognostic factors associated with survival outcomes in 73 locally advanced gastric cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by surgical resection. Median disease-free survival (DFS) for 64 patients that received R0 resection was 685 days, whereas median overall survival (OS) for 73 patients was 930 days. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that post-treatment nodal stages (P = 0.002), nervous invasion (P = 0.0492) and serum CA199 levels (P = 0.0398) were independent prognostic factors for DFS. Nodal stages (P = 0.0007), presence of nervous invasion (P = 0.0259) and non-radical resection (P = 0.0165) were independent prognostic factors for OS. These results indicate that post-treatment nodal stages, neural invasion and serum CA199 levels are all associated with poor DFS. Moreover, post-treatment nodal stage, resection type and neural invasion status are independent prognostic factors for OS.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yongkun Sun
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Lin Yang
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chengfeng Wang
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Dongbing Zhao
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jianqiang Cai
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Wenbin Li
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Wen Zhang
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Huang
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Aiping Zhou
- National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|