Assessment of cost-effective nuclear medicine practice in Japan

Decision-tree sensitivity analysis for cost-effectiveness of whole-body FDG PET in the management of patients with non-small-cell lung carcinoma in Japan

BACKGROUND

Whole-body 2-fluoro-2-D-[18F]deoxyglucose [FDG] positron emission tomography (WB-PET) may be more cost-effective than chest PET because WB-PET does not require conventional imaging (CI) for extrathoracic staging.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of WB-PET for the management of Japanese patients with non-small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) was assessed. Decision-tree sensitivity analysis was designed, based on the two competing strategies of WB-PET vs. CI. WB-PET was assumed to have a sensitivity and specificity for detecting metastases, of 90% to 100% and CI of 80% to 90%. The prevalences of M1 disease were 34% and 20%. One thousand patients suspected of having NSCLC were simulated in each strategy. We surveyed the relevant literature for the choice of variables. Expected cost saving (CS) and expected life expectancy (LE) for NSCLC patients were calculated.

RESULTS

The WB-PET strategy yielded an expected CS of $951 US to $1,493US per patient and an expected LE of minus 0.0246 years to minus 0.0136 years per patient for the 71.4% NSCLC and 34% M1 disease prevalence at our hospital. PET avoided unnecessary bronchoscopies and thoracotomies for incurable and benign diseases. Overall, the CS for each patient was $833US to $2,010US at NSCLC prevalences ranging from 10% to 90%. The LE of the WB-PET strategy was similar to that of the CI strategy. The CS and LE minimally varied in the two situations of 34% and 20% M1 disease prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of a WB-PET strategy in place of CI for managing NSCLC patients is potentially cost-effective in Japan.

Decision-tree sensitivity analysis for cost-effectiveness of chest 2-fluoro-2-D-[(18)F]fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography in patients with pulmonary nodules (non-small cell lung carcinoma) in Japan

CONTEXT

Recent studies have demonstrated the potential cost-effectiveness of using 2-fluoro-2-D-[(18)F]fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in the management of non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC), but because of differences in health-care systems, those findings may not hold true in a Japanese hospital.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the cost-effectiveness of the chest CT plus chest FDG-PET strategy in Japan.

DESIGN

Decision-tree sensitivity analysis based on the two competing strategies of chest CT-alone vs chest CT plus chest FDG-PET.

STUDY SELECTION

A simulation of 1,000 patients in whom NSCLC, stage IIIB or less, was suspected was created using baselines of other relevant variables in regard to sensitivity, specificity, mortality, life expectancy, and cost from published data.

METHODS

We surveyed the relevant literature for the choice of variables.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Expected marginal cost and expected life expectancy gain for NSCLC patients.

RESULTS

The chest CT plus chest FDG-PET strategy yielded an expected life expectancy gain of 0.607 years (7.3 months) per patient, compared with the alternative strategy of chest CT-alone. Using an FDG-PET examination cost of 1.0 x 10(5) yen (around $700 US) per study, the cost increment was 2.18 x 10(5) yen/yr/patient.

CONCLUSIONS

The chest CT plus chest FDG-PET strategy in patients with NSCLC is unlikely to be cost-effective in Japan. However, patient life expectancy gain would increase as a result of improved staging of NSCLC. These preliminary results should be confirmed by further studies for specific environments.