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Zhang M, Cheng Q, Zhao F, Xu A, Li Q, Hu Y, Sun C. Development of a nomogram prognostic model for early Grade ≥ 3 infection in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma based on immunoparesis. Int Immunopharmacol 2024; 126:111277. [PMID: 38061120 DOI: 10.1016/j.intimp.2023.111277] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2023] [Revised: 11/08/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Infection, a significant cause of death in multiple myeloma (MM) patients, is a common complication and is closely associated with immunoparesis. There exists no clear definition of early infection, so early infection is defined in this paper as the occurrence within 3 months after diagnosis, considering the high incidence of infections within 3 months after diagnosis. This study established a new nomogram model based on immunoparesis to identify MM patients with high-risk early infection. METHODS A retrospective collection of 430 NDMM patients from June 2013 to June 2022 was conducted, and the patients were further divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. In the training cohort, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select the best variables that can be used to establish a new nomogram prediction model. Validation was performed in the validation and entire cohorts. RESULTS After diagnosis, 67.7 % of the patients suffered from severe infection within 1 year, and 59.5 % experienced the first severe infection within 3 months. Variables associated with an increased risk of severe infection in the first 3 months included: BMPC, D-dimer, serum β2 microglobulin, immunoparesis, albumin, and eGFR. The nomogram based on the above six factors achieved a good C-index of 0.754, 0.73, and 0.731 in predicting early infection in the training cohort, validation cohort, and entire cohort, respectively. Finally, the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) of the nomogram showed that the model provided superior diagnostic capacity and clinical net benefit. CONCLUSION In this study, we established a nomogram model to predict early grade ≥ 3 infection in NDMM patients. This model can assist clinicians in identifying NDMM patients with high-risk infections and improve their prognosis through early intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Min Zhang
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Qianwen Cheng
- Emergency Department, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Fei Zhao
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Aoshuang Xu
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Qun Li
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Yu Hu
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
| | - Chunyan Sun
- Institute of Hematology, Wuhan Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China; Collaborative Innovation Center of Hematology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430000, China.
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Encinas C, Hernandez-Rivas JÁ, Oriol A, Rosiñol L, Blanchard MJ, Bellón JM, García-Sanz R, de la Rubia J, de la Guía AL, Jímenez-Ubieto A, Jarque I, Iñigo B, Dourdil V, de Arriba F, Pérez-Ávila CC, Gonzalez Y, Hernández MT, Bargay J, Granell M, Rodríguez-Otero P, Silvent M, Cabrera C, Rios R, Alegre A, Gironella M, Gonzalez MS, Sureda A, Sampol A, Ocio EM, Krsnik I, García A, García-Mateo A, Soler JA, Martín J, Arguiñano JM, Mateos MV, Bladé J, San-Miguel JF, Lahuerta JJ, Martínez-López J. A simple score to predict early severe infections in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. Blood Cancer J 2022; 12:68. [PMID: 35440057 PMCID: PMC9018751 DOI: 10.1038/s41408-022-00652-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2022] [Revised: 02/21/2022] [Accepted: 03/21/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Infections remain a common complication in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) and are associated with morbidity and mortality. A risk score to predict the probability of early severe infection could help to identify the patients that would benefit from preventive measures. We undertook a post hoc analysis of infections in four clinical trials from the Spanish Myeloma Group, involving a total of 1347 patients (847 transplant candidates). Regarding the GEM2010 > 65 trial, antibiotic prophylaxis was mandatory, so we excluded it from the final analysis. The incidence of severe infection episodes within the first 6 months was 13.8%, and majority of the patients experiencing the first episode before 4 months (11.1%). 1.2% of patients died because of infections within the first 6 months (1% before 4 months). Variables associated with increased risk of severe infection in the first 4 months included serum albumin ≤30 g/L, ECOG > 1, male sex, and non-IgA type MM. A simple risk score with these variables facilitated the identification of three risk groups with different probabilities of severe infection within the first 4 months: low-risk (score 0-2) 8.2%; intermediate-risk (score 3) 19.2%; and high-risk (score 4) 28.3%. Patients with intermediate/high risk could be candidates for prophylactic antibiotic therapies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristina Encinas
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón (HGUGM), IiSGM, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Albert Oriol
- Hospital Universitario Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona (Barcelona), Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | - José-María Bellón
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón (HGUGM), IiSGM, Madrid, Spain
| | - Ramón García-Sanz
- University Hospital of Salamanca (HUS/IBSAL), CIBERONC and Cancer Research Institute of Salamanca-IBMCC (USAL-CSIC), Salamanca, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Isidro Jarque
- Hospital Universitario la Fe, CIBERONC, Valencia, Spain
| | | | - Victoria Dourdil
- Hospital Clínico Universitario "Lozano Blesa", Zaragoza, IIS Aragón, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | - Joan Bargay
- Hospital Son Llatzer, Palma de Mallorca, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | - Rafael Rios
- Hospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves, Granada, Spain
| | - Adrián Alegre
- Hospital Universitario de la Princesa y Hospital Universitario Quirónsalud, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | - Anna Sureda
- ICO-L'Hospitalet, IDIBELL, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Antonia Sampol
- Hospital Universitario Son Espases, Palma de Mallorca, Spain
| | - Enrique M Ocio
- Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, (IDIVAL). Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
| | - Isabel Krsnik
- Hospital Universitario Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Jesús Martín
- Complejo Hospitalario Regional Virgen del Rocío, CIBERONC, Sevilla, Spain
| | | | - María-Victoria Mateos
- University Hospital of Salamanca (HUS/IBSAL), CIBERONC and Cancer Research Institute of Salamanca-IBMCC (USAL-CSIC), Salamanca, Spain
| | - Joan Bladé
- Hospital Clinic, CIBERONC, Barcelona, Spain
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Nanayakkara AK, Boucher HW, Fowler VG, Jezek A, Outterson K, Greenberg DE. Antibiotic resistance in the patient with cancer: Escalating challenges and paths forward. CA Cancer J Clin 2021; 71:488-504. [PMID: 34546590 DOI: 10.3322/caac.21697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Revised: 07/23/2021] [Accepted: 08/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Infection is the second leading cause of death in patients with cancer. Loss of efficacy in antibiotics due to antibiotic resistance in bacteria is an urgent threat against the continuing success of cancer therapy. In this review, the authors focus on recent updates on the impact of antibiotic resistance in the cancer setting, particularly on the ESKAPE pathogens (Enterococcus faecium, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Enterobacter spp.). This review highlights the health and financial impact of antibiotic resistance in patients with cancer. Furthermore, the authors recommend measures to control the emergence of antibiotic resistance, highlighting the risk factors associated with cancer care. A lack of data in the etiology of infections, specifically in oncology patients in United States, is identified as a concern, and the authors advocate for a centralized and specialized surveillance system for patients with cancer to predict and prevent the emergence of antibiotic resistance. Finding better ways to predict, prevent, and treat antibiotic-resistant infections will have a major positive impact on the care of those with cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amila K Nanayakkara
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas
| | - Helen W Boucher
- Division of Geographic Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Vance G Fowler
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina
| | - Amanda Jezek
- Infectious Diseases Society of America, Arlington, Virginia
| | - Kevin Outterson
- CARB-X, Boston, Massachusetts
- Boston University School of Law, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - David E Greenberg
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas
- Department of Microbiology, University of Texas Southwestern, Dallas, Texas
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