Development and validation of a novel model to predict recurrence-free survival and melanoma-specific survival after sentinel lymph node biopsy in patients with melanoma: an international, retrospective, multicentre analysis

Risk stratification models incorporating oxidative stress factors to predict survival and recurrence in patients with gastric cancer after radical gastrectomy: A real-world multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Oxidative stress significantly influences the development and progression of gastric cancer (GC). It remains unreported whether incorporating oxidative stress factors into nomograms can improve the predictive accuracy for survival and recurrence risk in GC patients.

METHODS

3498 GC patients who underwent radical gastrectomy between 2009 and 2017 were enrolled and randomly divided into training cohort (TC) and internal validation cohort (IVC). Cox regression analysis model was used to evaluate six preoperative oxidative stress indicators to formulate the Systemic oxidative stress Score (SOSS). Two nomograms based on SOSS was constructed by multivariate Cox regression and validated using 322 patients from another two hospitals.

RESULTS

A total of 3820 patients were included. The SOSS, composed of three preoperative indicators-fibrinogen, albumin, and cholesterol-was an independent prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The two nomograms based on SOSS showed a significantly higher AUC than the pTNM stage (OS: 0.830 vs. 0.778, DFS: 0.824 vs. 0.775, all P < 0.001) and were validated in the IVC and EVC (all P < 0.001). The local recurrence rate, peritoneal recurrence rate, distant recurrence rate and multiple recurrence rate in high-risk group were significantly higher than those in low-risk group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The two novel nomograms based on SOSS which was a combination score of three preoperative blood indicators, demonstrated outstanding predictive abilities for both survival and recurrence in GC patients with different risk groups, which may potentially improve survival through perioperatively active intervention strategies and individualized postoperatively close surveillance.

The Prognostic Value of Proliferative Activity in Cutaneous Melanoma: A Pilot Study Evaluating the Mitotic Rate and Ki67 Index to Predict Patient Outcomes

Proliferative activity in cutaneous melanomas can be appreciated both histopathologically by counting mitotic figures and immunohistochemically through the Ki67 index, but the prognostic value of each method is still a matter of debate. In this context, we performed a retrospective study on 33 patients diagnosed with cutaneous melanomas between 2013 and 2018 in order to evaluate progression-free survival and overall survival. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was performed by considering both clinical histopathological and immunohistochemical features. The mitotic rate was significantly independently associated with both outcomes, while the Ki67 index was not an independent prognostic factor. However, the Ki67 predictive accuracy could be improved by establishing both a cut-off value and a standardized protocol for evaluating its expression. Until these desiderata are met, the mitotic rate remains superior to the Ki67 index for predicting prognosis in cutaneous melanomas, as also has the advantage of being easily interpreted in a standard histopathological examination regardless of the pathologist's experience and with no further financial expenses. Importantly, this is one of very few articles that has shown perineural invasion to be an independent prognostic factor for both progression-free survival and overall survival in cutaneous melanomas. As a consequence, this parameter should become a mandatory feature in the histopathological evaluation of cutaneous melanomas as it can improve the identification of patients who are at high risk for disease progression.