Ultrasound cervical measurement and prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in ICSI pregnancies: a prospective controlled study

Cervical-length as a screening for spontaneous preterm birth in uncomplicated twins: one vs. serial measurements

OBJECTIVE

While cervical length (CL) provides an effective screening tool for spontaneous preterm birth in singletons, the performance in twins is still controversial. Our aim was twofold. First, to compare the performance of a single CL measurement at mid-gestation (∼20 weeks) versus serial measurements as a predictor of spontaneous preterm birth < 34 weeks in uncomplicated twin pregnancies. Second, to describe the performance of a single CL at ∼24, ∼28 and ∼32 weeks.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

cohort study of twins followed at Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires from 2013 to 2017. Inclusion criteria were dichorionic or monochorionic diamniotic twins with CL measurement between 18 and 33 + 6 weeks with available data of the delivery. Exclusion criteria included any of the following complications: iatrogenic preterm delivery <34 weeks, cerclage, fetal growth restriction, fetal death, structural anomalies, polyhydramnios, twin-twin transfusion syndrome, selective fetal growth restriction, twin anemia-polycythemia sequence, and twin reversed arterial perfusion sequence. Spontaneous preterm birth was defined as spontaneous delivery < 34 weeks. Two different cutoffs were used to classify CL as short (positive screening) or normal (negative screening): (a) a fixed cutoff of 25 mm at any gestational age (GA). The screening was considered positive if any CL measurement was <25 mm; and (b) a GA adjusted cutoff to a 10% false positive rate (FPR). The 10% FPR for each GA was calculated and the screening was considered positive if any of the CL measurements were below this 10% FPR cutoff. We report sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, positive and negative likelihood ratio and area under the ROC curve.

RESULTS

Among 777 twins followed in our Unit, 381 met exclusion criteria and 18 were excluded due to incomplete follow-up. We included 378 patients, 284 (75%) dichorionic and 94 (25%) monochorionic. The performance of one CL at 20 weeks showed a sensitivity ≤ 20% with an area under the ROC curve of 0.58 (95% CI, 0.45-0.70), while the performance of serial measurements showed a sensitivity of 58.8% (95% CI, 40.7-75.4) with an area under the ROC curve of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.61-0.79) (p < .001). The analyses of the performance of a single CL at ∼24, ∼28 and ∼32 weeks showed similar AUC than the serial measurements and, for a FPR = 10%, the performance of one measurement at 24 and 32 weeks showed a sensitivity of 30% (95% CI, 14.7-49.4) and 31.6% (95% CI, (12.6-56.6), while the measurement at 28 weeks showed a sensitivity of 48.3% (95% CI, (29.4-67.5).

CONCLUSION

Serial measurements showed a better performance than a single one in mid-gestation. Moreover, among single measurements the CL in mid-gestation showed the poorest performance, while the 28 weeks assessment detected half of the preterm deliveries. However, all the strategies showed modest performances.

The effect of gestational age and cervical length measurements in the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in twin pregnancies: an individual patient level meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of gestational age (GA) and cervical length (CL) measurements at transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) in the prediction of preterm birth in twin pregnancy.

DESIGN

Individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis.

SETTING

International multicentre study.

POPULATION

Asymptomatic twin pregnancy.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE searches were performed and IPD obtained from authors of relevant studies. Multinomial logistic regression analysis determined probabilities for birth at ≤28(+0) , 28(+1) to 32(+0) , 32(+1) to 36(+0) , and ≥36(+1) weeks as a function of GA at screening and CL measurements.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Predicted probabilities for preterm birth at ≤28(+0) , 28(+1) to 32(+0) , and 32(+1) to 36(+0) .

RESULTS

A total of 6188 CL measurements were performed on 4409 twin pregnancies in 12 studies. Both GA at screening and CL had a significant and non-linear effect on GA at birth. The best prediction of birth at ≤28(+0) weeks was provided by screening at ≤18(+0) weeks (P < 0.001), whereas the best prediction of birth between 28(+1) and 36(+0) weeks was provided by screening at ≥24(+0) weeks (P < 0.001). Negative prediction value of 100% for birth at ≤28(+0) weeks is achieved at CL 65 mm and 43 mm at ultrasound GA at ≤18(+0) weeks and at 22(+1) to 24(+0) weeks, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In twin pregnancies, prediction of preterm birth depends on both CL and the GA at screening. When CL is <30 mm, screening at ≤18(+0) weeks is most predictive for birth at ≤28(+0) weeks. Later screening at >22(+0) weeks is most predictive of delivery at 28(+1) to 36(+0) weeks. In twins, we recommend CL screening in twins to commence from ≤18(+0) weeks.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

An individual patient meta-analysis assessing gestation and CL in the prediction of preterm birth in twins.

Prediction of preterm birth in twin gestations using biophysical and biochemical tests

The objective of this study was to determine the performance of biophysical and biochemical tests for the prediction of preterm birth in both asymptomatic and symptomatic women with twin gestations. We identified a total of 19 tests proposed to predict preterm birth, mainly in asymptomatic women. In these women, a single measurement of cervical length with transvaginal ultrasound before 25 weeks of gestation appears to be a good test to predict preterm birth. Its clinical potential is enhanced by the evidence that vaginal progesterone administration in asymptomatic women with twin gestations and a short cervix reduces neonatal morbidity and mortality associated with spontaneous preterm delivery. Other tests proposed for the early identification of asymptomatic women at increased risk of preterm birth showed minimal to moderate predictive accuracy. None of the tests evaluated in this review meet the criteria to be considered clinically useful to predict preterm birth among patients with an episode of preterm labor. However, a negative cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin test could be useful in identifying women who are not at risk for delivering within the next week, which could avoid unnecessary hospitalization and treatment. This review underscores the need to develop accurate tests for predicting preterm birth in twin gestations. Moreover, the use of interventions in these patients based on test results should be associated with the improvement of perinatal outcomes.

The use of vaginal natural progesterone for prevention of preterm birth in IVF/ICSI pregnancies

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of vaginal natural progesterone on the prevention of preterm birth in IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) pregnancies. A single-centre prospective placebo-controlled randomized study was performed. A total of 313 IVF/ICSI pregnant patients were randomized into two groups for either treatment with daily 400 mg vaginal natural progesterone or placebo, starting from mid-trimester up to 37 weeks or delivery. Amongst the patients, there were 215 singleton and 91 twin pregnancies. There was no significant difference in risk of preterm birth among all patients (OR 0.672, 95% CI 0.42-1.0. There was a significantly lower preterm birth rate in singleton pregnancies in the natural progesterone arm (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.28-0.97) and no significant difference between both arms in twin pregnancies (OR 0.735, 95% CI 0.36-2). In conclusion, the administration of 400 mg vaginal natural progesterone from mid trimester reduced the incidence of preterm birth in singleton, but not in twin, IVF/ICSI pregnancies.

Transvaginal sonographic cervical length for the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth in twin pregnancies: a systematic review and metaanalysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of transvaginal sonographic cervical length (CL) in predicting spontaneous preterm birth in women with twin pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and metaanalysis of predictive test accuracy.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies (16 in asymptomatic women and 5 in symptomatic women) with a total of 3523 women met the inclusion criteria. Among asymptomatic women, a CL

CONCLUSION

Transvaginal sonographic CL at 20-24 weeks' gestation is a good predictor of spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic women with twin pregnancies.

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Key Words

• cervical length
• preterm birth
• prediction
• metaanalysis
• systematic review

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MESH Headings

• Cervix Uteri/anatomy & histology
• Cervix Uteri/diagnostic imaging
• Female
• Gestational Age
• Humans
• Incidence
• Infant, Newborn
• Predictive Value of Tests
• Pregnancy
• Pregnancy Outcome
• Pregnancy, Multiple
• Premature Birth/diagnostic imaging
• Premature Birth/epidemiology
• Risk Assessment
• Twins
• Ultrasonography, Prenatal

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Grants

• ZIA HD002401 Intramural NIH HHS
• ZIA HD002401-18 Intramural NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Agustín Conde-Agudelo Perinatology Research Branch, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development/National Institutes of Health/Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD, USA
Roberto Romero
Sonia S Hassan
Lami Yeo

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