Pathologic response to preoperative transarterial chemoembolization for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma may not predict recurrence after liver resection

Novel predictive nomograms based on aspartate aminotransferase‑to‑platelet ratio index for hepatocellular carcinoma with post‑operative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization

The clinical significance of systemic inflammation assessed with laboratory analysis of blood samples has been validated in a variety of cancers. The present study was conducted to investigate prognostic significance of preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) for the outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving post-operative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PATACE). A total of 201 patients who underwent PATACE were retrospectively analyzed. A nomogram for HCC was developed using predictors based on multivariate Cox models, and bootstrapping was performed for validation. According to the ROC curve, which was used to divide patients into two cohorts: High APRI group (APRI>1.02) and Low APRI group (APRI≤1.02). In subgroup survival analysis, patients with a relatively low APRI had significantly longer disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) than patients with a relatively high APRI, regardless of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages (BCLC 0/A or BCLC B/C, both P<0.05); while in China liver cancer staging I/II and TNM I/II stage patients, relatively low APRI was associated with improved DFS and OS (both P<0.05). Multivariate Cox models demonstrated that APRI and BCLC stages were independent prognostic factors of DFS and OS (both P<0.05). Nomograms for DFS and OS were constructed, respectively. Calibration curve analysis showed that the standard curve fitted well with the predicted curve. Time-receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had high efficiency. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the high clinical value of the nomogram. APRI is an independent prognostic factor of DFS and OS in HCC patients receiving PATACE, and the combination of APRI with the HCC staging system can refine risk stratification to provide a more accurate prognostic assessment for the outcome of patients receiving PATACE.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts the therapeutic benefit of neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization in patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

All published meta-analyses failed to demonstrate that preoperative transarterial chemoembolization improves the clinical outcomes of patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma. The present study aimed to investigate the utility of systemic inflammatory cells as a tumor biology marker predicting therapeutic benefit of neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization in patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 441 hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent curative resection. Among 441 patients, 73 patients underwent preoperative transarterial chemoembolization, and 368 patients did not. We compared recurrence-free survival and overall survival between transarterial chemoembolization plus sequential resection group and resection only group. We analyzed whether pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio demonstrates survival benefit in each groups.

RESULTS

No significant difference was observed in recurrence-free or overall survival between both groups. In the transarterial chemoembolization plus sequential resection group, the 5-year overall survival in patients with high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (≥1.6) was significantly lower than that in patients with low neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (78.4% and 100%, P = 0.027). High neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio was associated with vascular invasion (P = 0.033).

CONCLUSION

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio can be considered as a predictive factor of long-term survival and used to identify patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma who benefit from neoadjuvant transarterial chemoembolization.

Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index predicts prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization

Background and aim

To investigate the value of the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and build a new nomogram for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PATACE).

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 351 patients with HCC undergoing PATACE. We collected baseline HCC patient characteristics to obtain the risk factors for determining poor disease-free survival (DFS) and early time to recurrence (TTR) after PATACE. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to build new nomogram based on significant prognostic factors of outcomes.

Results

We generated the cutoff value of the APRI as 0.50 using the X-tile to distinguish patients with different outcomes in the whole cohort. Two hundred seventeen patients with high APRI had poorer survival (P<0.001) than did 134 patients with low APRI. Furthermore, a nomogram, including tumor size, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, white blood cell counts, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer grade, and APRI was built for DFS, while factors including hepatitis B surface antigen, tumor size, ALT, microvascular invasion, and APRI was built for TTR. Internal validation with 500 bootstrapped sample sets had a good concordance index of 0.729 for DFS and 0.730 for TTR. Additionally, nomogram based on APRI conferred more prognostic value than previous biomarkers.

Conclusion

High APRI was associated with worse survival and shorter TTR for HCC patients undergoing PATACE. This simple nomogram based on APRI conferred personalized survival and recurrence data for HCC patients undergoing PATACE.