Asistencia a los niños críticamente enfermos en Asturias: características y efectividad

[Prognostic indexes of mortality in pediatric intensive care units]

OBJECTIVE

To assess the validity of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality score (PRISM), the Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) and the PIM 2 in two Spanish pediatric intensive care units.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We prospectively studied 241 critically ill children consecutively admitted over a 6-month period. The overall performance of the scoring systems was assessed by the Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR), comparing observed deaths with expected deaths by each index. Discrimination (the ability of the model to distinguish between patients who live and those who die) was quantified by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Calibration (the accuracy of mortality risk predictions) was calculated with the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, in which statistical calibration is evidenced by p > 0.05.

RESULTS

The mortality rate was 4.1 %. PRISM overestimated mortality (SMR = 0.44). Discrimination was better for PRISM and PIM 2 than for PIM (areas under ROC curves: 0.883, 0.871, and 0.800 respectively), with no significant differences. Finally, calibration was acceptable for PIM 2 (x2 (8) = 4.8730, p 0.8461) and for PIM (x2 (8) = 8.0876, p 0.5174), but no statistical calibration was found for PRISM (x2 (8) = 15.0281, p 0.0133).

CONCLUSIONS

PIM and PIM 2 showed better discrimination and calibration than PRISM in a heterogeneous group of children in Spanish critical care units. However, these results should be confirmed in a larger study.

Sepsis meningocócica en pediatría. Parámetros asociados a mala evolución

BACKGROUND

Mortality due to meningococcal sepsis continues to be extremely high. Patients with a poor prognosis require aggressive therapy and should be identified early.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the clinical and biological factors associated with poor outcome.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Seventy-one children aged 2 months to 13 years with meningococcal sepsis were studied. Inclusion criteria were meningococcus isolation in cultures or characteristic clinical features with purpuric exanthema.

METHODS

A correlational descriptive study was performed. In all patients we evaluated the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM), the Glasgow Scale for Meningococcal Sepsis (GSMS), polymorphonuclear (PMN) count and prolactin (PRL), leptin (LPT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels.

RESULTS

Fourteen children (19.7 %) died. Death was associated with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) (p = 0.0001), high GSMS and PRISM scores (p = 0.0001) and to a lesser extent with shock (p = 0.01). In patients who died, the determinations showing greatest alteration at admission were PRL levels (p = 0.0009) and PMN count (p = 0.0005). CRP levels were not associated with differences in mortality but were high in patients with shock (p = 0.008). Children with high body weight percentiles were at greater risk of death and showed higher levels of PRL, PCT (p = 0.006) and LPT (p = 0.006), without differences in GSMS or PRISM scores. Age did not influence mortality or PRL levels but did influence GMSM and PRISM scores and PMN and CRP levels. These differences disappeared after the age of 2-3 years. In patients with MODS or shock, the only differences found were reduced PMN count (p = 0.0001) and elevated PRL levels (p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In meningococcal sepsis, death is more frequent in children with high body weight percentiles. Moreover, these children present elevated PRL and LPT levels, although whether these variables act independently remains to be elucidated.

[Estimation of creatinine clearance by the height/plasma creatinine formula in critically-ill children]

INTRODUCTION

Critically-ill children frequently show impaired renal function, necessitating adjustment of drug dosages. Our objectives were to study estimated creatinine clearance through the correlation between the height/plasma creatinine formula (CrClest) and measured creatinine clearance (CrClms) and to examine whether CrClest over- or underestimates CrClms by analyzing the influence of diagnosis, severity, and the practical consequences.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Seventy-seven patients admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit were included. CrClms was calculated using serum creatinine and creatinine in urine collected over 24 hours. CrClest was estimated using serum creatinine, height, and a constant. The difference between CrClms and CrClest was expressed as a percentage: (CrClms CrClest) x 100/CrClms. Differences of greater than 15 % were considered poor estimates. ResultsThe mean percentage difference was 29.2 (standard error: 39.9). There were no differences among diagnoses in the distribution of significant bias, although the frequency of metabolic diagnoses was high. Incorrect evaluation of CrClest would result in a therapeutic error in 11.69 % of the cases, with overdosage in 10.39 %. The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score was higher (p < 0.05) in patients at risk for overdosage.

CONCLUSIONS

CrClest estimation using the height/plasma creatinine formula was not an accurate method in critically ill children. In 10.39 % of patients with more severe illness, the dosage of renally excreted drugs would be too high. The highest risk was found in patients with metabolic and neurological diagnoses.