Incidence of typhoid fever in Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, Madagascar, and Nigeria (the Severe Typhoid in Africa programme): a population-based study

The global burden of enteric fever, 2017-2021: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2021

Background

Enteric fever is a major public health challenge in developing countries. We conducted a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases 2021 Study to provide updated estimates of enteric fever's burden.

Methods

We presented estimates for incident cases and deaths, age-standardized incidence and mortality rates, years of life lost (YLLs), and case-fatality rates spanning the study period of 2017-2021, stratified by region, country, socio-demographic index (SDI), and age group. Random-effects Poisson regression for longitudinal data was used to estimate the association between SDI and case-fatality rates, adjusting for antimicrobial resistance patterns.

Findings

In 2021, there were 9.3 million global cases of enteric fever (95% uncertainty interval: 7.3-11.9) and 107.5 thousand deaths (56.1-180.8). The age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 152/100,000 person-years (118-195) in 2017 to 128/100,000 person-years (100-163) in 2021, and the mortality rate decreased from 1.87/100,000 person-years (0.95-3.18) to 1.50/100,000 person-years (0.78-2.54). There were wide geographical differences, with South Asia contributing the most cases and deaths. Age-standardized incidence exceeded the threshold for "high burden" of enteric fever (100/100,000 person-years) in 23 countries in 2021.Children under five accounted for 40% of deaths and 47% of YLLs, with incidence and mortality peaking during the second year. Case-fatality was highest in low SDI countries and showed a global trend toward reduction, except among children aged 1-4 years. After adjusting for the prevalence of multidrug resistance, fluoroquinolone non-susceptibility, and third-generation cephalosporin resistance, a higher SDI was associated with a lower case-fatality rate, with a 1.1% (0.7-1.7) reduction for each percentage point increase in SDI.

Interpretation

Despite notable improvements, several countries still showed a high burden of enteric fever, which remains a significant global health concern, especially among children under five. Although enhancing water and sanitation systems is crucial, the most significant reductions in the global disease burden are likely to be achieved through broader vaccine coverage. This includes the use of typhoid conjugate vaccines, which are effective in infants and young children and offer extended protection, along with improved data collection and surveillance to guide vaccine distribution efforts across high-incidence areas.

Funding

This work was partially supported by "Ricerca Corrente" funding from Italian Ministry of Health to IRCCSHumanitas Research Hospital.

Evaluation of centralised and decentralised models of care during the 2020 Ebola Virus Disease outbreak in Equateur Province, Democratic Republic of the Congo: A brief report

Background

Traditionally in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), centralised Ebola treatment centres (ETCs) have been set exclusively for Ebola virus disease (EVD) case management during outbreaks. During the 2020 EVD outbreak in DRC's Equateur Province, existing health centres were equipped as decentralised treatment centres (DTC) to improve access for patients with suspected EVD. Between ETCs and DTCs, we compared the time from symptom onset to admission and diagnosis among patients with suspected EVD.

Methods

This was a cohort study based on analysis of a line-list containing demographic and clinical information of patients with suspected EVD admitted to any EVD health facility during the outbreak.

Results

Of 2359 patients with suspected EVD, 363 (15%) were first admitted to a DTC. Of 1996 EVD-suspected patients initially admitted to an ETC, 72 (4%) were confirmed as EVD-positive. Of 363 EVD-suspected patients initially admitted to a DTC, 6 (2%) were confirmed and managed as EVD-positive in the DTC. Among all EVD-suspected patients, the median (interquartile range) duration between symptom onset and admission was 2 (1-4) days in a DTC compared to 4 (2-7) days in an ETC (p<0.001). Similarly, time from symptom onset to admission was significantly shorter among EVD-suspected patients ultimately diagnosed as EVD-negative.

Conclusions

Since <5% of the EVD-suspected patients admitted were eventually diagnosed with EVD, there is a need for better screening to optimise resource utilization and outbreak control. Only one in seven EVD-suspected patients were admitted to a DTC first, as the DTCs were piloted in a limited and phased manner. However, there is a case to be made for considering decentralized care especially in remote and hard-to-reach areas in places like the DRC to facilitate early access to care, contain viral shedding by patients with EVD and ensure no disrupted provision of non-EVD services.