Retrospective evaluation of the BIG score to predict mortality in pediatric blunt trauma

How significant is the BIG score in childhood traumatic brain injury?

BACKGROUND

This study aims to evaluate the reliability of the BIG score in predicting mortality in children with traumatic brain injury (TBI) and to compare it with the literature and other scoring systems.

METHODS

Patients who were followed up in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) for TBI between 2014 and 2019 in a tertiary reference hospital were evaluated retrospectively.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty-nine patients met the inclusion criteria. The most common injury mechanisms were falling from a height (39.6%). The mortality rate was 12.6% (n = 20). The mean BIG score, ISS, and PRISM III were statistically significantly higher in the mortality group (p < 0.001). The AUC values found in the ROC analysis in the whole study group, respectively, 0.962 (CI 0.920-0.986) for the BIG score, 0.952 (CI 0.906-0.979) for the ISS, 0.957 (CI 0.913-0.983) for the GCS, and 0.981 (CI 0.946-0.996) for the PRISM III. In the patients with isolated TBI, the AUC value for the BIG score was 0.988 (0.967-1.000) and higher than the ISS and PRISM 3 [0.983 (0.956-1.000), 0.969 (0.932-1.000) respectively]). The cut-off point for the BIG score in the whole group was 19 (sensitivity 95%, specificity 88%, positive predictive value 0.58, negative predictive value 0.99). In logistic regression model, we found that BIG score is an independent variable for mortality (AOR:1.4, 95%CI 1.22-1.63).

CONCLUSION

In children with traumatic brain injury, the BIG score is simple, quickly calculated, and a good predictor of mortality and disease severity. Prospective studies with more extensive series are needed on this subject.

The prognostic value of an age-adjusted BIG score in adult patients with traumatic brain injury

Background

The base deficit, international normalized ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) score was previously developed to predict the outcomes of pediatric trauma patients. We designed this study to explore and improve the prognostic value of the BIG score in adult patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI).

Methods

Adult patients diagnosed with TBI in a public critical care database were included in this observational study. The BIG score was calculated based on the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), the international normalized ratio (INR), and the base deficit. Logistic regression analysis was performed to confirm the association between the BIG score and the outcome of included patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the prognostic value of the BIG score and novel constructed models.

Results

In total, 1,034 TBI patients were included in this study with a mortality of 22.8%. Non-survivors had higher BIG scores than survivors (p < 0.001). The results of multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that age (p < 0.001), pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2) (p = 0.032), glucose (p = 0.015), hemoglobin (p = 0.047), BIG score (p < 0.001), subarachnoid hemorrhage (p = 0.013), and intracerebral hematoma (p = 0.001) were associated with in-hospital mortality of included patients. The AUC (area under the ROC curves) of the BIG score was 0.669, which was not as high as in previous pediatric trauma cohorts. However, combining the BIG score with age increased the AUC to 0.764. The prognostic model composed of significant factors including BIG had the highest AUC of 0.786.

Conclusion

The age-adjusted BIG score is superior to the original BIG score in predicting mortality of adult TBI patients. The prognostic model incorporating the BIG score is beneficial for clinicians, aiding them in making early triage and treatment decisions in adult TBI patients.

Performance of the BIG Score in Predicting Mortality in Normotensive Children With Trauma

OBJECTIVES

Children have a larger reserve for traumatic hemorrhagic shock, requiring a score that uses physiologic variables other than hypotension. Recently, the BIG score comprising admission base deficit, international normalized ratio, and the Glasgow Coma Scale has been reported to predict traumatic mortality. We aimed to validate the performance of the BIG score in mortality prediction of normotensive children with trauma.

METHODS

We reviewed 1046 injured children (<18 years) who visited a Korean academic hospital from 2010 to 2018, excluding those with age-adjusted hypotension. In-hospital mortality, the BIG score and its predicted mortality, Revised Trauma Score, and Pediatric Trauma Score were calculated. We compared areas under the curve (AUCs) for in-hospital mortality of the 3 scores and did in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities.

RESULTS

Of the 1046 children, 554 were enrolled with a 4.9% in-hospital mortality rate. The median BIG score was higher in the nonsurvivors (6.4 [interquartile range, 4.4-9.2] vs 20.1 [16.5-24.8]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-0.96), which was higher than that of Pediatric Trauma Score (0.87 [95% CI, 0.84-0.90]; P < 0.001). The AUC of the BIG score tended to be higher than that of Revised Trauma Score without statistical significance (0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.92]; P = 0.130). We noted a parallel between in-hospital and BIG-predicted mortalities. The hemorrhage-related nonsurvivors showed higher median base deficit and BIG score than did the isolated traumatic brain injury-related ones.

CONCLUSIONS

The BIG score can predict mortality with excellent accuracy in normotensive children with trauma.

Use of the BIG score to predict mortality in pediatric trauma

OBJECTIVE

The BIG score, which is comprised of admission base deficit (B), International Normalized Ratio (I), and GCS (G), is a severity of illness score that can be used to rapidly predict in-hospital mortality in pediatric patients presenting following traumatic injury. We sought to compare the mortality prediction of the pediatric trauma BIG score with other well-established pediatric trauma severity of illness scores: the pediatric logistic organ dysfunction (PELOD); the pediatric index of mortality 2 (PIM2); and the pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM III).

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, data from 2009 to 2015 was collected using a multi-institutional database. All pediatric patients admitted following traumatic injury with a recorded initial GCS were included. BIG, PELOD, PIM2, and PRISM III scores were calculated, and Receiver Operator Characteristic curves were derived for all severity of illness scores. Mortality prediction performance for each score was compared by the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 29,204 patients were included in this analysis. AUC for BIG, PELOD, PIM2, and PRISM III scores were 0.97 (0.97-0.98), 0.98 (0.98-0.98), 0.98 (0.97-0.98), and 0.99 (0.98-0.99), respectively. At the optimum cut-off point of 16, the BIG score had a sensitivity of 0.937, specificity of 0.938, positive predictive value of 0.514, and negative predictive value of 0.995.

CONCLUSIONS

In this massive cohort of pediatric trauma patients, the BIG score using imputation of missing variables performed similarly to the PELOD, PIM2, and PRISM III, further validating the score as a predictor of mortality.

The Base Deficit, International Normalized Ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) Score, and Functional Outcome at Hospital Discharge in Children With Traumatic Brain Injury

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association of the base deficit, international normalized ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG) score on emergency department arrival with functional dependence at hospital discharge (Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category ≥ 4) in pediatric multiple trauma patients with traumatic brain injury.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of a pediatric trauma database from 2001 to 2018.

SETTING

Level 1 trauma program at a university-affiliated pediatric institution.

PATIENTS

Two to 17 years old children sustaining major blunt trauma including a traumatic brain injury and meeting trauma team activation criteria.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Two investigators, blinded to the BIG score, determined discharge Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category scores. The BIG score was measured on emergency department arrival. The 609 study patients were 9.7 ± 4.4 years old with a median Injury Severity Score 22 (interquartile range, 12). One-hundred seventy-one of 609 (28%) had Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category greater than or equal to 4 (primary outcome). The BIG constituted a multivariable predictor of Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category greater than or equal to 4 (odds ratio, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.81-3.15) after adjustment for neurosurgery requirement (odds ratio, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.69-4.74), pupils fixed and dilated (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.49-6.38), and intubation at the scene or referral hospital (odds ratio, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.35-5.87) and other postulated predictors of poor outcome. The area under the BIG receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.87 (0.84-0.90). Using an optimal BIG cutoff less than or equal to 8, sensitivity and negative predictive value for functional dependence at discharge were 93% and 96%, respectively, compared with a sensitivity of 79% and negative predictive value of 91% with Glasgow Coma Scale less than or equal to 8. In children with Glasgow Coma Scale 3, the BIG score was associated with brain death (odds ratio, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.58-2.36). The BIG also predicted disposition to inpatient rehabilitation (odds ratio, 2.26; 95% CI, 2.17-2.35).

CONCLUSIONS

The BIG score is a simple, rapidly obtainable severity of illness score that constitutes an independent predictor of functional dependence at hospital discharge in pediatric trauma patients with traumatic brain injury. The BIG score may benefit Trauma and Neurocritical care programs in identifying ideal candidates for traumatic brain injury trials within the therapeutic window of treatment.