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Woodward AP. Bayesian estimation in veterinary pharmacology: A conceptual and practical introduction. J Vet Pharmacol Ther 2024; 47:322-352. [PMID: 38385655 DOI: 10.1111/jvp.13433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2023] [Revised: 01/22/2024] [Accepted: 01/24/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024]
Abstract
Sophisticated mathematical and computational tools have become widespread and important in veterinary pharmacology. Although the theoretical basis and practical applications of these have been widely explored in the literature, statistical inference in the context of these models has received less attention. Optimization methods, often with frequentist statistical inference, have been predominant. In contrast, Bayesian statistics have not been widely applied, but offer both practical utility and arguably greater interpretability. Veterinary pharmacology applications are generally well supported by relevant prior information, from either existing substantive knowledge, or an understanding of study and model design. This facilitates practical implementation of Bayesian analyses that can take advantage of this knowledge. This essay will explore the specification of Bayesian models relevant to veterinary pharmacology, including demonstration of prior selection, and illustrate the capability of these models to generate practically useful statistics, including uncertainty statements, that are difficult or impossible to obtain otherwise. Case studies using simulated data will describe applications in clinical trials, pharmacodynamics, and pharmacokinetics, all including multilevel modeling. This content may serve as a suitable starting point for researchers in veterinary pharmacology and related disciplines considering Bayesian estimation for their applied work.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew P Woodward
- Faculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
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van Ravenzwaaij D, Bakker M, Heesen R, Romero F, van Dongen N, Crüwell S, Field SM, Held L, Munafò MR, Pittelkow MM, Tiokhin L, Traag VA, van den Akker OR, van ‘t Veer AE, Wagenmakers EJ. Perspectives on scientific error. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 2023; 10:230448. [PMID: 37476516 PMCID: PMC10354464 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.230448] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 07/22/2023]
Abstract
Theoretical arguments and empirical investigations indicate that a high proportion of published findings do not replicate and are likely false. The current position paper provides a broad perspective on scientific error, which may lead to replication failures. This broad perspective focuses on reform history and on opportunities for future reform. We organize our perspective along four main themes: institutional reform, methodological reform, statistical reform and publishing reform. For each theme, we illustrate potential errors by narrating the story of a fictional researcher during the research cycle. We discuss future opportunities for reform. The resulting agenda provides a resource to usher in an era that is marked by a research culture that is less error-prone and a scientific publication landscape with fewer spurious findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- D. van Ravenzwaaij
- Department of Psychology, University of Groningen, Grote Kruisstraat 2/1, Heymans Building, room 239, 9712 TS Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - M. Bakker
- Tilburg University, 5037 AB Tilburg, The Netherlands
| | - R. Heesen
- University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia 6009, Australia
- London School of Economics and Political Science, London WC2A 2AE, UK
| | - F. Romero
- Department of Psychology, University of Groningen, Grote Kruisstraat 2/1, Heymans Building, room 239, 9712 TS Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - N. van Dongen
- University of Amsterdam, 1012 WP Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - S. Crüwell
- Department of History and Philosophy of Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, UK
| | - S. M. Field
- Centre for Science and Technology Studies (CWTS), Leiden University, 2311 EZ Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - L. Held
- University of Zurich, 8006 Zürich, Switzerland
| | - M. R. Munafò
- School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1QU, UK
| | - M. M. Pittelkow
- Department of Psychology, University of Groningen, Grote Kruisstraat 2/1, Heymans Building, room 239, 9712 TS Groningen, The Netherlands
- QUEST Center for Transforming Biomedical Research, Berlin Institute of Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin, 10178 Berlin, Germany
| | - L. Tiokhin
- IG&H Consulting, 3528 AC Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - V. A. Traag
- Centre for Science and Technology Studies (CWTS), Leiden University, 2311 EZ Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - O. R. van den Akker
- Tilburg University, 5037 AB Tilburg, The Netherlands
- QUEST Center for Transforming Biomedical Research, Berlin Institute of Health, Charité—Universitätsmedizin, 10178 Berlin, Germany
| | - A. E. van ‘t Veer
- Methodology and Statistics Unit, Institute of Psychology, Leiden University, 2333 AK Leiden, The Netherlands
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Thibault RT, Munafò MR, Moher D. Rigour and reproducibility in Canadian research: call for a coordinated approach. Facets (Ott) 2022. [DOI: 10.1139/facets-2021-0162] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Shortcomings in the rigour and reproducibility of research have become well-known issues and persist despite repeated calls for improvement. A coordinated effort among researchers, institutions, funders, publishers, learned societies, and regulators may be the most effective way of tackling these issues. The UK Reproducibility Network (UKRN) has fostered collaboration across various stakeholders in research and are creating the infrastructure necessary to advance rigorous and reproducible research practices across the United Kingdom. Other Reproducibility Networks, modelled on UKRN, are now emerging in other countries. Canada could benefit from a comparable network to unify the voices around research quality and maximize the value of Canadian research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert T. Thibault
- Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS), Stanford University, California, 94305, United States
- School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, United Kingdom
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, United Kingdom
| | - Marcus R. Munafò
- School of Psychological Science, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, United Kingdom
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TH, United Kingdom
| | - David Moher
- Centre for Journalology, Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, K1Y 4E9, Canada
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, K1N 6N5, Canada
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Almeida-Neto PF, de Matos DG, Pinto VC, Oliveira VM, Medeiros RC, Jeffreys I, Silva Dantas PM, Aidar FJ, Cabral BG. Biological age, testosterone, and estradiol as discriminating factors of muscle strength levels in young athletes. J Sports Med Phys Fitness 2021; 62:122-130. [PMID: 33615765 DOI: 10.23736/s0022-4707.21.12158-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Neuromuscular fitness can be influenced at puberty by a steroid hormones, such as testosterone (TRT) and estradiol (EST). However, more information is needed to assess the reliability between the discriminatory power of biological age (BA) markers with the discriminatory power of TRT and EST in relation to muscle strength in young athletes who are at puberty. PURPOSE Aimed to analyze BA, TRT and EST as discriminating factors of upper limb (ULS) and lower (LLS) strength levels in young athletes. METHODS The sample of 81 young athletes (54.4% female and 45.6% male; age: 11.4±1.08). Hormones were analyzed by chemiluminescence, BA markers by anthropometric variables and body composition by tetrapolar bioimpedance. ULS was verified by the medicineball launch test and LLS by the countermovement jump test on a force platform. RESULTS EST was reliable for discriminating ULS (p<0.05) and LLS (p<0.05) in females. TRT showed reliability in discriminating ULS (p<0.05) and LLS (p<0.05) in males. BA was significant in discriminating ULS (p<0.0001) in females and ULS (p=0.002) and LLS (p<0.0001) in males. BA showed significant reliability with hormonal analyzes (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS That hormonal concentrations are reliable in discriminating ULS and LLS of young athletes of both sexes. BA was shown to be effective in discriminating ULS (in both sexes) and LLS (in males). BA showed significant reliability with hormonal analyzes (ULS and LLS in male sex; LLS for female sex).
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Affiliation(s)
- Paulo F Almeida-Neto
- Department of Physical Education, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, UFRN, Natal, Brazil -
| | - Dihogo G de Matos
- Group of Studies and Research of Performance, Sport, Health and Paralympic Sports, GEPEPS, the Federal University of Sergipe, UFS, São Cristovão, Sergipe, Brazil
| | - Vanessa C Pinto
- Department of Physical Education, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, UFRN, Natal, Brazil
| | - Vitória M Oliveira
- Departament of Physical Education, State University of Ceará, UECE, Fortaleza, Brazil
| | - Rafaela C Medeiros
- Department of Physical Education, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, UFRN, Natal, Brazil.,Department of Physical Education, State University of Rio Grande do Norte, UERN, Mossoró, Brazil
| | - Ian Jeffreys
- Faculty of Life Sciences and Education, University of South Wales, Pontypridd, Wales, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, Pontypridd, UK
| | - Paulo M Silva Dantas
- Department of Physical Education, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, UFRN, Natal, Brazil
| | - Felipe J Aidar
- Group of Studies and Research of Performance, Sport, Health and Paralympic Sports, GEPEPS, the Federal University of Sergipe, UFS, São Cristovão, Sergipe, Brazil
| | - Breno G Cabral
- Department of Physical Education, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, UFRN, Natal, Brazil
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