Etiological factors in broncho-pneumonia amongst infants in London

Avoiding hypothermia, an intervention to prevent morbidity and mortality from pneumonia in young children

Observations and experiments in animals and human beings grant plausibility to the hypothesis that hypothermia is a risk factor for pneumonia. Exposure of body to cold stress causes alterations in the systemic and local defenses against respiratory infections, favoring the infection by inhalation of pathogens normally present in the oropharynx. Neonates and young infants with hypothermia have an increased risk of death; however, there is no strong demonstration that hypothermia leads to pneumonia in these children. Studies that properly addressed the problem of confounding variables have shown an association between cold weather and pneumonia incidence. Probably the strongest evidence that supports the plausibility of the hypothesis is provided by the controlled comparison between patients with traumatic brain injury treated with hypothermia and those treated under normal body temperature. The association between exposure to cold and pneumonia is strong enough to warrant further research focused in young children in developing countries.

Cold weather and GP consultations for respiratory conditions by elderly people in?16 locations in the UK

BACKGROUND

Cold weather is associated with increases in mortality and demands on hospital services in the UK, particularly by the elderly. Less is known about the relationship with patterns of consultation in primary care. We wished to determine the magnitude and consistency of associations between cold temperature and consultations for respiratory conditions in primary care settings at different sites in the UK.

METHODS

Time series analysis of any short-term effects of temperature on daily general practitioner (GP) consultations made by elderly people (65+ years) for lower and upper respiratory tract infections (LRTI, URTI) over a 10-year period, 1992--2001. Practices were situated in 16 urban locations across the UK where a Met Office monitoring station was in operation.

RESULTS

An association between low temperatures and an increase in LRTI consultations was observed in all 16 locations studied. The biggest increase was estimated for the Norwich practices for which a 19.0% increase in LRTI consultations (95% CI 13.6, 24.7) was associated with every 1 degrees C drop in mean temperature below 5 degrees C observed 0-20 days before the day of consultation. Slightly weaker relationships were observed in the case of URTI consultations. A north/south gradient, with larger temperature effects in the north, was in evidence for both LRTI and URTI consultations.

CONCLUSIONS

An effect that was consistent and generally strongest in populations in the north was observed between cold temperature and respiratory consultations. Better understanding of the mechanisms by which cold weather is associated with increases in consultations for respiratory infections could lead to improved strategies for prevention and reduced burdens for health services.

Population-based surveillance of pediatric pneumonia: use of spatial analysis in an urban area of Central Brazil

This study examined the spatial distribution of childhood community-acquired pneumonia detected through prospective surveillance in Goiânia, Brazil. Three spatial analysis techniques were applied to detect intra-urban geographic aggregation of pneumonia cases: Kernel method, nearest neighbor hierarchical technique, and spatial scan statistic. A total of 724 pneumonia cases confirmed by chest radiography were identified from May 2000 to August 2001. All cases were geocoded on a digital map. The annual pneumonia risk rate was estimated at 566 cases/100,000 children. Analysis using traditional descriptive epidemiology showed a mosaic distribution of pneumonia rates, while GIS methodologies showed a non-random pattern with hot spots of pneumonia. Cluster analysis by spatial scan statistic identified two high-risk areas for pneumonia occurrence, including one most likely cluster (RR = 2.1; p < 0.01) and one secondary cluster (RR = 1.3; p = 0.01). The data used for the study are in line with recent WHO-led efforts to improve and standardize pediatric pneumonia surveillance in developing countries and show how GIS and spatial analysis can be applied to discriminate target areas of pneumonia for public heath intervention.

[Risk factors for death caused by pneumonia in children younger than 1 year old in a metropolitan region of southeastern Brazil. A case- control study]

In a case-control study, a sample of post-neonatal deaths from pneumonia occurring in the Metropolitan Area of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (1986-1987) were compared with healthy controls who lived in the same neighborhood. Risk factors investigated were variables related to the mother's pregnancy history and the child's birth, to the family's social condition and to the use of health services. Using the univariate logistic regression model, the coefficients of each independent variable, the relative risk and its confidence limits were first estimated. Birth weight and age of weaning were strongly associated with the dependent variable. After adjustment by means of the multiple logistic regression model, only 4 variables remained statistically associated with mortality: age of weaning, birth weight, over crowding, and BCG vaccination. Based on the available data, it was concluded that mortality from pneumonia in children under 1 year of age is significantly related to the social condition of the family, particularly to that of the mother.

A relation between seasonal temperature and the birth rate of schizophrenic patients

The relation between schizophrenia birth rates and environmental temperature was studied in patients born in England and Wales during 1921-1955 and first admitted there in 1970-1977. A methodological difficulty due to varying age-incidence was avoided by the use of indices independent of yearly changes in rates. Birth rates in the second quarter and in the first half of the year showed high negative correlations with mean temperatures of the first quarter and first half of the year. Comparison of years with the coldest and with the warmest seasons showed the schizophrenia birth rate to be consistently higher in the coldest years. No comparable relations between birth rates and temperature were found for patients with affective psychosis, neurosis or personality disorder. The findings indicate an association between schizophrenia birth rates and temperature of a kind similar to that between infant death rates and temperature during the years 1921-55. Some implications are discussed.

Daily mortality and environment in English conurbations. Air pollution, low temperature, and influenza in Greater London

With the decline in concentrations of suspended particulate pollution in Greater London the association seen in the 1950s and early 1960s between daily mortality and air pollution in the conurbation is no longer apparent. Associations between unusually cold weather and short-term increases in mortality have been noted; there appears to be a tendency for influenza epidemics to follow cold spells.