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Manzoni P, Viora E, Lanari M, Iantomasi R, Montuori EA, Rodgers-Gray B, Waghorne N, Masturzo B. Maternal Risk Factors for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in Otherwise Healthy Preterm and Term Infants: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2024; 43:763-771. [PMID: 38754000 DOI: 10.1097/inf.0000000000004387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/18/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE To date, there is no published, formal assessment of all maternal risk factors for respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory tract infection (RSV-LRTI) in infants. A systematic literature review and meta-analysis were undertaken to ascertain: What maternal risk factors are associated with an increased risk of RSV-LRTI in infants? METHODS The systematic literature review used explicit methods to identify, select and analyze relevant data. PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library were searched (November 2022) using terms regarding: (1) RSV/LRTI; (2) risk factors; (3) pregnant/postpartum population. Bayesian meta-analysis compared RSV hospitalization (RSVH) risk in infants born to mothers with or without certain risk factors. RESULTS A total of 2353 citations were assessed and 20 were included in the final review (10 individual studies; 10 pooled analyses). In 10 studies examining infants (<1 year) without comorbidities (primary outcome), 10 maternal risk factors were associated with RSV-LRTI/RSVH in multivariate analyses. Meta-analysis revealed smoking while pregnant increased infant RSVH risk by 2.01 (95% credible interval: 1.52-2.64) times, while breast-feeding was protective (0.73, 95% credible interval: 0.58-0.90). Risk scoring tools have reported that maternal risk factors contribute between 9% and 21% of an infant's total risk score for RSVH. CONCLUSIONS A greater understanding of maternal risk factors and their relative contribution to infant RSV-LRTI will enable more accurate assessments of the impact of preventive strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Manzoni
- From the Department of Maternal-Infant Medicine, "Degli Infermi" Hospital, University of Torino School of Medicine, Ponderano, Biella, Italy
| | - Elsa Viora
- Obstetrics and Gynecology Department, Città della Salute e della Scienza S. Anna Hospital, Torino, Italy
| | - Marcello Lanari
- Pediatric Emergency Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | | | | | | | | | - Bianca Masturzo
- Obstetrics and Gynecology Unit, Department of Maternal-Infant Medicine, "Degli Infermi" Hospital, Ponderano, Biella, Italy
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Paes B, Lanari M, Rodgers-Gray B, Fullarton J, Carbonell-Estrany X. Opinion: The optimal use of risk factors to guide palivizumab prophylaxis against severe respiratory syncytial virus infection in moderate-to-late preterm infants. Front Pediatr 2024; 12:1343960. [PMID: 38283631 PMCID: PMC10811053 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2024.1343960] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2023] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 01/30/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Bosco Paes
- Department of Pediatrics (Neonatal Division), McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Marcello Lanari
- Paediatric Emergency Unit, IRCCS-Policlinico Ospedaliero-Universitario di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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Shoukat A, Abdollahi E, Galvani AP, Halperin SA, Langley JM, Moghadas SM. Cost-effectiveness analysis of nirsevimab and maternal RSVpreF vaccine strategies for prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus disease among infants in Canada: a simulation study. LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. AMERICAS 2023; 28:100629. [PMID: 38026446 PMCID: PMC10663690 DOI: 10.1016/j.lana.2023.100629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2023] [Revised: 10/25/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023]
Abstract
Background The cost-effectiveness of immunisation strategies with a long-acting monoclonal antibody (nirsevimab) and/or a protein-based maternal vaccine (RSVpreF) for protecting infants from Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-associated illness has not been previously determined for Canada. We estimated the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of nirsevimab for immunising the entire birth cohort, regardless of gestational age or other risk factors. Additionally, we evaluated the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of a combined strategy of year-round vaccination of pregnant women with RSVpreF and immunisation of infants at high risk, including those born preterm or with chronic conditions, with nirsevimab during the RSV season. Methods We developed a discrete-event simulation model, parameterized with the data on medically-attended RSV infections among infants under one year of age from 2010 to 2019, including outpatient care, hospitalisations, and deaths. Intervention scenarios targeting twelve monthly birth cohorts and pregnant women, reflecting the 2021 census data for Ontario, Canada were evaluated over a follow-up time horizon of one year from birth. Taking into account the costs (in 2023 Canadian dollars) associated with RSV-related outcomes, we calculated the net monetary benefit using the quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Further, we determined the range of price-per-dose (PPD) for nirsevimab and RSVpreF within which the program was cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness analyses were conducted from both healthcare and societal perspectives. Findings Using a willingness-to-pay of CAD$50,000 per QALY gained, we found that immunising the entire birth cohort with nirsevimab would be cost-effective from a societal perspective for a PPD of up to $290, with an annual budget impact of $83,978 for 1113 infants per 100,000 population. An alternative, combined strategy of vaccinating pregnant women and immunising only infants at high risk of severe disease would lead to a lower budget impact of $49,473 per 100,000 population with a PPD of $290 and $195 for nirsevimab and RSVpreF vaccine, respectively. This combined strategy would reduce infant mortality by 76%-85%, comparable to a 78% reduction achieved through a nirsevimab-only program of the entire birth cohort. The PPD for cost-effective programs with nirsevimab was sensitive to the target population among infants. Interpretation Passive immunisation of infants under 6 months of age with nirsevimab and vaccination of pregnant women with RSVpreF could be a cost-effective strategy for protecting infants during their first RSV season. Funding This study was supported by the Canadian Immunisation Research Network (CIRN) and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR). Seyed M. Moghadas acknowledges support from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (MfPH and Discovery grants). Alison P. Galvani acknowledges support from the The Notsew Orm Sands Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Affan Shoukat
- Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Elaheh Abdollahi
- Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis (CIDMA), Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Alison P. Galvani
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis (CIDMA), Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Scott A. Halperin
- Canadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, IWK Health and Nova Scotia Health, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Joanne M. Langley
- Canadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, IWK Health and Nova Scotia Health, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Seyed M. Moghadas
- Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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Keary IP, Ravasio R, Fullarton JR, Manzoni P, Lanari M, Paes BA, Carbonell-Estrany X, Baraldi E, Tarride JÉ, Rodgers-Gray B. A new cost-utility analysis assessing risk factor-guided prophylaxis with palivizumab for the prevention of severe respiratory syncytial virus infection in Italian infants born at 29-35 weeks' gestational age. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0289828. [PMID: 37561741 PMCID: PMC10414677 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289828] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 08/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Since the last Italian cost-utility assessment of palivizumab in 2009, new data on the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and an International Risk Scoring Tool (IRST) have become available. The objective of this study was to provide an up-to-date cost-utility assessment of palivizumab versus no prophylaxis for the prevention of severe RSV infection in otherwise healthy Italian infants born at 29-31 weeks' gestational age (wGA) infants and those 32-35wGA infants categorized as either moderate- or high-risk of RSV-hospitalization (RSVH) by the IRST. A decision tree was constructed in which infants received palivizumab or no prophylaxis and then could experience: i) RSVH; ii) emergency room medically-attended RSV-infection (MARI); or, iii) remain uninfected/non-medically attended. RSVH cases that required intensive care unit admission could die (0.43%). Respiratory morbidity was considered in all surviving infants up to 18 years of age. Hospitalization rates were derived from Italian data combined with efficacy from the IMpact-RSV trial. Palivizumab costs were calculated from vial prices (50mg: €490.37 100mg: €814.34) and Italian birth statistics combined with a growth algorithm. A lifetime horizon and healthcare and societal costs were included. The incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was €14814 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained in the whole population (mean: €15430; probability of ICUR being <€40000: 0.90). The equivalent ICURs were €15139 per QALY gained (€15915; 0.89) for 29-31wGA infants and €14719 per QALY gained (€15230; 0.89) for 32-35wGA infants. The model was most sensitive to rates of long-term sequelae, utility scores, palivizumab cost, and palivizumab efficacy. Palivizumab remained cost-effective in all scenario analyses, including a scenario wherein RSVH infants received palivizumab without a reduction in long-term sequelae and experienced a 6-year duration of respiratory morbidity (ICUR: €27948 per QALY gained). In conclusion, palivizumab remains cost-effective versus no prophylaxis in otherwise healthy Italian preterm infants born 29-35wGA. The IRST can help guide cost-effective use of palivizumab in 32-35wGA infants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ian P. Keary
- Violicom Medical Limited, Aldermaston, Berkshire, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Paolo Manzoni
- Department of Public Health and Pediatric Sciences, University of Torino School of Medicine, Turin, Piedmont, Italy
- Division of Paediatrics and Neonatology, Degli Infermi Hospital, Ponderano, Italy
| | - Marcello Lanari
- Paediatric Emergency Unit, IRCCS-Policlinico Ospedaliero-Universitario di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Bosco A. Paes
- Department of Pediatrics (Neonatal Division), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Eugenio Baraldi
- Department of Women’s and Children’s Health, University Hospital of Padova, Veneto, Italy
- Institute of Pediatric Research, "Città della Speranza", Padova, Veneto, Italy
| | - Jean-Éric Tarride
- Department of Pediatrics (Neonatal Division), McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
- Programs for Assessment of Technology in Health (PATH), The Research Institute of St. Joe’s Hamilton, St. Joseph’s Healthcare, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
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Rodgers-Gray BS, Fullarton JR, Carbonell-Estrany X, Keary IP, Tarride JÉ, Paes BA. Impact of using the International Risk Scoring Tool on the cost-utility of palivizumab for preventing severe respiratory syncytial virus infection in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm infants. J Med Econ 2023; 26:630-643. [PMID: 37067826 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2023.2202600] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/18/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE To assess the cost-utility of palivizumab versus no prophylaxis in preventing severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm (32-35 weeks' gestational age) infants using an: i) International Risk Scoring Tool (IRST); ii) Canadian RST (CRST). METHODS A decision tree was developed to assess cost-utility. Infants assessed at moderate- and high-risk of RSV-related hospitalization (RSVH) by the IRST or CRST received palivizumab or no prophylaxis and then progressed to either: i) RSVH; ii) emergency room/outpatient medically attended RSV-infection (MARI); or, iii) were uninfected/non-medically attended. Infants admitted to intensive care could incur mortality (0.43%). Respiratory morbidity was accounted in all uninfected surviving infants for 6 years or 18 years (RSVH/MARI). Palivizumab efficacy (72.2% RSVH reduction) and hospital outcomes were from the Canadian CARESS, PICNIC and RSV-Quebec studies. Palivizumab costs (50mg: CAN$752; 100mg: $1,505) were calculated from Canadian birth statistics combined with a growth algorithm. Healthcare/payer and societal costs (May 2022; 1.5% discounting) were included. RESULTS Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) was $29,789 with the IRST (0.79 probability of being <$50,000) and $15,833 with the CRST (0.96 probability). The model was most sensitive to utility scores, long-term sequelae, and palivizumab cost. Vial sharing improved the incremental cost-utility ratio (IRST: $22,319; CRST: $9,231). CONCLUSIONS Palivizumab was highly cost-effective (vs no prophylaxis) in Canadian moderate-to-late preterm infants using either the IRST or CRST. The IRST has fewer risk factors than the CRST (3 vs 7, respectively), captures more potential RSVHs (85% vs 54%) and provides another option to guide cost-effective RSV prophylaxis in Canada.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Ian P Keary
- Violicom Medical Limited, Aldermaston, United Kingdom
| | - Jean-Éric Tarride
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact (HEI), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
| | - Bosco A Paes
- Department of Pediatrics (Neonatal Division), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
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Baraldi E, Checcucci Lisi G, Costantino C, Heinrichs JH, Manzoni P, Riccò M, Roberts M, Vassilouthis N. RSV disease in infants and young children: Can we see a brighter future? Hum Vaccin Immunother 2022; 18:2079322. [PMID: 35724340 DOI: 10.1080/21645515.2022.2079322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a highly contagious seasonal virus and the leading cause of Lower Respiratory Tract Infections (LRTI), including pneumonia and bronchiolitis in children. RSV-related LRTI cause approximately 3 million hospitalizations and 120,000 deaths annually among children <5 years of age. The majority of the burden of RSV occurs in previously healthy infants. Only a monoclonal antibody (mAb) has been approved against RSV infections in a restricted group, leaving an urgent unmet need for a large number of children potentially benefiting from preventive measures. Approaches under development include maternal vaccines to protect newborns, extended half-life monoclonal antibodies to provide rapid long-lasting protection, and pediatric vaccines. RSV has been identified as a major global priority but a solution to tackle this unmet need for all children has yet to be implemented. New technologies represent the avenue for effectively addressing the leading-cause of hospitalization in children <1 years old.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eugenio Baraldi
- Department of Women's and Children's Health, University Hospital of Padova, Padova, Italy
| | | | - Claudio Costantino
- Department of Health Promotion Sciences, Maternal and Infant Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties (PROMISE) "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | | | - Paolo Manzoni
- Department of Pediatrics and Neonatology, University Hospital Degli Infermi, Biella, Italy
| | - Matteo Riccò
- Dipartimento di Sanità Pubblica, Servizio di Prevenzione e Sicurezza Negli Ambienti di Lavoro (SPSAL), AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
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Paes B, Fullarton JR, Rodgers-Gray BS, Carbonell-Estrany X. Adoption in Canada of an international risk scoring tool to predict respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization in moderate-to-late preterm infants. Curr Med Res Opin 2021; 37:1149-1153. [PMID: 33813989 DOI: 10.1080/03007995.2021.1911974] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The advisory board to the Ontario Ministry of Health considered adopting the new three-variable international risk scoring tool (IRST) to guide prophylaxis against respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization (RSVH) in moderate-to-late preterm infants born 32-35 weeks' gestational age (wGA). Canada currently uses a nationally validated, seven-variable RST, to predict RSVH in 33-35 wGA infants. We explored the potential implications of switching from the Canadian to the IRST. METHODS Predictive accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) of the two RSTs and correlations (Spearman rank) and number needed to treat (NNT) between cut-off scores for low-, moderate- and high-risk subjects were assessed. RESULTS The RSTs contain many of the same risk factors (birth proximity to the RSV season, smoking, siblings, daycare), with the Canadian RST also including sex, small for GA and familial eczema. Predictive accuracy was similar (AUROC, IRST: 0.773 [sensitivity: 68.9%; specificity: 73.0%] vs Canadian: 0.762 [68.2%; 71.9%]). Significant correlations between cut-off scores (p < .001) and risk categories (p < .001) were apparent, although the correlation coefficients were weak for both (scores: 0.217; categories: 0.055). While the proportion of high-risk infants was similar (IRST: 0.7% vs Canadian: 0.6%), the NNT was lower for the Canadian RST (7.5 vs 14.3), and more infants were assigned moderate risk by the IRST (19.9% vs 9.8%). CONCLUSIONS The IRST can be considered simpler (fewer risk factors) than the Canadian RST and its adoption may reduce the number of RSVHs among moderate-to-late preterm infants; however, the cost-effective implications for RSV prophylaxis warrant further investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bosco Paes
- Department of Pediatrics (Neonatal Division), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
| | | | | | - Xavier Carbonell-Estrany
- Neonatology Service, Hospital Clinic, Institut d'Investigacions Biomediques August Pi Suñer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain
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