Predictors of death within six months in patients with advanced AIDS

Soluble biomarkers and morbidity and mortality among people infected with HIV: summary of published reports from 1997 to 2010

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Published articles from 1997 through May 2010 that reported findings on the relationship of soluble biomarkers with clinical outcomes among people infected with HIV were identified, and studies that examined the incremental value (over that of CD4 cell count and HIV RNA level) that biomarkers had for predicting clinical outcomes were summarized.

RECENT FINDINGS

Over 1500 articles were identified on MEDLINE databases that met selected medical subject heading terms. Thirty-eight met criteria for inclusion in the review. Fifteen of the articles were published since 2008. Most evaluated biomarkers reflecting inflammation and immune activation. For 25 studies, the relationship between the biomarker and all-cause mortality was evaluated. Samples stored in specimen repositories were used for many studies, and those that did not usually focused on biomarkers that are measured as part of routine care. Eight of the reports utilized a case-control design and most of these were nested within a cohort study or a clinical trial.

SUMMARY

Establishing the relationship between a biomarker and a clinical outcome is an important step in biomarker evaluation. To advance research on biomarkers relevant to people with HIV, large studies with long follow-up, carefully documented clinical events, and specimen repositories will be needed.

Predictors of mortality among women with AIDS in Illinois, USA

Population-based surveillance data can help guide research priorities and plan programmes to prevent death among women with AIDS. We describe the predictors of mortality among women diagnosed with AIDS in Illinois, USA. Using the HIV/AIDS Reporting System), we identified 1944 adult women who were diagnosed with AIDS during January 1999-December 2004. The proportion of women who died within one year of diagnosis of AIDS declined from 97% in 1999 to 12% in 2005. Multivariate analysis indicated that age >or=45 years, intravenous drug use, diagnosis of clinical AIDS and hospitalization at the time of AIDS diagnosis were significant predictors of death among women with AIDS. The number of women who died soon after diagnosis with AIDS declined substantially. Nevertheless, prevention programmes designed to improve survival among women with AIDS should emphasize early diagnosis and referral for care in an effort to prevent first diagnosis with clinical AIDS during hospitalization.

Evolution and predictors of change in total bone mineral density over time in HIV-infected men and women in the nutrition for healthy living study

BACKGROUND

Osteopenia is common in the era of effective antiretroviral therapy (ART), yet the etiology is unclear. We evaluated the association of host factors, disease severity, and ART to changes in total body bone mineral density (total BMD) over time in HIV-infected men (n = 283) and women (n = 96).

METHODS

Total BMD was measured annually by whole-body dual-energy absorptiometry (DXA), and medical, dietary, and behavioral history was collected. The median time from first to last DXA was 2.5 years (range 0.9-6.8 years). Using a repeated measures regression model, we identified variables independently associated with percent change in total BMD between consecutive DXA exams (n = 799 intervals), adjusted for age, race, sex, menopause, and smoking. We estimated percent change in total BMD over an average interval (1 year) standardized for representative levels of each determinant in males, premenopausal women, and postmenopausal women.

RESULTS

Median baseline age, CD4, and viral load were 42 years, 364 cells per cubic millimeter, and 2.7 log10 copies per milliliter, respectively. The estimated change in total BMD for those not on ART was -0.37% per year [95% confidence interval (CI) -0.76 to -0.02] for men, -0.08% per year (95% CI -0.49 to 0.33) for premenopausal women, and -1.07% per year (95% CI -1.86 to -0.28) for postmenopausal women. Greater loss of total BMD was associated with lower albumin, lower body mass index, prednisone/hydrocortisone use, tenofovir use, and longer duration of didanosine. Strength training and long duration of d4T and saquinavir prevented or mitigated bone loss. For those on ART for 3 years (not including the above agents), the rate of loss was -0.57% per year (95% CI -1.00 to -0.14) for men, -0.28% (95% CI -0.71 to 0.15) for premenopausal women, and -1.27% (95% CI -2.07 to -0.47) for postmenopausal women. Postmenopausal women had greater loss than premenopausal women and men.

CONCLUSIONS

Low body weight, low albumin, catabolic steroid use, and menopause may accelerate bone loss, and strength training may be protective. Tenofovir and didanosine may also have a deleterious effect on BMD.

Mid-career research training for the generalist physician: case study of a balancing act

BACKGROUND

Although generalist physician faculty typically lack the skills needed to conduct research, few medical schools offer on-site faculty development programs that teach research skills.

DESCRIPTION

To address this dilemma, our medical school introduced a part-time Primary Care Research Fellowship offering full-day classes once a week over 10 months.

EVALUATION

We asked the 22 general internists, general pediatricians, and family physicians who participated in the program to rate their experience, and we measured their research productivity during the 3 years before and 3 years after completing the program, using a group of matched controls for comparison. Participants rated the program highly and increased their aggregate research productivity from 1 publication before completing the program to 6 publications afterward, although this increase did not reach statistical significance (p = .09). Controls exhibited substantially higher baseline productivity than fellows (10 publications vs. 1 publication, p = .03), but controls' productivity changed little between the first and second measurement periods (10 and 7 publications, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our mid-career research training program enabled primary care academic faculty to gain confidence in their ability to conduct a scientific study with minimal disruption to their teaching and clinical activities.