Accurate Prediction of Soil Heavy Metal Pollution Using an Improved Machine Learning Method: A Case Study in the Pearl River Delta, China

Utilizing machine learning to evaluate heavy metal pollution in the world's largest mangrove forest

The world's largest mangrove forest (Sundarbans) is facing an imminent threat from heavy metal pollution, posing grave ecological and human health risks. Developing an accurate predictive model for heavy metal content in this area has been challenging. In this study, we used machine learning techniques to model sediment pollution by heavy metals in this vital ecosystem. We collected 199 standardized sediment samples to predict the accumulation of eleven heavy metals using ten different machine learning algorithms. Among them, the extremely randomized tree model exhibited the best performance in predicting Fe (0.87), Cr (0.89), Zn (0.85), Ni (0.83), Cu (0.87), Co (0.62), As (0.68), and V (0.90), achieving notable R2 values. On the other hand, the random forest outperformed for predicting Cd (0.72) and Mn (0.91), whereas the decision tree model showed the best performance for Pb (0.73). The feature attribute analysis identified FeV, CrV, CuZn, CoMn, PbCd, and AsCd relationships resembled with correlation coefficients among them. Based on the established models, the prediction of the contamination factor of metals in sediments showed very high Cd contamination (CF ≥ 6). The Moran's I index for Cd, Cr, Pb, and As were 0.71, 0.81, 0.71, and 0.67, respectively, indicating strong positive spatial autocorrelation and suggesting clustering of similar contamination levels. Conclusively, this research provides a comprehensive framework for predicting heavy metal sediment pollution in the Sundarbans, identifying key areas needing urgent conservation. Our findings support the adoption of integrated management strategies and targeted remedial actions to mitigate the harmful effects of heavy metal contamination in this vital ecosystem.

Prediction of soil heavy metal contents in urban residential areas and the strength of deep learning: A case study of Beijing

Predicting soil heavy metal (SHM) content is crucial for understanding SHM pollution levels in urban residential areas and guide efforts to reduce pollution. However, current research indicates low SHM prediction accuracy in urban areas. Therefore, we employed a deep learning method (fully connected deep neural network) alongside four other methods (muti-layer perceptron, radial basis function neural network, multiple stepwise linear regression, and Kriging interpolation) to predict SHM content in the urban residential areas of Beijing and demonstrated the strength of deep learning in improving prediction accuracy. We found the contents of the evaluated heavy metals (Cd, Cu, Pb, and Zn) exhibited significant correlations with numerous other soil physicochemical properties and environmental factors. The prediction accuracy for Cu, Pb, and Zn contents was relatively high across different methods. Notably, deep learning showed considerable strength in predicting the contents of the four heavy metals, with the R2 for the test set of the model ranging from 0.75 to 0.91. Compared to other methods, deep learning achieved markedly higher prediction accuracy according to different accuracy evaluation indicators (e.g., deep learning showed increases in the cumulative R2 of the four heavy metals ranging from 53.16 % to 187.36 % compared to other methods). Our study indicates that deep learning can significantly improve SHM content prediction accuracy in urban areas and is highly applicable in urban residential areas with complex environmental influences.

Evaluation of fluoride emissions and pollution from an electrolytic aluminum plant located in Yunnan province

The monitoring and evaluation of fluoride pollution are essentially important to make sure that concentrations do not exceed threshold limit, especially for surrounding atmosphere and soil, which are located close to the emission source. This study aimed to describe the atmospheric HF and edaphic fluoride distribution from an electrolytic aluminum plant located in Yunnan province, on which the effects of meteorological conditions, time, and topography were explored. Meanwhile, six types of solid waste genereted from different electrolytic aluminum process nodes were characterized to analyze the fluoride content and formation characteristics. The results showed that fluoride in solid waste mainly existed in the form of Na3AlF6, AlF3, CaF2, and SiF4. Spent electrolytes, carbon residue, and workshop dust are critical contributors to fluoride emissions in the primary aluminum production process, and the fluorine content is 17.14 %, 33.30 %, and 31.34 %, respectively. Unorganized emissions from electrolytic aluminum plants and solid waste generation are the primary sources of fluoride in the environment, among which the edaphic fluoride content increases most at the sampling sites S1 and S7. In addition, the atmospheric HF concentration showed significant correlations with wind speed, varying wildly from March to September, with daily average and hourly maximum HF concentrations of 4.32 μg/m3 and 9.0 μg/m3, respectively. The results of the study are crucial for mitigating fluorine pollution in the electrolytic aluminum industry.

Improved mapping of heavy metals in agricultural soils using machine learning augmented with spatial regionalization indices

The accurate spatial mapping of heavy metal levels in agricultural soils is crucial for environmental management and food security. However, the inherent limitations of traditional interpolation methods and emerging machine-learning techniques restrict their spatial prediction accuracy. This study aimed to refine the spatial prediction of heavy metal distributions in Guangxi, China, by integrating machine learning models and spatial regionalization indices (SRIs). The results demonstrated that random forest (RF) models incorporating SRIs outperformed artificial neural network and support vector regression models, achieving R2 values exceeding 0.96 for eight heavy metals on the test data. Hierarchical clustering for feature selection further improved the model performance. The optimized RF models accurately predicted the heavy metal distributions in agricultural soils across the province, revealing higher levels in the central-western regions and lower levels in the north and south. Notably, the models identified that 25.78 % of agricultural soils constitute hotspots with multiple co-occurring heavy metals, and over 6.41 million people are exposed to excessive soil heavy metal levels. Our findings provide valuable insights for the development of targeted strategies for soil pollution control and agricultural soil management to safeguard food security and public health.

Accurate prediction of spatial distribution of soil potentially toxic elements using machine learning and associated key influencing factors identification: A case study in mining and smelting area in southwestern China

Accurate prediction of spatial distribution of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) is crucial for soil pollution prevention and risk control. Achieving accurate prediction of spatial distribution of soil PTEs at a large scale using conventional methods presents significant challenges. In this study, machine learning (ML) models, specially artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), were used to predict spatial distribution of soil PTEs and identify associated key factors in mining and smelting area located in Yunnan Province, China, under the three scenarios: (1) natural + socioeconomic + spatial datasets (NS), (2) NS + irrigation pollution index (IPI) datasets, (3) NS + IPI + deposition (DEPO) datasets. The results highlighted the combination of NS+IPI+DEPO yielded the highest predictive accuracy across ML models. Particularly, XGB exhibited the highest performance for As (R2 =0.7939), Cd (R2 =0.6679), Cu (R2 =0.8519), Pb (R2 =0.8317), and Zn (R2 =0.7669), whereas RF performed the best for Ni (R2 =0.7146). The feature importance and Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis revealed that DEPO and IPI were the pivotal factors influencing the distribution of soil PTEs. Our findings highlighted the important role of DEPO in spatial distribution prediction of soil PTEs, which has often been ignored in previous studies.

Predictive analysis and risk assessment of potentially toxic elements in Beijing gas station soils using machine learning and two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations

Gas stations not only serve as sites for oil storage and refueling but also as locations where vehicles frequently brake, significantly enriching the surrounding soil with potentially toxic elements (PTEs). Herein, 117 topsoil samples from gas stations were collected in Beijing to explore the impact of gas stations on PTE accumulation. The analysis revealed that the average Pollution Index (PI) values for Cd, Hg, Pb, Cu, and Zn in the soil samples all exceeded 1. The random forest (RF) model, achieving an AUC score of 0.95, was employed to predict PTE pollution at 372 unsampled gas stations. Additionally, a Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model indicated that gas station operations and vehicle emissions were responsible for 70 % of the lead (Pb) enrichment. Probabilistic health risk assessments showed that the carcinogenic risk (CR) and noncarcinogenic risk (NCR) for PTE pollution to adult females were the highest, at 0.451 and 1.61E-05 respectively, but still within acceptable levels. For adult males at contaminated sites, the Pb-associated CR and NCR were approximately twice as high as those at uncontaminated sites, with increases of 107 % and 81 %, respectively. This study provides new insights for managing pollution caused by gas stations.

Perspectives on Advancing Multimodal Learning in Environmental Science and Engineering Studies

The environment faces increasing anthropogenic impacts, resulting in a rapid increase in environmental issues that undermine the natural capital essential for human wellbeing. These issues are complex and often influenced by various factors represented by data with different modalities. While machine learning (ML) provides data-driven tools for addressing the environmental issues, the current ML models in environmental science and engineering (ES&E) often neglect the utilization of multimodal data. With the advancement in deep learning, multimodal learning (MML) holds promise for comprehensive descriptions of the environmental issues by harnessing data from diverse modalities. This advancement has the potential to significantly elevate the accuracy and robustness of prediction models in ES&E studies, providing enhanced solutions for various environmental modeling tasks. This perspective summarizes MML methodologies and proposes potential applications of MML models in ES&E studies, including environmental quality assessment, prediction of chemical hazards, and optimization of pollution control techniques. Additionally, we discuss the challenges associated with implementing MML in ES&E and propose future research directions in this domain.

Spatial heterogeneity: Necessary and feasible for revealing soil trace elements pollution, sources, risks, and their links

The source diversity and health risk of trace elements (TEs) in soil make it necessary to reveal the relationship between pollution, source, and risk. However, neglect of spatial heterogeneity restricts the reliability of existing identification methods. In this study, spatial heterogeneity is proposed as a necessary and feasible factor for accurately dissecting the pollution-source-risk link of soil TEs. A comprehensive framework is developed by integrating positive matrix factorization, Geodetector, and risk evaluation tools, and successfully applied in a mining-intensive city in northern China. Overall, the TEs are derived from natural background (28.5 %), atmospheric deposition (25.6 %), coal mining (21.8 %), and metal industry (24.1 %). The formation mechanism of heterogeneity for high-variance TEs (Se, Hg, Cd) is first systematically deciphered by revealing the heterogeneous source-sink relationship. Specifically, Se is dominated (76.5 %) by heterogeneous coal mining (q=0.187), Hg is determined (92.6 %) by the heterogeneity of metal mining (q=0.183) and smelting (q=0.363), and Cd is caused (50.9 %) by heterogeneous atmospheric deposition (q>0.254) co-influenced by the terrains and soil properties. Highly heterogeneous sources are also noteworthy for their potential to pose extreme risks (THI=1.122) in local areas. This study highlights the necessity of integrating spatial heterogeneity in pollution and risk assessment of soil TEs.

Artificial intelligence in microplastic detection and pollution control

The rising prevalence of microplastics (MPs) in various ecosystems has increased the demand for advanced detection and mitigation strategies. This review examines the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) with environmental science to improve microplastic detection. Focusing on image processing, Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), Raman spectroscopy, and hyperspectral imaging (HSI), the review highlights how AI enhances the efficiency and accuracy of these techniques. AI-driven image processing automates the identification and quantification of MPs, significantly reducing the need for manual analysis. FTIR and Raman spectroscopy accurately distinguish MP types by analyzing their unique spectral features, while HSI captures extensive spatial and spectral data, facilitating detection in complex environmental matrices. Furthermore, AI algorithms integrate data from these methods, enabling real-time monitoring, traceability prediction, and pollution hotspot identification. The synergy between AI and spectral imaging technologies represents a transformative approach to environmental monitoring and emphasizes the need to adopt innovative tools for protecting ecosystem health.

Exploring the environmental risks and seasonal variations of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in fine road dust in resource-based cities based on Monte Carlo simulation, geo-detector and random forest model

The environmental pollution caused by mineral exploitation and energy consumption poses a serious threat to ecological security and human health, particularly in resource-based cities. To address this issue, a comprehensive investigation was conducted on potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in road dust from different seasons to assess the environmental risks and influencing factors faced by Datong City. Multivariate statistical analysis and absolute principal component score were employed for source identification and quantitative allocation. The geo-accumulation index and improved Nemerow index were utilized to evaluate the pollution levels of PTEs. Monte Carlo simulation was employed to assess the ecological-health risks associated with PTEs content and source orientation. Furthermore, geo-detector and random forest analysis were conducted to examine the key environmental variables and driving factors contributing to the spatiotemporal variation in PTEs content. In all PTEs, Cd, Hg, and Zn exhibited higher levels of content, with an average content/background value of 3.65 to 4.91, 2.53 to 3.34, and 2.15 to 2.89 times, respectively. Seasonal disparities were evident in PTEs contents, with average levels generally showing a pattern of spring (winter) > summer (autumn). PTEs in fine road dust (FRD) were primarily influenced by traffic, natural factors, coal-related industrial activities, and metallurgical activities, contributing 14.9-33.9 %, 41.4-47.5 %, 4.4-8.3 %, and 14.2-29.4 % to the total contents, respectively. The overall pollution and ecological risk of PTEs were categorized as moderate and high, respectively, with the winter season exhibiting the most severe conditions, primarily driven by Hg emissions from coal-related industries. Non-carcinogenic risk of PTEs for adults was within the safe limit, yet children still faced a probability of 4.1 %-16.4 % of unacceptable risks, particularly in summer. Carcinogenic risks were evident across all demographics, with children at the highest risk, mainly due to Cr and smelting industrial sources. Geo-detector and random forest model indicated that spatial disparities in prioritized control elements (Cr and Hg) were primarily influenced by particulate matter (PM10) and anthropogenic activities (industrial and socio-economic factors); variations in particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) and meteorological factors (wind speed and precipitation) were the primary controllers of seasonal disparities of Cr and Hg.

Machine learning-based prediction of cadmium pollution in topsoil and identification of critical driving factors in a mining area

Mining activities have resulted in a substantial accumulation of cadmium (Cd) in agricultural soils, particularly in southern China. Long-term Cd exposure can cause plant growth inhibition and various diseases. Rapid identification of the extent of soil Cd pollution and its driving factors are essential for soil management and risk assessment. However, traditional geostatistical methods are difficult to simulate the complex nonlinear relationships between soil Cd and potential features. In this study, sequential extraction and hotspot analyses indicated that Cd accumulation increased significantly near mining sites and exhibited high mobility. The concentration of Cd was estimated using three machine learning models based on 3169 topsoil samples, seven quantitative variables (soil pH, Fe, Ca, Mn, TOC, Al/Si and ba value) and three quantitative variables (soil parent rock, terrain and soil type). The random forest model achieved marginally better performance than the other models, with an R2 of 0.78. Importance analysis revealed that soil pH and Ca and Mn contents were the most significant factors affecting Cd accumulation and migration. Conversely, due to the essence of controlling Cd migration being soil property, soil type, terrain, and soil parent materials had little impact on the spatial distribution of soil Cd under the influence of mining activities. Our results provide a better understanding of the geochemical behavior of soil Cd in mining areas, which could be helpful for environmental management departments in controlling the diffusion of Cd pollution and capturing key targets for soil remediation.

A novel prediction approach driven by graph representation learning for heavy metal concentrations

The potential risk of heavy metals (HMs) to public health is an issue of great concern. Early prediction is an effective means to reduce the accumulation of HMs. The current prediction methods rarely take internal correlations between environmental factors into consideration, which negatively affects the accuracy of the prediction model and the interpretability of intrinsic mechanisms. Graph representation learning (GraRL) can simultaneously learn the attribute relationships between environmental factors and graph structural information. Herein, we developed the GraRL-HM method to predict the HM concentrations in soil-rice systems. The method consists of two modules, which are PeTPG and GCN-HM. In PeTPG, a graphic structure was generated using graph representation and communitization technology to explore the correlations and transmission paths of different environmental factors. Subsequently, the GCN-HM model based on the graph convolutional neural network (GCN) was used to predict the HM concentrations. The GraRL-HM method was validated by 2295 sets of data covering 21 environmental factors. The results indicated that the PeTPG model simplified correlation paths between factor nodes from 396 to 184, reducing by 53.5 % graph scale by eliminating the invalid paths. The concise and efficient graph structure enhanced the learning efficiency and representation accuracy of downstream prediction models. The GCN-HM model was superior to the four benchmark models in predicting the HM concentration in the crop, improving R2 by 36.1 %. This study develops a novel approach to improve the prediction accuracy of pollutant accumulation and provides valuable insights into intelligent regulation and planting guidance for heavy metal pollution control.

Improving prediction of soil heavy metal(loid) concentration by developing a combined Co-kriging and geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model

The study of heavy metal(loid) (HM) contamination in soil using extensive data obtained from published literature is an economical and convenient method. However, the uneven distribution of these data in time and space limits their direct applicability. Therefore, based on the concentration data obtained from the published literature (2000-2020), we investigated the relationship between soil HM accumulation and various anthropogenic activities, developed a hybrid model to predict soil HM concentrations, and then evaluated their ecological risks. The results demonstrated that various anthropogenic activities were the main cause of soil HM accumulation using Geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model. The hybrid Co-kriging + GTWR model, which incorporates two of the most influential auxiliary variables, can improve the accuracy and reliability of predicting HM concentrations. The predicted concentrations of eight HMs all exceeded the background values for soil environment in China. The results of the ecological risk assessment revealed that five HMs accounted for more than 90% of the area at the "High risk" level (RQ ≥ 1), with the descending order of Ni (100%) = Cu (100%) > As (98.73%) > Zn (95.50%) > Pb (94.90%). This study provides a novel approach to environmental pollution research using the published data.

Major influencing factors identification and probabilistic health risk assessment of soil potentially toxic elements pollution in coal and metal mines across China: A systematic review

Deposition of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in soils due to different types of mining activities has been an increasingly important concern worldwide. Quantitative differences of soil PTEs contamination and related health risk among typical mines remain unclear. Herein, data from 110 coal mines and 168 metal mines across China were analyzed based on 265 published literatures to evaluate pollution characteristics, spatial distribution, and probabilistic health risks of soil PTEs. The results showed that PTE levels in soil from both mine types significantly exceeded background values. The geoaccumulation index (Igeo) revealed metal-mine soil pollution levels exceeded those of coal mines, with average Igeo values for Cd, Hg, As, Pb, Cu, and Zn being 3.02-15.60 times higher. Spearman correlation and redundancy analysis identified natural and anthropogenic factors affecting soil PTE contamination in both mine types. Mining activities posed a significant carcinogenic risk, with metal-mine soils showing a total carcinogenic risk an order of magnitude higher than in coal-mine soils. This study provides policymakers a quantitative foundation for developing differentiated strategies for sustainable remediation and risk-based management of PTEs in typical mining soils.

Boosted simultaneous removal of chlortetracycline and Cu (II) by Litchi Leaves Biochar: Influence of pH, ionic strength, and background electrolyte ions

The coexistence of heavy metals and antibiotics in the environment always results in greater toxicity compared to the individual precursors. Therefore, efficient and economic technology for the simultaneous removal of antibiotics and heavy metals is essential. Herein, litchi leaves biochar carbonized at 550 °C (L550) demonstrated high efficiency in co-removal of CTC (1838.1 mmol/kg) and Cu (II) (1212.9 mmol/kg) within wide range of pH (pH 4-7). Ionic strength obviously enhanced the Cu (II) removal but showed no significant effect on CTC removal. Although Al3+ and HPO42- decreased the adsorption capacities of CTC and Cu (II) on L550, the coexistence of Na+, K+, Mg2+, Cl-, NO3-, CO32- and SO42- showed a negligible effect on the simultaneous removal of CTC and Cu (II). Moreover, the adsorption capacities of CTC and Cu (II) on L550 were excellent in the river water, tap water, and lake water. In addition to electrostatic interactions, ion exchange governed Cu (II) adsorption, while surface complexation played a key role in CTC adsorption on L550. Our results demonstrated that litchi leaves biochar could be a promising adsorbent for remediating multi-contaminated environments.