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Keefer CE, Chang G, Di L, Woody NA, Tess DA, Osgood SM, Kapinos B, Racich J, Carlo AA, Balesano A, Ferguson N, Orozco C, Zueva L, Luo L. The Comparison of Machine Learning and Mechanistic In Vitro-In Vivo Extrapolation Models for the Prediction of Human Intrinsic Clearance. Mol Pharm 2023; 20:5616-5630. [PMID: 37812508 DOI: 10.1021/acs.molpharmaceut.3c00502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/11/2023]
Abstract
Accurate prediction of human pharmacokinetics (PK) remains one of the key objectives of drug metabolism and PK (DMPK) scientists in drug discovery projects. This is typically performed by using in vitro-in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) based on mechanistic PK models. In recent years, machine learning (ML), with its ability to harness patterns from previous outcomes to predict future events, has gained increased popularity in application to absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) sciences. This study compares the performance of various ML and mechanistic models for the prediction of human IV clearance for a large (645) set of diverse compounds with literature human IV PK data, as well as measured relevant in vitro end points. ML models were built using multiple approaches for the descriptors: (1) calculated physical properties and structural descriptors based on chemical structure alone (classical QSAR/QSPR); (2) in vitro measured inputs only with no structure-based descriptors (ML IVIVE); and (3) in silico ML IVIVE using in silico model predictions for the in vitro inputs. For the mechanistic models, well-stirred and parallel-tube liver models were considered with and without the use of empirical scaling factors and with and without renal clearance. The best ML model for the prediction of in vivo human intrinsic clearance (CLint) was an in vitro ML IVIVE model using only six in vitro inputs with an average absolute fold error (AAFE) of 2.5. The best mechanistic model used the parallel-tube liver model, with empirical scaling factors resulting in an AAFE of 2.8. The corresponding mechanistic model with full in silico inputs achieved an AAFE of 3.3. These relative performances of the models were confirmed with the prediction of 16 Pfizer drug candidates that were not part of the original data set. Results show that ML IVIVE models are comparable to or superior to their best mechanistic counterparts. We also show that ML IVIVE models can be used to derive insights into factors for the improvement of mechanistic PK prediction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christopher E Keefer
- Translational Modeling and Simulation, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - George Chang
- Translational Modeling and Simulation, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Li Di
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Nathaniel A Woody
- Translational Modeling and Simulation, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - David A Tess
- Translational Modeling and Simulation, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139, United States
| | - Sarah M Osgood
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Brendon Kapinos
- Discovery Sciences, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Jill Racich
- Discovery Sciences, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Anthony A Carlo
- Discovery Sciences, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Amanda Balesano
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Nicholas Ferguson
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Christine Orozco
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Larisa Zueva
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
| | - Lina Luo
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, Connecticut 06340, United States
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Petersson C, Zhou X, Berghausen J, Cebrian D, Davies M, DeMent K, Eddershaw P, Riedmaier AE, Leblanc AF, Manveski N, Marathe P, Mavroudis PD, McDougall R, Parrott N, Reichel A, Rotter C, Tess D, Volak LP, Xiao G, Yang Z, Baker J. Current Approaches for Predicting Human PK for Small Molecule Development Candidates: Findings from the IQ Human PK Prediction Working Group Survey. AAPS J 2022; 24:85. [DOI: 10.1208/s12248-022-00735-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/24/2022] [Accepted: 07/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
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Lai Y, Chu X, Di L, Gao W, Guo Y, Liu X, Lu C, Mao J, Shen H, Tang H, Xia CQ, Zhang L, Ding X. Recent advances in the translation of drug metabolism and pharmacokinetics science for drug discovery and development. Acta Pharm Sin B 2022; 12:2751-2777. [PMID: 35755285 PMCID: PMC9214059 DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2022.03.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2021] [Revised: 11/07/2021] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Drug metabolism and pharmacokinetics (DMPK) is an important branch of pharmaceutical sciences. The nature of ADME (absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion) and PK (pharmacokinetics) inquiries during drug discovery and development has evolved in recent years from being largely descriptive to seeking a more quantitative and mechanistic understanding of the fate of drug candidates in biological systems. Tremendous progress has been made in the past decade, not only in the characterization of physiochemical properties of drugs that influence their ADME, target organ exposure, and toxicity, but also in the identification of design principles that can minimize drug-drug interaction (DDI) potentials and reduce the attritions. The importance of membrane transporters in drug disposition, efficacy, and safety, as well as the interplay with metabolic processes, has been increasingly recognized. Dramatic increases in investments on new modalities beyond traditional small and large molecule drugs, such as peptides, oligonucleotides, and antibody-drug conjugates, necessitated further innovations in bioanalytical and experimental tools for the characterization of their ADME properties. In this review, we highlight some of the most notable advances in the last decade, and provide future perspectives on potential major breakthroughs and innovations in the translation of DMPK science in various stages of drug discovery and development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yurong Lai
- Drug Metabolism, Gilead Sciences Inc., Foster City, CA 94404, USA
| | - Xiaoyan Chu
- Department of Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Drug Metabolism, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07033, USA
| | - Li Di
- Pharmacokinetics, Dynamics and Metabolism, Pfizer Worldwide Research and Development, Groton, CT 06340, USA
| | - Wei Gao
- Department of Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Drug Metabolism, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07033, USA
| | - Yingying Guo
- Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN 46221, USA
| | - Xingrong Liu
- Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, Biogen, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA
| | - Chuang Lu
- Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, Accent Therapeutics, Inc. Lexington, MA 02421, USA
| | - Jialin Mao
- Department of Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, Genentech, A Member of the Roche Group, South San Francisco, CA 94080, USA
| | - Hong Shen
- Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics Department, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA
| | - Huaping Tang
- Bioanalysis and Biomarkers, Glaxo Smith Kline, King of the Prussia, PA 19406, USA
| | - Cindy Q. Xia
- Department of Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, Takeda Pharmaceuticals International Co., Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
| | - Lei Zhang
- Office of Research and Standards, Office of Generic Drugs, CDER, FDA, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA
| | - Xinxin Ding
- Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, College of Pharmacy, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
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In Vitro - in Vivo Extrapolation of Hepatic Clearance in Preclinical Species. Pharm Res 2022; 39:1615-1632. [PMID: 35257289 DOI: 10.1007/s11095-022-03205-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2021] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
Accurate prediction of human clearance is of critical importance in drug discovery. In this study, in vitro - in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) of hepatic clearance was established using large sets of compounds for four preclinical species (mouse, rat, dog, and non-human primate) to enable better understanding of clearance mechanisms and human translation. In vitro intrinsic clearances were obtained using pooled liver microsomes (LMs) or hepatocytes (HEPs) and scaled to hepatic clearance using the parallel-tube and well-stirred models. Subsequently, IVIVE scaling factors (SFs) were derived to best predict in vivo clearance. The SFs for extended clearance classification system (ECCS) class 2/4 compounds, involving metabolic clearance, were generally small (≤ 2.6) using both LMs and HEPs with parallel-tube model, with the exception of the rodents (~ 2.4-4.6), suggesting in vitro reagents represent in vivo reasonably well. SFs for ECCS class 1A and 1B are generally higher than class 2/4 across the species, likely due to the contribution of transporter-mediated clearance that is under-represented with in vitro reagents. The parallel-tube model offered lower variability in clearance predictions over the well-stirred model. For compounds that likely demonstrate passive permeability-limited clearance in vitro, rat LM predicted in vivo clearance more accurately than HEP. This comprehensive analysis demonstrated reliable IVIVE can be achieved using LMs and HEPs. Evaluation of clearance IVIVE in preclinical species helps to better understand clearance mechanisms, establish more reliable IVIVE in human, and enhance our confidence in human clearance and PK prediction, while considering species differences in drug metabolizing enzymes and transporters.
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Scotcher D, Galetin A. PBPK Simulation-Based Evaluation of Ganciclovir Crystalluria Risk Factors: Effect of Renal Impairment, Old Age, and Low Fluid Intake. AAPS J 2021; 24:13. [PMID: 34907479 PMCID: PMC8816528 DOI: 10.1208/s12248-021-00654-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2021] [Accepted: 10/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Dosing guidance is often lacking for chronic kidney disease (CKD) due to exclusion of such patients from pivotal clinical trials. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling supports model-informed dosing when clinical data are lacking, but application of these approaches to patients with impaired renal function is not yet at full maturity. In the current study, a ganciclovir PBPK model was developed for patients with normal renal function and extended to CKD population. CKD-related changes in tubular secretion were explored in the mechanistic kidney model and implemented either as proportional or non-proportional decline relative to GFR. Crystalluria risk was evaluated in different clinical settings (old age, severe CKD and low fluid intake) by simulating ganciclovir medullary collecting duct (MCD) concentrations. The ganciclovir PBPK model captured observed changes in systemic pharmacokinetic endpoints in mild-to-severe CKD; these trends were evident irrespective of assumed pathophysiological mechanism of altered active tubular secretion in the model. Minimal difference in simulated ganciclovir MCD concentrations was noted between young adult and geriatric populations with normal renal function and urine flow (1 mL/min), with lower concentrations predicted for severe CKD patients. High crystalluria risk was identified at reduced urine flow (0.1 mL/min) as simulated ganciclovir MCD concentrations exceeded its solubility (2.6–6 mg/mL), irrespective of underlying renal function. The analysis highlighted the importance of appropriate distribution of virtual subjects’ systems data in CKD populations. The ganciclovir PBPK model illustrates the ability of this translational tool to explore individual and combined effects of age, urine flow, and renal impairment on local drug renal exposure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Scotcher
- Centre for Applied Pharmacokinetic Research, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Stopford Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK
| | - Aleksandra Galetin
- Centre for Applied Pharmacokinetic Research, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Stopford Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK.
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Designing small molecules for therapeutic success: A contemporary perspective. Drug Discov Today 2021; 27:538-546. [PMID: 34601124 DOI: 10.1016/j.drudis.2021.09.017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2021] [Revised: 08/31/2021] [Accepted: 09/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Successful small-molecule drug design requires a molecular target with inherent therapeutic potential and a molecule with the right properties to unlock its potential. Present-day drug design strategies have evolved to leave little room for improvement in drug-like properties. As a result, inadequate safety or efficacy associated with molecular targets now constitutes the primary cause of attrition in preclinical development through Phase II. This finding has led to a deeper focus on target selection. In this current reality, design tactics that enable rapid identification of risk-balanced clinical candidates, translation of clinical experience into meaningful differentiation strategies, and expansion of the druggable proteome represent significant levers by which drug designers can accelerate the discovery of the next generation of medicines.
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Abstract
Drug induced kidney injury is one of the leading causes of failure of drug development programs in the clinic. Early prediction of renal toxicity potential of drugs is crucial to the success of drug candidates in the clinic. The dynamic nature of the functioning of the kidney and the presence of drug uptake proteins introduce additional challenges in the prediction of renal injury caused by drugs. Renal injury due to drugs can be caused by a wide variety of mechanisms and can be broadly classified as toxic or obstructive. Several biomarkers are available for in vitro and in vivo detection of renal injury. In vitro static and dynamic (microfluidic) cellular models and preclinical models can provide valuable information regarding the toxicity potential of drugs. Differences in pharmacology and subsequent disconnect in biomarker response, differences in the expression of transporter and enzyme proteins between in vitro to in vivo systems and between preclinical species and humans are some of the limitations of current experimental models. The progress in microfluidic (kidney-on-chip) platforms in combination with the ability of 3-dimensional cell culture can help in addressing some of these issues in the future. Finally, newer in silico and computational techniques like physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling and machine learning have demonstrated potential in assisting prediction of drug induced kidney injury.
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Affiliation(s)
- Priyanka Kulkarni
- Department of Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, Millennium Pharmaceuticals, a fully owned subsidiary of Takeda Pharmaceuticals, Cambridge, MA, USA
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Assessing the translational value of pre-clinical studies for clinical response rate in oncology: an exploratory investigation of 42 FDA-approved small-molecule targeted anticancer drugs. Cancer Chemother Pharmacol 2020; 85:1015-1027. [PMID: 32424570 DOI: 10.1007/s00280-020-04076-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2020] [Accepted: 04/24/2020] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To assess the translational value of anticancer preclinical models, we retrospectively investigated the relationships between preclinical data and clinical response rate for 42 small-molecule targeted anticancer drugs approved by the US FDA from 2001 to 2018. METHODS For 42 FDA-approved drugs, relevant pre-clinical (IC50, mouse PK/efficacy) and clinical (overall response rates [ORR], PK) data were extracted from the public domain. Relationships were investigated overall and separately by mechanism of action and solid vs liquid tumors. Binomial-normal regression analysis was performed using R. RESULTS A significant correlation was found between the ratio of free human average plasma concentration (hCave) at the approved clinical dose to biochemical IC50 and ORR for kinase inhibitors with solid tumor indications (KIST). We also identified that, for KIST, the ratios of (i) total and (ii) free human-to-mouse average plasma concentration at efficacious doses were correlated to ORR ((i) R2 = 0.72, n = 10; (ii) R2 = 0.78, n = 10)). CONCLUSION Relationships were identified for ratios of efficacious clinical exposures to typical preclinical pharmacology data and ORR for KIST in this retrospective analysis. Although the obtained datasets are limited, the relationships demonstrate that a systemic exposure relative to established pre-clinical pharmacology experiments for an investigational KIST could be used as a reference to assess if desired efficacy could be achieved. This approach may assist selection of the recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D) of an investigational drug.
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