The Autocovariance Least-Squares Method for Batch Processes: Application to Experimental Chemical Systems

Challenges and Opportunities on Nonlinear State Estimation of Chemical and Biochemical Processes

This paper provides an overview of nonlinear state estimation techniques along with a discussion on the challenges and opportunities for future work in the field. Emphasis is given on Bayesian methods such as moving horizon estimation (MHE) and extended Kalman filter (EKF). A discussion on Bayesian, deterministic, and hybrid methods is provided and examples of each of these methods are listed. An approach for nonlinear state estimation design is included to guide the selection of the nonlinear estimator by the user/practitioner. Some of the current challenges in the field are discussed involving covariance estimation, uncertainty quantification, time-scale multiplicity, bioprocess monitoring, and online implementation. A case study in which MHE and EKF are applied to a batch reactor system is addressed to highlight the challenges of these technologies in terms of performance and computational time. This case study is followed by some possible opportunities for state estimation in the future including the incorporation of more efficient optimization techniques and development of heuristics to streamline the further adoption of MHE.

Estimation of Biomass Enzymatic Hydrolysis State in Stirred Tank Reactor through Moving Horizon Algorithms with Fixed and Dynamic Fuzzy Weights

Second generation ethanol faces challenges before profitable implementation. Biomass hydrolysis is one of the bottlenecks, especially when this process occurs at high solids loading and with enzymatic catalysts. Under this setting, kinetic modeling and reaction monitoring are hindered due to the conditions of the medium, while increasing the mixing power. An algorithm that addresses these challenges might improve the reactor performance. In this work, a soft sensor that is based on agitation power measurements that uses an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as an internal model is proposed in order to predict free carbohydrates concentrations. The developed soft sensor is used in a Moving Horizon Estimator (MHE) algorithm to improve the prediction of state variables during biomass hydrolysis. The algorithm is developed and used for batch and fed-batch hydrolysis experimental runs. An alteration of the classical MHE is proposed for improving prediction, using a novel fuzzy rule to alter the filter weights online. This alteration improved the prediction when compared to the original MHE in both training data sets (tracking error decreased 13%) and in test data sets, where the error reduction obtained is 44%.