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Dessler AE, Schoeberl MR, Wang T, Davis SM, Rosenlof KH. Stratospheric water vapor feedback. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2013; 110:18087-91. [PMID: 24082126 PMCID: PMC3831493 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1310344110] [Citation(s) in RCA: 179] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
We show here that stratospheric water vapor variations play an important role in the evolution of our climate. This comes from analysis of observations showing that stratospheric water vapor increases with tropospheric temperature, implying the existence of a stratospheric water vapor feedback. We estimate the strength of this feedback in a chemistry-climate model to be +0.3 W/(m(2)⋅K), which would be a significant contributor to the overall climate sensitivity. One-third of this feedback comes from increases in water vapor entering the stratosphere through the tropical tropopause layer, with the rest coming from increases in water vapor entering through the extratropical tropopause.
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Affiliation(s)
- A. E. Dessler
- Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843
| | | | - T. Wang
- Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843
| | - S. M. Davis
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80305; and
- Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309
| | - K. H. Rosenlof
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80305; and
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Morgenstern O, Giorgetta MA, Shibata K, Eyring V, Waugh DW, Shepherd TG, Akiyoshi H, Austin J, Baumgaertner AJG, Bekki S, Braesicke P, Brühl C, Chipperfield MP, Cugnet D, Dameris M, Dhomse S, Frith SM, Garny H, Gettelman A, Hardiman SC, Hegglin MI, Jöckel P, Kinnison DE, Lamarque JF, Mancini E, Manzini E, Marchand M, Michou M, Nakamura T, Nielsen JE, Olivié D, Pitari G, Plummer DA, Rozanov E, Scinocca JF, Smale D, Teyssèdre H, Toohey M, Tian W, Yamashita Y. Review of the formulation of present-generation stratospheric chemistry-climate models and associated external forcings. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2010. [DOI: 10.1029/2009jd013728] [Citation(s) in RCA: 138] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Akiyoshi H, Zhou LB, Yamashita Y, Sakamoto K, Yoshiki M, Nagashima T, Takahashi M, Kurokawa J, Takigawa M, Imamura T. A CCM simulation of the breakup of the Antarctic polar vortex in the years 1980–2004 under the CCMVal scenarios. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2009. [DOI: 10.1029/2007jd009261] [Citation(s) in RCA: 65] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
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Punge HJ, Konopka P, Giorgetta MA, Müller R. Effects of the quasi-biennial oscillation on low-latitude transport in the stratosphere derived from trajectory calculations. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2009. [DOI: 10.1029/2008jd010518] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Eyring V, Waugh DW, Bodeker GE, Cordero E, Akiyoshi H, Austin J, Beagley SR, Boville BA, Braesicke P, Brühl C, Butchart N, Chipperfield MP, Dameris M, Deckert R, Deushi M, Frith SM, Garcia RR, Gettelman A, Giorgetta MA, Kinnison DE, Mancini E, Manzini E, Marsh DR, Matthes S, Nagashima T, Newman PA, Nielsen JE, Pawson S, Pitari G, Plummer DA, Rozanov E, Schraner M, Scinocca JF, Semeniuk K, Shepherd TG, Shibata K, Steil B, Stolarski RS, Tian W, Yoshiki M. Multimodel projections of stratospheric ozone in the 21st century. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2007. [DOI: 10.1029/2006jd008332] [Citation(s) in RCA: 283] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Garcia RR, Marsh DR, Kinnison DE, Boville BA, Sassi F. Simulation of secular trends in the middle atmosphere, 1950–2003. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2007. [DOI: 10.1029/2006jd007485] [Citation(s) in RCA: 565] [Impact Index Per Article: 33.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Eyring V, Butchart N, Waugh DW, Akiyoshi H, Austin J, Bekki S, Bodeker GE, Boville BA, Brühl C, Chipperfield MP, Cordero E, Dameris M, Deushi M, Fioletov VE, Frith SM, Garcia RR, Gettelman A, Giorgetta MA, Grewe V, Jourdain L, Kinnison DE, Mancini E, Manzini E, Marchand M, Marsh DR, Nagashima T, Newman PA, Nielsen JE, Pawson S, Pitari G, Plummer DA, Rozanov E, Schraner M, Shepherd TG, Shibata K, Stolarski RS, Struthers H, Tian W, Yoshiki M. Assessment of temperature, trace species, and ozone in chemistry-climate model simulations of the recent past. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2006. [DOI: 10.1029/2006jd007327] [Citation(s) in RCA: 385] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Steinbrecht W, Claude H, Schönenborn F, McDermid IS, Leblanc T, Godin S, Song T, Swart DPJ, Meijer YJ, Bodeker GE, Connor BJ, Kämpfer N, Hocke K, Calisesi Y, Schneider N, de la Noë J, Parrish AD, Boyd IS, Brühl C, Steil B, Giorgetta MA, Manzini E, Thomason LW, Zawodny JM, McCormick MP, Russell JM, Bhartia PK, Stolarski RS, Hollandsworth-Frith SM. Long-term evolution of upper stratospheric ozone at selected stations of the Network for the Detection of Stratospheric Change (NDSC). ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2006. [DOI: 10.1029/2005jd006454] [Citation(s) in RCA: 76] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
| | - H. Claude
- German Weather Service; Hohenpeissenberg Germany
| | | | - I. S. McDermid
- Table Mountain Facility; NASA-JPL; Wrightwood California USA
| | - T. Leblanc
- Table Mountain Facility; NASA-JPL; Wrightwood California USA
| | - S. Godin
- CNRS Service d'Aeronomie; Paris France
| | - T. Song
- CNRS Service d'Aeronomie; Paris France
| | | | | | | | | | - N. Kämpfer
- Institute of Applied Physics; University of Bern; Bern Switzerland
| | - K. Hocke
- Institute of Applied Physics; University of Bern; Bern Switzerland
| | - Y. Calisesi
- Institute of Applied Physics; University of Bern; Bern Switzerland
| | - N. Schneider
- OASU/L3AB; Université Bordeaux 1, CNRS-INSU; Floirac France
| | - J. de la Noë
- OASU/L3AB; Université Bordeaux 1, CNRS-INSU; Floirac France
| | - A. D. Parrish
- Astronomy Department; University of Massachusetts; Amherst Massachusetts USA
| | | | - C. Brühl
- Max-Planck-Institute for Chemistry; Mainz Germany
| | - B. Steil
- Max-Planck-Institute for Chemistry; Mainz Germany
| | | | - E. Manzini
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia; Bologna Italy
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Randel WJ, Wu F, Vömel H, Nedoluha GE, Forster P. Decreases in stratospheric water vapor after 2001: Links to changes in the tropical tropopause and the Brewer-Dobson circulation. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2006. [DOI: 10.1029/2005jd006744] [Citation(s) in RCA: 248] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Fueglistaler S, Haynes PH. Control of interannual and longer-term variability of stratospheric water vapor. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2005. [DOI: 10.1029/2005jd006019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 154] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Steil B, Brühl C, Manzini E, Crutzen PJ, Lelieveld J, Rasch PJ, Roeckner E, Krüger K. A new interactive chemistry-climate model: 1. Present-day climatology and interannual variability of the middle atmosphere using the model and 9 years of HALOE/UARS data. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2003. [DOI: 10.1029/2002jd002971] [Citation(s) in RCA: 61] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- B. Steil
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry; Mainz Germany
| | - C. Brühl
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry; Mainz Germany
| | - E. Manzini
- Max Planck Institute for Meteorology; Hamburg Germany
| | | | - J. Lelieveld
- Max Planck Institute for Chemistry; Mainz Germany
| | - P. J. Rasch
- National Center for Atmospheric Research; Boulder Colorado USA
| | - E. Roeckner
- Max Planck Institute for Meteorology; Hamburg Germany
| | - K. Krüger
- Free University of Berlin; Berlin Germany
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Hamilton K, Fan SM. Effects of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation on long-lived greenhouse gases in the troposphere. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2000. [DOI: 10.1029/2000jd900331] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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