Late Holocene methane rise caused by orbitally controlled increase in tropical sources

Considerable debate surrounds the source of the apparently 'anomalous' increase of atmospheric methane concentrations since the mid-Holocene (5,000 years ago) compared to previous interglacial periods as recorded in polar ice core records. Proposed mechanisms for the rise in methane concentrations relate either to methane emissions from anthropogenic early rice cultivation or an increase in natural wetland emissions from tropical or boreal sources. Here we show that our climate and wetland simulations of the global methane cycle over the last glacial cycle (the past 130,000 years) recreate the ice core record and capture the late Holocene increase in methane concentrations. Our analyses indicate that the late Holocene increase results from natural changes in the Earth's orbital configuration, with enhanced emissions in the Southern Hemisphere tropics linked to precession-induced modification of seasonal precipitation. Critically, our simulations capture the declining trend in methane concentrations at the end of the last interglacial period (115,000-130,000 years ago) that was used to diagnose the Holocene methane rise as unique. The difference between the two time periods results from differences in the size and rate of regional insolation changes and the lack of glacial inception in the Holocene. Our findings also suggest that no early agricultural sources are required to account for the increase in methane concentrations in the 5,000 years before the industrial era.

Improvement of 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine derivatization method for carbon isotope analysis of atmospheric acetone

Through simulation experiments of atmospheric sampling, a method via 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine (DNPH) derivatization was developed to measure the carbon isotopic composition of atmospheric acetone. Using acetone and a DNPH reagent of known carbon isotopic compositions, the simulation experiments were performed to show that no carbon isotope fractionation occurred during the processes: the differences between the predicted and measured data of acetone-DNPH derivatives were all less than 0.5 per thousand. The results permitted the calculation of the carbon isotopic compositions of atmospheric acetone using a mass balance equation. In this method, the atmospheric acetone was collected by a DNPH-coated silica cartridge, washed out as acetone-DNPH derivatives, and then analyzed by gas chromatography/combustion/isotope ratio mass spectrometry (GC/C/IRMS). Using this method, the first available delta13C data of atmospheric acetone are presented.

Impacts of climate change and variability on tropospheric ozone and its precursors

Two coupled climate-chemistry model experiments for the period 1990-2030 were conducted: one with a fixed climate and the other with a varying climate forced by the is92a scenario. By comparing results from these experiments we have attempted to identify changes and variations in physical climate that may have important influences upon tropospheric chemical composition. Climate variables considered include: temperature, humidity, convective mass fluxes, precipitation, and the large-scale circulation. Increases in humidity, directly related to increases in temperature, exert a major influence on the budgets of ozone and the hydroxyl radical: decreasing 03 and increasing OH. Warming enhances decomposition of PAN, releasing NOx, and increases the rate of methane oxidation. Surface warming enhances vegetation emissions of isoprene, an important ozone precursor. In the changed climate, tropical convection generally reduces, but penetrates to higher levels. Over northern continents, convection tends to increase. These changes in convection affect both vertical mixing and lightning NOx emissions. We find no global trend in lightning emissions, but significant changes in its distribution. Changes in precipitation and the large-scale circulation are less important for composition, at least in these experiments. Higher levels of the oxidants OH and H202 lead to increases in aerosol formation and concentrations. These results indicate that climate-chemistry feedbacks are dominantly negative (less 03, a shorter CH4 lifetime, and more aerosol). The major mode of inter-annual variability in the is92a climate experiment is ENSO. This strongly modulates isoprene emissions from vegetation via tropical land surface temperatures. ENSO is also clearly the dominant source of variability in tropical column ozone, mainly through changes in the distribution of convection. The magnitude of inter-annual variability in ozone is comparable to the changes brought about by emissions and climate changes between the 1990s and 2020s, suggesting that it will be difficult to disentangle the different components of near-future changes.

Development of a compound-specific isotope analysis method for acetone via 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine derivatization

A novel method has been developed for compound-specific isotope analysis for acetone via DNPH (2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine) derivatization together with combined gas chromatography/combustion/isotope ratio mass spectrometry (GC/C/IRMS). Acetone reagents were used to assess delta13C fractionation during the DNPH derivatization process. Reduplicate delta13C analyses were designed to evaluate the reproducibility of the derivatization, with an average error (1 standard deviation) of 0.17 +/- 0.05 per thousand, and average analytical error of 0.28 +/- 0.09 per thousand. The derivatization process introduces no isotopic fractionation for acetone (the average difference between the predicted and analytical delta13C values was 0.09 +/- 0.20 per thousand, within the precision limits of the GC/C/IRMS measurements), which permits computation of the delta13C values for the original underivatized acetone through a mass balance equation. Together with further studies of the carbon isotopic effect during the atmospheric acetone-sampling procedure, it will be possible to use DNPH derivatization for carbon isotope analysis of atmospheric acetone.

The tropospheric sulphur cycle and the role of volcanic SO2

A global three-dimensional chemistry-transport model has been applied to study the tropospheric sulphur cycle, and in particular the volcanic component. The model is in general agreement with previous studies of the global S budget. We find that volcanic emissions constitute 10% of the present-day global SO2 source to the atmosphere, but form 26% of the SO2 burden, and 14% of the sulphate aerosol burden. Two previous modelling studies suggested that the volcanic fraction of sulphate was 18% and 35%, from sources representing 7% and 14%, respectively, of the global total SO2 emission. The results are dependent upon various assumptions about volcanic emissions (magnitude, geographical location, altitude), the global distribution of oxidants, and the physical processes of dry and wet deposition. Because of this dependence upon poorly constrained parameters, it is unclear which modelling study is closest to the truth.