Ozone pollution in Chinese cities: Assessment of seasonal variation, health effects and economic burden

The ground-level ozone (O₃) concentration in the urban regions of China has become an increasingly noticeable environmental problem in recent years. Many epidemiological studies have reported the association between O₃ pollution and mortality, only a few studies have focused on the O₃-related mortality and corresponding economic effects at the Chinese city and province level. This study reports the seasonal variation of ground-level O₃ in 338 cities of China during the year 2016 and evaluates its effect on premature mortality and economic loss. It further illustrates the differences in cause-specific mortality outcomes of the log-linear and linear model, two of the prominently used methods for estimating health effects. In 2016, the annual average daily maximum 8-h O₃ concentration in China ranged between 74 and 201 μg/m³ (138 ± 24.7 μg/m³). 30% of the total population was exposed to >160 μg/m³ O₃ concentration (Chinese national ambient air quality standard) and about 67.2% urban population lived in exposure above the WHO recommended O₃ concentrations (100 μg/m³). The estimated national O₃-attributable mortality was 74.2 × 10³ (95% CI: 16.7×10³-127×10³) in the log-linear model, whereas, the total O₃-related mortality using the linear model was 69.6 × 10³ (95% CI: 16.2 × 10³-115 × 10³). The exposure to O₃ caused a nationwide economic loss of about 7.6 billion US$ (range: 1.7-12.9) in 2016. This study uniquely provides most comprehensive coverage of the Chinese cities for O₃ associated mortality utilizing ground level measurement data for 2016 and presents a measurable assessment to the policymakers of China for streamlining their efforts on air quality improvement and O₃ containment.

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Tropospheric Ozone and Its Precursors in Guangxi, South China

The temporal and spatial distributions of tropospheric ozone and its precursors (NO2, CO, HCHO) are analyzed over Guangxi (GX) in South China. We used tropospheric column ozone (TCO) from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) onboard the Aura satellite (OMI/MLS), NO2 and HCHO from OMI and CO from the Measurements of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) instrument in the period 2005–2016. The TCO shows strong seasonality, with the highest value in spring and the lowest value observed in the monsoon season. The seasonal variation of HCHO is similar to that of TCO, while NO2 and CO show slightly different patterns with higher values in spring and winter compared to lower values in autumn and summer. The surface ozone, NO2 and CO observed by national air quality monitoring network sites are also compared with satellite-observed TCO, NO2 and CO, showing good agreement for NO2 and CO but a different seasonal pattern for ozone. Unlike TCO, surface ozone has the highest value in autumn and the lowest value in winter. To reveal the difference, the vertical profiles of ozone and CO from the measurement of ozone and water vapor by airbus in-service aircraft (MOZAIC) observations over South China are also examined. The seasonal averaged vertical profiles of ozone and CO show obvious enhancements at 2–6 km altitudes in spring. Furthermore, we investigate the dependence of TCO and surface ozone on meteorology and transport in detail along with the ECMWF reanalysis data, Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3BV42 dataset, OMI ultraviolet index (UV index) dataset, MODIS Fire Radiative Power (FRP) and back trajectory. Our results show that the wind pattern at 800 hPa plays a significant role in determining the seasonality of TCO over GX, especially for the highest value in spring. Trajectory analysis, combined with MODIS FRP suggests that the air masses that passed through the biomass burning (BB) region of Southeast Asia (SEA) induced the enhancement of TCO and CO in the upper-middle troposphere in spring. However, the seasonal cycle of surface ozone is associated with wind patterns at 950 hPa, and the contribution of the photochemical effect is offset by the strong summer monsoon, which results in the maximum surface ozone concentration in post-monsoon September. The variations in the meteorological conditions at different levels and the influence of transport from SEA can account for the vertical distribution of ozone and CO. We conclude that the seasonal distribution of TCO results from the combined impact of meteorology and long-term transport.

Global O3-CO Correlations in a Chemistry and Transport Model During July-August: Evaluation with TES Satellite Observations and Sensitivity to Input Meteorological Data and Emissions

We examine the capability of the Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) chemistry and transport model to reproduce global mid-tropospheric (618hPa) O₃-CO correlations determined by the measurements from Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) aboard NASA's Aura satellite during boreal summer (July-August). The model is driven by three meteorological data sets (fvGCM with sea surface temperature for 1995, GEOS4-DAS for 2005, and MERRA for 2005), allowing us to examine the sensitivity of model O₃-CO correlations to input meteorological data. Model simulations of radionuclide tracers (²²²Rn, ²¹⁰Pb, and ⁷Be) are used to illustrate the differences in transport-related processes among the meteorological data sets. Simulated O₃ values are evaluated with climatological ozone profiles from ozonesonde measurements and satellite tropospheric O₃ columns. Despite the fact that three simulations show significantly different global and regional distributions of O₃ and CO concentrations, all simulations show similar patterns of O₃-CO correlations on a global scale. These patterns are consistent with those derived from TES observations, except in the tropical easterly biomass burning outflow regions. Discrepancies in regional O₃-CO correlation patterns in the three simulations may be attributed to differences in convective transport, stratospheric influence, and subsidence, among other processes. To understand how various emissions drive global O₃-CO correlation patterns, we examine the sensitivity of GMI/MERRA model-calculated O₃ and CO concentrations and their correlations to emission types (fossil fuel, biomass burning, biogenic, and lightning NO_x emissions). Fossil fuel and biomass burning emissions are mainly responsible for the strong positive O₃-CO correlations over continental outflow regions in both hemispheres. Biogenic emissions have a relatively smaller impact on O₃-CO correlations than other emissions, but are largely responsible for the negative correlations over the tropical eastern Pacific, reflecting the fact that O₃ is consumed and CO generated during the atmospheric oxidation process of isoprene under low NO_x conditions. We find that lightning NO_x emissions degrade both positive correlations at mid-/high- latitudes and negative correlations in the tropics because ozone production downwind of lightning NO_x emissions is not directly related to the emission and transport of CO. Our study concludes that O₃-CO correlations may be used effectively to constrain the sources of regional tropospheric O₃ in global 3-D models, especially for those regions where convective transport of pollution plays an important role.

Assessing Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Observed Ground-level Ozone in China

Elevated ground-level ozone (O₃), which is an important aspect of air quality related to public health, has been causing increasing concern. This study investigated the spatiotemporal distribution of ground-level O₃ concentrations in China using a dataset from the Chinese national air quality monitoring network during 2013-2015. This research analyzed the diurnal, monthly and yearly variation of O₃ concentrations in both sparsely and densely populated regions. In particular, 6 major Chinese cities were selected to allow a discussion of variations in O₃ levels in detail, Beijing, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Lanzhou, Shanghai, and Urumchi, located on both sides of the Heihe-Tengchong line. Data showed that the nationwide 3-year MDA8 of ground-level O₃ was 80.26 μg/m³. Ground-level O₃ concentrations exhibited monthly variability peaking in summer and reaching the lowest levels in winter. The diurnal cycle reached a minimum in morning and peaked in the afternoon. Yearly average O₃ MDA8 concentrations in Beijing, Chengdu, Lanzhou, and Shanghai in 2015 increased 12%, 25%, 34%, 22%, respectively, when compared with those in 2013. Compared with World Health Organization O₃ guidelines, Beijing, Chengdu, Guangzhou, and Shanghai suffered O₃ pollution in excess of the 8-hour O₃ standard for more than 30% of the days in 2013 to 2015.

Atmospheric transport of ozone between Southern and Eastern Asia

This study describes the effect of pollution transport between East Asia and South Asia on tropospheric ozone (O3) using model results from the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (TF HTAP). Ensemble mean O3 concentrations are evaluated against satellite-data and ground observations of surface O3 at four stations in India. Although modeled surface O3 concentrations are 1020ppb higher than those observed, the relative magnitude of the seasonal cycle of O3 is reproduced well. Using 20% reductions in regional anthropogenic emissions, we quantify the seasonal variations in pollution transport between East Asia and South Asia. While there is only a difference of 0.05 to 0.1ppb in the magnitudes of the regional contributions from one region to the other, O3 from East Asian sources affects the most densely populated parts of South Asia while Southern Asian sources only partly affect the populated parts of East Asia. We show that emission changes over East Asia between 2000 and 2010 had a larger impact on populated parts of South Asia than vice versa. This study will help inform future decisions on emission control policy over these regions.

Ozone correlations between mid-tropospheric partial columns and the near-surface at two mid-atlantic sites during the DISCOVER-AQ campaign in July 2011

The current network of ground-based monitors for ozone (O₃) is limited due to the spatial heterogeneity of O₃ at the surface. Satellite measurements can provide a solution to this limitation, but the lack of sensitivity of satellites to O₃ within the boundary layer causes large uncertainties in satellite retrievals at the near-surface. The vertical variability of O₃ was investigated using ozonesondes collected as part of NASA's Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from COlumn and VERtically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality (DISCOVER-AQ) campaign during July 2011 in the Baltimore, MD/Washington D.C. metropolitan area. A subset of the ozonesonde measurements was corrected for a known bias from the electrochemical solution strength using new procedures based on laboratory and field tests. A significant correlation of O₃ over the two sites with ozonesonde measurements (Edgewood and Beltsville, MD) was observed between the mid-troposphere (7-10 km) and the near-surface (1-3 km). A linear regression model based on the partial column amounts of O₃ within these subregions was developed to calculate the near-surface O₃ using mid-tropospheric satellite measurements from the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) onboard the Aura spacecraft. The uncertainties of the calculated near-surface O₃ using TES mid-tropospheric satellite retrievals and a linear regression model were less than 20 %, which is less than that of the observed variability of O₃ at the surface in this region. These results utilize a region of the troposphere to which existing satellites are more sensitive compared to the boundary layer and can provide information of O₃ at the near-surface using existing satellite infrastructure and algorithms.