Retrospective analysis of common scoring systems and outcome in patients older than 60 years treated with reduced-intensity conditioning regimen and alloSCT

Prediction of Nonrelapse Mortality in Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia and Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia Receiving Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation With Posttransplantation Cyclophosphamide-based Graft Versus Host Disease Prophylaxis

Graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis with posttransplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCY) has been established to reduce severe GVHD, and thereby potentially reducing nonrelapse mortality (NRM) after allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). We evaluated the predictive capacity of established NRM-risk scores in patients receiving PTCY-based GVHD prophylaxis, and subsequently developed and validated a novel PTCY-specific NRM-risk model. Adult patients (n = 1861) with AML or ALL in first complete remission who received alloSCT with PTCY-based GVHD prophylaxis were included. The PTCY-risk score was developed using multivariable Fine and Gray regression, selecting parameters from the hematopoietic cell transplantation-comorbidity index (HCT-CI) and European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) score with a subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of ≥1.2 for 2-year NRM in the training set (70% split), which was validated in the test set (30%). The performance of the EBMT score, HCT-CI, and integrated EBMT score was relatively poor for discriminating 2-year NRM (c-statistic 51.7%, 56.6%, and 59.2%, respectively). The PTCY-risk score included 10 variables which were collapsed in 3 risk groups estimating 2-year NRM of 11% ± 2%, 19% ± 2%, and 36% ± 3% (training set, c-statistic 64%), and 11% ± 2%, 18% ± 3%, and 31% ± 5% (test set, c-statistic 63%), which also translated into different overall survival. Collectively, we developed an NRM-risk score for acute leukemia patients receiving PTCY that better predicted 2-year NRM compared with existing models, which might be applicable to the specific toxicities of high-dose cyclophosphamide.

Haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation in older adults: geriatric assessment, donor considerations, and optimisation of care

Haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT) has seen substantial growth among older adults. Chronological age is no longer viewed as an absolute barrier to HSCT, and alternative methods for assessing pre-transplantation fitness are increasingly used. In this Series paper, we summarise the metrics for pre-transplantation risk assessment in older adults, including both traditional metrics and geriatric assessment, and the ability of these metrics to predict post-transplantation outcomes. We also discuss strategies to broaden the utility of geriatric assessment, including in chronologically younger HSCT candidates and to guide individualised pre-transplantation interventions. Finally, we discuss donor considerations in older adults, including use of older sibling donors, haploidentical donors, and emerging data for donor-associated clonal haematopoiesis of indeterminate potential.

Dose intensity for conditioning in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation: can we recommend "when and for whom" in 2021?

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation is a potentially curative therapy for various hematologic diseases. An essential component of this procedure is the pre-transplant conditioning regimen, which should facilitate engraftment and reduce or eliminate tumor cells. The recognition of the substantial association of a graft-versus- tumor effect and the high toxicity of the commonly used conditioning regimen led to the introduction of more differentiated intensity strategies, with the aim of making hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation less toxic and safer, and thus more applicable to broader populations such as older or unfit patients. In general, prospective and retrospective studies suggest a correlation between increasing intensity and nonrelapse mortality and an inverse correlation with relapse incidence. In this review, we will summarize traditional and updated definitions for conditioning intensity strategies and the landscape of comparative prospective and retrospective studies, which may help to find the balance between the risk of non-relapse mortality and relapse. We will try to underscore the caveats regarding these definitions and analyses, by missing complex differences between intensity and toxicity as well as the broad influences of other factors in the transplantation procedure. We will summarize evidence regarding several confounders which may influence decisions when selecting the intensity of the conditioning regimen for any given patient, according to the individual risk of relapse and non-relapse mortality.

Comparison of the Prognostic Ability of the HCT-CI, the Modified EBMT, and the EBMT-ADT Pre-transplant Risk Scores for Acute Leukemia

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) outcomes may be predicted by published risk scores; however, the ideal system has not been identified for acute leukemias.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively examined the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI), modified European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (mEBMT), EBMT-Alternating Decision Tree (ADT), and others on 231 patients with acute leukemia.

RESULTS

Acute myeloid leukemia was diagnosed in 200 patients, and acute lymphocytic leukemia was diagnosed in 31 patients. For HCT-CI, patients were grouped as 0 to 1, 2 to 3, and > 3. For mEBMT, patients were grouped as 0 to 2, 3, and > 3. For EBMT-ADT, the 100-day mortality was calculated and grouped as ≤ 4.1%, 4.1% to 11.5%, and > 11.5%. Higher HCI-CI demonstrated inferior overall survival (P = .04; c-statistic, 0.57), whereas mEBMT and EBMT-ADT did not stratify well. A new weighted score was developed that assigned 1 point for age ≥ 60 years, acute lymphocytic leukemia diagnosis, mismatch unrelated or haploidentical donor, cardiovascular comorbidity, and pre-transplant diabetes, whereas arrhythmia received 2 points. The new weighted score assigned 0 points to 88 (38%), 1 to 2 points to 121 (52%) and ≥ 3 points to 22 (10%) patients, and demonstrated improved prognostic capability compared with the other scores (P = .0001; c-statistic, 0.61).

CONCLUSIONS

The HCT-CI stratifies patients with leukemia for overall survival but is inferior to our single-center score, which is influenced by cardiac comorbidity and arrhythmia. Differences in pre-transplant risk scores may be related to different transplant practices.

External validation and comparison of multiple prognostic scores in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation

Clinical decisions in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) are supported by the use of prognostic scores for outcome prediction. Scores vary in their features and in the composition of development cohorts. We sought to externally validate and compare the performance of 8 commonly applied scoring systems on a cohort of allo-HSCT recipients. Among 528 patients studied, acute myeloid leukemia was the leading transplant indication (44%) and 46% of patients had a matched sibling donor. Most models successfully grouped patients into higher and lower risk strata, supporting their use for risk classification. However, discrimination varied (2-year overall survival area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]: revised Pretransplantation Assessment of Mortality [rPAM], 0.64; PAM, 0.63; revised Disease Risk Index [rDRI], 0.62; Endothelial Activation and Stress Index [EASIx], 0.60; combined European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation [EBMT]/Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-specific Comorbidity Index [HCT-CI], 0.58; EBMT, 0.58; Comorbidity-Age, 0.58; HCT-CI, 0.55); AUC ranges from 0.5 (random) to 1.0 (perfect prediction). rPAM and PAM, which had the greatest predictive capacity across all outcomes, are comprehensive models including patient, disease, and transplantation information. Interestingly, EASIx, a biomarker-driven model, had comparable performance for nonrelapse mortality (NRM; 2-year AUC, 0.65) but no predictive value for relapse (2-year AUC, 0.53). Overall, allo-HSCT prognostic systems may be useful for risk stratification, but individual prediction remains a challenge, as reflected by the scores' limited discriminative capacity.

Increased opportunity for prolonged survival after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in patients aged 60-69 years with myelodysplastic syndrome

We conducted a nationwide retrospective study to evaluate the outcomes of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) in 651 patients aged 60-69 years with de novo myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). We divided patients into two groups: 152 and 499 patients with an early and advanced disease status, respectively. The 3-year overall survival (OS) rate of patients with an early disease status was 45.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 37.0 to 54.2%). A multivariate analysis revealed five adverse factors for OS: performance status (PS) 2-4 (hazard ratio [HR] 4.48; P < .001), poor cytogenetic risk group (HR 1.83; P = .041), male recipient (HR 2.58; P = .003), use of HLA-mismatched related grafts (HR 4.75; P = .003), and unrelated cord blood (HR 2.47; P = .023). The 3-year OS rate of patients with an advanced disease status was 37.2% (95% CI 32.4 to 41.9%). Five factors correlated with worse OS: PS 2-4 (HR 1.72; P = .003), poor cytogenetic risk group (HR 1.49; P = .003), use of HLA-mismatched related grafts (HR 1.96; P = .015), unrelated cord blood (HR 2.05; P < .001), and the high number of red blood cell transfusions before transplantation (HR 1.85; P = .018). The present results revealed the more frequent utilization of allo-HSCT for MDS patients aged 60-69 years, which increases the curative potential.

Baseline Renal Function and Albumin are Powerful Predictors for Allogeneic Transplantation-Related Mortality

Biomarkers measured in blood chemistry before allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) may reflect patients' physiological status. We hypothesized that selected markers are predictive for nonrelapse mortality (NRM) following transplantation and could contribute to risk assessment. We investigated the value of pre-HSCT albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and alkaline phosphatase (AlkP) in predicting NRM. We retrospectively analyzed clinical and laboratory data from 1217 patients receiving a first HSCT in 2 European centers between 2003 and 2015. Transplantation indications and conditioning regimens were diverse. Patients had a median age of 55 years and hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) scores of 0 (24%), 1 to 2 (39%), and ≥3 (37%). Cutoffs of eGFR <60 mL/min, albumin <3.5 g/dL, and AlkP >180 IU/L corresponded with 8.8%, 8.3%, and 6.5% of the patients, respectively. eGFR and albumin were associated with increased risk and higher cumulative incidence of day-100, 1-year, and 2-year NRM, both as continuous or categorized variables. A similar pattern was observed for AlkP, except for day-100 NRM. In multivariable analyses, eGFR and albumin were consistently among the top risk factors for early and late-term NRM, abrogating the role of age. Prediction models for day-100, 1-year, and 2-year NRM based only on HCT-CI resulted in c-statistics of .565, .575, and .577, respectively. Addition of both biomarkers increased c-statistics for day-100, 1-year, and 2-year NRM to .651, .633, and .624, respectively. Albumin and eGFR are prognostic biomarkers for NRM after HSCT and improve the discriminative power of the HCT-CI.

Transplant-related mortality and survival in children with malignancies treated with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. A multicenter analysis

The aim of the study was to assess the risk of TRM in pediatric patients treated for malignant disorders with allogeneic HSCT, according to different risk factors. The treatment outcome was analyzed in 299 pediatric patients treated in pediatric transplant departments from 2006 to 2015. To compare the outcome, patients were analyzed all together and in groups according to the diagnosis, age at transplant, donor type, disease status, stem cell source, and pediatric TRM score. At the end of the observation time, 82 patients were alive, 82 died, of which 40 due to transplant-related reasons. The most frequently observed causes of TRM were toxic complications effecting with organ failure (38%), followed by infections (26%), PTLD (14.3%), and GvHD (16.7%). There was no statistical difference in the incidence of TRM depending on stem cell source (P = .209) and primary diagnosis (P = .301). According to TRM score, TRM was significantly higher in high-risk group (P = .006). High-risk patients had lower survival comparing to low/intermediate group (P = .0001). OS did not differ between ALL, AML, and MDS/JMML groups. The study confirmed the utility of factors included in TRM score stratification in assessing the risk of transplant procedure in pediatric patients transplanted for malignancies.

T Cell Depletion as an Alternative Approach for Patients 55 Years or Older Undergoing Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation as Curative Therapy for Hematologic Malignancies

T cell-depleted (TCD) allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is curative treatment for hematologic malignancies in adults, shown to reduce graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) without increased relapse. We retrospectively reviewed a single-center, 11-year experience of 214 patients aged ≥ 55 years to determine tolerability and efficacy in the older adult. Most patients (70%) had myeloid diseases, and most acute leukemias were in remission. Median age was 61 years, with related and unrelated donors ≥8/10 HLA matched. Hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index scores were intermediate and high for 84%. Conditioning regimens were all myeloablative. Grafts were peripheral blood stem cells (97%) containing CD3 dose ≤103-4/kg body weight, without pharmacologic GVHD prophylaxis. With median follow-up of 70 months among survivors, Kaplan-Meier estimates of overall and relapse-free survival were 44% and 41%, respectively (4 years). Cumulative incidence of nonrelapse mortality at day +100 was only 10%. Incidence of GVHD for acute (grades II to IV) was 9% at day +100 and for chronic was 7% at 2 and 4 years (8 extensive, 1 overlap). Median Karnofsky performance status for patients > 2 years post-transplant was 90%. As 1 of the largest reports for patients ≥2 aged ≥55 years receiving TCD HSCTs, it demonstrates curative therapy with minimal GVHD, similar to that observed in a younger population.

Up-to-date tools for risk assessment before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

Cure of malignant and non-malignant hematological diseases is potentially possible after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT). Accurate evaluation of the risk-benefit ratio for an individual patient could improve the decision-making process about transplant, which ultimately would increase the likelihood of success. Several transplant-related models were designed in an effort to optimize decision-making about suitable candidates for allogeneic HCT. In 1998, The European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) developed a five-component pretransplantation risk scoring system for patients with CML. The EBMT score was later tested in patients with various hematological disorders, and it was shown to stratify risks of mortality after allogeneic HCT. More recent research efforts focused on models that assess health status before HCT. A HCT-specific comorbidity index was designed to assign weights to 17 relevant comorbidities that were shown to independently predict non-relapse mortality. Performance status scales and comprehensive geriatric assessment tools might uncover additional overall health limitations that affect long-term survival among older recipients of allogeneic HCT. Other models include the pretransplantation assessment of mortality score that summarizes the impacts of eight different pretransplantation patient- and disease-specific variables into a 50-point model that predicts survival. The disease-risk index captures the impact of primary diagnoses and disease status on relapse and survival following allogeneic HCT. The values and limitations of each model are discussed herein. We also provide insight on how to use these models in the clinic to decide about offering allogeneic HCT with the most suitable conditioning regimen intensity.

Reevaluation of the pretransplant assessment of mortality score after allogeneic hematopoietic transplantation

The Pretransplant Assessment of Mortality (PAM) score was developed in 2006 to predict risk of mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). Transplant practices have evolved during the past decade, suggesting the need to reevaluate the performance of the PAM score. We used statistical modeling to analyze and recalibrate mortality based on overall PAM scores, its components, and conditioning regimen in a retrospective cohort of 1549 patients who had HCT from 2003 through 2009. PAM scores correlated with mortality, but the effect size was smaller in the current study than in previous studies. PAM scores also demonstrated a stronger association with mortality in patients who received myeloablative conditioning than in those who received reduced-intensity conditioning. In contrast to the original study, carbon monoxide diffusing capacity, serum alanine aminotransferase, and serum creatinine concentrations were no longer significantly associated with 2-year mortality, whereas patient and donor cytomegalovirus serology was associated with mortality in the current cohort. Based on our findings, we developed and tested a revised PAM score for clinicians to estimate survival after allogeneic HCT with myeloablative conditioning regimens for patients with hematologic malignancy. Prognostic models such as the PAM score should be updated and recalibrated periodically to accommodate changes in clinical practice.

Predictive value of risk assessment scores in patients with hematologic malignancies undergoing reduced-intensity conditioning allogeneic stem cell transplantation

Reduced-intensity conditioning allogeneic stem cell transplantation (RIC allo-SCT) is associated with less toxicity and is used for older patients. We retrospectively studied the predictive value of two risk assessment scores, which were the hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (HCT-CI) and the pre-transplantation assessment of mortality (PAM) score, for assessing the outcome of RIC allo-SCT. Seventy-eight patients underwent transplantation between 2005 and 2013 at a single institution. RIC was performed with fludarabine and melphalan with/without total body irradiation. The 3-year overall survival of patients with an HCT-CI >3 was significantly worse than that of patients with an HCT-CI 0-3 (31.6% vs. 59.6%, P = 0.020). Also, the 3-year overall survival of patients with a PAM score >24 was significantly worse than that of those with a PAM score ≤24 (29.2% vs. 61.4%, P = 0.005). The present findings suggest that changing the cut-off values of these risk assessment scores can improve prediction of outcomes in patients receiving RIC allo-SCT with this conditioning regimen and we need validation by large-scale study with other regimens.

Hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) is predictive of adverse events and overall survival in older allogeneic transplant recipients

OBJECTIVES

Our goal was to evaluate the ability of the hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) to predict outcomes after allogeneic stem cell transplant (SCT) within the context of an older patient population, where multiple comorbidities are common.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of SCT patients ≥50years of age at our institution, identifying 59 patients with complete HCT-CI data collected prospectively.

RESULTS

HCT-CI category distribution in our sample was disproportionate, with almost half of patients having scores ≥3. High HCT-CI score (≥3 vs <3) was associated with significantly inferior OS (median OS not reached for HCT-CI <3 vs 14months for HCT-CI ≥3; hazard ratio (HR) 2.2, p=0.02). HCT-CI score was a better predictor of OS than age, performance status or conditioning intensity. When adjusted for disease relapse risk, HCT-CI score conferred a worse prognosis in the low risk group (HR 1.43, p=0.03) but not in the intermediate/high risk group (HR 1.08, p=0.65). NRM was low in the total sample (6% at one year) and was not associated with HCT-CI score. Grade 3-4 non-hematologic adverse events within the first 100days after SCT were significantly more common in the higher HCT-CI groups (p=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In our older patient cohort with a high incidence of multiple comorbidities, HCT-CI score ≥3 was significantly associated with OS, particularly in the subset of patients with a low disease relapse risk.

Prediction of non-relapse mortality in recipients of reduced intensity conditioning allogeneic stem cell transplantation with AML in first complete remission

Non-relapse mortality (NRM) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT) can be predicted by the hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) and the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) score, which are composed of different parameters. We set out to integrate the parameters of both scores in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in first complete remission (CR1) receiving reduced intensity conditioning (RIC) alloHSCT. All parameters from the HCT-CI and the EBMT-score with the addition of patient and donor cytomegalovirus serology were evaluated in 812 patients by multivariable analysis with end-point NRM at 2 years. Subsequently, 16 parameters were selected based on hazard ratio >1.2, and were incorporated into a novel score, which was further internally validated by bootstrapping. Both the HCT-CI and the EBMT-score showed relatively weak predictive value, whereas the integrated score allowed to identify three clearly distinct risk groups with 2-year NRM estimates of 8±2% (low-risk), 17±2% (intermediate-risk) and 38±4% (high-risk), which also translated in prediction of overall survival. Collectively, integration of the most dominant parameters from the HCT-CI and the EBMT-score allowed to develop a simple and robust, integrated score with improved prediction of NRM for AML patients proceeding to RIC alloHSCT in CR1.

Pretransplant comorbidities maintain their impact on allogeneic stem cell transplantation outcome 5 years posttransplant: a retrospective study in a single german institution

The introduction of reduced-intensity conditioning regimens has allowed elderly patients with preexisting comorbidities access to the potentially curative allogeneic stem cell transplantation. Patient's comorbidities at the time of treatment consideration play a significant role in transplant outcome in terms of both overall survival (OS) and nonrelapse mortality (NRM). The hematopoietic stem cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) quantifies these patient specific risks and has established itself as a major tool in the pretransplant assessment of patients. Many single center and multicenter studies have assessed the HCT-CI score and reported conflicting outcomes. The present study aimed to evaluate the HCT-CI in a single large European transplant centre. 245 patients were retrospectively analyzed and the predictive value of the score was assessed with respect to OS and NRM. We confirm that the HCT-CI predicts outcome for both OS and NRM. Moreover, we identified age of the patient as an independent prognostic parameter for OS. Incorporation of age in the HCT-CI would improve its ability to prognosticate and allow the transplant physician to assess the patient specific risks appropriately at the time of counseling for transplant.

Combination of the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Comorbidity Index and the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation score allows a better stratification of high-risk patients undergoing reduced-toxicity allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

This study was conducted to determine whether the integration of the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) and the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) score would improve individual capacity for stratification of high-risk HCT candidates. A total of 442 consecutive patients receiving an allogeneic HCT after reduced-toxicity conditioning was included. Final HCT-CI and EBMT scores were calculated and validated. Then, patients were grouped into a 6-category new combination model according to the HCT-CI (0, 1 to 2, ≥ 3) and EBMT scores (0 to 3, 4 to 7), and the model's predictive capacity was also evaluated. Median HCT-CI and EBMT scores were 3 and 4, respectively. Increased HCT-CI was associated with higher 4-year nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and lower 4-year overall survival (OS), whereas a high EBMT score was associated with higher 4-year NRM. The HCT-CI showed a trend for a better predictive capacity than the EBMT score (c-statistic .6 versus .54, P = .1). According to the new model, patients within HCT-CI of 0 and HCT-CI of 1 to 2 groups had similar risk of NRM independently of their EBMT score. Within the HCT-CI ≥ 3 group, patients with low EBMT score showed lower NRM (25% versus 40%, P = .04) and a trend to higher OS (52% versus 36%, P = .06) than patients with a high EBMT score. Moreover, patients with HCT-CI ≥ 3 and EBMT score 0 to 3 had similar outcomes than those with HCT-CI of 1 to 2. In conclusion, the combination of HCT-CI and the EBMT score is feasible and might contribute to a better identification of high-risk patients, improving selection of best allogeneic HCT candidates.

Hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index predicts inpatient mortality and survival in patients who received allogeneic transplantation admitted to the intensive care unit

PURPOSE

To investigate the prognostic value of the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) in patients who received transplantation admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We investigated the association of HCT-CI with inpatient mortality and overall survival (OS) among 377 patients who were admitted to the ICU within 100 days of allogeneic stem-cell transplantation (ASCT) at our institution. HCT-CI scores were collapsed into four groups and were evaluated in univariate and multivariate analyses using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

The most common pretransplantation comorbidities were pulmonary and cardiac diseases, and respiratory failure was the primary reason for ICU admission. We observed a strong trend for higher inpatient mortality and shorter OS among patients with HCT-CI values ≥ 2 compared with patients with values of 0 to 1 in all patient subsets studied. Multivariate analysis showed that patients with HCT-CI values ≥ 2 had significantly higher inpatient mortality than patients with values of 0 to 1 and that HCT-CI values ≥ 4 were significantly associated with shorter OS compared with values of 0 to 1 (hazard ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.23 to 2.47). The factors associated with lower inpatient mortality were ICU admission during the ASCT conditioning phase or the use of reduced-intensity conditioning regimens. The overall inpatient mortality rate was 64%, and the 1-year OS rate was 15%. Among patients with HCT-CI scores of 0 to 1, 2, 3, and ≥ 4, the 1-year OS rates were 22%, 17%, 18%, and 9%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HCT-CI is a valuable predictor of mortality and survival in critically ill patients after ASCT.

Graft failure in the modern era of allogeneic hematopoietic SCT

Graft failure may contribute to increased morbidity and mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic SCT (allo-HSCT). Here, we present risk factors for graft failure in all first allo-HSCTs performed at our center from 1995 to mid-2010 (n=967). Graft failure was defined as >95% recipient cells any time after engraftment with no signs of relapse, or re-transplantation because of primary or secondary neutropenia (<0.5 × 10(9)/L) and/or thrombocytopenia (<30 × 10(9)/L). Fifty-four patients (5.6%) experienced graft failure. The majority were because of autologous reconstitution (n=43), and only a few patients underwent re-transplantation because of primary (n=6) or secondary (n=5) graft failures. In non-malignant disorders, graft failure had no effect on survival, whereas in malignant disease graft failure was associated with reduced 5-year survival (22 vs 53%, P<0.01). In multivariate analysis, ex vivo T-cell depletion (relative risk (RR) 8.82, P<0.001), HLA-mismatched grafts (RR 7.64, P<0.001), non-malignant disorders (RR 3.32, P<0.01) and reduced-intensity conditioning (RR 2.58, P<0.01) increased the risk for graft failure, whereas graft failures were prevented by total nucleated cell doses of ≥ 2.5 × 10(8)/kg (RR 0.36, P<0.01). In conclusion, graft failure was only associated with inferior survival in malignant disease. Non-malignant disorders, HLA match, conditioning intensity, immunosuppression regimen and cell dose all influenced graft failure risk.

Prognostic factors in patients aged 50 years or older undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for hematologic malignancy

We retrospectively analyzed patients aged C 50 years with hematologic malignancies who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) to identify preoperative variables predicting the outcome. There were 71 patients with a median age of 57 years (range: 50-63 years) who had acute leukemia (n = 53) or myelodysplastic syndrome (n = 18). Myeloablative conditioning was done in 35 patients and 36 patients had reduced-intensity conditioning. The 5-year overall survival rate (OS), cumulative relapse rate, and non-relapse mortality rate (NRM) were 45, 24, and 33%, respectively. According to multivariate analysis, high-risk disease (HR 3.50, 95% CI 1.43-8.56, P = 0.006), a hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI) score ≥ 3 (HR 4.41, 95% CI 1.31-14.77, P = 0.016), and an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor (HR 4.03, 95% CI 1.46-11.10, P = 0.007) were significant predictors of worse OS. Highrisk disease was also significantly associated with a higher cumulative relapse rate (HR 4.59, 95% CI 0.94-6.92, P = 0.065). Furthermore, an HCT-CI score ≥ 3 (HR 3.02, 95% CI 1.01-20.78, P = 0.048) and an HLA-mismatched unrelated donor (HR 3.02, 95% CI 1.04-8.74, P = 0.042) were risk factors for NRM. These results suggest that the disease risk, HCT-CI score, and donor type/histocompatibility are prognostic factors for elderly patients, while the conditioning regimen and age are not predictors.

Validation of the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Specific Comorbidity Index: a prospective, multicenter GITMO study

The development of tools for the prediction of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) would offer a major guidance in the therapeutic decision. Recently, the Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation-Specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) has been associated with increased NRM risk in several retrospective studies, but its clinical utility has never been demonstrated prospectively in an adequately sized cohort. To this aim, we prospectively evaluated a consecutive cohort of 1937 patients receiving HSCT in Italy over 2 years. HCT-CI was strongly correlated with both 2-year NRM (14.7%, 21.3%, and 27.3% in patients having an HCT-CI score of 0, 1-2, and ≥ 3, respectively) and overall survival (56.4%, 54.5%, and 41.3%, respectively). There was an excellent calibration between the predicted and observed 2-year NRM in patients having an HCT-CI score of 0 and 1-2, whereas in the ≥ 3 group the predicted NRM overestimated the observed NRM (41% vs 27.3%). HCT-CI alone was the strongest predictor of NRM in patients with lymphoma, myelodysplastic syndrome, and acute myeloid leukemia in first remission (c-statistics 0.66, 064, and 0.59, respectively). We confirm the clinical utility of the HCT-CI score that could also identify patients at low NRM risk possibly benefiting from an HSCT-based treatment strategy.

The increase from 2.5 to 5 mg/kg of rabbit anti-thymocyte-globulin dose in reduced intensity conditioning reduces acute and chronic GVHD for patients with myeloid malignancies undergoing allo-SCT

We previously reported that reduced intensity conditioning (RIC) regimen with fludarabine, BU and 2.5 mg/kg of rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (r-ATG) was effective but associated with a high rate of acute and chronic GVHD. Therefore, we increased the dose of r-ATG to 5 mg/kg. In this report, we analyzed 87 patients with AML or myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) undergoing allo-SCT from an HLA-identical sibling donor from 2000 to 2010. RIC consisted of fludarabine, BU and r-ATG 2.5 mg/kg on 1 day (r-ATG1; n=53) or 2.5 mg/kg per day over 2 days (r-ATG2; n=22). Grade 2-4 acute GVHD incidence at day 100 was 30.2% and 8.8% in the r-ATG1 and r-ATG2 groups, respectively (P=0.038). Extensive chronic GVHD incidence was 60.4% and 12% in the r-ATG1 and r-ATG2 groups, respectively (P<0.001). The relapse incidences (RI) at 24 months were 18.9% and 28.5% in r-ATG1 and r-ATG2 groups, respectively (P=0.640). Overall and PFS were not different between the r-ATG1 and r-ATG2 groups. r-ATG dose at 5 mg/kg in the setting of RIC seems a good balance allowing GVHD prevention and antitumor effect with a remarkable reduction of GVHD incidence without an identical level of increased relapse rate.